Talisman Red's Womens College Soccer Computer Ratings
David Rothman/FACT Rankings
David Rothman (1935-2004) was a pioneer in the sports ratings world, with his rating system being recognized by the NCAA from 1968-2006 as a national championship selector in college football. Here, I use his original system (and nearly original code) to provide an alternative rating. More details at the bottom of the page.
The original text file is available, and below the list of teams is a list of the biggest upsets of the season so far. Or, the rankings within each conference are here.
David's method considers only scores. Game locations, dates, and any other information is not included.
Warning: since David's method starts every team from scratch, it usually takes 6-7 games in a season for the results to "converge" to something useful.
< DAVID ROTHMAN'S WOMENS SOCCER RANKINGS >
BASED ON 2959 GAMES BETWEEN 350 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
THROUGH GAMES OF THURSDAY OCTOBER 30 2025
FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
RANK TEAM DIVISION LOGIT PCT. RRE PF PA W L T
1 Stanford ACC 65.25 .753 .855 69 14 15 1 1
2 Notre Dame ACC 64.78 .722 .848 52 15 13 1 2
3 TCU BIG12 63.59 .698 .830 38 17 15 2 1
4 Virginia ACC 63.45 .668 .828 35 11 12 2 3
5 Colorado BIG12 62.57 .684 .813 48 14 14 2 3
6 Florida St. ACC 62.53 .663 .813 43 13 10 2 3
7 Duke ACC 62.13 .663 .806 44 19 12 3 1
8 Vanderbilt SEC 61.95 .672 .803 37 8 13 3 1
9 Tennessee SEC 61.94 .669 .803 33 7 12 2 3
10 Texas Tech BIG12 61.54 .671 .795 35 13 13 2 3
11 West Virginia BIG12 61.39 .671 .793 36 14 13 2 3
12 Baylor BIG12 61.33 .643 .792 33 12 12 3 3
13 Louisville ACC 61.00 .671 .786 51 11 13 3 2
14 Michigan St. BIG10 60.85 .616 .783 44 20 10 3 5
15 Memphis AMER 60.82 .750 .782 40 6 14 0 2
16 Arkansas SEC 60.81 .604 .782 32 21 9 3 4
17 Kansas BIG12 60.32 .618 .773 39 23 12 4 3
18 UCLA BIG10 60.30 .601 .772 19 5 10 4 3
19 Iowa BIG10 60.16 .625 .770 35 18 11 3 4
20 Georgetown BIGEAS 60.03 .688 .767 39 9 13 2 2
21 UCF BIG12 59.82 .637 .763 26 12 11 2 5
22 Washington BIG10 59.53 .637 .757 26 11 11 2 5
23 Wisconsin BIG10 59.36 .620 .754 26 15 12 4 2
24 Georgia SEC 59.29 .617 .752 37 13 10 3 5
25 LSU SEC 58.97 .584 .746 37 19 10 5 3
26 Xavier BIGEAS 58.92 .700 .745 59 14 13 2 2
27 BYU BIG12 58.78 .550 .742 34 24 9 6 3
28 South Carolina SEC 58.77 .613 .741 30 11 10 3 5
29 North Carolina ACC 58.67 .605 .739 46 20 12 6 0
30 Wake Forest ACC 58.62 .592 .738 30 19 10 4 4
31 Mississippi St. SEC 58.51 .588 .736 31 20 10 5 1
32 Northwestern BIG10 58.50 .587 .736 24 14 9 3 7
33 Saint Mary's (CA) WCC 58.36 .645 .733 22 10 10 2 3
34 Penn St. BIG10 58.33 .552 .732 34 21 9 6 3
35 Illinois BIG10 58.13 .628 .728 29 17 13 4 2
36 Clemson ACC 58.07 .527 .726 22 25 7 5 5
37 Ohio St. BIG10 57.96 .552 .724 20 11 7 4 6
38 California ACC 57.65 .568 .717 26 24 8 3 8
39 Oklahoma SEC 57.41 .598 .712 38 20 10 4 4
40 Arizona St. BIG12 57.19 .575 .707 30 18 10 5 4
41 Alabama SEC 56.98 .549 .702 37 28 10 7 1
42 Pepperdine WCC 56.83 .578 .699 37 20 9 5 2
43 Dayton A10 56.83 .659 .699 33 9 13 3 2
44 Kentucky SEC 56.80 .618 .698 40 15 11 4 3
45 Utah Valley WAC 56.60 .629 .694 55 25 11 4 2
46 Cal St. Fullerton BIGWES 56.55 .668 .693 25 7 13 2 3
47 Saint Louis A10 56.08 .655 .682 34 14 13 3 2
48 Southern California BIG10 56.05 .502 .681 25 23 7 7 3
49 Houston BIG12 55.95 .543 .679 30 14 6 4 7
50 Kansas St. BIG12 55.89 .516 .677 23 20 7 6 5
51 Seattle U WCC 55.73 .574 .673 37 24 7 3 6
52 UConn BIGEAS 55.58 .628 .670 21 9 11 3 3
53 Liberty CUSA 55.58 .618 .670 32 15 10 3 4
54 Nebraska BIG10 55.58 .547 .670 25 18 8 5 5
55 Auburn SEC 55.46 .488 .667 21 17 4 5 7
56 Florida SEC 55.44 .500 .666 26 26 6 6 5
57 Portland WCC 55.35 .565 .664 14 11 7 3 6
58 Utah BIG12 55.33 .453 .664 14 20 6 9 3
59 Old Dominion SUNBLT 55.17 .641 .660 31 14 10 2 4
60 Western Mich. MAC 54.84 .644 .652 38 15 13 4 1
61 James Madison SUNBLT 54.83 .580 .652 35 22 9 4 5
62 Santa Clara WCC 54.78 .516 .651 21 21 7 6 3
63 Utah St. MTNW 54.60 .539 .646 35 18 8 6 5
64 Montana BIGSKY 54.60 .623 .646 24 9 10 3 3
65 Denver SUMMIT 54.57 .580 .645 23 16 9 4 4
66 Texas A&M SEC 54.52 .468 .644 17 20 5 7 5
67 South Alabama SUNBLT 54.47 .628 .643 31 11 10 3 3
68 Charlotte AMER 54.29 .582 .638 29 19 10 5 2
69 Brown IVY 54.22 .612 .637 26 12 7 2 4
70 Arizona BIG12 54.17 .443 .635 22 28 7 11 1
71 Michigan BIG10 54.05 .469 .633 23 27 6 8 4
72 Boise St. MTNW 53.87 .599 .628 26 17 10 3 6
73 Cal Poly BIGWES 53.82 .585 .627 29 21 8 2 9
74 UC Santa Barbara BIGWES 53.82 .611 .627 28 13 12 4 4
75 Indiana BIG10 53.78 .485 .626 21 21 5 6 6
76 Pittsburgh ACC 53.71 .432 .624 17 32 6 10 2
77 San Diego St. MTNW 53.66 .559 .622 27 23 8 4 6
78 SMU ACC 53.61 .498 .621 25 28 8 8 2
79 Colorado St. MTNW 53.60 .609 .621 30 16 10 3 5
80 South Dakota St. SUMMIT 53.57 .609 .620 30 14 8 2 6
81 UC Irvine BIGWES 53.49 .564 .618 24 10 8 4 7
82 Loyola Chicago A10 53.42 .591 .617 23 14 9 3 6
83 Weber St. BIGSKY 53.40 .578 .616 33 23 11 6 1
84 Minnesota BIG10 53.35 .470 .615 23 24 6 8 3
85 Rutgers BIG10 53.34 .451 .614 17 19 4 7 5
86 Texas St. SUNBLT 53.32 .571 .614 30 21 7 3 6
87 Fairfield MAAC 53.32 .726 .614 49 11 15 1 2
88 Miami (FL) ACC 53.32 .485 .614 20 21 7 8 3
89 Gonzaga WCC 53.05 .450 .607 22 22 5 8 2
90 UNCW CAA 53.04 .629 .607 31 18 11 3 3
91 Virginia Tech ACC 53.03 .413 .607 31 35 4 10 4
92 NC State ACC 52.91 .436 .603 19 29 5 9 4
93 Air Force MTNW 52.90 .549 .603 31 26 8 5 4
94 Rice AMER 52.89 .594 .603 32 25 9 3 5
95 Cincinnati BIG12 52.86 .456 .602 16 22 5 8 6
96 Washington St. WCC 52.86 .485 .602 15 14 5 6 5
97 Samford SOCON 52.85 .637 .602 36 14 10 2 5
98 Iowa St. BIG12 52.77 .419 .600 20 28 4 9 4
99 Creighton BIGEAS 52.47 .485 .592 26 26 6 7 4
100 Buffalo MAC 52.44 .626 .591 30 12 12 4 2
101 ULM SUNBLT 52.40 .643 .590 34 22 11 2 4
102 Missouri SEC 52.37 .405 .590 15 22 4 10 3
103 Oral Roberts SUMMIT 52.24 .605 .586 27 15 10 4 2
104 San Diego WCC 52.21 .501 .586 25 24 4 4 7
105 Ole Miss SEC 52.05 .416 .581 13 30 4 8 3
106 Duquesne A10 52.04 .617 .581 43 19 12 5 1
107 UAB AMER 52.03 .537 .581 33 22 7 5 6
108 LMU (CA) WCC 52.02 .493 .581 13 20 5 5 4
109 UTSA AMER 52.02 .532 .580 17 14 7 5 5
110 New Mexico MTNW 51.97 .571 .579 31 17 8 4 5
111 Miami (OH) MAC 51.85 .622 .576 27 14 12 4 2
112 Tulsa AMER 51.72 .549 .573 38 29 8 5 5
113 Boston College ACC 51.69 .462 .572 20 15 5 8 5
114 Lipscomb ASUN 51.66 .608 .571 37 17 12 5 2
115 Rhode Island A10 51.61 .594 .570 27 14 11 5 2
116 Oregon BIG10 51.38 .398 .564 15 21 3 10 5
117 Bowling Green MAC 51.36 .602 .563 25 12 9 2 8
118 Boston U. PATR 51.31 .605 .562 36 17 10 4 3
119 Wyoming MTNW 51.29 .484 .562 15 17 5 6 6
120 Texas SEC 51.28 .368 .561 25 41 4 12 1
121 Dartmouth IVY 51.27 .593 .561 21 7 7 3 3
122 California Baptist WAC 51.24 .540 .560 24 24 10 7 2
123 Marshall SUNBLT 51.22 .555 .560 27 18 7 4 5
124 CSUN BIGWES 51.20 .516 .559 19 15 8 7 4
125 CSU Bakersfield BIGWES 51.19 .507 .559 26 18 8 8 2
126 Milwaukee HORZ 51.16 .614 .558 46 26 11 4 3
127 Purdue BIG10 51.10 .450 .556 26 22 6 10 3
128 Oklahoma St. BIG12 51.09 .369 .556 20 36 4 13 2
129 South Fla. AMER 51.00 .502 .554 30 28 8 8 2
130 Butler BIGEAS 50.96 .519 .553 23 20 5 4 7
131 Eastern Ky. ASUN 50.91 .583 .551 30 25 10 4 5
132 Binghamton AMEAST 50.88 .652 .551 27 15 10 1 5
133 Syracuse ACC 50.87 .441 .550 22 26 5 9 4
134 Providence BIGEAS 50.87 .495 .550 19 24 6 6 3
135 Harvard IVY 50.72 .525 .546 17 14 5 4 3
136 Army West Point PATR 50.68 .597 .545 40 23 11 5 2
137 UC San Diego BIGWES 50.64 .485 .544 14 16 5 6 8
138 Villanova BIGEAS 50.56 .497 .542 16 20 8 8 0
139 Delaware CUSA 50.52 .620 .541 25 14 9 2 5
140 FIU CUSA 50.51 .517 .541 18 18 6 5 4
141 Stony Brook CAA 50.48 .565 .540 35 28 10 6 1
142 Elon CAA 50.47 .644 .540 35 12 11 2 5
143 Colorado Col. MTNW 50.44 .485 .539 19 20 5 6 7
144 App State SUNBLT 50.42 .497 .538 18 21 7 7 3
145 East Carolina AMER 50.37 .484 .537 22 24 6 7 4
146 Maryland BIG10 50.34 .423 .536 21 30 6 11 1
147 Princeton IVY 50.28 .502 .535 18 16 5 5 3
148 Fresno St. MTNW 50.24 .520 .534 31 24 7 6 5
149 Grand Canyon MTNW 50.23 .497 .534 21 25 8 8 2
150 Monmouth CAA 50.23 .581 .533 26 18 10 5 2
151 Marquette BIGEAS 50.20 .460 .533 23 33 5 7 4
152 Chattanooga SOCON 50.15 .597 .531 36 20 10 4 4
153 Western Caro. SOCON 50.10 .567 .530 33 18 9 5 4
154 Kennesaw State CUSA 50.00 .000 .527 0 0 0 0 0
155 Miss. Valley St. SWAC 50.00 .000 .527 0 0 0 0 0
156 Pennsylvania IVY 50.00 .000 .527 0 0 0 0 0
157 ETSU SOCON 49.95 .591 .526 24 15 9 3 6
158 FGCU ASUN 49.93 .592 .525 43 22 10 5 2
159 Bellarmine ASUN 49.83 .560 .523 21 20 9 5 3
160 Pacific WCC 49.82 .452 .522 12 31 4 6 6
161 Ball St. MAC 49.82 .561 .522 25 18 10 6 2
162 San Francisco WCC 49.82 .369 .522 8 23 2 9 4
163 Drake MVC 49.75 .566 .521 28 15 9 5 4
164 Coastal Carolina SUNBLT 49.75 .464 .521 13 18 3 5 8
165 Eastern Wash. BIGSKY 49.71 .516 .519 26 25 7 6 4
166 Georgia St. SUNBLT 49.67 .500 .518 23 23 7 7 2
167 Fordham A10 49.67 .562 .518 34 26 10 6 2
168 Kent St. MAC 49.65 .524 .518 23 27 8 6 5
169 Middle Tenn. CUSA 49.64 .568 .518 26 16 9 5 3
170 Louisiana SUNBLT 49.61 .526 .517 33 19 7 6 4
171 Sam Houston CUSA 49.57 .552 .516 19 17 8 5 2
172 Columbia IVY 49.54 .478 .515 14 16 5 6 2
173 Hawaii BIGWES 49.53 .453 .515 18 27 4 7 8
174 Long Beach St. BIGWES 49.51 .441 .514 19 19 4 8 5
175 Murray St. MVC 49.50 .587 .514 24 20 10 4 4
176 South Dakota SUMMIT 49.32 .514 .509 20 21 6 5 6
177 Colgate PATR 49.28 .561 .508 28 22 9 5 4
178 Idaho BIGSKY 49.25 .499 .507 18 19 5 5 8
179 Western Ky. CUSA 49.18 .540 .506 12 11 6 4 3
180 Utah Tech WAC 49.09 .484 .503 25 27 6 7 4
181 Oregon St. WCC 49.06 .380 .502 14 26 2 9 5
182 Col. of Charleston CAA 49.04 .541 .502 30 17 8 6 3
183 Northern Ariz. BIGSKY 49.00 .484 .501 19 19 4 5 7
184 Kansas City SUMMIT 48.94 .497 .499 26 30 7 7 3
185 Hofstra CAA 48.93 .516 .499 23 21 6 5 7
186 Furman SOCON 48.89 .592 .498 31 16 8 3 5
187 VCU A10 48.78 .464 .495 22 35 7 9 3
188 La Salle A10 48.72 .499 .493 27 28 7 7 3
189 Idaho St. BIGSKY 48.57 .465 .489 15 19 5 7 4
190 Northwestern St. STHLD 48.56 .616 .489 35 12 11 4 3
191 William & Mary CAA 48.53 .502 .488 22 20 7 7 4
192 Cornell IVY 48.52 .460 .488 13 17 4 6 4
193 North Dakota SUMMIT 48.14 .511 .478 32 19 7 7 3
194 Northern Ky. HORZ 48.09 .620 .476 33 13 9 2 6
195 SFA STHLD 48.02 .558 .475 25 18 7 3 9
196 North Ala. ASUN 48.02 .544 .475 18 12 8 5 6
197 Missouri St. CUSA 47.63 .430 .464 18 26 4 8 4
198 North Texas AMER 47.63 .447 .464 27 31 6 10 4
199 Quinnipiac MAAC 47.57 .587 .463 27 17 8 3 5
200 Jacksonville ASUN 47.57 .576 .463 40 20 8 4 5
201 Ohio MAC 47.53 .447 .461 20 20 5 9 5
202 Davidson A10 47.43 .497 .459 20 23 7 7 3
203 Omaha SUMMIT 47.41 .471 .458 30 31 6 8 4
204 Portland St. BIGSKY 47.35 .409 .457 12 20 3 8 4
205 UNLV MTNW 47.33 .410 .456 21 35 4 10 5
206 Ga. Southern SUNBLT 47.31 .370 .456 17 31 2 10 5
207 Loyola Maryland PATR 47.26 .514 .454 14 15 5 4 8
208 Fla. Atlantic AMER 47.15 .382 .451 25 41 4 12 3
209 Eastern Mich. MAC 47.08 .470 .450 16 19 6 8 4
210 Massachusetts MAC 47.07 .447 .449 15 25 5 8 4
211 Siena MAAC 46.99 .577 .447 27 13 9 4 6
212 Navy PATR 46.97 .538 .447 31 18 8 6 4
213 UIC MVC 46.96 .484 .446 15 16 6 7 4
214 Sacramento St. BIGSKY 46.85 .416 .444 16 34 6 11 1
215 North Florida ASUN 46.84 .489 .443 22 36 8 8 3
216 St. John's (NY) BIGEAS 46.83 .411 .443 10 22 3 8 5
217 Illinois St. MVC 46.80 .502 .442 15 13 6 6 6
218 Tennessee Tech OVC 46.76 .501 .441 26 25 6 6 6
219 Northern Colo. BIGSKY 46.73 .400 .440 19 29 3 10 6
220 Southern Ill. MVC 46.61 .579 .437 27 16 10 5 3
221 UC Davis BIGWES 46.52 .372 .435 11 23 3 12 4
222 NJIT AMEAST 46.51 .532 .435 23 20 7 5 5
223 Towson CAA 46.50 .503 .434 28 25 5 5 6
224 Abilene Christian WAC 46.46 .422 .433 16 26 5 10 3
225 Lindenwood OVC 46.46 .561 .433 19 16 8 4 5
226 Radford BIGSTH 46.45 .585 .433 23 16 8 4 1
227 UMass Lowell AMEAST 46.44 .498 .433 19 21 5 5 5
228 Central Ark. ASUN 46.41 .459 .432 25 21 6 9 2
229 Holy Cross PATR 46.39 .487 .431 16 15 6 7 5
230 Belmont MVC 46.36 .469 .431 18 20 4 6 7
231 Little Rock OVC 46.32 .573 .430 32 20 7 3 6
232 Indiana St. MVC 46.22 .530 .427 29 26 7 5 6
233 Arkansas St. SUNBLT 46.20 .452 .426 24 21 4 7 4
234 USC Upstate BIGSTH 46.18 .559 .426 29 30 10 6 1
235 DePaul BIGEAS 46.18 .371 .426 14 27 4 12 1
236 New Mexico St. CUSA 46.09 .343 .424 13 35 2 12 4
237 Vermont AMEAST 46.01 .532 .422 20 17 7 5 5
238 East Texas A&M STHLD 45.95 .487 .420 20 36 7 7 4
239 Tarleton St. WAC 45.92 .502 .419 26 23 6 6 6
240 Northeastern CAA 45.90 .430 .419 12 20 3 7 6
241 Mercer SOCON 45.84 .519 .417 26 22 7 6 3
242 Bryant AMEAST 45.79 .503 .416 15 12 4 4 7
243 Akron MAC 45.77 .436 .415 18 28 5 9 4
244 Yale IVY 45.73 .342 .414 15 29 3 11 0
245 Campbell CAA 45.64 .447 .412 18 25 4 7 5
246 George Mason A10 45.61 .420 .411 17 24 4 9 4
247 Evansville MVC 45.47 .499 .407 20 21 7 7 2
248 Wright St. HORZ 45.35 .513 .404 26 27 7 6 5
249 Richmond A10 45.30 .457 .403 15 17 4 7 7
250 UTEP CUSA 45.25 .396 .402 11 22 3 9 4
251 NIU MAC 45.22 .395 .401 9 28 4 10 3
252 FDU NEC 45.21 .553 .401 31 25 7 4 5
253 Lafayette PATR 45.15 .461 .399 16 27 5 7 5
254 Southern Utah WAC 45.11 .359 .398 13 40 3 11 3
255 Troy SUNBLT 45.10 .410 .398 16 29 4 9 3
256 Jacksonville St. CUSA 45.07 .469 .397 19 21 6 8 3
257 Maine AMEAST 45.05 .441 .397 17 22 4 7 3
258 Louisiana Tech CUSA 45.01 .374 .396 11 29 4 12 2
259 Houston Christian STHLD 44.97 .512 .395 21 22 9 8 2
260 Sacred Heart MAAC 44.96 .520 .394 27 20 9 8 1
261 Saint Joseph's A10 44.95 .433 .394 21 30 5 9 3
262 Lamar University STHLD 44.94 .469 .394 22 24 5 7 5
263 Seton Hall BIGEAS 44.94 .403 .394 17 27 3 9 5
264 New Hampshire AMEAST 44.82 .463 .391 20 24 3 5 7
265 Youngstown St. HORZ 44.79 .479 .390 29 39 8 9 2
266 George Washington A10 44.75 .430 .389 20 38 5 9 4
267 Toledo MAC 44.74 .438 .389 15 23 4 8 6
268 Bucknell PATR 44.66 .409 .387 20 29 3 9 6
269 UNC Greensboro SOCON 44.64 .389 .386 19 36 4 11 3
270 Longwood BIGSTH 44.55 .520 .384 25 19 8 7 2
271 Nevada MTNW 44.41 .304 .380 14 49 2 14 2
272 Manhattan MAAC 44.41 .516 .380 26 23 7 6 5
273 San Jose St. MTNW 44.41 .295 .380 16 46 1 14 3
274 Wagner NEC 44.38 .594 .380 25 14 7 2 6
275 Canisius MAAC 44.15 .482 .374 23 26 7 8 1
276 UMBC AMEAST 44.00 .471 .370 18 19 6 8 4
277 Marist MAAC 43.91 .467 .368 18 22 5 7 5
278 Drexel CAA 43.85 .431 .366 12 24 3 7 7
279 Southeastern La. STHLD 43.81 .480 .365 20 26 6 7 4
280 Eastern Ill. OVC 43.67 .513 .362 17 18 8 7 3
281 Southern Ind. OVC 43.62 .512 .361 24 26 8 7 4
282 Wofford SOCON 43.37 .471 .354 16 22 6 8 6
283 UT Martin OVC 43.06 .448 .347 16 15 3 7 9
284 American AMER 43.01 .383 .346 14 30 3 10 4
285 Howard NEC 42.98 .555 .345 24 15 8 5 3
286 North Dakota St. SUMMIT 42.90 .313 .343 12 32 2 12 1
287 Lehigh PATR 42.87 .361 .342 15 39 3 11 3
288 St. Thomas (MN) SUMMIT 42.85 .377 .342 15 30 2 8 4
289 Valparaiso MVC 42.85 .450 .342 21 28 5 8 4
290 Fairmont St. MEC 42.83 .345 .341 0 4 0 1 1
291 Austin Peay ASUN 42.57 .328 .335 6 30 0 11 7
292 Central Mich. MAC 42.54 .299 .334 9 33 1 14 3
293 UIW STHLD 42.43 .434 .332 18 22 4 8 4
294 Central Conn. St. NEC 42.39 .477 .331 16 21 4 5 5
295 Grambling SWAC 42.34 .520 .329 33 27 7 6 4
296 Niagara MAAC 42.27 .459 .328 24 34 6 8 2
297 A&M-Corpus Christi STHLD 42.20 .412 .326 17 28 3 8 5
298 Cleveland St. HORZ 42.15 .465 .325 17 23 4 6 7
299 Green Bay HORZ 42.05 .466 .323 23 28 6 8 3
300 Oakland HORZ 41.94 .431 .320 18 35 3 7 8
301 Jackson St. SWAC 41.79 .496 .316 18 22 6 6 3
302 Queens (NC) ASUN 41.76 .381 .316 16 33 3 11 5
303 LIU NEC 41.66 .534 .313 19 18 6 4 5
304 Southern Miss. SUNBLT 41.65 .283 .313 12 59 2 14 1
305 UNI MVC 41.55 .362 .311 15 27 2 9 3
306 High Point BIGSTH 41.51 .402 .310 14 19 3 9 4
307 Charleston So. BIGSTH 41.46 .462 .309 19 26 5 7 4
308 UTRGV STHLD 41.42 .397 .308 15 25 4 10 2
309 UC Riverside BIGWES 41.42 .246 .308 6 44 0 16 2
310 The Citadel SOCON 41.04 .428 .299 17 32 5 9 3
311 McNeese STHLD 41.04 .384 .299 18 49 4 11 4
312 Stonehill NEC 41.01 .433 .298 24 29 4 8 4
313 Saint Peter's MAAC 41.00 .444 .298 22 40 6 9 3
314 Winthrop BIGSTH 40.95 .441 .297 13 22 3 6 6
315 IU Indy HORZ 40.70 .395 .291 19 28 4 11 3
316 Robert Morris HORZ 40.67 .417 .291 17 28 4 9 4
317 Iona MAAC 40.65 .431 .290 17 38 6 10 3
318 Rider MAAC 40.64 .416 .290 13 31 3 8 7
319 Merrimack MAAC 40.49 .378 .287 29 42 4 12 2
320 Temple AMER 40.48 .315 .287 15 37 3 15 0
321 Stetson ASUN 40.32 .361 .283 19 46 5 14 0
322 Texas Southern SWAC 40.24 .468 .281 16 32 5 6 4
323 UNC Asheville BIGSTH 40.19 .413 .280 8 17 4 9 3
324 SIUE OVC 40.06 .375 .277 14 39 3 11 5
325 West Ga. ASUN 39.90 .355 .274 15 50 4 13 2
326 St. Bonaventure A10 39.60 .314 .267 13 41 2 13 2
327 Nicholls STHLD 39.54 .398 .266 17 33 3 9 5
328 UAlbany AMEAST 39.44 .312 .264 11 41 2 13 2
329 Alabama A&M SWAC 39.38 .483 .263 21 22 7 8 1
330 Morehead St. OVC 39.30 .337 .261 8 37 3 13 2
331 Alcorn SWAC 39.27 .458 .261 30 21 4 7 4
332 Chicago St. NEC 39.10 .428 .257 15 30 4 8 5
333 Detroit Mercy HORZ 38.78 .298 .250 14 43 1 13 3
334 Gardner-Webb BIGSTH 38.74 .401 .249 16 28 4 10 3
335 Southeast Mo. St. OVC 38.27 .308 .240 15 42 2 15 2
336 Delaware St. NEC 37.97 .437 .234 14 27 5 8 2
337 Presbyterian BIGSTH 37.25 .374 .220 15 33 3 10 3
338 Prairie View SWAC 37.20 .394 .219 15 38 4 9 2
339 Mercyhurst NEC 37.13 .323 .218 15 45 2 13 3
340 Mount St. Mary's MAAC 37.12 .292 .218 8 36 1 11 2
341 VMI SOCON 37.07 .275 .217 12 63 2 17 1
342 Hampton CAA 36.09 .309 .199 14 38 2 12 1
343 Southern U. SWAC 36.06 .355 .198 11 30 3 10 1
344 Purdue Fort Wayne HORZ 35.42 .263 .187 6 42 1 15 1
345 Le Moyne NEC 34.98 .295 .180 6 22 0 13 4
346 Saint Francis NEC 33.82 .265 .162 10 44 0 13 3
347 Western Ill. OVC 33.26 .215 .153 6 65 0 17 1
348 South Carolina St. INDEP 30.93 .243 .122 7 48 1 13 0
349 Alabama St. SWAC 29.11 .245 .102 7 46 1 13 0
350 Ark.-Pine Bluff SWAC 26.26 .179 .075 2 57 0 11 0
LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT
1 Miami (OH) MAC 0 Morehead St. OVC 1 0.443
2 Texas Tech BIG12 0 San Francisco WCC 2 0.451
3 Temple AMER 1 UAB AMER 0 0.475
4 Notre Dame ACC 0 Pittsburgh ACC 1 0.491
5 Vanderbilt SEC 1 Texas SEC 2 0.504
6 Western Mich. MAC 0 NIU MAC 1 0.540
7 FIU CUSA 1 UCF BIG12 0 0.550
8 Chattanooga SOCON 1 The Citadel SOCON 2 0.557
FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS (FACT)
DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER
FACT standings calculated by Cody Kirkpatrick
talismanred.com/ratings
More Details
I've preserved David's original source code (last update: 1990!!) if you'd like to get it and try it out yourself. In my testing, it has good results for football, basketball, soccer, and ice hockey, so I imagine it would be useful for just about any sport. (That was the point, when he created it.)
David's rankings were part of college football's Bowl Championship Series from 1999 to 2001, but the next year the BCS managers decided to remove margin of victory from all of the computers that were part of the formula. David refused to change, and that ended his BCS run. If you grab the code and want to do a "politically correct" calculation that does not consider margin of victory, then just change all the scores to 1-0, or 2-0, whatever. Serves the same purpose.
If you download his code (link above), and use it, let me know. I'd love to hear about it.
I make one adjustment...
...to David's code when using it for soccer. Because his original formula was designed for sports like football and basketball -- where a 3- or 4-point game would actually mean the game was close -- I have adjusted the margin of victory factor he uses. Before adjustment, a team who wins by 6 earns about 0.83 of a win. But with a soccer adjustment, that number is 1.00. A two-goal win, instead of counting for only 0.78, now counts about 0.90.
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