Talisman Red's Mens College Soccer Computer Ratings

David Rothman/FACT Rankings

David Rothman (1935-2004) was a pioneer in the sports ratings world, with his rating system being recognized by the NCAA from 1968-2006 as a national championship selector in college football. Here, I use his original system (and nearly original code) to provide an alternative rating. More details at the bottom of the page.

If you'd prefer, you can save the original text file. Don't forget about the full ratings list, either.

David's method considers only scores. Game locations, dates, and any other information is ignored.

Warning! Since David's formula starts every season from scratch, it usually takes 6-7 games in a season for the results to "converge" to something useful. Be careful if you are looking here too soon!

           < DAVID ROTHMAN'S MENS SOCCER RANKINGS >
BASED ON 1777 GAMES BETWEEN 213 TEAMS AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
           THROUGH GAMES OF FRIDAY 21 NOVEMBER 2025

 Foundation for the Analysis of Competitions and Tournaments

    Within each conference, teams are listed in order of
   their overall rating using Rothman's FACT formula.  All
        conferences are sorted and listed at the end.

                       BigTen

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1    3  Maryland                  8  1  2  12  1  3    58.92
     2   13  Indiana                   5  5  0  11  5  1    56.53
     3   21  Washington                7  4  0  11  6  2    55.37
     4   26  Michigan                  7  3  2  12  4  4    55.04
     5   35  UCLA                      7  3  2   8  6  5    54.19
     6   49  Rutgers                   3  5  2   8  6  3    52.97
     7   57  Northwestern              3  5  2   8  6  3    51.83
     8   63  Wisconsin                 4  6  0   7  8  0    51.59
     9   97  Michigan St.              2  5  3   5  8  3    49.69
    10  109  Penn St.                  1  6  3   4  8  4    49.23
    11  112  Ohio St.                  3  7  0   6 10  0    49.14

                         ACC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1    4  Virginia                  7  1  3  12  2  4    58.28
     2    7  NC State                  5  2  3  12  2  4    57.52
     3    9  Stanford                  5  3  1  12  3  2    57.39
     4   10  SMU                       7  2  3  11  4  4    56.90
     5   25  Duke                      4  3  2   8  3  6    55.18
     6   28  North Carolina            3  3  4   9  5  5    54.68
     7   37  Wake Forest               2  3  3   7  3  6    54.13
     8   43  Clemson                   4  3  2   7  6  3    53.70
     9   47  Notre Dame                3  4  2   8  6  4    53.34
    10   51  Virginia Tech             2  4  3   7  4  5    52.94
    11   52  Syracuse                  6  4  1   9  8  3    52.74
    12   55  California                4  6  1   8  8  2    52.53
    13   61  Pittsburgh                2  5  3   6  7  5    51.68
    14   70  Louisville                1  6  2   5  7  5    50.86
    15  102  Boston College            1  7  1   5  9  1    49.56

                     AmericaEast

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1    6  Vermont                   7  0  1  13  0  5    57.95
     2   14  Bryant                    6  2  0  15  2  2    56.31
     3  119  New Hampshire             3  3  2   5  7  5    48.51
     4  145  UAlbany                   2  2  3   4  6  6    47.04
     5  151  UMass Lowell              1  4  3   6  7  4    46.86
     6  152  UMBC                      2  2  3   6  5  5    46.79
     7  185  NJIT                      1  3  2   3  8  5    43.89
     8  194  Binghamton                0  6  0   4 12  1    42.98

                      American

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   29  Fla. Atlantic             7  1  2  11  4  2    54.55
     2   42  Charlotte                 5  1  3   8  4  4    53.71
     3   45  South Fla.                5  3  1   9  3  5    53.48
     4   68  Missouri St.              3  4  2   6  6  4    51.04
     5   75  FIU                       5  5  1   7  9  3    50.70
     6  100  UAB                       3  4  1   6  7  2    49.62
     7  113  Tulsa                     4  4  2   5  9  4    49.08
     8  136  Memphis                   3  5  0   4  8  3    47.46
     9  191  Temple                    0  8  0   1 13  2    43.10

                        ASUN

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   53  North Florida             4  2  1  10  5  2    52.73
     2   90  Bellarmine                3  2  3   7  4  5    49.85
     3   98  FGCU                      2  2  1   5  6  3    49.67
     4  116  Jacksonville              3  2  2   5  7  4    48.86
     5  118  Stetson                   3  3  1   5  8  2    48.56
     6  132  Queens (NC)               0  2  3   5  6  5    47.82
     7  156  Central Ark.              3  3  1   4 10  2    46.41
     8  168  Lipscomb                  1  3  2   2  9  5    45.39

                     Atlantic10

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   22  Saint Louis               7  0  3  11  2  6    55.35
     2   62  VCU                       3  3  2   6  6  4    51.64
     3   65  Dayton                    6  1  3   7  2  7    51.40
     4   71  Davidson                  4  3  2   7  7  3    50.84
     5   87  George Mason              3  3  2   6  6  3    50.01
     6  106  Fordham                   5  2  2   8  6  3    49.37
     7  140  Saint Joseph's            3  1  4   6  6  5    47.24
     8  141  Duquesne                  2  6  0   7  6  2    47.19
     9  154  Loyola Chicago            1  3  3   3  5  6    46.61
    10  155  La Salle                  2  3  3   3  5  7    46.48
    11  158  Rhode Island              1  3  3   3  8  5    46.27
    12  192  St. Bonaventure           1  4  2   3  8  3    43.09
    13  202  George Washington         0  6  1   2 10  4    41.95

                       BigEast

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   11  Georgetown                8  0  2  12  3  4    56.84
     2   24  Akron                     5  3  1  11  4  3    55.28
     3   30  Seton Hall                3  1  4   7  3  8    54.45
     4   31  UConn                     6  3  1  11  4  4    54.40
     5   48  Creighton                 4  2  2   8  4  4    53.14
     6   56  St. John's (NY)           3  3  2   8  6  4    52.20
     7   80  Providence                4  3  2   6  7  3    50.56
     8  105  Villanova                 2  3  3   6  6  5    49.42
     9  117  Xavier                    1  4  3   5  6  4    48.68
    10  127  Marquette                 1  7  0   6  7  2    48.12
    11  159  Butler                    2  4  2   5 10  2    46.25
    12  173  DePaul                    0  6  2   2  8  7    44.91

                      BigSouth

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   12  High Point                8  0  0  12  1  4    56.78
     2   38  Gardner-Webb              6  2  1  13  3  2    54.04
     3  133  UNC Asheville             3  3  1   7  6  2    47.59
     4  142  Presbyterian              4  4  1   6  8  5    47.14
     5  160  USC Upstate               3  4  2   5 11  3    46.17
     6  174  Longwood                  1  4  2   3  8  4    44.84
     7  190  Radford                   1  4  2   2 10  4    43.18
     8  210  Winthrop                  0  5  1   0 12  3    40.02

                       BigWest

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   44  UC Irvine                 6  0  4  10  4  5    53.55
     2   64  UC Santa Barbara          4  1  6   6  5  8    51.51
     3   66  Cal Poly                  6  3  2   9  6  4    51.32
     4   76  Cal St. Fullerton         4  3  2   7  6  6    50.68
     5  101  CSUN                      1  4  3   5  5  6    49.61
     6  129  UC Davis                  4  4  2   4  9  5    48.08
     7  138  UC Riverside              2  5  1   4  8  4    47.30
     8  144  UC San Diego              2  3  4   2  9  6    47.07
     9  171  Sacramento St.            1  5  2   2 11  4    45.06
    10  175  CSU Bakersfield           2  4  2   2 11  3    44.81

                         CAA

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   40  Hofstra                   6  2  0  12  5  0    53.85
     2   50  Elon                      6  1  3   9  2  7    52.94
     3   81  Stony Brook               6  4  1   8  5  5    50.51
     4   83  Campbell                  4  2  2   8  5  4    50.27
     5  110  Col. of Charleston        3  2  2   6  7  3    49.19
     6  128  UNCW                      3  4  0   4  8  2    48.09
     7  137  Drexel                    2  5  0   4  6  5    47.40
     8  143  Monmouth                  2  4  2   5  8  2    47.12
     9  149  Northeastern              2  4  1   4  6  4    46.91
    10  184  William & Mary            0  6  1   1 10  4    43.91

                       Horizon

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1  111  Cleveland St.             6  1  3   8  4  6    49.15
     2  126  Green Bay                 6  2  2   9  6  2    48.13
     3  131  Purdue Fort Wayne         5  3  2   7  3  5    47.85
     4  162  Robert Morris             3  2  5   5  4  7    45.96
     5  164  IU Indy                   3  4  1   6  7  3    45.87
     6  170  Milwaukee                 3  2  4   4  7  7    45.10
     7  186  Oakland                   2  4  3   2  9  6    43.62
     8  187  Northern Ky.              2  4  2   3  9  3    43.52
     9  189  Detroit Mercy             1  5  2   4 10  3    43.26
    10  207  Wright St.                2  6  0   2 12  1    40.75

                      IvyLeague

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1    2  Princeton                 8  0  0  14  1  2    58.94
     2   15  Cornell                   5  2  1  13  3  2    56.03
     3   59  Harvard                   2  3  2   6  5  5    51.79
     4   67  Penn                      2  3  2   7  5  4    51.09
     5   96  Brown                     2  3  1   6  6  2    49.73
     6  125  Columbia                  1  4  1   3  7  4    48.16
     7  147  Dartmouth                 2  4  0   3  7  3    46.96
     8  169  Yale                      1  4  1   2  9  3    45.38

                        MAAC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   78  Sacred Heart              7  1  3   8  4  5    50.58
     2   82  Siena                     8  1  2   9  5  4    50.37
     3   95  Marist                    4  3  2   8  3  4    49.76
     4  108  Fairfield                 6  2  3   8  5  4    49.28
     5  124  Iona                      7  2  2   9  4  4    48.20
     6  176  Niagara                   4  5  1   7  7  1    44.69
     7  181  Quinnipiac                5  6  0   6 10  1    44.19
     8  193  Manhattan                 2  4  3   2  8  4    43.03
     9  195  Mount St. Mary's          3  5  1   3  8  5    42.82
    10  196  Merrimack                 2  5  2   4  8  3    42.77
    11  197  Canisius                  3  6  0   5  9  1    42.50
    12  205  Rider                     1  6  2   2 11  3    41.11
    13  206  Saint Peter's             1  7  1   3 10  2    41.06

                         MVC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   60  Drake                     3  1  4   7  2  7    51.74
     2   72  Belmont                   3  3  2   8  3  6    50.82
     3   73  UIC                       3  2  4  10  3  5    50.75
     4   91  Evansville                3  2  3   6  5  8    49.82
     5   93  NIU                       2  2  3   6  5  4    49.80
     6   94  Western Mich.             4  1  4   7  8  4    49.78
     7  153  Bowling Green             1  4  2   5  8  4    46.77
     8  183  Bradley                   0  4  2   1  8  6    44.04

                         NEC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1  104  FDU                       9  1  1  13  5  3    49.51
     2  139  LIU                       5  2  3   8  3  7    47.26
     3  180  Saint Francis             8  3  0   8  9  1    44.41
     4  182  New Haven                 3  3  3   5  5  6    44.04
     5  199  LeMoyne                   4  4  2   5  9  2    42.22
     6  203  Stonehill                 3  3  3   5 10  3    41.92
     7  208  Mercyhurst                3  5  1   3 10  4    40.39
     8  209  Howard                    3  5  1   4 11  2    40.23
     9  212  Central Conn. St.         1  7  1   1 14  2    36.10
    10  213  Chicago St.               1  7  1   1 15  1    35.71

                         OVC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   74  Lindenwood                7  2  4  13  3  4    50.71
     2  103  Houston Christian         7  3  3  11  5  3    49.52
     3  130  Liberty                   5  3  4   8  5  6    47.97
     4  165  UIW                       2  5  4   4  7  6    45.71
     5  167  SIUE                      5  5  2   6 11  2    45.46
     6  177  Eastern Ill.              3  5  3   4  9  4    44.60
     7  179  Western Ill.              3  4  4   5 10  4    44.46
     8  201  Southern Ind.             1  4  5   1 10  5    41.95
     9  204  TX Rio Grande             0  2  1   0  7  2    41.73

                       Patriot

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   77  American                  7  1  1   8  7  2    50.67
     2   79  Lehigh                    6  1  4   9  5  6    50.57
     3   85  Boston U.                 6  5  0  10  8  0    50.14
     4   86  Bucknell                  3  3  3   8  4  6    50.05
     5   92  Army West Point           5  3  1   7  5  5    49.80
     6  120  Lafayette                 4  2  5   7  7  7    48.43
     7  148  Colgate                   0  4  4   4  7  5    46.93
     8  172  Holy Cross                1  5  3   3  8  6    44.91
     9  178  Loyola Maryland           2  5  2   3 10  3    44.54
    10  188  Navy                      0  5  3   3  7  7    43.52

                        SoCon

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1    8  Furman                    6  0  0  13  1  3    57.40
     2   18  UNC Greensboro            5  2  0  12  3  5    55.59
     3  161  Wofford                   1  5  0   5 11  2    46.02
     4  163  Mercer                    3  2  0   4  9  3    45.91
     5  198  ETSU                      1  4  0   1  8  4    42.36
     6  211  VMI                       1  4  0   2 11  2    39.90

                    SummitLeague

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   16  Kansas City               4  2  1  11  3  5    55.80
     2   17  Denver                    6  0  1  12  6  2    55.70
     3   34  Delaware                  3  2  2  10  2  3    54.23
     4   99  Massachusetts             0  3  2   5  5  6    49.63
     5  122  St. Thomas (MN)           0  3  2   5  5  5    48.36
     6  123  Oral Roberts              1  3  2   4  9  3    48.23
     7  146  Omaha                     1  2  2   3  8  4    47.04

                       SunBelt

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   20  Marshall                  7  3  1  11  3  5    55.49
     2   23  Ga. Southern              6  3  0  13  3  1    55.33
     3   27  West Virginia             6  3  1  12  4  3    54.92
     4   39  UCF                       6  3  2  10  6  3    53.98
     5   41  Kentucky                  6  2  2   9  4  5    53.79
     6   88  South Carolina            1  5  2   7  8  2    49.93
     7   89  Old Dominion              1  3  6   4  5  8    49.87
     8  135  Georgia St.               2  4  3   4  7  6    47.48
     9  150  James Madison             0  5  3   1  9  5    46.88
    10  157  Coastal Carolina          2  6  2   3  9  2    46.39

                         WAC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   33  California Baptist        4  2  1   9  3  3    54.24
     2   36  Grand Canyon              5  1  3  11  3  5    54.16
     3   46  San Jose St.              4  3  2  11  4  4    53.36
     4   54  Utah Valley               2  3  2   8  3  3    52.55
     5  107  UNLV                      1  2  3   4  6  5    49.31
     6  114  San Diego St.             2  3  2   5  9  2    49.00
     7  134  Utah Tech                 3  2  2   4  7  5    47.58
     8  200  Air Force                 0  5  1   1 12  2    41.98

                         WCC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1    1  Portland                  6  1  1  12  1  2    59.46
     2    5  San Diego                 6  1  1  12  2  3    58.20
     3   19  Oregon St.                5  1  2   9  5  2    55.54
     4   32  San Francisco             5  3  0  10  5  1    54.30
     5   58  Santa Clara               3  3  2   6  5  6    51.83
     6   69  LMU (CA)                  1  3  4   5  6  6    50.94
     7   84  Seattle U                 1  4  3   3  7  6    50.15
     8  115  Saint Mary's (CA)         2  4  2   2  7  6    48.97
     9  121  Gonzaga                   2  5  1   4  8  2    48.41
    10  166  Pacific                   1  7  0   4 13  0    45.47


             CONFERENCES RANKED

     CONFERENCE                AVE RATING
   1  ACC                         54.10
   2  BigTen                      53.14
   3  WCC                         52.33
   4  SunBelt                     51.40
   5  SummitLeague                51.29

   6  BigEast                     51.19
   7  IvyLeague                   51.01
   8  American                    50.30
   9  WAC                         50.27
  10  MVC                         49.19

  11  CAA                         49.02
  12  BigWest                     48.90
  13  AmericaEast                 48.79
  14  ASUN                        48.66
  15  Atlantic10                  48.27

  16  Patriot                     47.96
  17  SoCon                       47.86
  18  BigSouth                    47.47
  19  OVC                         45.79
  20  MAAC                        45.41

  21  Horizon                     45.32
  22  NEC                         42.18

More Details

I've preserved David's original source code (last update: 1990!!) if you'd like to get it and try it out yourself. In my testing, it has good results for football, basketball, soccer, and ice hockey, so I imagine it would be useful for just about any sport. (That was the point, when he created it.)

David's rankings were part of college football's Bowl Championship Series from 1999 to 2001, but the next year the BCS managers decided to remove margin of victory from all of the computers that were part of the formula. David refused to change, and that ended his BCS run. If you grab the code and want to do a "politically correct" calculation that does not consider margin of victory, then just change all the scores to 1-0, or 2-0, whatever. Serves the same purpose.

If you download his code (link above), and use it, let me know. I'd love to hear about it.

I make one adjustment...

...to David's code when using it for soccer. Because his original formula was designed for sports like football and basketball -- where a 3- or 4-point game would actually mean the game was close -- I have adjusted the margin of victory factor he uses. Before adjustment, a team who wins by 6 earns about 0.83 of a win. But with a soccer adjustment, that number is 1.00. A two-goal win, instead of counting for only 0.78, now counts about 0.90.