Talisman Red's Mens College Soccer Computer Ratings

David Rothman/FACT Rankings

David Rothman (1935-2004) was a pioneer in the sports ratings world, with his rating system being recognized by the NCAA from 1968-2006 as a national championship selector in college football. Here, I use his original system (and nearly original code) to provide an alternative rating. More details at the bottom of the page.

If you'd prefer, you can save the original text file. Don't forget about the full ratings list, either.

David's method considers only scores. Game locations, dates, and any other information is ignored.

Warning! Since David's formula starts every season from scratch, it usually takes 6-7 games in a season for the results to "converge" to something useful. Be careful if you are looking here too soon!

           < DAVID ROTHMAN'S MENS SOCCER RANKINGS >
BASED ON 1484 GAMES BETWEEN 213 TEAMS AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
           THROUGH GAMES OF THURSDAY 30 OCTOBER 2025

 Foundation for the Analysis of Competitions and Tournaments

    Within each conference, teams are listed in order of
   their overall rating using Rothman's FACT formula.  All
        conferences are sorted and listed at the end.

                       BigTen

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1    1  Maryland                  6  0  2  10  0  3    59.62
     2    8  Indiana                   4  4  0  10  4  1    57.47
     3   12  Washington                7  1  0  10  3  2    56.80
     4   15  Michigan                  5  2  1  10  2  3    56.27
     5   45  Rutgers                   3  4  1   8  5  2    53.64
     6   62  UCLA                      4  3  2   4  6  4    51.46
     7   69  Northwestern              1  4  2   6  5  3    51.34
     8   70  Wisconsin                 3  5  0   6  7  0    51.14
     9   96  Michigan St.              2  4  2   5  7  2    49.51
    10  106  Penn St.                  1  5  2   4  7  3    49.23
    11  109  Ohio St.                  2  6  0   5  9  0    49.11

                         ACC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1    2  Stanford                  4  1  1  11  1  2    59.09
     2    3  NC State                  4  1  2  11  1  3    59.02
     3    5  Virginia                  4  0  3   9  1  4    58.22
     4   21  Clemson                   4  2  1   7  4  2    55.66
     5   29  SMU                       3  1  3   7  3  4    55.05
     6   30  North Carolina            2  1  4   8  3  4    54.93
     7   31  Duke                      3  2  2   6  2  6    54.91
     8   36  Notre Dame                3  2  2   7  4  4    54.15
     9   40  Wake Forest               1  2  3   6  2  6    53.88
    10   44  Virginia Tech             2  3  2   7  3  4    53.64
    11   60  Pittsburgh                1  4  2   5  6  4    51.58
    12   65  Louisville                1  5  1   5  6  4    51.40
    13   68  Syracuse                  4  3  0   7  6  2    51.34
    14   89  California                1  5  1   5  7  2    50.01
    15  111  Boston College            1  6  1   4  8  1    48.94

                     AmericaEast

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1    9  Vermont                   3  0  1   9  0  5    57.46
     2   13  Bryant                    3  1  0  12  1  2    56.63
     3  130  New Hampshire             2  1  1   4  5  4    47.79
     4  136  UMass Lowell              1  2  1   6  5  2    47.62
     5  149  UAlbany                   2  1  1   4  5  4    46.90
     6  152  UMBC                      1  2  1   5  5  3    46.44
     7  190  NJIT                      1  2  1   3  7  4    43.42
     8  196  Binghamton                0  4  0   4 10  1    43.11

                      American

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   26  Fla. Atlantic             5  1  1   9  3  1    55.30
     2   35  Charlotte                 5  1  1   8  4  2    54.37
     3   41  South Fla.                4  2  1   8  2  5    53.87
     4   57  Missouri St.              3  3  1   6  5  3    51.74
     5   81  FIU                       4  4  0   6  8  2    50.55
     6   95  UAB                       2  4  1   5  7  2    49.61
     7  120  Tulsa                     3  3  1   4  8  3    48.58
     8  131  Memphis                   3  4  0   4  7  3    47.75
     9  194  Temple                    0  7  0   1 12  2    43.22

                        ASUN

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   46  North Florida             3  1  0   9  4  0    53.26
     2   66  Bellarmine                3  1  1   7  3  3    51.38
     3   86  FGCU                      2  1  1   5  5  3    50.10
     4  121  Queens (NC)               0  2  2   5  6  4    48.46
     5  123  Central Ark.              3  1  1   4  8  2    48.26
     6  145  Jacksonville              1  2  1   3  7  3    47.13
     7  157  Stetson                   1  3  0   3  8  1    46.26
     8  168  Lipscomb                  0  2  2   1  8  5    45.56

                     Atlantic10

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   24  Saint Louis               5  0  1   8  2  4    55.35
     2   58  VCU                       2  2  2   5  5  4    51.71
     3   74  Davidson                  3  1  2   6  5  3    50.95
     4   83  George Mason              2  2  2   5  5  3    50.28
     5  101  Fordham                   4  1  1   7  5  2    49.30
     6  110  Dayton                    3  1  2   4  2  6    49.03
     7  134  Duquesne                  2  5  0   7  5  2    47.65
     8  138  Saint Joseph's            3  1  3   6  5  4    47.48
     9  146  Loyola Chicago            1  2  3   3  4  6    47.09
    10  147  La Salle                  2  2  2   3  4  6    47.05
    11  164  Rhode Island              1  3  2   3  8  4    45.74
    12  192  St. Bonaventure           1  3  2   3  7  3    43.34
    13  204  George Washington         0  6  0   2 10  3    41.28

                       BigEast

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   16  Georgetown                5  0  1   9  3  3    56.17
     2   27  Seton Hall                3  0  3   7  2  6    55.29
     3   28  Akron                     3  2  1   9  3  3    55.07
     4   43  Creighton                 4  1  1   8  3  3    53.71
     5   47  UConn                     3  2  1   8  3  4    53.20
     6   51  St. John's (NY)           2  3  1   7  5  3    52.43
     7   85  Providence                3  2  1   5  6  2    50.13
     8  100  Xavier                    1  3  2   5  5  3    49.34
     9  102  Marquette                 1  5  0   6  5  2    49.30
    10  108  Villanova                 1  2  3   5  5  5    49.12
    11  161  Butler                    2  3  1   5  9  1    45.96
    12  172  DePaul                    0  5  1   2  7  6    45.12

                      BigSouth

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   14  High Point                5  0  0   9  1  4    56.45
     2   38  Gardner-Webb              4  1  1  11  2  2    54.09
     3  113  UNC Asheville             3  1  1   7  4  2    48.85
     4  129  Presbyterian              3  2  1   5  6  5    47.80
     5  165  USC Upstate               2  3  1   4 10  2    45.73
     6  185  Longwood                  0  4  2   2  8  4    44.10
     7  191  Radford                   1  3  1   2  9  3    43.39
     8  209  Winthrop                  0  4  1   0 11  3    40.10

                       BigWest

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   50  UC Irvine                 3  0  4   7  3  5    52.76
     2   56  UC Santa Barbara          3  0  5   5  4  7    51.90
     3   61  Cal St. Fullerton         4  2  1   7  5  5    51.55
     4   63  Cal Poly                  4  2  2   7  5  4    51.46
     5   98  CSUN                      1  4  2   5  5  5    49.43
     6  126  UC Davis                  3  3  1   3  8  4    48.13
     7  128  UC Riverside              2  4  1   4  7  4    47.87
     8  153  UC San Diego              1  2  4   1  8  6    46.43
     9  167  Sacramento St.            1  4  2   2 10  4    45.56
    10  170  CSU Bakersfield           2  3  2   2 10  3    45.38

                         CAA

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   42  Hofstra                   5  1  0  10  4  0    53.83
     2   59  Elon                      3  1  3   6  2  6    51.61
     3   88  Campbell                  3  1  2   7  4  4    50.02
     4   97  UNCW                      3  2  0   4  6  2    49.51
     5  103  Stony Brook               3  3  1   5  4  5    49.28
     6  118  Col. of Charleston        2  2  2   5  7  3    48.67
     7  137  Monmouth                  2  3  2   5  7  2    47.51
     8  139  Drexel                    2  4  0   4  5  5    47.45
     9  143  Northeastern              2  3  1   4  5  4    47.39
    10  186  William & Mary            0  5  1   1  9  4    44.01

                       Horizon

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1  116  Cleveland St.             3  0  3   5  2  6    48.72
     2  127  Purdue Fort Wayne         3  2  1   5  2  4    47.93
     3  150  Green Bay                 3  2  1   6  6  1    46.87
     4  155  Robert Morris             1  0  5   3  2  7    46.31
     5  158  IU Indy                   2  3  1   5  6  3    46.21
     6  166  Milwaukee                 2  1  3   3  6  6    45.62
     7  176  Northern Ky.              2  2  2   3  7  3    44.83
     8  184  Oakland                   1  2  3   1  7  6    44.13
     9  193  Detroit Mercy             1  4  1   4  9  2    43.29
    10  201  Wright St.                2  4  0   2 10  1    42.11

                      IvyLeague

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1    6  Princeton                 4  0  0  10  1  2    58.05
     2   20  Cornell                   3  1  0  10  2  1    55.67
     3   64  Penn                      1  1  2   6  3  4    51.42
     4   76  Harvard                   1  2  1   5  4  4    50.90
     5   84  Brown                     1  2  1   5  5  2    50.19
     6  115  Columbia                  1  2  1   3  5  4    48.76
     7  141  Dartmouth                 2  2  0   3  5  3    47.41
     8  183  Yale                      0  3  1   1  8  3    44.15

                        MAAC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   82  Sacred Heart              5  0  2   6  3  4    50.45
     2   90  Marist                    3  3  1   7  3  3    49.99
     3  105  Fairfield                 5  1  2   7  4  3    49.23
     4  119  Siena                     5  1  2   6  5  3    48.62
     5  142  Iona                      4  1  2   6  3  4    47.40
     6  171  Niagara                   3  3  1   6  5  1    45.36
     7  177  Merrimack                 2  3  2   4  6  3    44.49
     8  181  Mount St. Mary's          3  3  1   3  6  5    44.23
     9  195  Quinnipiac                3  5  0   4  9  1    43.15
    10  198  Manhattan                 2  3  2   2  7  3    42.53
    11  202  Canisius                  2  5  0   4  8  1    42.02
    12  205  Saint Peter's             1  5  1   3  8  2    41.02
    13  210  Rider                     0  5  2   1 10  3    40.06

                         MVC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   49  Drake                     2  0  3   6  1  6    52.86
     2   72  UIC                       1  1  3   8  2  4    51.07
     3   75  Belmont                   1  2  2   6  2  6    50.91
     4   79  NIU                       1  0  3   5  3  4    50.68
     5   92  Evansville                1  0  3   4  3  8    49.90
     6  144  Bowling Green             1  3  1   5  7  3    47.31
     7  151  Western Mich.             1  0  3   3  7  3    46.79
     8  180  Bradley                   0  2  2   1  6  6    44.26

                         NEC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1  104  FDU                       5  1  1   9  4  3    49.25
     2  133  LIU                       3  1  3   6  2  7    47.68
     3  187  New Haven                 2  3  2   4  5  5    44.00
     4  189  Saint Francis             6  2  0   6  8  1    43.89
     5  199  Stonehill                 3  2  2   5  9  2    42.39
     6  203  LeMoyne                   2  3  2   3  8  2    41.78
     7  207  Mercyhurst                2  3  1   2  8  4    40.39
     8  208  Howard                    3  4  0   4 10  1    40.22
     9  212  Central Conn. St.         1  4  1   1 11  2    37.07
    10  213  Chicago St.               1  5  0   1 13  0    35.57

                         OVC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   54  Lindenwood                6  1  3  12  1  3    51.98
     2  112  Houston Christian         5  3  2   9  5  2    48.87
     3  117  Liberty                   4  1  4   7  3  6    48.70
     4  163  Eastern Ill.              3  3  3   4  7  4    45.81
     5  174  UIW                       1  5  4   3  7  6    45.00
     6  175  SIUE                      3  4  2   4 10  2    44.88
     7  182  Western Ill.              2  3  4   4  9  4    44.22
     8  200  Southern Ind.             1  3  5   1  9  5    42.23
     9  206  TX Rio Grande             0  2  1   0  7  2    40.89

                       Patriot

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   67  American                  5  0  1   6  6  2    51.35
     2   73  Bucknell                  2  2  2   7  3  5    51.00
     3   77  Lehigh                    5  1  1   8  5  3    50.77
     4   80  Boston U.                 4  3  0   8  6  0    50.59
     5   93  Army West Point           3  2  1   5  4  5    49.68
     6  148  Colgate                   0  3  3   4  6  4    46.94
     7  156  Lafayette                 1  2  3   4  6  5    46.27
     8  169  Holy Cross                1  3  3   3  6  6    45.47
     9  178  Loyola Maryland           2  4  1   3  9  2    44.35
    10  188  Navy                      0  3  3   3  5  7    43.90

                        SoCon

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   10  Furman                    3  0  0  10  1  3    57.06
     2   17  UNC Greensboro            2  1  0   9  2  4    56.05
     3  159  Mercer                    3  0  0   4  7  3    46.18
     4  162  Wofford                   0  3  0   4  9  2    45.81
     5  179  ETSU                      1  2  0   1  6  4    44.30
     6  211  VMI                       0  3  0   1 10  2    38.80

                    SummitLeague

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   25  Kansas City               2  1  0   8  2  4    55.30
     2   33  Denver                    3  0  0   8  6  1    54.74
     3   34  Delaware                  2  1  1   9  1  2    54.70
     4   94  Massachusetts             0  2  2   5  4  6    49.64
     5  114  Oral Roberts              1  1  1   4  7  2    48.79
     6  125  St. Thomas (MN)           0  2  1   5  4  4    48.18
     7  140  Omaha                     1  2  1   3  7  3    47.44

                       SunBelt

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   18  Marshall                  4  1  1   7  1  5    55.78
     2   22  Kentucky                  5  1  0   8  2  3    55.41
     3   23  Ga. Southern              4  2  0  11  2  1    55.39
     4   37  West Virginia             4  2  0   9  3  2    54.14
     5   71  UCF                       2  2  2   5  5  3    51.10
     6   78  South Carolina            1  3  2   7  6  2    50.74
     7  107  Old Dominion              1  3  3   4  5  5    49.17
     8  135  Georgia St.               2  1  3   4  4  6    47.62
     9  154  James Madison             0  5  1   1  9  3    46.43
    10  160  Coastal Carolina          2  5  0   3  8  0    46.07

                         WAC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   32  California Baptist        3  1  1   8  2  3    54.89
     2   39  Utah Valley               2  2  1   8  2  2    54.03
     3   48  San Jose St.              1  2  2   8  3  4    53.11
     4   53  Grand Canyon              1  1  3   7  3  4    52.25
     5   87  UNLV                      1  1  3   4  5  5    50.05
     6   91  San Diego St.             2  1  2   5  7  2    49.90
     7  132  Utah Tech                 3  1  1   4  6  4    47.68
     8  197  Air Force                 0  4  1   1 10  2    42.72

                         WCC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1    4  Portland                  3  1  1   9  1  2    58.89
     2    7  San Diego                 3  1  1   9  2  3    57.68
     3   11  Oregon St.                3  0  2   7  3  2    56.98
     4   19  San Francisco             4  1  0   9  3  1    55.75
     5   52  Santa Clara               2  2  1   5  4  5    52.37
     6   55  LMU (CA)                  1  2  2   5  5  4    51.96
     7   99  Seattle U                 0  3  2   2  6  5    49.38
     8  122  Saint Mary's (CA)         1  2  2   1  5  6    48.40
     9  124  Gonzaga                   1  3  1   3  6  2    48.21
    10  173  Pacific                   1  4  0   3 10  0    45.03


             CONFERENCES RANKED

     CONFERENCE                AVE RATING
   1  ACC                         54.12
   2  BigTen                      53.23
   3  WCC                         52.47
   4  SummitLeague                51.25
   5  BigEast                     51.24

   6  SunBelt                     51.19
   7  IvyLeague                   50.82
   8  WAC                         50.58
   9  American                    50.55
  10  MVC                         49.22

  11  BigWest                     49.05
  12  CAA                         48.93
  13  ASUN                        48.80
  14  AmericaEast                 48.67
  15  Atlantic10                  48.17

  16  SoCon                       48.03
  17  Patriot                     48.03
  18  BigSouth                    47.56
  19  OVC                         45.84
  20  Horizon                     45.60

  21  MAAC                        45.27
  22  NEC                         42.22

More Details

I've preserved David's original source code (last update: 1990!!) if you'd like to get it and try it out yourself. In my testing, it has good results for football, basketball, soccer, and ice hockey, so I imagine it would be useful for just about any sport. (That was the point, when he created it.)

David's rankings were part of college football's Bowl Championship Series from 1999 to 2001, but the next year the BCS managers decided to remove margin of victory from all of the computers that were part of the formula. David refused to change, and that ended his BCS run. If you grab the code and want to do a "politically correct" calculation that does not consider margin of victory, then just change all the scores to 1-0, or 2-0, whatever. Serves the same purpose.

If you download his code (link above), and use it, let me know. I'd love to hear about it.

I make one adjustment...

...to David's code when using it for soccer. Because his original formula was designed for sports like football and basketball -- where a 3- or 4-point game would actually mean the game was close -- I have adjusted the margin of victory factor he uses. Before adjustment, a team who wins by 6 earns about 0.83 of a win. But with a soccer adjustment, that number is 1.00. A two-goal win, instead of counting for only 0.78, now counts about 0.90.