Talisman Red's Mens College Soccer Computer Ratings

David Rothman/FACT Rankings

David Rothman (1935-2004) was a pioneer in the sports ratings world, with his rating system being recognized by the NCAA from 1968-2006 as a national championship selector in college football. Here, I use his original system (and nearly original code) to provide an alternative rating. More details at the bottom of the page.

If you'd prefer, you can save the original text file. Don't forget about the full ratings list, either.

David's method considers only scores. Game locations, dates, and any other information is ignored.

Warning! Since David's formula starts every season from scratch, it usually takes 6-7 games in a season for the results to "converge" to something useful. Be careful if you are looking here too soon!

           < DAVID ROTHMAN'S MENS SOCCER RANKINGS >
BASED ON 1049 GAMES BETWEEN 213 TEAMS AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
           THROUGH GAMES OF WEDNESDAY 8 OCTOBER 2025

 Foundation for the Analysis of Competitions and Tournaments

    Within each conference, teams are listed in order of
   their overall rating using Rothman's FACT formula.  All
        conferences are sorted and listed at the end.

                       BigTen

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   14  Maryland                  2  0  2   6  0  3    56.69
     2   15  Indiana                   2  3  0   7  3  1    56.59
     3   20  Rutgers                   2  1  1   7  2  2    55.91
     4   21  Michigan                  2  1  1   6  1  3    55.80
     5   30  Washington                4  1  0   7  3  2    55.07
     6   69  Northwestern              1  3  0   6  4  1    51.41
     7   75  Penn St.                  1  2  1   4  4  2    51.03
     8   86  Michigan St.              2  3  0   5  5  0    50.22
     9   88  Ohio St.                  2  2  0   5  5  0    50.07
    10   89  Wisconsin                 1  3  0   4  5  0    50.06
    11  103  UCLA                      2  2  1   2  5  3    49.35

                         ACC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1    4  Stanford                  3  1  0   9  1  1    58.38
     2    5  NC State                  1  1  2   8  1  2    58.37
     3    6  Virginia                  3  0  2   7  1  2    58.02
     4    7  Duke                      3  0  1   6  0  4    57.91
     5   17  North Carolina            1  0  4   6  1  4    56.32
     6   22  Clemson                   3  0  1   5  2  2    55.78
     7   25  SMU                       2  0  2   5  2  3    55.58
     8   28  Notre Dame                2  1  1   6  2  3    55.28
     9   37  Wake Forest               0  2  1   5  2  3    54.42
    10   40  Louisville                1  4  0   5  4  2    53.88
    11   45  Virginia Tech             0  2  2   4  2  4    53.61
    12   73  Syracuse                  2  2  0   5  4  2    51.07
    13   81  Pittsburgh                0  3  1   4  5  2    50.57
    14   82  California                1  3  1   4  5  2    50.47
    15  108  Boston College            1  4  0   4  6  0    49.25

                     AmericaEast

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1    8  Vermont                   1  0  0   7  0  4    57.53
     2    9  Bryant                    1  0  0   9  0  1    57.13
     3  125  New Hampshire             1  0  0   3  4  3    47.92
     4  130  UMass Lowell              0  1  0   5  4  1    47.61
     5  149  UMBC                      0  1  0   4  4  1    46.65
     6  155  UAlbany                   0  0  1   2  4  3    46.27
     7  174  Binghamton                0  1  0   4  7  1    44.39
     8  192  NJIT                      0  0  1   2  5  3    42.78

                      American

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   26  Fla. Atlantic             3  0  0   7  2  0    55.45
     2   35  South Fla.                2  0  1   6  0  5    54.51
     3   38  Charlotte                 2  0  1   5  3  2    54.17
     4   66  FIU                       3  1  0   5  5  2    51.78
     5  111  Missouri St.              1  3  0   3  5  2    49.00
     6  139  Memphis                   2  2  0   3  5  3    47.02
     7  151  UAB                       1  3  0   3  6  1    46.54
     8  152  Tulsa                     1  3  0   2  7  2    46.46
     9  169  Temple                    0  3  0   1  8  2    44.82

                        ASUN

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   50  North Florida             1  0  0   7  3  0    53.19
     2   90  Stetson                   1  0  0   3  5  0    50.05
     3   92  Queens (NC)               0  0  1   5  4  1    49.86
     4   94  Bellarmine                1  1  0   4  3  2    49.79
     5  110  FGCU                      0  1  0   3  5  2    49.03
     6  154  Central Ark.              1  0  1   2  6  2    46.32
     7  167  Lipscomb                  0  1  0   1  7  2    44.92
     8  176  Jacksonville              0  1  0   1  6  1    44.13

                     Atlantic10

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   32  Saint Louis               3  0  0   6  2  3    54.89
     2   58  VCU                       1  1  1   4  4  3    52.65
     3   63  George Mason              1  1  1   4  4  1    52.39
     4   65  Fordham                   3  0  1   6  2  2    51.87
     5   99  Dayton                    2  1  1   3  2  5    49.53
     6  106  Davidson                  1  1  2   3  5  2    49.28
     7  121  Duquesne                  1  3  0   5  3  2    48.26
     8  142  Loyola Chicago            1  1  1   3  3  4    46.99
     9  145  Saint Joseph's            1  1  2   4  3  3    46.86
    10  153  Rhode Island              1  1  1   2  6  3    46.38
    11  162  La Salle                  0  2  1   1  4  5    45.36
    12  188  St. Bonaventure           1  1  1   3  5  2    43.40
    13  198  George Washington         0  3  0   2  7  2    42.42

                       BigEast

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   27  Seton Hall                2  0  1   5  2  4    55.34
     2   29  Georgetown                2  0  1   6  3  3    55.19
     3   33  Akron                     1  2  0   7  3  2    54.64
     4   42  UConn                     2  1  0   7  2  3    53.76
     5   52  Creighton                 2  1  0   6  3  2    53.13
     6   54  St. John's (NY)           1  1  1   5  3  3    52.85
     7   72  Marquette                 0  3  0   5  3  2    51.26
     8   78  Providence                2  1  0   4  5  1    50.71
     9   79  Xavier                    1  1  1   5  3  2    50.68
    10  118  Villanova                 1  1  1   4  4  3    48.37
    11  160  DePaul                    0  2  1   2  4  6    45.66
    12  172  Butler                    1  2  0   4  8  0    44.53

                      BigSouth

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   16  High Point                2  0  0   6  1  3    56.45
     2   19  Gardner-Webb              3  0  0  10  1  1    55.92
     3  120  UNC Asheville             1  1  0   5  3  1    48.29
     4  123  Presbyterian              1  2  0   3  5  3    48.02
     5  150  USC Upstate               2  1  0   4  7  1    46.61
     6  164  Longwood                  0  3  0   2  7  1    45.34
     7  189  Radford                   1  1  0   2  6  2    43.01
     8  210  Winthrop                  0  2  0   0  8  1    38.50

                       BigWest

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   61  CSUN                      1  0  1   5  1  4    52.53
     2   77  UC Irvine                 0  0  2   4  3  3    50.79
     3   80  UC Santa Barbara          1  0  2   3  4  4    50.60
     4   98  Cal St. Fullerton         1  1  0   4  4  4    49.59
     5  101  Cal Poly                  1  1  1   4  4  3    49.45
     6  122  UC Riverside              0  1  1   2  4  4    48.17
     7  157  UC San Diego              0  0  2   0  6  4    46.19
     8  161  UC Davis                  0  1  1   0  6  4    45.50
     9  168  Sacramento St.            0  1  1   1  7  3    44.92
    10  173  CSU Bakersfield           1  0  1   1  7  2    44.44

                         CAA

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   55  Elon                      2  0  2   5  1  5    52.78
     2   56  Hofstra                   3  1  0   7  4  0    52.72
     3   87  UNCW                      2  1  0   3  4  2    50.20
     4   91  Drexel                    2  2  0   4  3  3    49.94
     5   96  Col. of Charleston        1  2  1   4  7  1    49.67
     6  100  Monmouth                  2  1  1   5  4  1    49.48
     7  102  Campbell                  1  0  2   4  3  4    49.38
     8  105  Stony Brook               1  2  1   3  3  4    49.32
     9  165  William & Mary            0  3  1   1  6  3    45.09
    10  166  Northeastern              1  3  0   2  5  2    45.07

                       Horizon

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1  107  Purdue Fort Wayne         2  0  1   4  0  4    49.28
     2  119  Cleveland St.             1  0  2   3  2  4    48.32
     3  128  IU Indy                   1  1  1   4  3  3    47.76
     4  132  Green Bay                 1  1  1   4  4  1    47.40
     5  146  Robert Morris             1  0  2   3  2  4    46.80
     6  159  Milwaukee                 1  0  2   2  5  5    45.66
     7  170  Northern Ky.              0  1  2   1  5  3    44.79
     8  175  Detroit Mercy             1  2  0   4  6  1    44.35
     9  190  Oakland                   0  2  1   0  6  4    42.90
    10  194  Wright St.                1  2  0   1  8  1    42.70

                      IvyLeague

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1    2  Princeton                 1  0  0   7  1  0    59.27
     2   46  Cornell                   1  0  0   6  1  1    53.47
     3   59  Brown                     1  0  0   5  2  1    52.63
     4   62  Harvard                   0  1  0   3  3  3    52.47
     5   71  Penn                      0  0  1   4  2  3    51.27
     6  140  Dartmouth                 0  1  0   1  3  3    47.02
     7  148  Columbia                  0  0  1   1  3  3    46.70
     8  187  Yale                      0  1  0   1  6  2    43.43

                        MAAC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   47  Marist                    2  1  0   6  1  2    53.47
     2   84  Fairfield                 2  1  0   4  4  1    50.32
     3   97  Sacred Heart              3  0  0   4  3  2    49.63
     4  117  Siena                     3  0  0   4  4  1    48.73
     5  134  Iona                      2  0  0   4  2  2    47.35
     6  171  Mount St. Mary's          1  1  0   1  4  4    44.63
     7  177  Niagara                   1  2  0   4  4  0    43.96
     8  186  Quinnipiac                1  2  0   2  6  1    43.46
     9  191  Canisius                  1  2  0   3  5  1    42.82
    10  195  Merrimack                 1  2  0   3  5  1    42.61
    11  202  Manhattan                 0  1  1   0  5  2    41.43
    12  203  Saint Peter's             0  3  0   2  6  1    41.25
    13  207  Rider                     0  2  1   1  7  2    39.82

                         MVC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   57  Drake                     0  0  2   4  0  5    52.70
     2   60  Belmont                   1  0  1   6  0  5    52.55
     3   70  UIC                       0  0  2   7  1  3    51.38
     4  114  Evansville                1  0  0   3  3  5    48.81
     5  129  NIU                       0  0  1   3  3  2    47.68
     6  138  Bowling Green             0  2  0   4  6  2    47.04
     7  158  Bradley                   0  0  1   1  3  5    45.88
     8  163  Western Mich.             0  0  1   2  7  1    45.35

                         NEC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   83  FDU                       3  0  0   7  3  2    50.36
     2  124  LIU                       0  1  1   3  2  5    47.99
     3  156  New Haven                 2  1  0   4  3  3    46.20
     4  180  Saint Francis             3  0  0   3  6  1    43.60
     5  204  Mercyhurst                1  1  1   1  6  3    40.81
     6  205  LeMoyne                   1  1  0   2  6  0    40.70
     7  208  Stonehill                 0  1  1   2  7  1    39.79
     8  209  Chicago St.               1  1  0   1  9  0    38.63
     9  212  Howard                    0  3  0   1  9  1    37.59
    10  213  Central Conn. St.         0  2  1   0  8  2    36.91

                         OVC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   51  Lindenwood                3  0  1   9  0  1    53.15
     2  112  Liberty                   2  1  0   5  3  2    48.91
     3  113  Houston Christian         2  1  1   6  3  1    48.84
     4  127  UIW                       1  1  2   3  3  4    47.77
     5  185  Western Ill.              1  1  1   3  7  1    43.47
     6  196  SIUE                      1  2  0   2  8  0    42.55
     7  197  Southern Ind.             1  1  1   1  7  1    42.43
     8  199  Eastern Ill.              0  2  1   1  6  2    42.27
     9  206  TX Rio Grande             0  2  1   0  6  1    40.25

                       Patriot

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   41  Boston U.                 3  1  0   7  3  0    53.85
     2   68  Bucknell                  1  1  1   5  2  4    51.49
     3   74  Army West Point           1  1  1   3  3  4    51.03
     4   76  American                  3  0  0   4  5  1    50.89
     5   93  Lehigh                    3  0  1   5  3  3    49.82
     6  104  Colgate                   0  1  2   4  3  3    49.32
     7  143  Lafayette                 0  1  2   3  5  3    46.98
     8  178  Loyola Maryland           1  3  0   2  8  1    43.70
     9  179  Holy Cross                0  2  2   2  5  4    43.65
    10  181  Navy                      0  2  1   3  4  4    43.59

                        SoCon

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   10  Furman                    0  0  0   6  1  3    57.05
     2   11  UNC Greensboro            0  0  0   7  1  2    57.02
     3  137  Wofford                   0  0  0   4  6  1    47.07
     4  182  Mercer                    0  0  0   1  6  2    43.58
     5  184  ETSU                      0  0  0   0  4  4    43.48
     6  211  VMI                       0  0  0   1  6  2    37.88

                    SummitLeague

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   18  Delaware                  1  0  0   8  0  1    56.23
     2   48  Denver                    1  0  0   6  5  0    53.31
     3   53  Kansas City               0  1  0   4  2  4    52.92
     4   85  Massachusetts             0  1  0   4  3  4    50.28
     5  126  Omaha                     1  0  0   2  5  2    47.79
     6  133  St. Thomas (MN)           0  1  0   4  2  3    47.37
     7  141  Oral Roberts              0  0  0   3  6  1    47.00

                       SunBelt

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1    3  Ga. Southern              2  0  0   8  0  1    58.49
     2   24  West Virginia             2  0  0   6  1  2    55.62
     3   31  Marshall                  1  1  0   3  1  4    55.02
     4   43  Kentucky                  2  0  0   5  0  3    53.75
     5   44  South Carolina            1  0  1   7  3  1    53.67
     6  115  Old Dominion              1  2  0   4  4  2    48.79
     7  116  UCF                       0  2  0   2  5  1    48.74
     8  131  Georgia St.               1  0  1   3  2  4    47.60
     9  144  James Madison             0  2  0   1  6  1    46.90
    10  200  Coastal Carolina          0  3  0   1  6  0    41.73

                         WAC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1   13  Utah Valley               0  0  0   6  0  1    56.75
     2   34  San Jose St.              0  0  0   7  1  2    54.64
     3   36  California Baptist        0  0  0   5  1  2    54.45
     4   49  Grand Canyon              0  0  0   6  2  1    53.19
     5  109  UNLV                      0  0  0   3  4  2    49.21
     6  147  San Diego St.             0  0  0   3  6  0    46.71
     7  193  Utah Tech                 0  0  0   1  5  3    42.78
     8  201  Air Force                 0  0  0   1  6  1    41.44

                         WCC

   CNF  ALL  TEAM                     CW CL CT   W  L  T   RATING
     1    1  Portland                  1  0  0   7  0  1    59.76
     2   12  San Diego                 0  0  1   6  1  3    56.96
     3   23  Oregon St.                1  0  0   5  3  0    55.76
     4   39  San Francisco             0  1  0   5  2  1    54.09
     5   64  LMU (CA)                  1  0  0   5  3  2    51.90
     6   67  Santa Clara               0  0  1   3  2  5    51.51
     7   95  Seattle U                 0  0  1   2  3  4    49.77
     8  135  Gonzaga                   0  1  0   2  4  1    47.17
     9  136  Saint Mary's (CA)         0  0  1   0  3  5    47.13
    10  183  Pacific                   0  1  0   2  7  0    43.55


             CONFERENCES RANKED

     CONFERENCE                AVE RATING
   1  ACC                         54.59
   2  BigTen                      52.93
   3  WCC                         51.76
   4  BigEast                     51.34
   5  SunBelt                     51.03

   6  IvyLeague                   50.78
   7  SummitLeague                50.70
   8  American                    49.97
   9  WAC                         49.90
  10  CAA                         49.36

  11  MVC                         48.92
  12  AmericaEast                 48.78
  13  Atlantic10                  48.48
  14  Patriot                     48.43
  15  ASUN                        48.41

  16  BigWest                     48.22
  17  BigSouth                    47.77
  18  SoCon                       47.68
  19  Horizon                     46.00
  20  OVC                         45.51

  21  MAAC                        45.35
  22  NEC                         42.26

More Details

I've preserved David's original source code (last update: 1990!!) if you'd like to get it and try it out yourself. In my testing, it has good results for football, basketball, soccer, and ice hockey, so I imagine it would be useful for just about any sport. (That was the point, when he created it.)

David's rankings were part of college football's Bowl Championship Series from 1999 to 2001, but the next year the BCS managers decided to remove margin of victory from all of the computers that were part of the formula. David refused to change, and that ended his BCS run. If you grab the code and want to do a "politically correct" calculation that does not consider margin of victory, then just change all the scores to 1-0, or 2-0, whatever. Serves the same purpose.

If you download his code (link above), and use it, let me know. I'd love to hear about it.

I make one adjustment...

...to David's code when using it for soccer. Because his original formula was designed for sports like football and basketball -- where a 3- or 4-point game would actually mean the game was close -- I have adjusted the margin of victory factor he uses. Before adjustment, a team who wins by 6 earns about 0.83 of a win. But with a soccer adjustment, that number is 1.00. A two-goal win, instead of counting for only 0.78, now counts about 0.90.