Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings

David Rothman/FACT Rankings

David Rothman (1935-2004) was a pioneer in the sports ratings world, with his rating system being recognized by the NCAA from 1968-2006 as a national championship selector and used as a BCS component from 1999-2002. Here, I produce the ratings and rankings using his system, and I've also preserved his source code from 1990(!) if you'd like to get it and try it yourself.

David's method considers only scores. Game locations, dates, and all other information is ignored. These files are available:

• the original text file, and at the very bottom, below the list of teams, a list of the biggest upsets of the season so far
• rankings of teams within each conference (new!)

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                < DAVID ROTHMAN'S MENS HOCKEY RANKINGS >
    BASED ON  545 GAMES BETWEEN  65 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
                THROUGH GAMES OF SUNDAY 7 DECEMBER 2025
      FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
 
  RANK   TEAM               DIVISION  LOGIT  PCT.  RRE    PF   PA  W  L T
 
    1 Wisconsin              BigTen   58.43  .694  .737   77   40 13  2 2
    2 Michigan               BigTen   58.34  .689  .735   96   41 16  4 0
    3 Dartmouth              ECAC     58.19  .804  .731   53   13 11  0 0
    4 Michigan State         BigTen   56.43  .659  .689   58   28 13  4 0
    5 Minnesota-Duluth       NCHC     56.31  .633  .686   60   34 13  5 0
    6 North Dakota           NCHC     56.02  .667  .678   74   40 14  4 0
    7 Denver                 NCHC     54.75  .630  .645   73   33 12  5 1
    8 Western Michigan       NCHC     54.52  .589  .639   65   47 11  6 0
    9 Penn State             BigTen   54.40  .599  .636   51   46 11  5 0
   10 Harvard                ECAC     53.85  .618  .621   43   32  8  3 1
   11 Minnesota State        CCHA     53.13  .624  .601   51   35 11  3 4
   12 Connecticut            Hockey   52.85  .572  .593   56   41  9  5 3
   13 Boston College         Hockey   52.84  .593  .593   53   37 10  5 1
   14 Miami                  NCHC     52.59  .565  .586   56   53 10  6 0
   15 Northeastern           Hockey   52.44  .573  .582   45   34 10  6 0
   16 Quinnipiac             ECAC     52.20  .608  .575   65   45 12  5 2
   17 Providence             Hockey   52.04  .556  .571   53   39  9  6 2
   18 Colorado College       NCHC     51.88  .519  .566   44   40  8  7 1
   19 Cornell                ECAC     51.80  .620  .564   46   25  9  4 0
   20 Omaha                  NCHC     51.68  .475  .560   42   51  7  8 0
   21 Minnesota              BigTen   51.51  .470  .555   58   63  8 10 1
   22 Arizona State          NCHC     51.39  .474  .552   46   57  7  8 1
   23 Lindenwood             Indepe   51.32  .575  .550   65   51 10  6 0
   24 Augustana              CCHA     51.02  .555  .541   41   32  8  5 3
   25 Maine                  Hockey   50.87  .525  .537   57   45  8  7 2
   26 Boston University      Hockey   50.82  .513  .536   58   59  9  8 1
   27 New Hampshire          Hockey   50.68  .523  .532   36   44  9  7 1
   28 St. Thomas             CCHA     50.67  .501  .531   59   57  7  7 3
   29 St. Cloud State        NCHC     50.45  .476  .525   54   48  7  9 1
   30 Bemidji State          CCHA     50.13  .520  .516   65   55  9  8 3
   31 Union                  ECAC     50.07  .597  .514   64   36 10  5 2
   32 American International Indepe   50.00  .000  .512    0    0  0  0 0
   33 Princeton              ECAC     49.74  .602  .504   42   27  8  4 0
   34 Massachusetts          Hockey   49.69  .494  .503   50   57  9  9 0
   35 Ohio State             BigTen   49.63  .433  .501   50   55  6 10 0
   36 Michigan Tech          CCHA     49.62  .536  .501   46   41  8  6 2
   37 Holy Cross             Atlant   49.40  .571  .495   61   47 10  6 1
   38 Bowling Green          CCHA     48.87  .547  .479   60   54  9  6 3
   39 Clarkson               ECAC     48.58  .438  .471   49   57  7 11 0
   40 Alaska                 Indepe   48.54  .482  .470   43   45  7  8 1
   41 Air Force              Atlant   48.39  .509  .466   58   64  9  8 2
   42 Yale                   ECAC     48.37  .450  .465   29   36  5  7 0
   43 RIT                    Atlant   48.15  .566  .459   52   39 11  7 0
   44 Merrimack              Hockey   48.14  .433  .458   42   47  6 10 0
   45 Bentley                Atlant   48.00  .550  .454   43   40  9  6 1
   46 Long Island            Indepe   47.72  .522  .447   72   61 10  9 0
   47 Sacred Heart           Atlant   47.34  .502  .436   46   44  8  8 2
   48 Colgate                ECAC     47.34  .434  .436   48   61  6 10 2
   49 Vermont                Hockey   47.00  .427  .426   25   49  6  9 0
   50 Notre Dame             BigTen   46.96  .397  .425   50   67  5 11 1
   51 Lake Superior          CCHA     46.38  .462  .409   60   61  8 11 1
   52 Army                   Atlant   46.21  .451  .404   44   50  5  8 4
   53 Mass.-Lowell           Hockey   46.20  .431  .404   37   44  6 10 0
   54 Ferris State           CCHA     46.08  .404  .400   46   61  6 12 0
   55 Canisius               Atlant   46.07  .494  .400   47   55  8  8 2
   56 Niagara                Atlant   45.98  .482  .398   46   50  8  9 0
   57 Robert Morris          Atlant   45.08  .433  .373   49   63  6 10 2
   58 Rensselaer             ECAC     44.92  .359  .369   36   65  5 14 0
   59 Brown                  ECAC     44.90  .353  .368   26   44  3  9 0
   60 Stonehill              Indepe   43.40  .328  .329   34   62  3 13 1
   61 Alaska-Anchorage       Indepe   42.91  .363  .316   38   57  4 11 0
   62 Northern Michigan      CCHA     41.56  .242  .283   30   73  1 17 0
   63 St. Lawrence           ECAC     41.25  .311  .276   41   81  3 15 1
   64 Mercyhurst             Atlant   37.87  .218  .204   22   74  0 15 1
   65 Non-Division I         Indepe   36.67  .185  .182   42  196  0 34 0
 
                 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT
 
   1 Alaska-Anchorage  Indepen   4 Denver            NCHC      3 0.465
   2 Ohio State        BigTen    5 Wisconsin         BigTen    1 0.511
   3 North Dakota      NCHC      2 Clarkson          ECAC      5 0.578
   4 Ferris State      CCHA      3 Western Michigan  NCHC      2 0.581
   5 Ferris State      CCHA      4 Minnesota State   CCHA      1 0.591
   6 Providence        HockeyE   1 Mass.-Lowell      HockeyE   5 0.615
 
 
     FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS (FACT)
                     DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER
               FACT standings calculated by Cody Kirkpatrick
                          talismanred.com/ratings