Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings

David Rothman/FACT Rankings

David Rothman (1935-2004) was a pioneer in the sports ratings world, with his rating system being recognized by the NCAA from 1968-2006 as a national championship selector and used as a BCS component from 1999-2002. Here, I produce the ratings and rankings using his system, and I've also preserved his source code from 1990(!) if you'd like to get it and try it yourself.

David's method considers only scores. Game locations, dates, and all other information is ignored. These files are available:

• the original text file, and at the very bottom, below the list of teams, a list of the biggest upsets of the season so far
• rankings of teams within each conference (new!)

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                < DAVID ROTHMAN'S MENS HOCKEY RANKINGS >
    BASED ON  927 GAMES BETWEEN  65 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
                THROUGH GAMES OF MONDAY 9 FEBRUARY 2026
      FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
 
  RANK   TEAM               DIVISION  LOGIT  PCT.  RRE    PF   PA  W  L T
 
    1 Michigan               BigTen   58.68  .695  .745  131   64 23  5 0
    2 Michigan State         BigTen   57.41  .677  .715  111   57 24  6 0
    3 Western Michigan       NCHC     56.20  .633  .685  111   70 21  8 0
    4 North Dakota           NCHC     55.67  .662  .672  121   62 23  7 0
    5 Providence             Hockey   55.63  .633  .671  103   62 20  7 2
    6 Penn State             BigTen   54.91  .609  .652   93   70 18  8 0
    7 Quinnipiac             ECAC     54.22  .661  .634  133   65 22  6 3
    8 Minnesota-Duluth       NCHC     53.98  .561  .627   98   76 18 12 0
    9 Denver                 NCHC     53.81  .572  .622  111   73 18 11 3
   10 Wisconsin              BigTen   53.79  .590  .622  112   87 18  9 2
   11 Cornell                ECAC     53.60  .655  .616   92   50 19  6 0
   12 Connecticut            Hockey   53.55  .604  .615   88   58 16  7 3
   13 Boston College         Hockey   53.51  .591  .614   98   67 17  9 1
   14 Dartmouth              ECAC     53.24  .647  .607   94   49 18  6 1
   15 Miami                  NCHC     53.20  .577  .605   89   78 17  9 2
   16 St. Thomas             CCHA     52.38  .588  .583  113   87 18  9 3
   17 Maine                  Hockey   52.30  .537  .580   95   76 14 11 3
   18 Massachusetts          Hockey   51.96  .567  .570   86   72 18 11 0
   19 St. Cloud State        NCHC     51.65  .503  .562   95   89 15 15 1
   20 Boston University      Hockey   51.28  .508  .551   92   93 15 14 2
   21 Harvard                ECAC     51.28  .543  .551   75   70 14 10 1
   22 Michigan Tech          CCHA     51.20  .589  .549  106   83 20 10 2
   23 Colorado College       NCHC     51.13  .481  .547   76   78 11 13 4
   24 Arizona State          NCHC     51.07  .469  .545   91  103 13 16 1
   25 Augustana              CCHA     51.04  .586  .544   92   65 18  9 4
   26 Merrimack              Hockey   50.97  .533  .542   87   76 15 12 1
   27 Minnesota State        CCHA     50.54  .568  .530   80   65 15  8 6
   28 Minnesota              BigTen   50.27  .425  .522   84  101 10 18 2
   29 Omaha                  NCHC     50.09  .441  .517   81   99 12 18 0
   30 Ohio State             BigTen   50.07  .446  .516   78   89 10 15 1
   31 American International          50.00  .000  .514    0    0  0  0 0
   32 Union                  ECAC     49.96  .579  .513  110   73 17 10 2
   33 New Hampshire          Hockey   49.77  .458  .507   53   79 11 14 2
   34 Bowling Green          CCHA     49.71  .586  .506  102   75 17  8 6
   35 Bentley                Atlant   49.37  .561  .496   88   69 15  9 5
   36 Northeastern           Hockey   49.34  .473  .495   71   71 12 15 1
   37 Princeton              ECAC     49.21  .569  .491   79   64 15  9 1
   38 Vermont                Hockey   48.65  .469  .475   57   82 13 15 0
   39 Colgate                ECAC     48.60  .466  .473   76   89 11 14 3
   40 Lindenwood             Indepe   48.53  .520  .471  106  101 15 13 0
   41 Mass.-Lowell           Hockey   48.51  .431  .471   73   89 11 18 0
   42 Clarkson               ECAC     48.44  .483  .469   97   98 13 15 3
   43 RIT                    Atlant   48.42  .545  .468   86   77 17 12 2
   44 Air Force              Atlant   48.39  .507  .467   88   91 14 13 2
   45 Sacred Heart           Atlant   48.16  .528  .461   82   76 15 12 3
   46 Alaska                 Indepe   48.02  .482  .457   86   88 13 15 2
   47 Holy Cross             Atlant   47.82  .502  .451   86   83 13 13 2
   48 Bemidji State          CCHA     47.52  .458  .443   92   95 11 16 4
   49 Canisius               Atlant   47.26  .516  .435   82   85 14 12 2
   50 Long Island            Indepe   47.25  .503  .435   99   93 14 14 1
   51 Notre Dame             BigTen   47.02  .361  .428   82  118  6 20 3
   52 Army                   Atlant   47.02  .482  .428   75   77 11 13 5
   53 Robert Morris          Atlant   45.95  .449  .398   76   95 11 16 3
   54 Yale                   ECAC     45.67  .397  .390   67   88  8 17 0
   55 Lake Superior          CCHA     45.59  .433  .388   77   95 11 18 1
   56 Niagara                Atlant   44.48  .429  .358   74   90 10 17 1
   57 Ferris State           CCHA     44.31  .338  .353   79  124  7 25 0
   58 Rensselaer             ECAC     44.08  .347  .347   61  107  7 22 0
   59 Stonehill              Indepe   42.95  .349  .318   66  109  6 21 2
   60 Brown                  ECAC     42.53  .319  .308   52   92  4 19 1
   61 Northern Michigan      CCHA     42.21  .271  .300   43  105  3 25 0
   62 Alaska-Anchorage       Indepe   41.95  .327  .293   53  102  5 20 1
   63 St. Lawrence           ECAC     41.94  .339  .293   75  137  6 23 3
   64 Mercyhurst             Atlant   41.90  .304  .292   42  109  4 22 2
   65 Non-Division I         Indepe   37.45  .203  .196   54  245  1 41 1
 
                 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT
 
   1 Ferris State      CCHA      3 Western Michigan  NCHC      2 0.464
   2 Alaska-Anchorage  Indepen   4 Denver            NCHC      3 0.465
   3 Alaska            Indepen   5 Providence        HockeyE   1 0.553
   4 Quinnipiac        ECAC      2 Yale              ECAC      4 0.557
   5 Northern Michigan CCHA      3 Michigan Tech     CCHA      2 0.561
   6 Princeton         ECAC      2 St. Lawrence      ECAC      6 0.565
   7 Providence        HockeyE   1 Mass.-Lowell      HockeyE   5 0.570
 
 
     FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS (FACT)
                     DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER
               FACT standings calculated by Cody Kirkpatrick
                          talismanred.com/ratings