Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings
This is my rough attempt at a computer rating that can, among other things, come somewhat close to predicting final game scores. The actual computer rating, which describes team performance based on games played to date, is found under the "Rating" column.
To determine a hypothetical margin of victory, use the "Points" column (just subtract the teams in question) and add in the home field/court advantage, which is listed on the right. It usually is around 0.5 goals for hockey. All of the games in the predictions list already have home advantage taken into account.
22 December: I had inadvertently left some of last year's games in a stray file, which cause the ratings to hold on to old information. That's now fixed and they look much better.
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Here are direct links to the
full ratings list or to
conference standings; scroll down
for game predictions.
Ratings were last updated: 11-Feb-2026 07 am EST Top 16 TeamsRank Team W L T Rating Points BCS 1 Michigan 23 5 0 4.23 52.81 1 2 Michigan State 24 6 0 3.49 52.10 2 3 Western Michigan 21 8 0 3.25 52.13 4 4 Providence 20 7 2 3.13 51.93 3 5 North Dakota 23 7 0 3.03 52.11 5 6 Quinnipiac 22 6 3 2.76 52.06 7 7 Penn State 18 8 0 2.31 51.36 6 8 Denver 18 11 3 2.23 51.72 11 9 Boston College 17 9 1 2.11 51.42 10 10 Minnesota-Duluth 18 12 0 2.09 51.54 13 Rank Team W L T Rating Points BCS 11 Connecticut 16 7 3 2.07 51.30 9 12 Cornell 19 6 0 2.00 51.19 8 13 Dartmouth 18 6 1 1.77 51.18 16 14 St. Thomas 18 9 3 1.63 50.96 14 15 Wisconsin 18 9 2 1.59 50.93 15 16 Miami 17 9 2 1.57 50.84 12 Predictions for Upcoming Games(Sometimes, games from 1-2 days earlier get "stuck" on the list if my upstream source doesn't update them. This is especially true for exhibition games.) PREDICTIONS FOR UPCOMING GAMES Date Away Team Home Team Total Prediction ----------- -------------------- -------------------- ----- -------------- 13-Feb-2026 Mercyhurst Air Force 5.5 HOME by 2.16 13-Feb-2026 Sacred Heart Bentley 4.2 HOME by 0.73 13-Feb-2026 Harvard Brown 5.5 AWAY by -1.87 13-Feb-2026 Holy Cross Canisius 7.1 AWAY by -0.45 13-Feb-2026 Northern Michigan Ferris State 5.1 HOME by 0.67 13-Feb-2026 Michigan Tech Lake Superior 6.7 AWAY by -1.38 13-Feb-2026 Stonehill Long Island 6.6 HOME by 1.28 13-Feb-2026 Connecticut Maine 5.9 AWAY by -0.06 13-Feb-2026 Boston College Merrimack 5.2 AWAY by -0.79 13-Feb-2026 Penn State Michigan 6.9 HOME by 1.60 13-Feb-2026 Bemidji State Minnesota State 4.2 HOME by 0.53 13-Feb-2026 Boston University New Hampshire 5.3 AWAY by -0.66 13-Feb-2026 Robert Morris Niagara 6.5 AWAY by -0.16 13-Feb-2026 Miami North Dakota 5.1 HOME by 1.41 13-Feb-2026 Minnesota Notre Dame 6.7 AWAY by -0.78 13-Feb-2026 Wisconsin Ohio State 8.3 AWAY by -0.45 13-Feb-2026 Denver Omaha 5.6 AWAY by -1.34 13-Feb-2026 Northeastern Providence 5.8 HOME by 2.05 13-Feb-2026 Cornell Rensselaer 5.6 AWAY by -2.61 13-Feb-2026 Colorado College St. Cloud State 5.2 HOME by 0.31 13-Feb-2026 Colgate Union 7.0 HOME by 1.01 13-Feb-2026 Mass.-Lowell Vermont 5.1 AWAY by -0.44 13-Feb-2026 Arizona State Western Michigan 6.9 HOME by 1.83 13-Feb-2026 Dartmouth Yale 5.8 AWAY by -1.96 13-Feb-2026 Alaska-Anchorage Lindenwood 6.6 HOME by 1.98 13-Feb-2026 Bowling Green Augustana 5.3 HOME by 0.52 14-Feb-2026 Mercyhurst Air Force 5.5 HOME by 2.16 14-Feb-2026 Sacred Heart Bentley 4.2 HOME by 0.73 14-Feb-2026 Merrimack Boston College 8.0 HOME by 1.08 14-Feb-2026 New Hampshire Boston University 5.2 HOME by 0.95 14-Feb-2026 Dartmouth Brown 5.5 AWAY by -2.78 14-Feb-2026 Holy Cross Canisius 7.1 AWAY by -0.45 14-Feb-2026 Northern Michigan Ferris State 5.1 HOME by 0.67 14-Feb-2026 Michigan Tech Lake Superior 6.7 AWAY by -1.38 14-Feb-2026 Stonehill Long Island 6.6 HOME by 1.28 14-Feb-2026 Connecticut Maine 5.9 AWAY by -0.06 14-Feb-2026 Penn State Michigan 6.9 HOME by 1.60 14-Feb-2026 Bemidji State Minnesota State 4.2 HOME by 0.53 14-Feb-2026 Miami North Dakota 5.1 HOME by 1.41 14-Feb-2026 Minnesota Notre Dame 6.7 AWAY by -0.78 14-Feb-2026 Wisconsin Ohio State 8.3 AWAY by -0.45 14-Feb-2026 Denver Omaha 5.6 AWAY by -1.34 14-Feb-2026 Northeastern Providence 5.8 HOME by 2.05 14-Feb-2026 Princeton Quinnipiac 5.7 HOME by 2.39 14-Feb-2026 Colgate Rensselaer 6.8 AWAY by -1.04 14-Feb-2026 Colorado College St. Cloud State 5.2 HOME by 0.31 14-Feb-2026 Cornell Union 5.8 AWAY by -0.55 14-Feb-2026 Mass.-Lowell Vermont 5.1 AWAY by -0.44 14-Feb-2026 Arizona State Western Michigan 6.9 HOME by 1.83 14-Feb-2026 Harvard Yale 5.8 AWAY by -1.04 14-Feb-2026 Alaska-Anchorage Lindenwood 6.6 HOME by 1.98 14-Feb-2026 Niagara Robert Morris 4.6 HOME by 0.46 14-Feb-2026 Bowling Green Augustana 5.3 HOME by 0.52 15-Feb-2026 Quinnipiac Princeton 6.1 AWAY by -2.10 19-Feb-2026 Notre Dame Michigan State 5.2 HOME by 2.76 20-Feb-2026 Army Air Force 4.9 HOME by 0.38 20-Feb-2026 Omaha Arizona State 6.6 HOME by 0.37 20-Feb-2026 Connecticut Boston College 7.5 HOME by 0.27 20-Feb-2026 Minnesota State Bowling Green 5.2 HOME by 0.20 20-Feb-2026 Robert Morris Canisius 6.7 HOME by 0.34 20-Feb-2026 Yale Clarkson 7.6 HOME by 0.86 20-Feb-2026 Western Michigan Colorado College 6.0 AWAY by -1.29 20-Feb-2026 Merrimack Maine 6.5 HOME by 0.75 20-Feb-2026 New Hampshire Massachusetts 4.7 HOME by 1.20 20-Feb-2026 Northeastern Mass.-Lowell 5.0 AWAY by -0.05 20-Feb-2026 Niagara Mercyhurst 4.9 AWAY by -0.80 20-Feb-2026 Minnesota-Duluth Miami 5.8 AWAY by -0.55 20-Feb-2026 Notre Dame Michigan State 5.2 HOME by 2.76 20-Feb-2026 St. Cloud State North Dakota 5.3 HOME by 1.40 20-Feb-2026 Lake Superior Northern Michigan 4.7 AWAY by -0.62 20-Feb-2026 Ohio State Penn State 7.5 HOME by 1.18 20-Feb-2026 Colgate Princeton 7.4 HOME by 0.34 20-Feb-2026 Cornell Quinnipiac 6.7 HOME by 1.02 20-Feb-2026 Bentley RIT 6.0 AWAY by -0.58 20-Feb-2026 Dartmouth Rensselaer 6.0 AWAY by -2.60 20-Feb-2026 Holy Cross Sacred Heart 6.0 HOME by 0.01 20-Feb-2026 Brown St. Lawrence 6.9 AWAY by -0.51 20-Feb-2026 Augustana St. Thomas 4.9 HOME by 0.53 20-Feb-2026 Harvard Union 6.2 HOME by 0.37 20-Feb-2026 Providence Vermont 4.4 AWAY by -2.54 20-Feb-2026 Michigan Wisconsin 6.5 AWAY by -1.73 20-Feb-2026 Long Island Stonehill 6.5 AWAY by -0.98 20-Feb-2026 Alaska Alaska-Anchorage 6.1 AWAY by -1.74 21-Feb-2026 Army Air Force 4.9 HOME by 0.38 21-Feb-2026 Omaha Arizona State 6.6 HOME by 0.37 21-Feb-2026 Minnesota State Bowling Green 5.2 HOME by 0.20 21-Feb-2026 Robert Morris Canisius 6.7 HOME by 0.34 21-Feb-2026 Brown Clarkson 7.1 HOME by 1.69 21-Feb-2026 Western Michigan Colorado College 6.0 AWAY by -1.29 21-Feb-2026 Boston College Connecticut 5.2 HOME by 0.02 21-Feb-2026 Merrimack Maine 6.5 HOME by 0.75 21-Feb-2026 Northeastern Mass.-Lowell 5.0 AWAY by -0.05 21-Feb-2026 Minnesota-Duluth Miami 5.8 AWAY by -0.55 21-Feb-2026 Massachusetts New Hampshire 4.8 AWAY by -0.90 21-Feb-2026 Mercyhurst Niagara 5.9 HOME by 1.10 21-Feb-2026 St. Cloud State North Dakota 5.3 HOME by 1.40 21-Feb-2026 Lake Superior Northern Michigan 4.7 AWAY by -0.62 21-Feb-2026 Ohio State Penn State 7.5 HOME by 1.18 21-Feb-2026 Cornell Princeton 6.3 AWAY by -1.22 21-Feb-2026 Colgate Quinnipiac 7.8 HOME by 2.59 21-Feb-2026 Harvard Rensselaer 6.0 AWAY by -1.68 21-Feb-2026 Holy Cross Sacred Heart 6.0 HOME by 0.01 21-Feb-2026 Yale St. Lawrence 7.4 AWAY by -1.34 21-Feb-2026 Augustana St. Thomas 4.9 HOME by 0.53 21-Feb-2026 Dartmouth Union 6.2 AWAY by -0.54 21-Feb-2026 Providence Vermont 4.4 AWAY by -2.54 21-Feb-2026 Michigan Wisconsin 6.5 AWAY by -1.73 21-Feb-2026 Long Island Stonehill 6.5 AWAY by -0.98 21-Feb-2026 Alaska Alaska-Anchorage 6.1 AWAY by -1.74 |
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