Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings

This is my rough attempt at a computer rating that can, among other things, come somewhat close to predicting final game scores. The actual computer rating, which describes team performance based on games played to date, is found under the "Rating" column.

To determine a hypothetical margin of victory, use the "Points" column (just subtract the teams in question) and add in the home field/court advantage, which is listed on the right. It usually is around 0.5 goals for hockey. All of the games in the predictions list already have home advantage taken into account.

27 September: Welcome to 2026-27!

Here are direct links to the full ratings list or to conference standings; scroll down for game predictions.
Ratings were last updated: 30-Oct-2026 08 am EDT

Top 16 Teams

                     Talisman Red Computer Ratings                      
               Through Games Of Thursday 29 October 2026                

----------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Rank Team                      W  L  T   Rating   BCS   Points   Conf.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
    1 Michigan                  7  0        4.73     1    13.06   BIG10   
    2 Western Michigan          5  1        4.11     2    12.98   NCHC    
    3 Denver                    3  2  1     3.26     3    12.21   NCHC    
    4 Providence                5  0        2.97     4    11.85   HEAST   
    5 North Dakota              4  2        2.90     7    11.95   NCHC    
    6 Minnesota-Duluth          5  1  2     2.88     9    12.01   NCHC    
    7 Michigan State            4  1        2.67     8    11.69   BIG10   
    8 Colorado College          5  1        2.59    10    11.91   NCHC    
    9 Wisconsin                 4  0        2.48     5    11.30   BIG10   
   10 Quinnipiac                4  2        2.39    12    11.82   ECAC    
   11 Augustana                 5  0  1     2.32     6    11.09   CCHA    
   12 Merrimack                 4  1  1     1.72    11    10.92   HEAST   
   13 Dartmouth                 0  0        1.46    14    11.00   ECAC    
   14 Maine                     4  2        1.30    19    11.03   HEAST   
   15 Cornell                   0  0        1.20    17    10.86   ECAC    
   16 Connecticut               3  3        1.08    15    10.59   HEAST   

Predictions for Upcoming Games

(Sometimes, games from 1-2 days earlier get "stuck" on the list if my upstream source doesn't update them. This is especially true for exhibition games.)

                       PREDICTIONS FOR UPCOMING GAMES

  Date     Away Team                 Home Team                 Total    Prediction
---------  ------------------------  ------------------------  -----  --------------
30-Oct-26  RIT                       Army                        5.6  HOME by   1.74
30-Oct-26  Ferris State              Bemidji State               6.1  HOME by   1.63
30-Oct-26  Northeastern              Boston College              6.3  HOME by   0.53
30-Oct-26  Maine                     Boston University           6.4  HOME by   0.05
30-Oct-26  Niagara                   Clarkson                    5.1  HOME by   1.56
30-Oct-26  Mass.-Lowell              Colgate                     6.4  AWAY by  -0.28
30-Oct-26  Minnesota-Duluth          Colorado College            5.1  HOME by   0.28
30-Oct-26  Sacred Heart              Cornell                     4.7  HOME by   1.61
30-Oct-26  Omaha                     Denver                      6.0  HOME by   2.14
30-Oct-26  Bentley                   Holy Cross                  5.9  AWAY by  -0.22
30-Oct-26  Harvard                   Massachusetts               4.8  HOME by   0.92
30-Oct-26  Connecticut               Merrimack                   6.6  HOME by   0.71
30-Oct-26  St. Thomas                Miami                       6.6  HOME by   1.33
30-Oct-26  Penn State                Minnesota                   6.1  HOME by   0.67
30-Oct-26  Lake Superior             Minnesota State             4.3  HOME by   1.89
30-Oct-26  Union                     Rensselaer                  4.8  AWAY by  -1.12
30-Oct-26  Arizona State             St. Cloud State             7.8  HOME by   0.80
30-Oct-26  New Hampshire             Vermont                     4.5  AWAY by  -0.03
30-Oct-26  Long Island               Western Michigan            8.1  HOME by   4.63
30-Oct-26  Notre Dame                Wisconsin                   6.3  HOME by   2.11
30-Oct-26  Brown                     Yale                        6.8  HOME by   1.13
30-Oct-26  Princeton                 Stonehill                   4.2  AWAY by  -1.14
30-Oct-26  Air Force                 Robert Morris               5.5  AWAY by  -0.17
30-Oct-26  Northern Michigan         Augustana                   5.6  HOME by   3.02

31-Oct-26  RIT                       Army                        5.6  HOME by   1.74
31-Oct-26  Ferris State              Bemidji State               6.1  HOME by   1.63
31-Oct-26  Holy Cross                Bentley                     5.4  HOME by   0.99
31-Oct-26  Northeastern              Boston College              6.3  HOME by   0.53
31-Oct-26  Maine                     Boston University           6.4  HOME by   0.05
31-Oct-26  Niagara                   Clarkson                    5.1  HOME by   1.56
31-Oct-26  Mass.-Lowell              Colgate                     6.4  AWAY by  -0.28
31-Oct-26  Minnesota-Duluth          Colorado College            5.1  HOME by   0.28
31-Oct-26  Sacred Heart              Cornell                     4.7  HOME by   1.61
31-Oct-26  Alaska                    Dartmouth                   5.3  HOME by   2.20
31-Oct-26  Omaha                     Denver                      6.0  HOME by   2.14
31-Oct-26  Connecticut               Merrimack                   6.6  HOME by   0.71
31-Oct-26  St. Thomas                Miami                       6.6  HOME by   1.33
31-Oct-26  Penn State                Minnesota                   6.1  HOME by   0.67
31-Oct-26  Lake Superior             Minnesota State             4.3  HOME by   1.89
31-Oct-26  Michigan State            North Dakota                5.6  Nort by   0.26
31-Oct-26  Michigan                  Ohio State                  6.7  AWAY by  -2.43
31-Oct-26  Providence                Quinnipiac                  7.7  HOME by   0.36
31-Oct-26  Arizona State             St. Cloud State             7.8  HOME by   0.80
31-Oct-26  Rensselaer                Union                       6.7  HOME by   1.89
31-Oct-26  New Hampshire             Vermont                     4.5  AWAY by  -0.03
31-Oct-26  Notre Dame                Wisconsin                   6.3  HOME by   2.11
31-Oct-26  Princeton                 Stonehill                   4.2  AWAY by  -1.14
31-Oct-26  Air Force                 Robert Morris               5.5  AWAY by  -0.17
31-Oct-26  Northern Michigan         Augustana                   5.6  HOME by   3.02
31-Oct-26  Non-Division I            Maryville                   3.7  HOME by   1.63

01-Nov-26  Alaska                    Dartmouth                   5.3  HOME by   2.20
01-Nov-26  Michigan                  Ohio State                  6.7  AWAY by  -2.43

05-Nov-26  Vermont                   Boston College              5.3  HOME by   1.96
05-Nov-26  Maryville                 Lake Superior               4.7  HOME by   0.70
05-Nov-26  Wisconsin                 Minnesota                   6.8  AWAY by  -0.53
05-Nov-26  Connecticut               Providence                  5.5  HOME by   1.64

06-Nov-26  Army                      Air Force                   5.1  AWAY by  -0.37
06-Nov-26  Denver                    Arizona State               5.9  AWAY by  -1.57
06-Nov-26  RIT                       Bentley                     4.6  HOME by   1.66
06-Nov-26  Vermont                   Boston College              5.3  HOME by   1.96
06-Nov-26  Bemidji State             Bowling Green               5.5  HOME by   0.76
06-Nov-26  Union                     Clarkson                    6.8  AWAY by  -0.64
06-Nov-26  Princeton                 Colgate                     4.3  AWAY by  -1.14
06-Nov-26  Lindenwood                Colorado College            8.2  HOME by   3.25
06-Nov-26  Quinnipiac                Cornell                     5.9  AWAY by  -0.57
06-Nov-26  Yale                      Dartmouth                   6.0  HOME by   2.57
06-Nov-26  Brown                     Harvard                     5.9  HOME by   2.27
06-Nov-26  Maryville                 Lake Superior               4.7  HOME by   0.70
06-Nov-26  Robert Morris             Long Island                 6.4  HOME by   0.49
06-Nov-26  Massachusetts             Maine                       4.1  HOME by   0.94
06-Nov-26  New Hampshire             Mass.-Lowell                5.3  AWAY by  -0.10
06-Nov-26  Holy Cross                Merrimack                   6.9  HOME by   2.04
06-Nov-26  Boston University         Michigan State              5.4  HOME by   1.38
06-Nov-26  Augustana                 Michigan Tech               3.9  AWAY by  -0.35
06-Nov-26  Miami                     Minnesota-Duluth            5.0  HOME by   1.83
06-Nov-26  Western Michigan          North Dakota                4.7  AWAY by  -0.65
06-Nov-26  Minnesota State           Northern Michigan           5.3  AWAY by  -1.02
06-Nov-26  St. Cloud State           Omaha                       6.4  HOME by   0.18
06-Nov-26  Notre Dame                Penn State                  8.3  HOME by   0.90
06-Nov-26  Canisius                  Sacred Heart                5.1  HOME by   1.20
06-Nov-26  Rensselaer                St. Lawrence                7.1  AWAY by  -1.33
06-Nov-26  Alaska-Anchorage          St. Thomas                  5.8  HOME by   2.30
06-Nov-26  Alaska                    Stonehill                   5.1  AWAY by  -0.14

07-Nov-26  Army                      Air Force                   5.1  AWAY by  -0.37
07-Nov-26  RIT                       Bentley                     4.6  HOME by   1.66
07-Nov-26  Bemidji State             Bowling Green               5.5  HOME by   0.76
07-Nov-26  Rensselaer                Clarkson                    6.1  HOME by   0.87
07-Nov-26  Quinnipiac                Colgate                     5.8  AWAY by  -2.79
07-Nov-26  Lindenwood                Colorado College            8.2  HOME by   3.25
07-Nov-26  Providence                Connecticut                 5.7  AWAY by  -0.87
07-Nov-26  Princeton                 Cornell                     4.4  HOME by   1.07
07-Nov-26  Brown                     Dartmouth                   5.9  HOME by   3.32
07-Nov-26  Maryville                 Ferris State                3.7  HOME by   0.98
07-Nov-26  Yale                      Harvard                     5.9  HOME by   1.53
07-Nov-26  Northeastern              Holy Cross                  5.8  AWAY by  -1.18
07-Nov-26  Robert Morris             Long Island                 6.4  HOME by   0.49
07-Nov-26  Massachusetts             Maine                       4.1  HOME by   0.94
07-Nov-26  Boston University         Michigan State              5.4  HOME by   1.38
07-Nov-26  Augustana                 Michigan Tech               3.9  AWAY by  -0.35
07-Nov-26  Wisconsin                 Minnesota                   6.8  AWAY by  -0.53
07-Nov-26  Miami                     Minnesota-Duluth            5.0  HOME by   1.83
07-Nov-26  Mass.-Lowell              New Hampshire               5.2  HOME by   0.87
07-Nov-26  Western Michigan          North Dakota                4.7  AWAY by  -0.65
07-Nov-26  Minnesota State           Northern Michigan           5.3  AWAY by  -1.02
07-Nov-26  St. Cloud State           Omaha                       6.4  HOME by   0.18
07-Nov-26  Notre Dame                Penn State                  8.3  HOME by   0.90
07-Nov-26  Canisius                  Sacred Heart                5.1  HOME by   1.20
07-Nov-26  Union                     St. Lawrence                7.8  AWAY by  -2.84
07-Nov-26  Alaska-Anchorage          St. Thomas                  5.8  HOME by   2.30
07-Nov-26  Alaska                    Stonehill                   5.1  AWAY by  -0.14

08-Nov-26  Denver                    Arizona State               5.9  AWAY by  -1.57

10-Nov-26  Harvard                   Boston University           6.1  HOME by   1.13

12-Nov-26  Bentley                   Air Force                   5.9  AWAY by  -0.29
12-Nov-26  Michigan State            Notre Dame                  4.9  AWAY by  -1.73

13-Nov-26  Bentley                   Air Force                   5.9  AWAY by  -0.29
13-Nov-26  Sacred Heart              Army                        5.2  HOME by   0.69
13-Nov-26  Minnesota State           Bemidji State               5.2  HOME by   0.41
13-Nov-26  Cornell                   Brown                       4.6  AWAY by  -2.42
13-Nov-26  Northeastern              Connecticut                 5.9  HOME by   0.15
13-Nov-26  Lindenwood                Denver                      8.5  HOME by   3.55
13-Nov-26  Boston College            Massachusetts               4.8  AWAY by  -0.10
13-Nov-26  Union                     Mass.-Lowell                6.0  AWAY by  -1.26
13-Nov-26  Omaha                     Miami                       6.4  HOME by   0.50
13-Nov-26  Penn State                Michigan                    7.7  HOME by   3.35
13-Nov-26  Lake Superior             Michigan Tech               5.5  HOME by   2.38
13-Nov-26  Alaska-Anchorage          Minnesota                   6.3  HOME by   3.06
13-Nov-26  Rensselaer                New Hampshire               4.1  HOME by   0.73
13-Nov-26  Holy Cross                Niagara                     6.5  AWAY by  -0.11
13-Nov-26  Bowling Green             Northern Michigan           5.5  AWAY by  -1.42
13-Nov-26  Michigan State            Notre Dame                  4.9  AWAY by  -1.73
13-Nov-26  Harvard                   Princeton                   5.7  HOME by   0.61
13-Nov-26  Merrimack                 Providence                  5.9  HOME by   1.32
13-Nov-26  Dartmouth                 Quinnipiac                  8.2  HOME by   1.21
13-Nov-26  Minnesota-Duluth          St. Cloud State             5.8  AWAY by  -0.96
13-Nov-26  North Dakota              St. Thomas                  6.6  AWAY by  -1.94
13-Nov-26  Maine                     Vermont                     4.4  AWAY by  -1.26
13-Nov-26  Colorado College          Western Michigan            5.8  HOME by   1.46
13-Nov-26  Ohio State                Wisconsin                   6.3  HOME by   1.44
13-Nov-26  Colgate                   Yale                        6.1  HOME by   0.54
13-Nov-26  Ferris State              Augustana                   5.9  HOME by   2.83

 

 

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