Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings

David Rothman/FACT Rankings

David Rothman (1935-2004) was a pioneer in the sports ratings world, with his rating system being recognized by the NCAA from 1968-2006 as a national championship selector and used as a BCS component from 1999-2002. Here, I produce the ratings and rankings using his system, and I've also preserved his source code from 1990(!) if you'd like to get it and try it yourself.

David's method considers only scores. Game locations, dates, and all other information is ignored. These files are available:

• the original text file, and at the very bottom, below the list of teams, a list of the biggest upsets of the season so far
• rankings of teams within each conference (new!)

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                < DAVID ROTHMAN'S MENS HOCKEY RANKINGS >
    BASED ON 1191 GAMES BETWEEN  65 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
                THROUGH GAMES OF SATURDAY 21 MARCH 2026
      FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
 
  RANK   TEAM               DIVISION  LOGIT  PCT.  RRE    PF   PA  W  L T
 
    1 Michigan               BigTen   57.93  .685  .728  177   89 30  7 1
    2 Western Michigan       NCHC     56.53  .633  .694  142   88 27 10 1
    3 North Dakota           NCHC     56.02  .653  .681  155   89 29  9 1
    4 Michigan State         BigTen   56.01  .654  .681  139   76 27  8 2
    5 Denver                 NCHC     55.38  .615  .665  143   85 26 11 3
    6 Providence             Hockey   54.91  .621  .653  127   79 25 10 2
    7 Minnesota-Duluth       NCHC     54.55  .571  .643  124   94 23 14 1
    8 Wisconsin              BigTen   53.94  .581  .626  136  108 22 12 2
    9 Penn State             BigTen   53.69  .564  .619  135  114 21 13 2
   10 Quinnipiac             ECAC     53.50  .628  .614  158   90 26 10 3
   11 Dartmouth              ECAC     53.19  .647  .605  130   70 24  7 4
   12 Connecticut            Hockey   52.93  .565  .598  115   88 20 12 5
   13 Boston College         Hockey   52.68  .552  .591  124   94 21 15 1
   14 Massachusetts          Hockey   52.65  .578  .590  108   83 23 13 1
   15 Cornell                ECAC     52.63  .622  .590  121   70 24 10 1
   16 Maine                  Hockey   52.19  .536  .577  118   98 18 14 4
   17 Merrimack              Hockey   51.99  .551  .571  124  107 22 15 2
   18 Miami                  NCHC     51.76  .512  .565  104  108 18 16 2
   19 St. Thomas             CCHA     51.60  .568  .560  131  109 21 12 5
   20 Augustana              CCHA     51.46  .586  .556  111   76 22 11 5
   21 Colorado College       NCHC     51.42  .471  .555   95   98 13 17 6
   22 Boston University      Hockey   51.29  .515  .551  116  112 19 17 2
   23 St. Cloud State        NCHC     51.23  .480  .550  114  114 16 19 2
   24 Minnesota State        CCHA     50.92  .587  .541  111   79 22 10 8
   25 Union                  ECAC     50.80  .592  .537  149   98 23 12 3
   26 Michigan Tech          CCHA     50.74  .572  .536  126  106 23 13 3
   27 Ohio State             BigTen   50.56  .447  .530  119  134 14 21 2
   28 Arizona State          NCHC     50.42  .441  .526  106  132 14 21 1
   29 Northeastern           Hockey   50.25  .488  .521  100   95 17 19 1
   30 Princeton              ECAC     50.19  .549  .520  105   90 19 13 3
   31 Bentley                Atlant   50.12  .580  .518  123   92 23 12 5
   32 Minnesota              BigTen   50.04  .414  .515  100  128 11 22 4
   33 American International          50.00  .000  .514    0    0  0  0 0
   34 Bowling Green          CCHA     49.95  .560  .512  120   96 20 12 7
   35 Omaha                  NCHC     49.74  .422  .506  102  132 14 24 0
   36 Harvard                ECAC     49.68  .505  .505   96  102 17 16 2
   37 New Hampshire          Hockey   49.54  .443  .500   70  107 14 20 2
   38 Clarkson               ECAC     49.52  .515  .500  119  113 19 17 3
   39 Sacred Heart           Atlant   49.36  .562  .495  123  100 24 15 3
   40 Mass.-Lowell           Hockey   48.68  .435  .476   94  116 14 22 0
   41 Notre Dame             BigTen   48.62  .397  .474  108  153 10 23 5
   42 Alaska                 Indepe   48.53  .525  .471  111  101 18 15 3
   43 Air Force              Atlant   48.20  .511  .462  110  115 18 16 4
   44 Vermont                Hockey   48.02  .435  .456   78  117 14 21 1
   45 Holy Cross             Atlant   47.97  .499  .455  113  116 18 18 2
   46 Bemidji State          CCHA     47.89  .457  .453  101  106 13 19 5
   47 Lindenwood             Indepe   47.72  .518  .448  134  126 18 16 0
   48 Colgate                ECAC     47.42  .442  .439   99  125 13 20 4
   49 RIT                    Atlant   47.32  .508  .436   99   97 18 17 2
   50 Canisius               Atlant   46.69  .508  .418  107  105 17 16 2
   51 Army                   Atlant   46.66  .462  .417   91   96 12 17 6
   52 Robert Morris          Atlant   46.53  .476  .414  113  131 18 21 3
   53 Long Island            Indepe   46.41  .494  .410  120  118 17 18 1
   54 Rensselaer             ECAC     45.61  .394  .388   80  118 11 24 1
   55 Lake Superior          CCHA     45.58  .433  .387  104  125 13 22 3
   56 Yale                   ECAC     45.03  .384  .372   85  115  9 22 1
   57 Ferris State           CCHA     45.00  .375  .371   99  140 10 27 2
   58 Niagara                Atlant   44.65  .432  .362   97  119 14 23 1
   59 Stonehill              Indepe   44.35  .417  .354  104  131 12 23 3
   60 St. Lawrence           ECAC     42.66  .352  .310   90  156  8 26 3
   61 Brown                  ECAC     42.60  .320  .308   63  119  5 24 2
   62 Mercyhurst             Atlant   42.15  .321  .297   65  143  6 28 3
   63 Northern Michigan      CCHA     41.83  .276  .290   56  132  3 29 2
   64 Alaska-Anchorage       Indepe   41.67  .317  .286   69  134  6 27 1
   65 Non-Division I         Indepe   37.89  .213  .203   70  279  2 45 1
 
                 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT
 
   1 Alaska-Anchorage  Indepen   4 Denver            NCHC      3 0.408
   2 Ferris State      CCHA      3 Western Michigan  NCHC      2 0.476
   3 Non-Division I    Indepen   6 Lindenwood        Indepen   3 0.495
   4 Dartmouth         ECAC      3 Brown             ECAC      4 0.507
   5 Princeton         ECAC      2 St. Lawrence      ECAC      6 0.555
   6 Quinnipiac        ECAC      2 Yale              ECAC      4 0.561
   7 Northern Michigan CCHA      3 Michigan Tech     CCHA      2 0.564
 
 
     FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS (FACT)
                     DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER
               FACT standings calculated by Cody Kirkpatrick
                          talismanred.com/ratings