Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings

David Rothman/FACT Rankings

David Rothman (1935-2004) was a pioneer in the sports ratings world, with his rating system being recognized by the NCAA from 1968-2006 as a national championship selector and used as a BCS component from 1999-2002. Here, I produce the ratings and rankings using his system, and I've also preserved his source code from 1990(!) if you'd like to get it and try it yourself.

David's method considers only scores. Game locations, dates, and all other information is ignored. These files are available:

• the original text file, and at the very bottom, below the list of teams, a list of the biggest upsets of the season so far
• rankings of teams within each conference (new!)

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                < DAVID ROTHMAN'S MENS HOCKEY RANKINGS >
    BASED ON  593 GAMES BETWEEN  65 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
               THROUGH GAMES OF TUESDAY 30 DECEMBER 2025
      FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
 
  RANK   TEAM               DIVISION  LOGIT  PCT.  RRE    PF   PA  W  L T
 
    1 Michigan               BigTen   58.33  .689  .736   96   41 16  4 0
    2 Wisconsin              BigTen   57.09  .672  .707   81   46 14  3 2
    3 Michigan State         BigTen   56.77  .673  .699   67   31 15  4 0
    4 North Dakota           NCHC     56.67  .679  .696   81   42 16  4 0
    5 Minnesota-Duluth       NCHC     55.99  .619  .679   66   41 14  6 0
    6 Dartmouth              ECAC     55.54  .724  .668   63   22 13  2 0
    7 Western Michigan       NCHC     55.50  .610  .666   74   51 13  6 0
    8 Penn State             BigTen   54.59  .599  .642   51   46 11  5 0
    9 Denver                 NCHC     54.30  .619  .635   81   38 13  6 1
   10 Harvard                ECAC     53.57  .618  .615   43   32  8  3 1
   11 Connecticut            Hockey   53.37  .572  .609   56   41  9  5 3
   12 Boston College         Hockey   52.68  .582  .590   60   45 11  6 1
   13 Providence             Hockey   52.54  .569  .586   57   41 10  6 2
   14 Quinnipiac             ECAC     52.47  .608  .584   65   45 12  5 2
   15 Maine                  Hockey   52.34  .567  .581   74   51 11  7 2
   16 Arizona State          NCHC     52.31  .481  .580   59   68  9 10 1
   17 Miami                  NCHC     51.95  .552  .570   69   67 11  7 2
   18 New Hampshire          Hockey   51.95  .536  .570   39   46 10  7 1
   19 Northeastern           Hockey   51.93  .553  .569   48   38 10  7 0
   20 Colorado College       NCHC     51.90  .517  .568   51   47  8  7 3
   21 Boston University      Hockey   51.63  .526  .560   62   62 10  8 1
   22 Cornell                ECAC     51.58  .620  .559   46   25  9  4 0
   23 Augustana              CCHA     51.54  .558  .558   56   45 10  6 4
   24 Minnesota State        CCHA     51.50  .593  .557   57   43 11  4 6
   25 Minnesota              BigTen   51.43  .470  .555   58   63  8 10 1
   26 Union                  ECAC     51.04  .617  .544   72   39 12  5 2
   27 Omaha                  NCHC     50.97  .450  .541   52   66  8 11 0
   28 St. Cloud State        NCHC     50.82  .476  .537   59   56  8 10 1
   29 St. Thomas             CCHA     50.72  .530  .534   65   60  9  7 3
   30 Bemidji State          CCHA     50.29  .520  .522   65   55  9  8 3
   31 Michigan Tech          CCHA     50.26  .557  .521   60   51 11  7 2
   32 American International          50.00  .000  .514    0    0  0  0 0
   33 Ohio State             BigTen   49.75  .433  .506   50   55  6 10 0
   34 Merrimack              Hockey   49.73  .488  .506   55   54  9 10 0
   35 Princeton              ECAC     49.73  .614  .506   47   31  9  4 0
   36 Holy Cross             Atlant   49.69  .571  .505   61   47 10  6 1
   37 Massachusetts          Hockey   49.69  .494  .505   50   57  9  9 0
   38 Lindenwood             Indepe   49.60  .530  .502   67   63 10  8 0
   39 Clarkson               ECAC     49.06  .474  .487   60   61  9 11 0
   40 Bowling Green          CCHA     48.56  .561  .472   66   55 10  6 3
   41 Air Force              Atlant   48.25  .509  .463   58   64  9  8 2
   42 Sacred Heart           Atlant   47.84  .517  .452   51   46  9  8 2
   43 Alaska                 Indepe   47.70  .452  .447   46   53  7 10 1
   44 RIT                    Atlant   47.68  .549  .447   54   42 11  8 0
   45 Bentley                Atlant   47.49  .531  .442   45   43  9  7 1
   46 Long Island            Indepe   47.42  .506  .440   78   69 10 10 1
   47 Colgate                ECAC     47.34  .434  .437   48   61  6 10 2
   48 Mass.-Lowell           Hockey   47.16  .439  .432   44   51  7 11 0
   49 Yale                   ECAC     47.06  .431  .429   30   40  5  8 0
   50 Notre Dame             BigTen   46.85  .397  .424   50   67  5 11 1
   51 Army                   Atlant   46.71  .458  .419   51   57  6  9 5
   52 Vermont                Hockey   46.18  .402  .405   29   57  6 11 0
   53 Canisius               Atlant   46.01  .494  .400   47   55  8  8 2
   54 Niagara                Atlant   45.96  .482  .398   46   50  8  9 0
   55 Lake Superior          CCHA     45.93  .441  .398   65   68  8 13 1
   56 Ferris State           CCHA     45.12  .370  .376   54   78  6 16 0
   57 Rensselaer             ECAC     44.95  .359  .371   36   65  5 14 0
   58 Robert Morris          Atlant   44.38  .421  .356   51   68  6 11 2
   59 Brown                  ECAC     43.98  .335  .345   32   53  3 11 0
   60 Stonehill              Indepe   43.27  .328  .327   34   62  3 13 1
   61 Alaska-Anchorage       Indepe   42.83  .363  .316   38   57  4 11 0
   62 Northern Michigan      CCHA     41.45  .241  .282   33   79  1 19 0
   63 St. Lawrence           ECAC     40.37  .307  .257   43   84  3 16 1
   64 Mercyhurst             Atlant   37.90  .218  .206   22   74  0 15 1
   65 Non-Division I         Indepe   37.22  .207  .193   49  213  1 36 1
 
                 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT
 
   1 Alaska-Anchorage  Indepen   4 Denver            NCHC      3 0.478
   2 Ferris State      CCHA      3 Western Michigan  NCHC      2 0.514
   3 Ohio State        BigTen    5 Wisconsin         BigTen    1 0.562
   4 North Dakota      NCHC      2 Clarkson          ECAC      5 0.572
   5 Ferris State      CCHA      4 Minnesota State   CCHA      1 0.615
   6 Rensselaer        ECAC      5 Union             ECAC      2 0.626
 
 
     FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS (FACT)
                     DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER
               FACT standings calculated by Cody Kirkpatrick
                          talismanred.com/ratings