Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings

David Rothman/FACT Rankings

David Rothman (1935-2004) was a pioneer in the sports ratings world, with his rating system being recognized by the NCAA from 1968-2006 as a national championship selector and used as a BCS component from 1999-2002. Here, I produce the ratings and rankings using his system, and I've also preserved his source code from 1990(!) if you'd like to get it and try it yourself.

David's method considers only scores. Game locations, dates, and all other information is ignored. These files are available:

• the original text file, and at the very bottom, below the list of teams, a list of the biggest upsets of the season so far
• rankings of teams within each conference (new!)

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                < DAVID ROTHMAN'S MENS HOCKEY RANKINGS >
    BASED ON  703 GAMES BETWEEN  65 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
               THROUGH GAMES OF THURSDAY 15 JANUARY 2026
      FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
 
  RANK   TEAM               DIVISION  LOGIT  PCT.  RRE    PF   PA  W  L T
 
    1 Michigan               BigTen   57.90  .699  .727  108   47 18  4 0
    2 Western Michigan       NCHC     56.18  .644  .685   92   54 17  6 0
    3 Minnesota-Duluth       NCHC     56.08  .635  .682   80   48 16  6 0
    4 Michigan State         BigTen   56.07  .668  .682   82   40 18  5 0
    5 Wisconsin              BigTen   55.93  .663  .678   92   52 16  4 2
    6 North Dakota           NCHC     55.81  .675  .675   96   48 19  5 0
    7 Penn State             BigTen   54.51  .611  .641   66   52 14  6 0
    8 Dartmouth              ECAC     54.40  .671  .638   75   36 14  4 0
    9 Quinnipiac             ECAC     54.03  .643  .628   90   54 16  5 2
   10 Cornell                ECAC     53.33  .661  .609   67   34 13  4 0
   11 Providence             Hockey   53.28  .584  .608   72   49 13  7 2
   12 Connecticut            Hockey   53.03  .587  .601   71   49 12  6 3
   13 Denver                 NCHC     52.76  .562  .593   89   56 13  9 2
   14 Boston College         Hockey   52.74  .595  .593   68   47 12  6 1
   15 Arizona State          NCHC     52.22  .510  .578   73   74 12 11 1
   16 Maine                  Hockey   52.22  .542  .578   83   65 12  9 3
   17 Augustana              CCHA     52.02  .595  .572   68   49 14  6 4
   18 New Hampshire          Hockey   51.87  .533  .568   44   51 11  8 1
   19 Boston University      Hockey   51.78  .549  .565   75   67 13  9 1
   20 Miami                  NCHC     51.74  .547  .564   71   69 12  8 2
   21 Union                  ECAC     51.67  .616  .562   87   48 14  6 2
   22 St. Thomas             CCHA     51.53  .565  .558   82   69 12  7 3
   23 St. Cloud State        NCHC     51.23  .503  .550   72   67 11 11 1
   24 Colorado College       NCHC     51.20  .488  .549   60   61  9 10 3
   25 Princeton              ECAC     51.20  .620  .549   62   43 12  5 0
   26 Harvard                ECAC     50.64  .514  .533   51   53  8  7 1
   27 Minnesota State        CCHA     50.61  .569  .532   64   53 12  6 6
   28 Merrimack              Hockey   50.55  .515  .530   63   58 11 10 0
   29 Minnesota              BigTen   50.38  .447  .525   63   74  8 12 2
   30 Michigan Tech          CCHA     50.26  .570  .522   76   64 14  8 2
   31 Omaha                  NCHC     50.15  .452  .519   69   80 10 14 0
   32 Clarkson               ECAC     50.09  .514  .517   72   67 12 11 0
   33 American International          50.00  .000  .514    0    0  0  0 0
   34 Massachusetts          Hockey   49.81  .512  .509   59   58 11 10 0
   35 Ohio State             BigTen   49.55  .430  .501   59   69  7 12 1
   36 Bemidji State          CCHA     49.53  .493  .500   73   67  9 10 4
   37 Northeastern           Hockey   49.51  .503  .500   55   51 10 10 0
   38 Bowling Green          CCHA     49.49  .588  .499   81   62 13  6 4
   39 Bentley                Atlant   49.40  .569  .497   63   50 12  7 2
   40 RIT                    Atlant   49.21  .563  .491   65   52 14  9 0
   41 Sacred Heart           Atlant   48.91  .552  .482   63   53 12  8 2
   42 Holy Cross             Atlant   48.78  .530  .479   68   62 10  8 2
   43 Lindenwood             Indepe   48.61  .499  .474   82   83 11 11 0
   44 Mass.-Lowell           Hockey   48.56  .449  .472   55   63  9 13 0
   45 Alaska                 Indepe   48.07  .433  .458   56   71  8 13 1
   46 Air Force              Atlant   47.95  .484  .455   70   79 10 11 2
   47 Vermont                Hockey   47.83  .459  .452   40   62  9 11 0
   48 Colgate                ECAC     47.82  .440  .451   53   66  7 11 2
   49 Long Island            Indepe   47.27  .493  .436   83   78 11 12 1
   50 Army                   Atlant   46.94  .477  .426   61   62  8 10 5
   51 Canisius               Atlant   46.91  .493  .425   53   63  9  9 2
   52 Notre Dame             BigTen   46.32  .359  .409   56   87  5 15 1
   53 Yale                   ECAC     46.21  .418  .406   45   54  6 11 0
   54 Lake Superior          CCHA     46.12  .468  .403   69   70 10 13 1
   55 Niagara                Atlant   45.23  .442  .379   54   65  8 12 0
   56 Rensselaer             ECAC     44.60  .339  .362   41   77  5 17 0
   57 Ferris State           CCHA     44.29  .345  .353   63   99  6 20 0
   58 Brown                  ECAC     43.87  .350  .342   40   60  4 13 0
   59 Robert Morris          Atlant   43.82  .394  .341   55   78  6 14 2
   60 Stonehill              Indepe   42.79  .347  .315   47   78  4 15 2
   61 Alaska-Anchorage       Indepe   42.46  .327  .306   42   77  4 15 0
   62 Northern Michigan      CCHA     40.90  .238  .269   35   88  1 23 0
   63 Mercyhurst             Atlant   40.01  .243  .249   26   87  1 18 1
   64 St. Lawrence           ECAC     39.71  .300  .242   50  105  3 19 2
   65 Non-Division I         Indepe   37.35  .203  .195   54  245  1 41 1
 
                 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT
 
   1 Ferris State      CCHA      3 Western Michigan  NCHC      2 0.464
   2 Alaska-Anchorage  Indepen   4 Denver            NCHC      3 0.516
   3 Vermont           HockeyE   2 St. Lawrence      ECAC      5 0.554
   4 Northern Michigan CCHA      3 Bowling Green     CCHA      2 0.575
   5 Quinnipiac        ECAC      2 Yale              ECAC      4 0.583
   6 Augustana         CCHA      0 Ferris State      CCHA      2 0.586
 
 
     FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS (FACT)
                     DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER
               FACT standings calculated by Cody Kirkpatrick
                          talismanred.com/ratings