Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings

David Rothman/FACT Rankings

David Rothman (1935-2004) was a pioneer in the sports ratings world, with his rating system being recognized by the NCAA from 1968-2006 as a national championship selector and used as a BCS component from 1999-2002. Here, I produce the ratings and rankings using his system, and I've also preserved his source code from 1990(!) if you'd like to get it and try it yourself.

David's method considers only scores. Game locations, dates, and all other information is ignored. These files are available:

• the original text file, and at the very bottom, below the list of teams, a list of the biggest upsets of the season so far
• rankings of teams within each conference (new!)

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                < DAVID ROTHMAN'S MENS HOCKEY RANKINGS >
    BASED ON 1098 GAMES BETWEEN  65 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
              THROUGH GAMES OF SATURDAY 28 FEBRUARY 2026
      FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
 
  RANK   TEAM               DIVISION  LOGIT  PCT.  RRE    PF   PA  W  L T
 
    1 Michigan               BigTen   57.75  .669  .723  151   82 26  7 1
    2 Michigan State         BigTen   56.61  .665  .695  127   69 26  7 1
    3 Western Michigan       NCHC     56.55  .636  .693  134   83 25  9 1
    4 North Dakota           NCHC     56.18  .658  .684  144   80 27  8 1
    5 Providence             Hockey   55.16  .627  .658  122   75 24  9 2
    6 Denver                 NCHC     54.62  .596  .643  128   79 22 11 3
    7 Quinnipiac             ECAC     54.33  .650  .635  155   83 26  8 3
    8 Penn State             BigTen   54.33  .591  .635  122   95 20 10 2
    9 Minnesota-Duluth       NCHC     54.22  .563  .632  110   85 20 13 1
   10 Wisconsin              BigTen   53.84  .580  .622  123   96 20 11 2
   11 Boston College         Hockey   53.33  .574  .608  113   84 20 12 1
   12 Cornell                ECAC     52.99  .635  .598  109   62 22  8 1
   13 Maine                  Hockey   52.97  .556  .598  115   88 18 12 4
   14 Connecticut            Hockey   52.80  .566  .593  100   76 17 10 5
   15 Dartmouth              ECAC     52.51  .628  .585  116   67 20  7 4
   16 Massachusetts          Hockey   52.33  .570  .580   98   77 20 12 1
   17 Miami                  NCHC     52.23  .531  .577  102   99 18 14 2
   18 Boston University      Hockey   51.80  .523  .565  106  102 18 15 2
   19 Colorado College       NCHC     51.66  .486  .560   92   91 13 15 6
   20 St. Thomas             CCHA     51.60  .560  .559  119   99 18 11 5
   21 St. Cloud State        NCHC     51.59  .494  .558  110  108 16 17 2
   22 Augustana              CCHA     51.46  .585  .555  103   71 20 10 5
   23 Union                  ECAC     51.34  .606  .551  136   88 22 10 3
   24 Merrimack              Hockey   50.79  .519  .535  107   98 17 15 2
   25 Michigan Tech          CCHA     50.66  .572  .531  116   94 21 12 3
   26 Minnesota State        CCHA     50.58  .572  .529   92   73 18  9 8
   27 Ohio State             BigTen   50.57  .446  .529   99  115 12 18 2
   28 Arizona State          NCHC     50.46  .441  .526  106  132 14 21 1
   29 Bowling Green          CCHA     50.36  .578  .523  115   88 20 10 7
   30 New Hampshire          Hockey   50.28  .465  .520   64   92 14 17 2
   31 Minnesota              BigTen   50.27  .426  .520   94  112 11 20 3
   32 Omaha                  NCHC     50.03  .435  .513   98  122 14 22 0
   33 American International          50.00  .000  .512    0    0  0  0 0
   34 Northeastern           Hockey   49.89  .479  .509   88   86 15 18 1
   35 Harvard                ECAC     49.70  .507  .504   87   89 15 14 2
   36 Bentley                Atlant   49.36  .551  .494  103   85 18 12 5
   37 Princeton              ECAC     49.36  .537  .494   91   82 16 12 3
   38 Sacred Heart           Atlant   49.29  .555  .492  104   89 20 13 3
   39 Clarkson               ECAC     48.92  .502  .481  110  105 16 16 3
   40 Mass.-Lowell           Hockey   48.74  .439  .476   84  103 13 20 0
   41 Air Force              Atlant   48.63  .522  .473  104  104 17 14 4
   42 Alaska                 Indepe   48.49  .518  .469  103   94 17 15 2
   43 Bemidji State          CCHA     48.31  .471  .463   98   99 13 17 5
   44 Notre Dame             BigTen   48.16  .382  .459   98  140  8 22 5
   45 Holy Cross             Atlant   48.00  .500  .454  104  104 16 16 2
   46 Vermont                Hockey   47.86  .432  .450   72  110 13 20 1
   47 RIT                    Atlant   47.82  .523  .449   94   90 18 15 2
   48 Lindenwood             Indepe   47.76  .519  .447  126  118 17 15 0
   49 Colgate                ECAC     47.70  .447  .446   94  115 12 18 4
   50 Canisius               Atlant   47.11  .517  .429  105  100 17 15 2
   51 Army                   Atlant   46.92  .469  .423   87   91 12 16 6
   52 Long Island            Indepe   46.28  .485  .405  108  107 15 17 1
   53 Robert Morris          Atlant   46.21  .472  .403   96  113 15 18 3
   54 Rensselaer             ECAC     45.86  .399  .393   79  116 11 23 1
   55 Lake Superior          CCHA     45.83  .444  .393   99  116 13 20 3
   56 Yale                   ECAC     45.23  .389  .376   83  112  9 21 1
   57 Ferris State           CCHA     44.91  .374  .367   96  132  9 25 2
   58 Niagara                Atlant   44.68  .434  .361   90  110 13 21 1
   59 Stonehill              Indepe   44.21  .409  .348   94  123 11 22 2
   60 Brown                  ECAC     42.78  .327  .312   63  110  5 23 2
   61 St. Lawrence           ECAC     42.72  .355  .310   87  152  8 25 3
   62 Alaska-Anchorage       Indepe   42.03  .323  .293   66  127  6 25 1
   63 Mercyhurst             Atlant   41.94  .314  .291   57  131  5 26 3
   64 Northern Michigan      CCHA     41.91  .276  .290   56  132  3 29 2
   65 Non-Division I         Indepe   37.83  .215  .201   69  271  2 44 1
 
                 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT
 
   1 Alaska-Anchorage  Indepen   4 Denver            NCHC      3 0.442
   2 Ferris State      CCHA      3 Western Michigan  NCHC      2 0.472
   3 Non-Division I    Indepen   6 Lindenwood        Indepen   3 0.492
   4 Dartmouth         ECAC      3 Brown             ECAC      4 0.536
   5 Quinnipiac        ECAC      2 Yale              ECAC      4 0.539
   6 Northern Michigan CCHA      3 Michigan Tech     CCHA      2 0.570
   7 Northern Michigan CCHA      3 Bowling Green     CCHA      2 0.580
 
 
     FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS (FACT)
                     DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER
               FACT standings calculated by Cody Kirkpatrick
                          talismanred.com/ratings