Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings
This is my rough attempt at a computer rating that can, among other things, come somewhat close to predicting final game scores. The actual computer rating, which describes team performance based on games played to date, is found under the "Rating" column.
To determine a hypothetical margin of victory, use the "Points" column (just subtract the teams in question) and add in the home field/court advantage, which is listed on the right. It usually is around 0.5 goals for hockey. All of the games in the predictions list already have home advantage taken into account.
22 December: I had inadvertently left some of last year's games in a stray file, which cause the ratings to hold on to old information. That's now fixed and they look much better.
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Here are direct links to the
full ratings list or to
conference standings; scroll down
for game predictions.
Ratings were last updated: 31-Dec-2025 07 am EST Top 16 TeamsRank Team W L T Rating Points BCS 1 Michigan 16 4 0 4.09 53.11 1 2 Wisconsin 14 3 2 3.33 52.20 3 3 North Dakota 16 4 0 3.24 52.09 2 4 Michigan State 15 4 0 3.09 51.98 4 5 Minnesota-Duluth 14 6 0 3.01 52.05 5 6 Western Michigan 13 6 0 2.81 51.97 7 7 Denver 13 6 1 2.72 52.34 9 8 Dartmouth 13 2 0 2.70 51.80 6 9 Connecticut 9 5 3 1.87 51.26 11 10 Penn State 11 5 0 1.86 50.90 8 Rank Team W L T Rating Points BCS 11 Harvard 8 3 1 1.60 50.87 10 12 Boston College 11 6 1 1.53 50.97 12 13 Providence 10 6 2 1.49 51.11 16 14 Maine 11 7 2 1.46 51.04 15 15 Quinnipiac 12 5 2 1.38 50.81 13 16 Arizona State 9 10 1 1.21 50.73 17 Predictions for Upcoming Games(Sometimes, games from 1-2 days earlier get "stuck" on the list if my upstream source doesn't update them. This is especially true for exhibition games.) PREDICTIONS FOR UPCOMING GAMES Date Away Team Home Team Total Prediction ----------- -------------------- -------------------- ----- -------------- 31-Dec-2025 Long Island Connecticut 6.1 HOME by 1.91 02-Jan-2026 Michigan Tech Air Force 6.3 Mich by -0.99 02-Jan-2026 Alaska-Anchorage Arizona State 6.3 HOME by 2.34 02-Jan-2026 Northeastern Army 5.4 AWAY by -1.40 02-Jan-2026 Minnesota Bemidji State 9.3 HOME by 0.19 02-Jan-2026 Holy Cross Bentley 6.1 AWAY by -0.91 02-Jan-2026 Omaha Cornell 5.6 HOME by 0.65 02-Jan-2026 Maine Denver 5.4 HOME by 1.39 02-Jan-2026 Mass.-Lowell Minnesota State 4.9 Minn by 0.77 02-Jan-2026 Mercyhurst North Dakota 5.6 HOME by 5.54 02-Jan-2026 Western Michigan Notre Dame 7.3 AWAY by -2.59 02-Jan-2026 Bowling Green Ohio State 5.3 HOME by 0.82 02-Jan-2026 Dartmouth Princeton 7.2 AWAY by -1.58 02-Jan-2026 Alaska Providence 4.2 HOME by 1.76 02-Jan-2026 Harvard Quinnipiac 5.6 HOME by 0.04 02-Jan-2026 Stonehill St. Lawrence 5.3 AWAY by -1.17 02-Jan-2026 Ferris State St. Thomas 8.0 HOME by 1.66 02-Jan-2026 St. Cloud State Yale 3.7 St. by -1.77 02-Jan-2026 Canisius Lindenwood 6.6 HOME by 1.57 02-Jan-2026 Colorado College Augustana 5.7 AWAY by -0.03 03-Jan-2026 Ohio State Bowling Green 8.1 AWAY by -0.63 03-Jan-2026 Merrimack Brown 6.2 AWAY by -1.51 03-Jan-2026 Omaha Cornell 5.6 HOME by 0.65 03-Jan-2026 Maine Denver 5.4 HOME by 1.39 03-Jan-2026 Bentley Holy Cross 6.8 HOME by 1.11 03-Jan-2026 Northern Michigan Lake Superior 6.3 HOME by 1.31 03-Jan-2026 Connecticut Long Island 8.5 AWAY by -1.72 03-Jan-2026 Colgate New Hampshire 5.2 HOME by 0.85 03-Jan-2026 Clarkson Niagara 6.0 AWAY by -1.10 03-Jan-2026 Mercyhurst North Dakota 5.6 HOME by 5.54 03-Jan-2026 Harvard Princeton 6.5 AWAY by -0.65 03-Jan-2026 Alaska Providence 4.2 HOME by 1.76 03-Jan-2026 Dartmouth Quinnipiac 6.4 AWAY by -0.89 03-Jan-2026 Penn State RIT 5.3 AWAY by -1.46 03-Jan-2026 Stonehill St. Lawrence 5.3 AWAY by -1.17 03-Jan-2026 Ferris State St. Thomas 8.0 HOME by 1.66 03-Jan-2026 Rensselaer Vermont 4.7 AWAY by -0.13 03-Jan-2026 Notre Dame Western Michigan 7.1 HOME by 2.79 03-Jan-2026 Canisius Lindenwood 6.6 HOME by 1.57 03-Jan-2026 Sacred Heart Robert Morris 3.9 AWAY by -1.04 03-Jan-2026 Colorado College Augustana 5.7 AWAY by -0.03 04-Jan-2026 Northern Michigan Lake Superior 6.3 HOME by 1.31 04-Jan-2026 Colgate New Hampshire 5.2 HOME by 0.85 04-Jan-2026 RIT Penn State 5.6 HOME by 1.66 09-Jan-2026 Bentley Air Force 6.3 HOME by 0.17 09-Jan-2026 Miami Arizona State 7.5 HOME by 0.39 09-Jan-2026 Michigan Tech Bemidji State 8.0 HOME by 0.62 09-Jan-2026 Stonehill Boston College 6.4 HOME by 2.59 09-Jan-2026 Clarkson Brown 6.3 AWAY by -1.33 09-Jan-2026 North Dakota Colorado College 4.9 AWAY by -1.16 09-Jan-2026 Mass.-Lowell Connecticut 5.9 HOME by 1.83 09-Jan-2026 Alaska Cornell 4.9 HOME by 1.36 09-Jan-2026 Harvard Dartmouth 5.0 HOME by 1.03 09-Jan-2026 Western Michigan Denver 6.7 HOME by 0.46 09-Jan-2026 Bowling Green Ferris State 4.4 AWAY by -0.79 09-Jan-2026 Boston University Massachusetts 8.0 AWAY by -0.38 09-Jan-2026 Army Mercyhurst 4.3 AWAY by -2.41 09-Jan-2026 Notre Dame Michigan 8.0 HOME by 3.93 09-Jan-2026 Lindenwood Minnesota-Duluth 6.7 HOME by 2.22 09-Jan-2026 Sacred Heart Niagara 4.9 AWAY by -0.61 09-Jan-2026 Augustana Northern Michigan 2.7 AWAY by -2.36 09-Jan-2026 Michigan State Ohio State 5.3 AWAY by -1.40 09-Jan-2026 St. Cloud State Omaha 6.3 AWAY by -0.62 09-Jan-2026 Minnesota Penn State 9.0 HOME by 0.34 09-Jan-2026 Rensselaer Princeton 6.5 HOME by 1.71 09-Jan-2026 Maine Providence 4.6 HOME by 0.16 09-Jan-2026 Union Quinnipiac 6.2 HOME by 0.03 09-Jan-2026 Robert Morris RIT 6.2 HOME by 1.06 09-Jan-2026 Northeastern Vermont 5.2 AWAY by -2.27 09-Jan-2026 Alaska-Anchorage Wisconsin 5.1 HOME by 3.82 09-Jan-2026 St. Lawrence Yale 5.0 HOME by 1.99 10-Jan-2026 Bentley Air Force 6.3 HOME by 0.17 10-Jan-2026 Miami Arizona State 7.5 HOME by 0.39 10-Jan-2026 Michigan Tech Bemidji State 8.0 HOME by 0.62 10-Jan-2026 Massachusetts Boston University 6.5 HOME by 0.57 10-Jan-2026 St. Lawrence Brown 6.7 HOME by 1.46 10-Jan-2026 North Dakota Colorado College 4.9 AWAY by -1.16 10-Jan-2026 Alaska Cornell 4.9 HOME by 1.36 10-Jan-2026 Western Michigan Denver 6.7 HOME by 0.46 10-Jan-2026 Bowling Green Ferris State 4.4 AWAY by -0.79 10-Jan-2026 Merrimack Holy Cross 6.0 HOME by 0.09 10-Jan-2026 Connecticut Mass.-Lowell 4.8 AWAY by -1.64 10-Jan-2026 Army Mercyhurst 4.3 AWAY by -2.41 10-Jan-2026 Notre Dame Michigan 8.0 HOME by 3.93 10-Jan-2026 St. Thomas Minnesota State 5.9 AWAY by -0.05 10-Jan-2026 Lindenwood Minnesota-Duluth 6.7 HOME by 2.22 10-Jan-2026 Sacred Heart Niagara 4.9 AWAY by -0.61 10-Jan-2026 Augustana Northern Michigan 2.7 AWAY by -2.36 10-Jan-2026 Michigan State Ohio State 5.3 AWAY by -1.40 10-Jan-2026 St. Cloud State Omaha 6.3 AWAY by -0.62 10-Jan-2026 Minnesota Penn State 9.0 HOME by 0.34 10-Jan-2026 Union Princeton 7.1 AWAY by -0.66 10-Jan-2026 Maine Providence 4.6 HOME by 0.16 10-Jan-2026 Rensselaer Quinnipiac 5.7 HOME by 2.39 10-Jan-2026 Robert Morris RIT 6.2 HOME by 1.06 10-Jan-2026 Northeastern Vermont 5.2 AWAY by -2.27 10-Jan-2026 Alaska-Anchorage Wisconsin 5.1 HOME by 3.82 10-Jan-2026 Clarkson Yale 4.6 AWAY by -0.80 11-Jan-2026 Long Island Stonehill 6.7 AWAY by -0.87 |
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