Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings

David Rothman/FACT Rankings

David Rothman (1935-2004) was a pioneer in the sports ratings world, with his rating system being recognized by the NCAA from 1968-2006 as a national championship selector and used as a BCS component from 1999-2002. Here, I produce the ratings and rankings using his system, and I've also preserved his source code from 1990(!) if you'd like to get it and try it yourself.

David's method considers only scores. Game locations, dates, and all other information is ignored. These files are available:

• the original text file, and at the very bottom, below the list of teams, a list of the biggest upsets of the season so far
• rankings of teams within each conference (new!)

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                < DAVID ROTHMAN'S MENS HOCKEY RANKINGS >
    BASED ON 1149 GAMES BETWEEN  65 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
                THROUGH GAMES OF SATURDAY 7 MARCH 2026
      FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
 
  RANK   TEAM               DIVISION  LOGIT  PCT.  RRE    PF   PA  W  L T
 
    1 Michigan               BigTen   57.67  .674  .721  159   83 27  7 1
    2 Western Michigan       NCHC     56.85  .644  .701  141   86 27  9 1
    3 Michigan State         BigTen   56.50  .665  .693  137   73 27  7 2
    4 North Dakota           NCHC     56.40  .665  .690  154   84 29  8 1
    5 Providence             Hockey   55.35  .631  .663  125   76 25  9 2
    6 Denver                 NCHC     54.97  .607  .653  137   81 24 11 3
    7 Minnesota-Duluth       NCHC     54.57  .574  .642  116   89 22 13 1
    8 Wisconsin              BigTen   54.36  .593  .637  135  101 22 11 2
    9 Quinnipiac             ECAC     54.31  .650  .635  155   83 26  8 3
   10 Penn State             BigTen   53.66  .568  .617  127  107 20 12 2
   11 Cornell                ECAC     52.98  .635  .598  109   62 22  8 1
   12 Massachusetts          Hockey   52.80  .582  .593  104   80 22 12 1
   13 Connecticut            Hockey   52.78  .562  .593  105   80 18 11 5
   14 Boston College         Hockey   52.74  .554  .592  116   90 20 14 1
   15 Maine                  Hockey   52.62  .546  .588  118   93 18 13 4
   16 Dartmouth              ECAC     52.47  .628  .584  116   67 20  7 4
   17 Miami                  NCHC     51.83  .512  .566  104  108 18 16 2
   18 St. Thomas             CCHA     51.76  .572  .564  128  104 20 11 5
   19 Augustana              CCHA     51.74  .596  .563  110   74 22 10 5
   20 Colorado College       NCHC     51.47  .471  .556   95   98 13 17 6
   21 Boston University      Hockey   51.46  .515  .555  109  106 18 16 2
   22 Union                  ECAC     51.43  .613  .554  145   88 23 10 3
   23 St. Cloud State        NCHC     51.31  .480  .551  114  114 16 19 2
   24 Michigan Tech          CCHA     51.06  .582  .544  124   99 23 12 3
   25 Merrimack              Hockey   51.03  .526  .543  112  101 18 15 2
   26 Arizona State          NCHC     50.41  .441  .525  106  132 14 21 1
   27 Minnesota State        CCHA     50.34  .570  .523   98   76 19 10 8
   28 Minnesota              BigTen   50.27  .421  .521   98  122 11 21 4
   29 Northeastern           Hockey   50.25  .487  .520   92   88 16 18 1
   30 American International          50.00  .000  .513    0    0  0  0 0
   31 Bowling Green          CCHA     49.89  .560  .510  120   96 20 12 7
   32 New Hampshire          Hockey   49.89  .450  .510   67  100 14 19 2
   33 Ohio State             BigTen   49.87  .434  .509  106  124 12 20 2
   34 Omaha                  NCHC     49.84  .422  .508  102  132 14 24 0
   35 Harvard                ECAC     49.74  .515  .505   91   92 16 14 2
   36 Bentley                Atlant   49.54  .564  .499  113   88 20 12 5
   37 Sacred Heart           Atlant   49.49  .566  .498  109   91 22 13 3
   38 Princeton              ECAC     49.31  .537  .493   91   82 16 12 3
   39 Clarkson               ECAC     49.00  .509  .484  112  106 17 16 3
   40 Mass.-Lowell           Hockey   48.89  .442  .480   91  111 14 21 0
   41 Notre Dame             BigTen   48.70  .403  .475  107  147 10 22 5
   42 Alaska                 Indepe   48.64  .525  .473  111  101 18 15 3
   43 Air Force              Atlant   48.52  .520  .470  108  110 18 15 4
   44 Holy Cross             Atlant   48.42  .515  .467  111  109 18 16 2
   45 Vermont                Hockey   48.24  .442  .462   77  113 14 20 1
   46 Bemidji State          CCHA     47.99  .457  .454  101  106 13 19 5
   47 Lindenwood             Indepe   47.76  .518  .448  134  126 18 16 0
   48 Colgate                ECAC     47.73  .456  .447   97  117 13 18 4
   49 RIT                    Atlant   47.35  .508  .436   99   97 18 17 2
   50 Canisius               Atlant   46.70  .508  .418  107  105 17 16 2
   51 Army                   Atlant   46.70  .462  .418   91   96 12 17 6
   52 Long Island            Indepe   46.35  .494  .408  120  118 17 18 1
   53 Robert Morris          Atlant   46.33  .475  .407  102  117 16 19 3
   54 Lake Superior          CCHA     45.64  .433  .388  104  125 13 22 3
   55 Rensselaer             ECAC     45.62  .394  .387   80  118 11 24 1
   56 Ferris State           CCHA     45.12  .379  .374   99  138 10 26 2
   57 Yale                   ECAC     44.98  .384  .370   85  115  9 22 1
   58 Niagara                Atlant   44.67  .432  .362   97  119 14 23 1
   59 Stonehill              Indepe   44.33  .417  .352  104  131 12 23 3
   60 St. Lawrence           ECAC     42.68  .352  .310   90  156  8 26 3
   61 Brown                  ECAC     42.58  .320  .307   63  119  5 24 2
   62 Mercyhurst             Atlant   42.17  .321  .297   65  143  6 28 3
   63 Northern Michigan      CCHA     41.86  .276  .289   56  132  3 29 2
   64 Alaska-Anchorage       Indepe   41.71  .317  .286   69  134  6 27 1
   65 Non-Division I         Indepe   37.92  .213  .203   70  279  2 45 1
 
                 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT
 
   1 Alaska-Anchorage  Indepen   4 Denver            NCHC      3 0.421
   2 Ferris State      CCHA      3 Western Michigan  NCHC      2 0.469
   3 Non-Division I    Indepen   6 Lindenwood        Indepen   3 0.495
   4 Dartmouth         ECAC      3 Brown             ECAC      4 0.531
   5 Quinnipiac        ECAC      2 Yale              ECAC      4 0.531
   6 Northern Michigan CCHA      3 Michigan Tech     CCHA      2 0.554
   7 North Dakota      NCHC      2 Clarkson          ECAC      5 0.579
 
 
     FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS (FACT)
                     DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER
               FACT standings calculated by Cody Kirkpatrick
                          talismanred.com/ratings