Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings

David Rothman/FACT Rankings

David Rothman (1935-2004) was a pioneer in the sports ratings world, with his rating system being recognized by the NCAA from 1968-2006 as a national championship selector and used as a BCS component from 1999-2002. Here, I produce the ratings and rankings using his system, and I've also preserved his source code from 1990(!) if you'd like to get it and try it yourself.

David's method considers only scores. Game locations, dates, and all other information is ignored. These files are available:

• the original text file, and at the very bottom, below the list of teams, a list of the biggest upsets of the season so far
• rankings of teams within each conference (new!)

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                < DAVID ROTHMAN'S MENS HOCKEY RANKINGS >
    BASED ON 1203 GAMES BETWEEN  65 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
                 THROUGH GAMES OF SUNDAY 29 MARCH 2026
      FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
 
  RANK   TEAM               DIVISION  LOGIT  PCT.  RRE    PF   PA  W  L T
 
    1 Michigan               BigTen   58.24  .690  .737  186   93 32  7 1
    2 Western Michigan       NCHC     56.56  .625  .696  147   95 28 11 1
    3 North Dakota           NCHC     56.54  .661  .696  163   89 31  9 1
    4 Denver                 NCHC     55.98  .625  .682  154   87 28 11 3
    5 Michigan State         BigTen   55.96  .646  .681  144   81 28  9 2
    6 Minnesota-Duluth       NCHC     54.83  .568  .652  130   99 24 15 1
    7 Wisconsin              BigTen   54.56  .592  .645  145  112 24 12 2
    8 Providence             Hockey   54.42  .610  .641  129   84 25 11 2
    9 Penn State             BigTen   53.59  .555  .618  136  117 21 14 2
   10 Quinnipiac             ECAC     53.37  .621  .612  163   97 27 11 3
   11 Dartmouth              ECAC     52.74  .634  .594  131   75 24  8 4
   12 Connecticut            Hockey   52.57  .556  .590  116   90 20 13 5
   13 Boston College         Hockey   52.49  .552  .587  124   94 21 15 1
   14 Massachusetts          Hockey   52.42  .578  .585  108   83 23 13 1
   15 Cornell                ECAC     52.23  .609  .580  121   75 24 11 1
   16 Maine                  Hockey   51.99  .536  .573  118   98 18 14 4
   17 Miami                  NCHC     51.92  .512  .571  104  108 18 16 2
   18 Merrimack              Hockey   51.62  .543  .563  124  110 22 16 2
   19 St. Thomas             CCHA     51.61  .568  .562  131  109 21 12 5
   20 Colorado College       NCHC     51.55  .471  .560   95   98 13 17 6
   21 Augustana              CCHA     51.51  .586  .559  111   76 22 11 5
   22 St. Cloud State        NCHC     51.42  .480  .557  114  114 16 19 2
   23 Boston University      Hockey   51.05  .515  .546  116  112 19 17 2
   24 Minnesota State        CCHA     50.84  .578  .540  112   82 22 11 8
   25 Michigan Tech          CCHA     50.74  .572  .537  126  106 23 13 3
   26 Ohio State             BigTen   50.67  .447  .535  119  134 14 21 2
   27 Union                  ECAC     50.62  .592  .534  149   98 23 12 3
   28 Arizona State          NCHC     50.58  .441  .533  106  132 14 21 1
   29 Minnesota              BigTen   50.18  .414  .521  100  128 11 22 4
   30 Northeastern           Hockey   50.02  .488  .516  100   95 17 19 1
   31 American International          50.00  .000  .516    0    0  0  0 0
   32 Princeton              ECAC     49.99  .549  .515  105   90 19 13 3
   33 Bentley                Atlant   49.96  .571  .515  124   97 23 13 5
   34 Bowling Green          CCHA     49.94  .560  .514  120   96 20 12 7
   35 Omaha                  NCHC     49.86  .422  .512  102  132 14 24 0
   36 Harvard                ECAC     49.46  .505  .500   96  102 17 16 2
   37 Clarkson               ECAC     49.36  .515  .497  119  113 19 17 3
   38 New Hampshire          Hockey   49.28  .443  .495   70  107 14 20 2
   39 Sacred Heart           Atlant   49.25  .562  .494  123  100 24 15 3
   40 Notre Dame             BigTen   48.71  .397  .478  108  153 10 23 5
   41 Alaska                 Indepe   48.49  .525  .472  111  101 18 15 3
   42 Mass.-Lowell           Hockey   48.46  .435  .471   94  116 14 22 0
   43 Air Force              Atlant   48.13  .511  .461  110  115 18 16 4
   44 Bemidji State          CCHA     47.94  .457  .456  101  106 13 19 5
   45 Holy Cross             Atlant   47.85  .499  .453  113  116 18 18 2
   46 Vermont                Hockey   47.79  .435  .452   78  117 14 21 1
   47 Lindenwood             Indepe   47.76  .518  .451  134  126 18 16 0
   48 RIT                    Atlant   47.22  .508  .435   99   97 18 17 2
   49 Colgate                ECAC     47.20  .442  .435   99  125 13 20 4
   50 Canisius               Atlant   46.59  .508  .417  107  105 17 16 2
   51 Army                   Atlant   46.53  .462  .416   91   96 12 17 6
   52 Robert Morris          Atlant   46.46  .476  .414  113  131 18 21 3
   53 Long Island            Indepe   46.30  .494  .409  120  118 17 18 1
   54 Lake Superior          CCHA     45.58  .433  .389  104  125 13 22 3
   55 Rensselaer             ECAC     45.42  .394  .385   80  118 11 24 1
   56 Ferris State           CCHA     45.00  .375  .373   99  140 10 27 2
   57 Yale                   ECAC     44.84  .384  .369   85  115  9 22 1
   58 Niagara                Atlant   44.54  .432  .361   97  119 14 23 1
   59 Stonehill              Indepe   44.23  .417  .352  104  131 12 23 3
   60 St. Lawrence           ECAC     42.49  .352  .307   90  156  8 26 3
   61 Brown                  ECAC     42.39  .320  .305   63  119  5 24 2
   62 Mercyhurst             Atlant   42.06  .321  .297   65  143  6 28 3
   63 Northern Michigan      CCHA     41.84  .276  .291   56  132  3 29 2
   64 Alaska-Anchorage       Indepe   41.67  .317  .287   69  134  6 27 1
   65 Non-Division I         Indepe   37.84  .213  .204   70  279  2 45 1
 
                 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT
 
   1 Alaska-Anchorage  Indepen   4 Denver            NCHC      3 0.390
   2 Ferris State      CCHA      3 Western Michigan  NCHC      2 0.475
   3 Non-Division I    Indepen   6 Lindenwood        Indepen   3 0.492
   4 Dartmouth         ECAC      3 Brown             ECAC      4 0.515
   5 Princeton         ECAC      2 St. Lawrence      ECAC      6 0.557
   6 Quinnipiac        ECAC      2 Yale              ECAC      4 0.558
   7 Northern Michigan CCHA      3 Michigan Tech     CCHA      2 0.565
 
 
     FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS (FACT)
                     DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER
               FACT standings calculated by Cody Kirkpatrick
                          talismanred.com/ratings