Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings

David Rothman/FACT Rankings

David Rothman (1935-2004) was a pioneer in the sports ratings world, with his rating system being recognized by the NCAA from 1968-2006 as a national championship selector and used as a BCS component from 1999-2002. Here, I produce the ratings and rankings using his system, and I've also preserved his source code from 1990(!) if you'd like to get it and try it yourself.

David's method considers only scores. Game locations, dates, and all other information is ignored. These files are available:

• the original text file, and at the very bottom, below the list of teams, a list of the biggest upsets of the season so far
• rankings of teams within each conference (new!)

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                < DAVID ROTHMAN'S MENS HOCKEY RANKINGS >
    BASED ON  576 GAMES BETWEEN  65 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
              THROUGH GAMES OF SATURDAY 20 DECEMBER 2025
      FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
 
  RANK   TEAM               DIVISION  LOGIT  PCT.  RRE    PF   PA  W  L T
 
    1 Michigan               BigTen   58.33  .689  .735   96   41 16  4 0
    2 Wisconsin              BigTen   58.00  .694  .728   77   40 13  2 2
    3 Michigan State         BigTen   56.69  .659  .696   58   28 13  4 0
    4 North Dakota           NCHC     56.47  .679  .691   81   42 16  4 0
    5 Dartmouth              ECAC     56.35  .759  .688   58   16 12  1 0
    6 Minnesota-Duluth       NCHC     55.71  .619  .671   66   41 14  6 0
    7 Penn State             BigTen   54.48  .599  .639   51   46 11  5 0
    8 Denver                 NCHC     54.23  .619  .632   81   38 13  6 1
    9 Western Michigan       NCHC     54.19  .589  .631   65   47 11  6 0
   10 Harvard                ECAC     53.65  .618  .616   43   32  8  3 1
   11 Connecticut            Hockey   53.33  .572  .607   56   41  9  5 3
   12 Boston College         Hockey   52.98  .593  .598   53   37 10  5 1
   13 Quinnipiac             ECAC     52.50  .608  .584   65   45 12  5 2
   14 Maine                  Hockey   52.46  .567  .583   74   51 11  7 2
   15 Providence             Hockey   52.44  .569  .583   57   41 10  6 2
   16 Miami                  NCHC     52.29  .558  .578   63   60 10  6 2
   17 Northeastern           Hockey   52.04  .553  .571   48   38 10  7 0
   18 New Hampshire          Hockey   52.01  .536  .571   39   46 10  7 1
   19 Arizona State          NCHC     51.87  .478  .566   53   63  8  9 1
   20 Colorado College       NCHC     51.85  .517  .566   51   47  8  7 3
   21 Cornell                ECAC     51.69  .620  .561   46   25  9  4 0
   22 Boston University      Hockey   51.69  .526  .561   62   62 10  8 1
   23 Minnesota State        CCHA     51.46  .593  .555   57   43 11  4 6
   24 Minnesota              BigTen   51.45  .470  .555   58   63  8 10 1
   25 Augustana              CCHA     51.39  .558  .553   56   45 10  6 4
   26 Union                  ECAC     51.04  .617  .543   72   39 12  5 2
   27 Omaha                  NCHC     50.77  .450  .535   52   66  8 11 0
   28 St. Cloud State        NCHC     50.69  .476  .533   59   56  8 10 1
   29 St. Thomas             CCHA     50.61  .530  .531   65   60  9  7 3
   30 Bemidji State          CCHA     50.14  .520  .517   65   55  9  8 3
   31 American International Indepe   50.00  .000  .513    0    0  0  0 0
   32 Lindenwood             Indepe   49.83  .530  .508   67   63 10  8 0
   33 Holy Cross             Atlant   49.81  .571  .507   61   47 10  6 1
   34 Massachusetts          Hockey   49.78  .494  .507   50   57  9  9 0
   35 Ohio State             BigTen   49.74  .433  .505   50   55  6 10 0
   36 Michigan Tech          CCHA     49.71  .563  .505   54   45 10  6 2
   37 Princeton              ECAC     49.43  .602  .496   42   27  8  4 0
   38 Merrimack              Hockey   49.40  .472  .495   50   50  8 10 0
   39 Clarkson               ECAC     48.63  .459  .473   57   59  8 11 0
   40 Bowling Green          CCHA     48.50  .547  .470   60   54  9  6 3
   41 Air Force              Atlant   48.44  .509  .468   58   64  9  8 2
   42 RIT                    Atlant   48.30  .566  .464   52   39 11  7 0
   43 Bentley                Atlant   48.29  .550  .464   43   40  9  6 1
   44 Sacred Heart           Atlant   47.67  .502  .446   46   44  8  8 2
   45 Alaska                 Indepe   47.61  .452  .444   46   53  7 10 1
   46 Long Island            Indepe   47.52  .507  .442   74   65 10 10 0
   47 Colgate                ECAC     47.51  .434  .441   48   61  6 10 2
   48 Yale                   ECAC     47.19  .431  .432   30   40  5  8 0
   49 Notre Dame             BigTen   47.00  .397  .427   50   67  5 11 1
   50 Army                   Atlant   46.94  .456  .425   47   53  6  9 4
   51 Vermont                Hockey   46.68  .413  .418   25   52  6 10 0
   52 Mass.-Lowell           Hockey   46.41  .420  .410   41   49  6 11 0
   53 Canisius               Atlant   46.23  .494  .405   47   55  8  8 2
   54 Niagara                Atlant   46.21  .482  .405   46   50  8  9 0
   55 Lake Superior          CCHA     45.97  .462  .398   60   61  8 11 1
   56 Ferris State           CCHA     45.09  .386  .374   50   69  6 14 0
   57 Robert Morris          Atlant   44.98  .433  .371   49   63  6 10 2
   58 Rensselaer             ECAC     44.97  .359  .370   36   65  5 14 0
   59 Brown                  ECAC     44.38  .342  .355   28   48  3 10 0
   60 Stonehill              Indepe   43.34  .328  .328   34   62  3 13 1
   61 Alaska-Anchorage       Indepe   42.97  .363  .318   38   57  4 11 0
   62 Northern Michigan      CCHA     41.34  .241  .279   33   79  1 19 0
   63 St. Lawrence           ECAC     40.44  .307  .258   43   84  3 16 1
   64 Mercyhurst             Atlant   38.12  .218  .209   22   74  0 15 1
   65 Non-Division I         Indepe   37.33  .208  .194   48  207  1 35 1
 
                 LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT
 
   1 Alaska-Anchorage  Indepen   4 Denver            NCHC      3 0.485
   2 Ohio State        BigTen    5 Wisconsin         BigTen    1 0.530
   3 Ferris State      CCHA      3 Western Michigan  NCHC      2 0.558
   4 North Dakota      NCHC      2 Clarkson          ECAC      5 0.564
   5 Mass.-Lowell      HockeyE   6 New Hampshire     HockeyE   1 0.605
   6 Providence        HockeyE   1 Mass.-Lowell      HockeyE   5 0.609
 
 
     FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS (FACT)
                     DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER
               FACT standings calculated by Cody Kirkpatrick
                          talismanred.com/ratings