Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings

David Rothman/FACT Rankings

David Rothman (1935-2004) was a pioneer in the sports ratings world, with his rating system being recognized by the NCAA from 1968-2006 as a national championship selector and used as a BCS component from 1999-2002. Here, I produce the ratings and rankings using his system, and I've also preserved his source code from 1990(!) if you'd like to get it and try it yourself.

David's method considers only scores. Game locations, dates, and all other information is ignored. If you want the original text file, here it is.

There are no preseason rankings available using David's formula -- ratings will not be published until about 6-7 games have been played by everyone this season.

                < DAVID ROTHMAN'S MENS HOCKEY RANKINGS >
    BASED ON 1219 GAMES BETWEEN  65 TEAMS, AND NO OTHER INFORMATION
                 THROUGH GAMES OF SUNDAY 23 MARCH 2025
      FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS
 
  RANK   TEAM               DIVISION  LOGIT  PCT.  RRE    PF   PA  W  L T
 
    1 Boston College         HEAST    63.40  .745  .830  129   65 27  7 2
    2 Michigan State         BIG10    62.39  .745  .813  137   75 28  6 4
    3 Western Michigan       NCHC     60.91  .771  .787  158   81 31  7 1
    4 Maine                  HEAST    60.81  .702  .785  128   70 25  7 6
    5 Minnesota              BIG10    59.11  .685  .751  155   97 26 10 4
    6 Connecticut            HEAST    58.35  .626  .736  124   93 22 11 4
    7 Providence             HEAST    58.19  .617  .732  106   92 22 10 5
    8 Denver                 NCHC     57.61  .701  .720  170   95 29 11 2
    9 Boston University      HEAST    57.39  .602  .715  143  114 22 13 3
   10 Ohio State             BIG10    57.03  .618  .707  127  100 25 13 2
   11 Michigan               BIG10    56.33  .528  .691  117  122 19 15 3
   12 Penn State             BIG10    56.03  .573  .684  130  114 20 13 4
   13 Minnesota State        CCHA     55.18  .724  .664  118   57 28  8 3
   14 Massachusetts          HEAST    55.10  .588  .662  132   96 21 14 5
   15 Quinnipiac             ECAC     54.87  .655  .657  136   83 24 12 2
   16 Arizona State          NCHC     53.79  .606  .630  141  106 23 14 2
   17 UMass Lowell           HEAST    53.63  .513  .626  108  108 18 16 4
   18 North Dakota           NCHC     53.47  .553  .622  126  115 22 16 2
   19 Cornell                ECAC     52.77  .617  .605  112   78 19 10 6
   20 New Hampshire          HEAST    52.76  .496  .605  106  103 15 16 6
   21 Northeastern           HEAST    52.63  .437  .601   92  114 15 20 3
   22 Nebraska-Omaha         NCHC     51.68  .526  .577  112  102 19 18 1
   23 Clarkson               ECAC     51.63  .617  .576  122   92 24 13 3
   24 Wisconsin              BIG10    51.47  .431  .572  116  118 14 22 3
   25 Dartmouth              ECAC     51.27  .579  .567  110   84 18 13 2
   26 Colorado College       NCHC     50.91  .514  .557  122  113 20 18 1
   27 Notre Dame             BIG10    50.01  .383  .534  107  129 13 25 1
   28 Colgate                ECAC     49.84  .533  .530  121  120 19 15 3
   29 Merrimack              HEAST    49.80  .408  .528   84  114 14 21 1
   30 Vermont                HEAST    49.80  .404  .528  105  116 12 21 3
   31 Augustana              CCHA     49.65  .599  .524  108   79 21 13 4
   32 St. Thomas             CCHA     49.36  .563  .517  115  103 20 14 5
   33 LIU                    INDEP    48.78  .607  .502  118   82 21 12 2
   34 Union                  ECAC     48.56  .536  .496  113  113 19 15 3
   35 St. Cloud State        NCHC     48.48  .391  .494   80  115 14 22 1
   36 Harvard                ECAC     48.43  .469  .493   92  101 14 17 4
   37 Holy Cross             ATLH     47.90  .612  .479  130   94 24 14 2
   38 Brown                  ECAC     47.81  .481  .477   79   85 14 15 3
   39 Minnesota Duluth       NCHC     47.49  .434  .468  106  119 14 20 3
   40 Bentley                ATLH     47.36  .597  .465  119   86 23 15 2
   41 Bowling Green          CCHA     47.23  .562  .462  101   88 20 14 4
   42 Princeton              ECAC     47.16  .466  .460   77   86 13 15 3
   43 Bemidji State          CCHA     46.90  .464  .453   98  114 16 18 5
   44 Alaska                 INDEP    46.83  .495  .451   86   97 15 14 6
   45 Michigan Tech          CCHA     46.77  .497  .450   99   99 17 17 3
   46 Sacred Heart           ATLH     46.66  .582  .447  127  107 22 14 5
   47 Lake Superior          CCHA     43.86  .422  .376  103  117 14 22 2
   48 Rensselaer             ECAC     43.19  .400  .360  103  132 13 21 2
   49 Ferris State           CCHA     42.62  .402  .346   89  128 13 20 3
   50 Niagara                ATLH     42.08  .533  .334  131  114 19 17 3
   51 Lindenwood             INDEP    41.76  .407  .326   88   95 12 22 2
   52 Air Force              ATLH     41.47  .439  .319   86  112 16 21 3
   53 Army West Point        ATLH     41.43  .443  .319  108  124 17 21 2
   54 St. Lawrence           ECAC     41.33  .328  .316   75  121 10 24 2
   55 Yale                   ECAC     41.27  .271  .315   67  121  6 21 3
   56 Stonehill              INDEP    41.05  .349  .310   77  110 12 23 0
   57 American International ATLH     40.53  .391  .298   92  117 13 23 2
   58 Alaska Anchorage       INDEP    39.84  .316  .283   82  118  7 23 5
   59 Canisius               ATLH     38.36  .384  .252   98  120 12 23 2
   60 Robert Morris          ATLH     37.12  .391  .228  101  125 11 22 5
   61 Northern Michigan      CCHA     37.00  .225  .226   58  119  5 28 2
   62 RIT                    ATLH     36.07  .347  .209   87  136 11 23 2
   63 Miami                  NCHC     35.59  .182  .200   63  143  3 28 3
   64 Mercyhurst             ATLH     31.56  .221  .138   77  150  4 27 4
   65 Non-Division I         INDEP    29.79  .111  .115  103  294  3 49 1
 
  LN(1219- 65+1) LEAST LIKELY RESULTS OF TOURNAMENT (APPROX. THEORY)
 
   1 Non-Division I    INDEP     5 Clarkson          ECAC      1 0.179
   2 Non-Division I    INDEP     6 Wisconsin         BIG10     5 0.216
   3 Minnesota State   CCHA      2 Northern Michigan CCHA      3 0.289
   4 Boston University HEAST     5 Yale              ECAC      7 0.324
   5 RIT               ATLH      3 Clarkson          ECAC      2 0.355
   6 Non-Division I    INDEP     6 Denver            NCHC      6 0.360
   7 Merrimack         HEAST     5 Boston College    HEAST     2 0.377
 
 
     FOUNDATION FOR THE ANALYSIS OF COMPETITIONS AND TOURNAMENTS (FACT)
                     DAVID ROTHMAN (1935-2004), FOUNDER
               FACT standings calculated by Cody Kirkpatrick
                          talismanred.com/ratings