Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings
This is my rough attempt at a computer rating that can, among other things, come somewhat close to predicting final game scores. The actual computer rating, which describes team performance based on games played to date, is found under the "Rating" column.
To determine a hypothetical margin of victory, use the "Points" column (just subtract the teams in question) and add in the home field/court advantage, which is listed on the right. It usually is around 0.5 goals for hockey. All of the games in the predictions list already have home advantage taken into account.
22 December: I had inadvertently left some of last year's games in a stray file, which cause the ratings to hold on to old information. That's now fixed and they look much better.
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Here are direct links to the
full ratings list or to
conference standings; scroll down
for game predictions.
Ratings were last updated: 22-Dec-2025 10 pm EST Top 16 TeamsRank Team W L T Rating Points BCS 1 Michigan 16 4 0 4.13 53.14 2 2 Wisconsin 13 2 2 3.80 52.56 1 3 North Dakota 16 4 0 3.18 52.02 3 4 Dartmouth 12 1 0 3.08 52.11 5 5 Michigan State 13 4 0 3.02 51.97 4 6 Minnesota-Duluth 14 6 0 2.90 51.95 6 7 Denver 13 6 1 2.69 52.29 8 8 Western Michigan 11 6 0 2.22 51.65 9 9 Connecticut 9 5 3 1.87 51.28 11 10 Penn State 11 5 0 1.83 50.88 7 Rank Team W L T Rating Points BCS 11 Boston College 10 5 1 1.71 51.09 12 12 Harvard 8 3 1 1.65 50.89 10 13 Maine 11 7 2 1.52 51.07 15 14 Providence 10 6 2 1.46 51.11 16 15 Quinnipiac 12 5 2 1.41 50.84 13 16 Northeastern 10 7 0 1.08 50.67 19 Predictions for Upcoming Games(Sometimes, games from 1-2 days earlier get "stuck" on the list if my upstream source doesn't update them. This is especially true for exhibition games.) PREDICTIONS FOR UPCOMING GAMES Date Away Team Home Team Total Prediction ----------- -------------------- -------------------- ----- -------------- 27-Dec-2025 Arizona State Dartmouth 6.1 HOME by 1.72 28-Dec-2025 Arizona State Dartmouth 6.1 HOME by 1.72 28-Dec-2025 Army Long Island 6.2 HOME by 0.46 28-Dec-2025 Bentley Mass.-Lowell 4.5 HOME by 0.38 28-Dec-2025 Ferris State Michigan State 5.7 Mich by 3.16 28-Dec-2025 Miami Michigan Tech 4.8 Miam by -0.47 28-Dec-2025 Brown Princeton 7.1 HOME by 1.71 28-Dec-2025 Boston College Western Michigan 5.1 West by 0.57 28-Dec-2025 Lake Superior Wisconsin 5.6 Wisc by 3.27 29-Dec-2025 RIT Clarkson 5.1 HOME by 0.71 29-Dec-2025 Merrimack Vermont 4.3 AWAY by -1.90 30-Dec-2025 Robert Morris Sacred Heart 5.8 HOME by 0.99 31-Dec-2025 Long Island Connecticut 6.2 HOME by 1.87 02-Jan-2026 Michigan Tech Air Force 6.5 Mich by -0.83 02-Jan-2026 Alaska-Anchorage Arizona State 6.3 HOME by 2.12 02-Jan-2026 Northeastern Army 5.3 AWAY by -1.43 02-Jan-2026 Minnesota Bemidji State 9.2 HOME by 0.07 02-Jan-2026 Holy Cross Bentley 6.1 AWAY by -0.87 02-Jan-2026 Omaha Cornell 5.7 HOME by 0.77 02-Jan-2026 Maine Denver 5.4 HOME by 1.32 02-Jan-2026 Mass.-Lowell Minnesota State 4.8 Minn by 0.77 02-Jan-2026 Mercyhurst North Dakota 5.6 HOME by 5.44 02-Jan-2026 Western Michigan Notre Dame 7.5 AWAY by -2.20 02-Jan-2026 Bowling Green Ohio State 5.4 HOME by 0.92 02-Jan-2026 Dartmouth Princeton 7.0 AWAY by -1.84 02-Jan-2026 Alaska Providence 4.3 HOME by 1.75 02-Jan-2026 Harvard Quinnipiac 5.7 HOME by 0.04 02-Jan-2026 Stonehill St. Lawrence 5.3 AWAY by -1.15 02-Jan-2026 Ferris State St. Thomas 7.9 HOME by 1.65 02-Jan-2026 St. Cloud State Yale 3.8 St. by -1.64 02-Jan-2026 Canisius Lindenwood 6.6 HOME by 1.60 02-Jan-2026 Colorado College Augustana 5.7 AWAY by -0.09 03-Jan-2026 Ohio State Bowling Green 8.1 AWAY by -0.72 03-Jan-2026 Merrimack Brown 5.8 AWAY by -1.61 03-Jan-2026 Omaha Cornell 5.7 HOME by 0.77 03-Jan-2026 Maine Denver 5.4 HOME by 1.32 03-Jan-2026 Bentley Holy Cross 6.7 HOME by 1.06 03-Jan-2026 Northern Michigan Lake Superior 6.2 HOME by 1.20 03-Jan-2026 Connecticut Long Island 8.2 AWAY by -1.68 03-Jan-2026 Colgate New Hampshire 5.2 HOME by 0.85 03-Jan-2026 Clarkson Niagara 6.1 AWAY by -1.07 03-Jan-2026 Mercyhurst North Dakota 5.6 HOME by 5.44 03-Jan-2026 Harvard Princeton 6.3 AWAY by -0.61 03-Jan-2026 Alaska Providence 4.3 HOME by 1.75 03-Jan-2026 Dartmouth Quinnipiac 6.4 AWAY by -1.18 03-Jan-2026 Penn State RIT 5.3 AWAY by -1.41 03-Jan-2026 Stonehill St. Lawrence 5.3 AWAY by -1.15 03-Jan-2026 Ferris State St. Thomas 7.9 HOME by 1.65 03-Jan-2026 Rensselaer Vermont 4.1 AWAY by -0.17 03-Jan-2026 Notre Dame Western Michigan 6.9 HOME by 2.40 03-Jan-2026 Canisius Lindenwood 6.6 HOME by 1.60 03-Jan-2026 Sacred Heart Robert Morris 3.9 AWAY by -0.80 03-Jan-2026 Colorado College Augustana 5.7 AWAY by -0.09 04-Jan-2026 Northern Michigan Lake Superior 6.2 HOME by 1.20 04-Jan-2026 Colgate New Hampshire 5.2 HOME by 0.85 04-Jan-2026 RIT Penn State 5.6 HOME by 1.60 |
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