Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings

This is my rough attempt at a computer rating that can, among other things, come somewhat close to predicting final game scores. The actual computer rating, which describes team performance based on games played to date, is found under the "Rating" column.

To determine a hypothetical margin of victory, use the "Points" column (just subtract the teams in question) and add in the home field/court advantage, which is listed on the right. It usually is around 0.5 goals for hockey. All of the games in the predictions list already have home advantage taken into account.

22 December: I had inadvertently left some of last year's games in a stray file, which cause the ratings to hold on to old information. That's now fixed and they look much better.

Here are direct links to the full ratings list or to conference standings; scroll down for game predictions.
Ratings were last updated: 30-Mar-2026 08 am EDT

Top 16 Teams

Rank Team                   W  L  T   Rating   Points  BCS
   1 Michigan              32  7  1     4.28    52.68    1
   2 Western Michigan      28 11  1     3.61    52.26    2
   3 North Dakota          31  9  1     3.56    52.28    3
   4 Denver                28 11  3     3.54    52.36    4
   5 Michigan State        28  9  2     3.07    51.91    5
   6 Minnesota-Duluth      24 15  1     2.67    51.84    7
   7 Providence            25 11  2     2.52    51.47    6
   8 Wisconsin             24 12  2     2.20    51.29    8
   9 Quinnipiac            27 11  3     2.18    51.50    9
  10 Penn State            21 14  2     1.78    51.18   11

Rank Team                   W  L  T   Rating   Points  BCS
  11 Dartmouth             24  8  4     1.61    50.98   12
  12 Boston College        21 15  1     1.60    51.14   16
  13 Massachusetts         23 13  1     1.56    50.84   10
  14 Connecticut           20 13  5     1.55    51.00   13
  15 Cornell               24 11  1     1.39    50.85   14
  16 Maine                 18 14  4     1.24    50.84   18

Predictions for Upcoming Games

(Sometimes, games from 1-2 days earlier get "stuck" on the list if my upstream source doesn't update them. This is especially true for exhibition games.)

                         PREDICTIONS FOR UPCOMING GAMES

   Date      Away Team             Home Team             Total    Prediction
-----------  --------------------  --------------------  -----  --------------
09-Apr-2026  Denver                Michigan                6.6  Mich by   0.33
09-Apr-2026  Wisconsin             North Dakota            7.1  Nort by   0.99

 

 

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