Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings

This is my rough attempt at a computer rating that can, among other things, come somewhat close to predicting final game scores. The actual computer rating, which describes team performance based on games played to date, is found under the "Rating" column.

To determine a hypothetical margin of victory, use the "Points" column (just subtract the teams in question) and add in the home field/court advantage, which is listed on the right. It usually is around 0.5 goals for hockey. All of the games in the predictions list already have home advantage taken into account.

27 September: Welcome to 2026-27!

Here are direct links to the full ratings list or to conference standings; scroll down for game predictions.
Ratings were last updated: 27-Sep-2026 01 pm EDT

Top 16 Teams

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
   1 Michigan               0  0     4.06    52.80    1
   2 Western Michigan       0  0     3.45    52.26    2
   3 Denver                 0  0     3.43    52.35    3
   4 North Dakota           0  0     3.29    52.23    4
   5 Michigan State         0  0     3.02    51.98    5
   6 Minnesota-Duluth       0  0     2.74    51.90    6
   7 Providence             0  0     2.40    51.53    7
   8 Wisconsin              0  0     2.36    51.50    8
   9 Quinnipiac             0  0     2.11    51.56   10
  10 Penn State             0  0     1.93    51.26    9

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  11 Boston College         0  0     1.64    51.20   14
  12 Dartmouth              0  0     1.64    51.12   11
  13 Connecticut            0  0     1.61    51.08   13
  14 Cornell                0  0     1.39    50.93   15
  15 Massachusetts          0  0     1.38    50.77   12
  16 Maine                  0  0     1.34    50.94   17

Predictions for Upcoming Games

(Sometimes, games from 1-2 days earlier get "stuck" on the list if my upstream source doesn't update them. This is especially true for exhibition games.)

                         PREDICTIONS FOR UPCOMING GAMES

   Date      Away Team             Home Team             Total    Prediction
-----------  --------------------  --------------------  -----  --------------
02-Oct-2026  Boston University     Alaska                  5.9  AWAY by  -0.41
02-Oct-2026  Ferris State          Canisius                7.5  HOME by   0.16
02-Oct-2026  Massachusetts         Colorado College        5.0  HOME by   0.45
02-Oct-2026  Maine                 Holy Cross              6.4  AWAY by  -1.35
02-Oct-2026  Bowling Green         Michigan                6.6  HOME by   2.76
02-Oct-2026  Minnesota             Michigan Tech           5.7  HOME by   0.14
02-Oct-2026  Long Island           Minnesota-Duluth        5.9  HOME by   2.88
02-Oct-2026  RIT                   Niagara                 5.7  AWAY by  -0.48
02-Oct-2026  Miami                 Northern Michigan       5.5  AWAY by  -2.37
02-Oct-2026  New Hampshire         Quinnipiac              6.5  HOME by   2.20
02-Oct-2026  Maryville             St. Lawrence            5.4  HOME by   1.99
02-Oct-2026  Robert Morris         Wisconsin               6.4  HOME by   2.88
02-Oct-2026  Arizona State         Lindenwood              8.6  AWAY by  -0.64
02-Oct-2026  Denver                Alaska-Anchorage        6.3  AWAY by  -4.23

03-Oct-2026  Boston University     Alaska                  5.9  AWAY by  -0.41
03-Oct-2026  Union                 Army                    6.6  AWAY by  -1.24
03-Oct-2026  St. Cloud State       Bemidji State           6.4  AWAY by  -0.67
03-Oct-2026  Michigan              Bowling Green           5.9  AWAY by  -2.33
03-Oct-2026  Ferris State          Canisius                7.5  HOME by   0.16
03-Oct-2026  Massachusetts         Colorado College        5.0  HOME by   0.45
03-Oct-2026  Maine                 Holy Cross              6.4  AWAY by  -1.35
03-Oct-2026  Minnesota             Michigan Tech           5.7  HOME by   0.14
03-Oct-2026  Long Island           Minnesota-Duluth        5.9  HOME by   2.88
03-Oct-2026  Miami                 Northern Michigan       5.5  AWAY by  -2.37
03-Oct-2026  Merrimack             Quinnipiac              7.1  HOME by   1.19
03-Oct-2026  Niagara               RIT                     4.9  HOME by   0.91
03-Oct-2026  Robert Morris         Wisconsin               6.4  HOME by   2.88
03-Oct-2026  Arizona State         Lindenwood              8.6  AWAY by  -0.64
03-Oct-2026  Denver                Alaska-Anchorage        6.3  AWAY by  -4.23

08-Oct-2026  New Hampshire         Merrimack               5.5  HOME by   1.23
08-Oct-2026  Niagara               Notre Dame              5.6  HOME by   1.47
08-Oct-2026  Ferris State          Western Michigan        7.5  HOME by   3.43
08-Oct-2026  Lake Superior         Lindenwood              7.6  HOME by   0.60

09-Oct-2026  Holy Cross            Arizona State           7.2  HOME by   1.22
09-Oct-2026  North Dakota          Bemidji State           6.6  AWAY by  -1.96
09-Oct-2026  Vermont               Bentley                 4.8  HOME by   1.08
09-Oct-2026  Alaska                Boston College          6.5  HOME by   1.63
09-Oct-2026  Penn State            Connecticut             5.1  HOME by   0.04
09-Oct-2026  Western Michigan      Ferris State            5.3  AWAY by  -3.00
09-Oct-2026  Canisius              Long Island             6.8  HOME by   0.46
09-Oct-2026  Quinnipiac            Maine                   5.5  AWAY by  -0.40
09-Oct-2026  RIT                   Massachusetts           4.4  HOME by   1.81
09-Oct-2026  Clarkson              Mass.-Lowell            4.4  AWAY by  -0.08
09-Oct-2026  Alaska-Anchorage      Michigan                6.8  HOME by   5.11
09-Oct-2026  Northern Michigan     Michigan State          4.8  HOME by   4.05
09-Oct-2026  Wisconsin             Minnesota State         5.1  AWAY by  -0.79
09-Oct-2026  Niagara               Notre Dame              5.6  HOME by   1.47
09-Oct-2026  St. Lawrence          Providence              6.2  HOME by   4.00
09-Oct-2026  Ohio State            Rensselaer              6.8  AWAY by  -1.46
09-Oct-2026  Bowling Green         Sacred Heart            4.5  AWAY by  -0.30
09-Oct-2026  Michigan Tech         St. Cloud State         7.3  HOME by   0.80
09-Oct-2026  Air Force             St. Thomas              6.7  HOME by   1.63
09-Oct-2026  Lake Superior         Lindenwood              7.6  HOME by   0.60
09-Oct-2026  Colgate               Stonehill               6.6  AWAY by  -0.42
09-Oct-2026  Minnesota-Duluth      Augustana               5.7  AWAY by  -0.81

10-Oct-2026  Holy Cross            Arizona State           7.2  HOME by   1.22
10-Oct-2026  Northeastern          Bentley                 5.0  AWAY by  -0.25
10-Oct-2026  Bowling Green         Connecticut             4.7  HOME by   1.04
10-Oct-2026  Canisius              Long Island             6.8  HOME by   0.46
10-Oct-2026  Quinnipiac            Maine                   5.5  AWAY by  -0.40
10-Oct-2026  RIT                   Massachusetts           4.4  HOME by   1.81
10-Oct-2026  St. Lawrence          Mass.-Lowell            6.0  HOME by   2.22
10-Oct-2026  Alaska-Anchorage      Michigan                6.8  HOME by   5.11
10-Oct-2026  Wisconsin             Minnesota State         5.1  AWAY by  -0.79
10-Oct-2026  Bemidji State         North Dakota            4.8  HOME by   2.39
10-Oct-2026  Clarkson              Providence              4.6  HOME by   1.70
10-Oct-2026  Ohio State            Rensselaer              6.8  AWAY by  -1.46
10-Oct-2026  Penn State            Sacred Heart            4.9  AWAY by  -1.30
10-Oct-2026  Michigan Tech         St. Cloud State         7.3  HOME by   0.80
10-Oct-2026  Air Force             St. Thomas              6.7  HOME by   1.63
10-Oct-2026  Alaska                Union                   6.2  HOME by   1.15
10-Oct-2026  Colgate               Stonehill               6.6  AWAY by  -0.42
10-Oct-2026  Minnesota-Duluth      Augustana               5.7  AWAY by  -0.81

11-Oct-2026  Northern Michigan     Michigan State          4.8  HOME by   4.05

 

 

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