Talisman Red's College Basketball Computer Ratings

Welcome to 2024-25!

I've redecorated again, but all the information you have come to expect is still here. This will be the 22nd year of my website. Wow, how time flies. Small screen? There's a menu at the bottom.

November 4: I'll double check all the conference alignments once everyone has played a game or two. If you see someone out of place, drop me a line.

Greetings to my loyal D-II and D-III followers...

Yep, everything is still here for you. Click over on the menu under the Wilson section, or go directly to the D-II or D-III "everything pages." Thank you so much for your continued support.

In '24-'25 I'll be producing almost the same content for the D2 & D3 women's teams that I produce here -- head over to check out those rankings & standings if you'd like!

Division I Top 25

If you'd like it, here is the full ratings file. For any hypothetical matchup, use the Points column to estimate a margin of victory. For everything else you might want, hit up the menu or go directly to conference standings, or see the conferences ranked, or tonight's score predictions. A description of the columns is below the top 25.

Ratings last updated 23-Jan-2025. Early in the season, ratings rely heavily on last year's results and teams may jostle quite a bit as the influence of last year falls away. 

 Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS   Top50   51-100  101+ 
    1 Auburn                17  1     5.83    79.39    1   10  1    1  0    6  0 
    2 Duke                  16  2     4.84    77.32    7    5  2    1  0   10  0 
    3 Alabama               16  3     4.78    72.30    2    8  3    4  0    4  0 
    4 Houston               15  3     4.65    77.15   14    2  2    3  1   10  0 
    5 Tennessee             17  2     4.48    73.18    5    6  2    2  0    9  0 
    6 Florida               17  2     4.40    73.27    9    3  2    5  0    9  0 
    7 Iowa St.              16  2     4.40    73.44   11    4  2    4  0    8  0 
    8 Kansas                14  4     4.28    72.25   10    3  4    5  0    6  0 
    9 Michigan St.          16  2     4.09    69.42    6    5  2    2  0    9  0 
   10 Purdue                15  5     4.02    70.28   12    5  5    4  0    6  0 
  
 Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS   Top50   51-100  101+ 
   11 Michigan              14  4     3.99    71.72   19    2  1    6  2    6  1 
   12 Kentucky              14  4     3.97    70.66   15    6  4    1  0    7  0 
   13 Texas A&M             15  4     3.97    68.63    8    7  3    3  1    5  0 
   14 Illinois              13  5     3.95    73.54   25    5  3    1  2    7  0 
   15 Oregon                16  3     3.78    66.06    4    5  3    4  0    7  0 
   16 Louisville            15  5     3.78    67.78   13    6  5    1  0    8  0 
   17 Mississippi St.       15  4     3.70    68.15   16    5  3    4  0    6  1 
   18 Mississippi           15  4     3.69    68.52   18    4  4    3  0    8  0 
   19 Marquette             16  3     3.68    68.60   20    5  1    3  2    8  0 
   20 Wisconsin             15  4     3.55    68.16   23    3  4    4  0    8  0 
  
 Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS   Top50   51-100  101+ 
   21 St. John's            17  3     3.54    68.48   24    1  3    4  0   12  0 
   22 Memphis               14  4     3.53    63.07    3    5  2    3  1    6  1 
   23 Texas Tech            14  4     3.43    70.53   32    2  2    2  2   10  0 
   24 Connecticut           14  5     3.40    70.65   38    3  2    2  2    9  1 
   25 Arizona               12  6     3.40    70.53   37    2  6    4  0    6  0

The columns you see above...

  • Rank, Team, W-L, and Rating: hopefully self-explanatory
  • Points: the column to use if you want to calculate a hypothetical margin of victory for any matchup. Just subtract. Adjust for home court if you need to, about 3 points
  • BCS: a ranking system that uses only margin of victory, with no consideration of score margin. The old-timers would call this a more "politically-correct" system, like the ones used in the Bowl Championship Series for many years (hence the title "BCS")
  • Top 50, 51-100, 100+: a team's won-loss record against teams in each of those ranking groups

 

 

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