Talisman Red's College Basketball Computer Ratings

Welcome to 2024-25!

I've redecorated again, but all the information you have come to expect is still here. This will be the 22nd year of my website. Wow, how time flies. Small screen? There's a menu at the bottom.

November 4: I'll double check all the conference alignments once everyone has played a game or two. If you see someone out of place, drop me a line.

Greetings to my loyal D-II and D-III followers...

Yep, everything is still here for you. Click over on the menu under the Wilson section, or go directly to the D-II or D-III "everything pages." Thank you so much for your continued support.

In '24-'25 I'll be producing almost the same content for the D2 & D3 women's teams that I produce here -- head over to check out those rankings & standings if you'd like!

Division I Top 25

For any hypothetical matchup, use the Points column to estimate a margin of victory and add 2.5 for home advantage, if necessary. Early in the season, ratings rely heavily on last year's results. A description of the other columns is below the top 25.

Direct links to other items: list of all teams rated  •  conference standings  •  a list of the conferences ranked  •  game predictions for the next few days

Ratings last updated 08-Apr-2025.

 Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS   Top50   51-100  101+ 
    1 Auburn                32  6     5.68    77.67    2   22  6    3  0    7  0 
    2 Florida               36  4     5.60    76.82    1   19  4    7  0   10  0 
    3 Duke                  35  4     5.60    79.76    4   11  4    7  0   17  0 
    4 Houston               35  5     5.54    77.15    3   16  4    8  1   11  0 
    5 Alabama               28  9     5.02    74.48    5   17  9    6  0    5  0 
    6 Tennessee             30  8     4.73    73.38    6   15  8    5  0   10  0 
    7 Michigan St.          30  7     4.46    71.20    7   14  6    6  1   10  0 
    8 St. John's            31  5     4.06    70.25    9   10  4    5  1   16  0 
    9 Texas Tech            28  9     4.06    71.69   11    9  6    7  3   12  0 
   10 Maryland              27  9     4.03    72.31   17   10  7    8  1    9  1 
  
 Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS   Top50   51-100  101+ 
   11 Michigan              27 10     3.97    68.85    8   13  8    7  2    7  0 
   12 Kentucky              24 12     3.86    70.07   13   13 11    4  1    7  0 
   13 Arizona               24 13     3.83    71.67   23    9 12    7  1    8  0 
   14 Purdue                24 12     3.79    69.58   14    8 11   10  1    6  0 
   15 Gonzaga               26  9     3.72    72.06   27    4  7    6  1   16  1 
   16 Wisconsin             27 10     3.72    69.55   19    8  9   11  1    8  0 
   17 Iowa St.              25 10     3.70    71.29   25    5  8   11  1    9  1 
   18 Louisville            27  8     3.61    67.30   12    5  7    8  0   14  1 
   19 Texas A&M             23 11     3.56    68.11   20   11  8    7  3    5  0 
   20 Mississippi           24 12     3.53    67.58   18   12 12    4  0    8  0 
  
 Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS   Top50   51-100  101+ 
   21 Illinois              22 13     3.51    70.47   29   10 10    5  3    7  0 
   22 Clemson               27  7     3.50    66.92   16    3  3    9  3   15  1 
   23 Oregon                25 10     3.48    66.51   15    7  9   10  1    8  0 
   24 BYU                   26 10     3.44    67.90   24    9  6    6  3   11  1 
   25 UCLA                  23 11     3.27    68.35   32    9  9    5  2    9  0 

The columns you see above...

• Rank, Team, W-L, and Rating: hopefully self-explanatory
• Points: the column to use if you want to calculate a hypothetical margin of victory for any matchup. Just subtract. Adjust for home court if you need to, about 3 points
• BCS: a ranking system that uses only margin of victory, with no consideration of score margin. The old-timers would call this a more "politically-correct" system, like the ones used in the Bowl Championship Series for many years (hence the title "BCS")
• Top 50, 51-100, 100+: a team's won-loss record against teams in each of those ranking groups

 

 

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