Talisman Red's College Basketball Computer Ratings

Welcome!

I've redecorated again, but all the information you have come to expect is still here. We are currently in off-season mode and will start thinking about the preseason in October. The 2024-25 season will be the 22nd year of this website. Wow, time flies. (Small screen? The menu will now be at the bottom.)

Greetings to my loyal D-II and D-III followers...

Yep, everything is still here for you. Click over on the menu under the Wilson section, or go directly to the D-II or D-III "everything pages." Thank you so much for your continued support.

In '24-'25 I will again occasionally add batches of NAIA games, to provide more accurate info for those teams -- so your team's own rating may jostle up and down when I do that.

Division I Top 25

Early in the season, ratings rely heavily on last year's results. If you'd like it, here is the original text file. For any hypothetical matchup, use the Points column to estimate a margin of victory. For everything else you might want, hit up the menu or go directly to conference standings or rankings, or the predictions. A description of the columns is below the top 25.

 Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS   Top50   51-100  101+ 
    1 Connecticut           37  3     5.53    75.77    2   16  3   10  0   11  0 
    2 Purdue                34  5     5.40    73.98    1   16  4    9  1    9  0 
    3 Houston               32  5     5.02    74.74    3   12  4    8  1   12  0 
    4 Arizona               27  9     4.41    73.02    8   11  6    3  1   13  2 
    5 Tennessee             27  9     4.38    70.78    5   12  9    4  0   11  0 
    6 North Carolina        29  8     4.37    70.52    4   10  5    8  2   11  1 
    7 Auburn                27  8     4.28    71.74    7    7  6    9  2   11  0 
    8 Iowa St.              29  8     4.16    71.13   10    8  5    9  3   12  0 
    9 Illinois              29  9     4.09    68.81    6    8  7    8  2   13  0 
   10 Alabama               25 12     4.03    69.60    9   11 11    5  1    9  0 
  
 Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS   Top50   51-100  101+ 
   11 Duke                  27  9     3.96    69.93   12    8  7    6  0   13  2 
   12 Marquette             27 10     3.80    68.04   11    8  8    8  2   11  0 
   13 Creighton             25 10     3.71    68.81   16    8  5    7  5   10  0 
   14 Gonzaga               27  8     3.36    66.83   23    3  6    7  1   17  1 
   15 Baylor                24 11     3.27    67.34   28    8  9    6  2   10  0 
   16 Clemson               24 12     3.22    65.31   20    8  5    8  4    8  3 
   17 Dayton                25  8     3.13    62.88   13    2  3    9  4   14  1 
   18 Colorado              26 11     3.09    64.11   22    7  7    6  1   13  3 
   19 Kentucky              23 10     3.07    65.76   33    7  7    3  1   13  2 
   20 BYU                   23 11     3.05    67.94   56    6  6    5  4   12  1 
  
 Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS   Top50   51-100  101+ 
   21 Wisconsin             22 14     3.00    65.06   32    7  8    9  4    6  2 
   22 Saint Mary's          26  8     3.00    64.96   31    4  4    3  2   19  2 
   23 Florida               24 12     2.97    64.20   26    7  9    6  2   11  1 
   24 Indiana St.           32  7     2.97    62.26   17    2  5    5  0   25  2 
   25 Kansas                23 11     2.92    64.45   35    6  7    8  3    9  1 

The columns you see above...

• Rank, Team, W-L, and Rating: hopefully self-explanatory
• Points: the column to use if you want to calculate a hypothetical margin of victory for any matchup. Just subtract. Adjust for home court if you need to, about 3 points
• BCS: a ranking system that uses only margin of victory, with no consideration of score margin. The old-timers would call this a more "politically-correct" system, like the ones used in the Bowl Championship Series for many years (hence the title "BCS")
• Top 50, 51-100, 100+: a team's won-loss record against teams in each of those ranking groups

 

 

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