Wilson Computer Ratings team analysis
UC Merced (7-19)


UC Merced's opponents in order of rating:
     Team            Rating        Score  Effect  W- L
   ---------------   ------       ------- ------ -----
   Cal Poly-Pomona    621.7 LOSS   40-53         24- 2 Division II
   Cal Poly-Pomona    621.7 LOSS   35-76         24- 2 Division II
   CSU-Los Angeles    589.6 LOSS   75-96         18- 5 Division II
   Dominican (CA)     564.5 LOSS   70-84         20- 6 Division II
   CS Chico           562.8 LOSS   54-88         18- 8 Division II
   CS Chico           562.8 LOSS   73-83         18- 8 Division II
   Riverside          562.1 LOSS   52-93          8-17 Division I
   Humboldt St.       553.0 LOSS   55-94         16- 8 Division II
   Humboldt St.       553.0 LOSS   66-77         16- 8 Division II
   Alaska Anchorage   534.1 LOSS   80-93         14-12 Division II
   CSU-SanBernardino  509.1 LOSS   54-58         11-12 Division II
   CSU-SanBernardino  509.1 LOSS   40-53         11-12 Division II
   CSU-Monterey Bay   506.9 LOSS   48-61         11-14 Division II
   CSU-Monterey Bay   506.9 LOSS   62-73         11-14 Division II
   CSU-East Bay       497.9 LOSS   89-90          9-16 Division II
   CalSt-San Marcos   488.2 LOSS   64-70          7-18 Division II
   Stanislaus St      430.5 LOSS   58-66          3-20 Division II
   Cal Santa Cruz     407.3 LOSS   72-79         11-13 Division III
>> UC Merced          462.3 <<                    7-19 Division II
   CS Dom. Hills      515.5 WIN    91-61    ++   10-13 Division II
   CalSt-San Marcos   488.2 WIN    83-69    ++    7-18 Division II
   Fresno Pacific     485.8 WIN    73-61    ++    9-16 Division II
   Hawaii Pacific     479.5 WIN    67-57    ++    8-16 Division II
   San Francisco St.  466.2 WIN    63-58    ++    5-20 Division II
   Stanislaus St      430.5 WIN    70-52    +     3-20 Division II
   Chaminade          380.6 WIN    66-60    +     0-21 Division II

Games against teams within about 100 rating points are often the best indicators of a team's actual strength.

"Effect" ranges from "---", a game that caused a large decrease in the team rating, to "+++", a game that produced a large increase in rating.

Note that wins over very weak teams may actually hurt a team's rating (the opposite is true for losses to very good teams).

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