Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings

This is my rough attempt at a computer rating that can, among other things, come somewhat close to predicting final game scores. The actual computer rating, which describes team performance based on games played to date, is found under the "Rating" column.

To determine a hypothetical margin of victory, use the "Points" column (just subtract the teams in question) and add in the home field/court advantage, which is listed on the right. It usually is around 0.5 goals for hockey. All of the games in the predictions list already have home advantage taken into account.

22 September: Welcome back, everyone! Looking forward to another fun year.

Here are direct links to the full ratings list or to conference standings; scroll down for game predictions.
Ratings were last updated: 07-Dec-2025 07 am EST

Top 16 Teams

Rank Team                   W  L  T   Rating   Points  BCS
   1 Michigan              16  4  0     3.32    52.11    2
   2 Michigan State        13  4  0     3.31    52.04    1
   3 Denver                12  5  1     3.24    52.34    5
   4 Western Michigan      11  6  0     3.18    51.98    3
   5 Boston College        10  5  1     3.08    51.88    4
   6 North Dakota          14  4  0     2.48    51.46    6
   7 Wisconsin             13  2  2     2.45    51.73    9
   8 Connecticut            9  5  3     2.18    51.32    8
   9 Maine                  8  7  2     2.18    51.44   11
  10 Penn State            11  5  0     2.17    51.16    7

Rank Team                   W  L  T   Rating   Points  BCS
  11 Dartmouth             11  0  0     2.13    51.44   12
  12 Minnesota              8 10  1     1.95    51.35   16
  13 Providence             9  6  2     1.87    51.02   10
  14 Quinnipiac            12  5  2     1.76    51.11   15
  15 Minnesota-Duluth      13  5  0     1.71    51.17   17
  16 Boston University      9  8  1     1.64    50.88   13

Predictions for Upcoming Games

(Sometimes, games from 1-2 days earlier get "stuck" on the list if my upstream source doesn't update them. This is especially true for exhibition games.)

                         PREDICTIONS FOR UPCOMING GAMES

   Date      Away Team             Home Team             Total    Prediction
-----------  --------------------  --------------------  -----  --------------
07-Dec-2025  Massachusetts         Northeastern            6.0  HOME by   0.34
07-Dec-2025  Bemidji State         Augustana               5.9  HOME by   0.48

09-Dec-2025  Providence            Brown                   5.5  AWAY by  -1.80

10-Dec-2025  Mass.-Lowell          Maine                   6.1  HOME by   1.57

12-Dec-2025  Army                  Dartmouth               6.0  HOME by   2.66
12-Dec-2025  Michigan Tech         Ferris State            5.8  AWAY by  -0.96
12-Dec-2025  Yale                  Merrimack               5.0  HOME by   1.20
12-Dec-2025  Colorado College      Miami                   5.9  AWAY by  -1.28
12-Dec-2025  Arizona State         Minnesota-Duluth        5.7  HOME by   0.51
12-Dec-2025  Omaha                 North Dakota            5.8  HOME by   1.09
12-Dec-2025  St. Thomas            Northern Michigan       5.3  AWAY by  -1.85
12-Dec-2025  Denver                St. Cloud State         5.8  AWAY by  -1.86
12-Dec-2025  Alaska                Union                   5.8  HOME by   0.82
12-Dec-2025  Minnesota State       Augustana               4.7  AWAY by  -0.38

13-Dec-2025  Michigan Tech         Ferris State            5.8  AWAY by  -0.96
13-Dec-2025  Lindenwood            Maine                   4.7  HOME by   1.69
13-Dec-2025  Long Island           Merrimack               5.3  HOME by   0.09
13-Dec-2025  Colorado College      Miami                   5.9  AWAY by  -1.28
13-Dec-2025  Arizona State         Minnesota-Duluth        5.7  HOME by   0.51
13-Dec-2025  Omaha                 North Dakota            5.8  HOME by   1.09
13-Dec-2025  Boston University     Northeastern            6.5  AWAY by  -0.10
13-Dec-2025  St. Thomas            Northern Michigan       5.3  AWAY by  -1.85
13-Dec-2025  Denver                St. Cloud State         5.8  AWAY by  -1.86
13-Dec-2025  Alaska                Union                   5.8  HOME by   0.82
13-Dec-2025  Army                  Vermont                 5.2  HOME by   0.62
13-Dec-2025  Minnesota State       Augustana               4.7  AWAY by  -0.38

14-Dec-2025  Lindenwood            Maine                   4.7  HOME by   1.69
14-Dec-2025  Dartmouth             New Hampshire           5.2  AWAY by  -1.05

19-Dec-2025  Omaha                 Augustana               5.4  HOME by   0.04

20-Dec-2025  Omaha                 Augustana               5.4  HOME by   0.04

 

 

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