Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings

This is my rough attempt at a computer rating that can, among other things, come somewhat close to predicting final game scores. The actual computer rating, which describes team performance based on games played to date, is found under the "Rating" column.

To determine a hypothetical margin of victory, use the "Points" column (just subtract the teams in question) and add in the home field/court advantage, which is listed on the right. It usually is around 0.5 goals for hockey. All of the games in the predictions list already have home advantage taken into account.

22 September: Welcome back, everyone! Looking forward to another fun year.

Here are direct links to the full ratings list or to conference standings; scroll down for game predictions
Ratings were last updated: 06-Oct-2025 12 pm EDT

Top 16 Teams

Rank Team                   W  L  T   Rating   Points  BCS
   1 Western Michigan       1  0  0     3.89    52.56    1
   2 Boston College         0  1  0     3.17    52.21    3
   3 Boston University      2  0  0     2.95    51.83    2
   4 Penn State             2  0  0     2.89    51.92    4
   5 Michigan State         1  0  0     2.88    52.06    7
   6 Connecticut            1  1  0     2.85    51.89    6
   7 Maine                  0  0  0     2.85    51.88    5
   8 Denver                 1  0  0     2.63    52.06   10
   9 Massachusetts          2  0  0     2.27    51.46    9
  10 Michigan               2  0  0     2.16    51.62   11

Rank Team                   W  L  T   Rating   Points  BCS
  11 Providence             2  0  0     2.16    51.09    8
  12 Minnesota State        0  0  0     1.99    51.47   13
  13 Minnesota              1  1  0     1.92    51.55   15
  14 North Dakota           1  0  0     1.82    51.17   12
  15 Quinnipiac             1  1  0     1.75    51.26   14
  16 Ohio State             0  0  0     1.74    51.34   16

Predictions for Upcoming Games

                         PREDICTIONS FOR UPCOMING GAMES

   Date      Away Team             Home Team             Total    Prediction
-----------  --------------------  --------------------  -----  --------------
04-Oct-2025  Non-Division I        Bentley                 7.3  HOME by   4.72

09-Oct-2025  New Hampshire         Michigan State          4.8  HOME by   1.51
09-Oct-2025  Boston College        Minnesota               5.9  AWAY by  -0.59
09-Oct-2025  Clarkson              Penn State              6.7  HOME by   1.92
09-Oct-2025  Ferris State          Western Michigan        6.9  HOME by   4.09

10-Oct-2025  Denver                Air Force               5.2  AWAY by  -3.14
10-Oct-2025  Notre Dame            Arizona State           6.5  HOME by   0.85
10-Oct-2025  St. Cloud State       Bemidji State           3.1  HOME by   0.53
10-Oct-2025  Colgate               Boston University       7.3  HOME by   2.04
10-Oct-2025  LIU                   Canisius                5.7  AWAY by  -1.51
10-Oct-2025  Bentley               Colorado College        5.3  HOME by   0.29
10-Oct-2025  Western Michigan      Ferris State            5.8  AWAY by  -3.96
10-Oct-2025  Lindenwood            Lake Superior           3.5  HOME by   0.49
10-Oct-2025  Holy Cross            Maine                   5.4  HOME by   1.84
10-Oct-2025  Union                 Mercyhurst              5.5  AWAY by  -2.99
10-Oct-2025  UMass Lowell          Merrimack               5.5  AWAY by  -0.60
10-Oct-2025  New Hampshire         Michigan State          4.8  HOME by   1.51
10-Oct-2025  Boston College        Minnesota               5.9  AWAY by  -0.59
10-Oct-2025  Augustana             Minnesota Duluth        4.5  HOME by   0.27
10-Oct-2025  Bowling Green         Niagara                 6.8  AWAY by  -0.32
10-Oct-2025  St. Thomas            North Dakota            5.9  HOME by   0.89
10-Oct-2025  Army West Point       Northeastern            5.7  HOME by   1.67
10-Oct-2025  Northern Michigan     Ohio State              5.9  HOME by   2.92
10-Oct-2025  Minnesota State       Nebraska-Omaha          5.1  AWAY by  -0.66
10-Oct-2025  Clarkson              Penn State              6.7  HOME by   1.92
10-Oct-2025  Michigan              Providence              6.3  AWAY by  -0.47
10-Oct-2025  Alaska                Quinnipiac              5.4  Quin by   1.94
10-Oct-2025  Sacred Heart          RIT                     6.7  AWAY by  -1.80
10-Oct-2025  Miami                 Rensselaer              8.0  AWAY by  -0.03
10-Oct-2025  St. Lawrence          Vermont                 4.8  HOME by   2.38
10-Oct-2025  Massachusetts         Stonehill               5.8  AWAY by  -2.51

11-Oct-2025  Colorado College      Air Force               5.0  AWAY by  -1.55
11-Oct-2025  Colgate               Boston University       7.3  HOME by   2.04
11-Oct-2025  LIU                   Canisius                5.7  AWAY by  -1.51
11-Oct-2025  Bentley               Denver                  5.5  HOME by   1.87
11-Oct-2025  Lindenwood            Lake Superior           3.5  HOME by   0.49
11-Oct-2025  Holy Cross            Maine                   5.4  HOME by   1.84
11-Oct-2025  Union                 Mercyhurst              5.5  AWAY by  -2.99
11-Oct-2025  Augustana             Minnesota Duluth        4.5  HOME by   0.27
11-Oct-2025  Bowling Green         Niagara                 6.8  AWAY by  -0.32
11-Oct-2025  Northern Michigan     Ohio State              5.9  HOME by   2.92
11-Oct-2025  Minnesota State       Nebraska-Omaha          5.1  AWAY by  -0.66
11-Oct-2025  Michigan              Providence              6.3  AWAY by  -0.47
11-Oct-2025  Sacred Heart          RIT                     6.7  AWAY by  -1.80
11-Oct-2025  Miami                 Rensselaer              8.0  AWAY by  -0.03
11-Oct-2025  Bemidji State         St. Cloud State         6.7  AWAY by  -0.39

12-Oct-2025  Stonehill             Army West Point         5.6  HOME by   0.10
12-Oct-2025  St. Thomas            North Dakota            5.9  Nort by   0.82
12-Oct-2025  Vermont               St. Lawrence            6.6  AWAY by  -2.24

14-Oct-2025  Canisius              Army West Point         5.5  HOME by   0.01

15-Oct-2025  Non-Division I        Yale                    9.3  HOME by   2.56

16-Oct-2025  Robert Morris         Michigan                6.5  HOME by   3.15
16-Oct-2025  St. Lawrence          Notre Dame              5.0  HOME by   2.61
16-Oct-2025  Minnesota State       Wisconsin               5.8  AWAY by  -0.27

17-Oct-2025  St. Thomas            Air Force               5.3  AWAY by  -1.43
17-Oct-2025  Michigan Tech         Alaska                  5.5  AWAY by  -0.51
17-Oct-2025  Minnesota Duluth      Bemidji State           5.0  AWAY by  -0.09
17-Oct-2025  Michigan State        Boston University       6.6  AWAY by  -0.16
17-Oct-2025  Non-Division I        Bowling Green           6.1  HOME by   4.09
17-Oct-2025  Canisius              Colgate                 6.3  HOME by   0.96
17-Oct-2025  Ohio State            Connecticut             6.2  HOME by   0.62
17-Oct-2025  Non-Division I        Cornell                 7.6  HOME by   5.23
17-Oct-2025  Non-Division I        Ferris State            7.4  Ferr by   2.94
17-Oct-2025  Northeastern          Massachusetts           5.2  HOME by   1.02
17-Oct-2025  Western Michigan      UMass Lowell            5.3  AWAY by  -1.93
17-Oct-2025  Robert Morris         Michigan                6.5  HOME by   3.15
17-Oct-2025  Minnesota             North Dakota            6.9  AWAY by  -0.32
17-Oct-2025  Colorado College      Northern Michigan       4.2  AWAY by  -1.91
17-Oct-2025  St. Lawrence          Notre Dame              5.0  HOME by   2.61
17-Oct-2025  LIU                   Penn State              6.7  HOME by   1.44
17-Oct-2025  Maine                 Quinnipiac              4.9  AWAY by  -0.55
17-Oct-2025  Boston College        Rensselaer              7.7  AWAY by  -3.66
17-Oct-2025  Vermont               St. Cloud State         6.2  AWAY by  -0.22
17-Oct-2025  Niagara               Union                   6.4  HOME by   0.08
17-Oct-2025  Minnesota State       Wisconsin               5.8  AWAY by  -0.27
17-Oct-2025  Denver                Lindenwood              5.8  AWAY by  -2.96
17-Oct-2025  Arizona State         Augustana               5.7  AWAY by  -0.82
17-Oct-2025  Lake Superior         Non-Division I          7.4  AWAY by  -3.78

18-Oct-2025  St. Thomas            Air Force               5.3  AWAY by  -1.43
18-Oct-2025  Michigan Tech         Alaska                  5.5  AWAY by  -0.51
18-Oct-2025  Michigan State        Boston University       6.6  AWAY by  -0.16
18-Oct-2025  Canisius              Colgate                 6.3  HOME by   0.96
18-Oct-2025  Ohio State            Connecticut             6.2  HOME by   0.62
18-Oct-2025  Non-Division I        Lake Superior           6.5  Lake by   3.85
18-Oct-2025  Bentley               Massachusetts           4.7  HOME by   1.27
18-Oct-2025  Western Michigan      UMass Lowell            5.3  AWAY by  -1.93
18-Oct-2025  Holy Cross            Mercyhurst              5.8  AWAY by  -3.87
18-Oct-2025  New Hampshire         Merrimack               4.5  AWAY by  -0.66
18-Oct-2025  Bemidji State         Minnesota Duluth        6.6  HOME by   0.23
18-Oct-2025  Minnesota             North Dakota            6.9  AWAY by  -0.32
18-Oct-2025  Harvard               Northeastern            5.5  HOME by   1.12
18-Oct-2025  Colorado College      Northern Michigan       4.2  AWAY by  -1.91
18-Oct-2025  LIU                   Penn State              6.7  HOME by   1.44
18-Oct-2025  Maine                 Quinnipiac              4.9  AWAY by  -0.55
18-Oct-2025  Clarkson              RIT                     5.9  Clar by  -2.34
18-Oct-2025  Providence            Rensselaer              7.3  AWAY by  -2.53
18-Oct-2025  Stonehill             Sacred Heart            5.2  HOME by   0.80
18-Oct-2025  Vermont               St. Cloud State         6.2  AWAY by  -0.22
18-Oct-2025  Niagara               Union                   6.4  HOME by   0.08
18-Oct-2025  Denver                Lindenwood              5.8  AWAY by  -2.96
18-Oct-2025  Arizona State         Augustana               5.7  AWAY by  -0.82
18-Oct-2025  Ferris State          Non-Division I          7.1  AWAY by  -2.87

 

 

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