Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings
This is my rough attempt at a computer rating that can, among other things, come somewhat close to predicting final game scores. The actual computer rating, which describes team performance based on games played to date, is found under the "Rating" column.
To determine a hypothetical margin of victory, use the "Points" column (just subtract the teams in question) and add in the home field/court advantage, which is listed on the right. It usually is around 0.5 goals for hockey. All of the games in the predictions list already have home advantage taken into account.
22 December: I had inadvertently left some of last year's games in a stray file, which cause the ratings to hold on to old information. That's now fixed and they look much better.
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Here are direct links to the
full ratings list or to
conference standings; scroll down
for game predictions.
Ratings were last updated: 01-Mar-2026 07 am EST Top 16 TeamsRank Team W L T Rating Points BCS 1 Michigan 26 7 1 3.88 52.43 1 2 Western Michigan 25 9 1 3.57 52.23 2 3 North Dakota 27 8 1 3.29 52.09 4 4 Michigan State 26 7 1 3.24 51.89 3 5 Providence 24 9 2 2.95 51.68 5 6 Quinnipiac 26 8 3 2.80 51.88 6 7 Denver 22 11 3 2.72 51.89 7 8 Minnesota-Duluth 20 13 1 2.25 51.55 10 9 Penn State 20 10 2 2.19 51.36 8 10 Boston College 20 12 1 2.00 51.23 9 Rank Team W L T Rating Points BCS 11 Maine 18 12 4 1.87 51.20 12 12 Cornell 22 8 1 1.85 51.10 11 13 Wisconsin 20 11 2 1.71 51.03 13 14 Connecticut 17 10 5 1.67 51.03 14 15 Dartmouth 20 7 4 1.53 51.02 16 16 Massachusetts 20 12 1 1.49 50.82 15 Predictions for Upcoming Games(Sometimes, games from 1-2 days earlier get "stuck" on the list if my upstream source doesn't update them. This is especially true for exhibition games.) PREDICTIONS FOR UPCOMING GAMES Date Away Team Home Team Total Prediction ----------- -------------------- -------------------- ----- -------------- 03-Mar-2026 Mercyhurst Canisius 6.2 HOME by 1.79 03-Mar-2026 Army Niagara 5.0 AWAY by -0.71 05-Mar-2026 New Hampshire Connecticut 4.5 HOME by 1.49 05-Mar-2026 Boston College Massachusetts 4.8 AWAY by -0.23 05-Mar-2026 Mass.-Lowell Merrimack 6.5 HOME by 0.88 05-Mar-2026 Michigan State Minnesota 5.2 AWAY by -1.25 05-Mar-2026 Notre Dame Ohio State 7.0 HOME by 0.94 05-Mar-2026 Wisconsin Penn State 9.0 HOME by 0.52 06-Mar-2026 Rensselaer Clarkson 6.3 HOME by 1.14 06-Mar-2026 Miami Denver 5.4 HOME by 1.38 06-Mar-2026 St. Lawrence Harvard 6.9 HOME by 2.33 06-Mar-2026 Bowling Green Michigan Tech 4.4 HOME by 0.24 06-Mar-2026 Michigan State Minnesota 5.2 AWAY by -1.25 06-Mar-2026 Ferris State Minnesota State 5.6 HOME by 1.38 06-Mar-2026 St. Cloud State Minnesota-Duluth 6.1 HOME by 0.96 06-Mar-2026 Omaha North Dakota 5.9 HOME by 2.09 06-Mar-2026 Notre Dame Ohio State 7.0 HOME by 0.94 06-Mar-2026 Wisconsin Penn State 9.0 HOME by 0.52 06-Mar-2026 Lake Superior St. Thomas 6.5 HOME by 1.83 06-Mar-2026 Colorado College Western Michigan 5.8 HOME by 1.49 06-Mar-2026 Bemidji State Augustana 5.0 HOME by 1.03 07-Mar-2026 Northeastern Boston College 7.2 HOME by 1.12 07-Mar-2026 Yale Colgate 6.5 HOME by 0.71 07-Mar-2026 Miami Denver 5.4 HOME by 1.38 07-Mar-2026 Boston University Mass.-Lowell 5.4 AWAY by -0.57 07-Mar-2026 Bowling Green Michigan Tech 4.4 HOME by 0.24 07-Mar-2026 Ferris State Minnesota State 5.6 HOME by 1.38 07-Mar-2026 St. Cloud State Minnesota-Duluth 6.1 HOME by 0.96 07-Mar-2026 Massachusetts New Hampshire 4.1 AWAY by -0.90 07-Mar-2026 Omaha North Dakota 5.9 HOME by 2.09 07-Mar-2026 Connecticut Providence 5.3 HOME by 0.84 07-Mar-2026 Lake Superior St. Thomas 6.5 HOME by 1.83 07-Mar-2026 Brown Union 6.6 HOME by 2.63 07-Mar-2026 Maine Vermont 5.1 AWAY by -1.90 07-Mar-2026 Colorado College Western Michigan 5.8 HOME by 1.49 07-Mar-2026 Bemidji State Augustana 5.0 HOME by 1.03 |
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