Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings

This is my rough attempt at a computer rating that can, among other things, come somewhat close to predicting final game scores. The actual computer rating, which describes team performance based on games played to date, is found under the "Rating" column.

To determine a hypothetical margin of victory, use the "Points" column (just subtract the teams in question) and add in the home field/court advantage, which is listed on the right. It usually is around 0.5 goals for hockey. All of the games in the predictions list already have home advantage taken into account.

22 December: I had inadvertently left some of last year's games in a stray file, which cause the ratings to hold on to old information. That's now fixed and they look much better.

Here are direct links to the full ratings list or to conference standings; scroll down for game predictions.
Ratings were last updated: 22-Mar-2026 08 am EDT

Top 16 Teams

Rank Team                   W  L  T   Rating   Points  BCS
   1 Michigan              30  7  1     4.12    52.60    1
   2 Western Michigan      27 10  1     3.60    52.24    2
   3 North Dakota          29  9  1     3.18    51.99    3
   4 Denver                26 11  3     3.11    52.02    6
   5 Michigan State        27  8  2     3.09    51.90    4
   6 Providence            25 10  2     2.85    51.62    5
   7 Minnesota-Duluth      23 14  1     2.47    51.66    7
   8 Quinnipiac            26 10  3     2.36    51.63    8
   9 Dartmouth             24  7  4     1.96    51.20    9
  10 Penn State            21 13  2     1.81    51.15   13

Rank Team                   W  L  T   Rating   Points  BCS
  11 Wisconsin             22 12  2     1.79    51.05   11
  12 Connecticut           20 12  5     1.78    51.06   12
  13 Boston College        21 15  1     1.73    51.19   16
  14 Massachusetts         23 13  1     1.70    50.90   10
  15 Cornell               24 10  1     1.70    51.05   14
  16 Merrimack             22 15  2     1.40    50.68   15

Predictions for Upcoming Games

(Sometimes, games from 1-2 days earlier get "stuck" on the list if my upstream source doesn't update them. This is especially true for exhibition games.)

                         PREDICTIONS FOR UPCOMING GAMES

   Date      Away Team             Home Team             Total    Prediction
-----------  --------------------  --------------------  -----  --------------

 

 

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