Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings
This is my rough attempt at a computer rating that can, among other things, come somewhat close to predicting final game scores. The actual computer rating, which describes team performance based on games played to date, is found under the "Rating" column.
To determine a hypothetical margin of victory, use the "Points" column (just subtract the teams in question) and add in the home field/court advantage, which is listed on the right. It usually is around 0.5 goals for hockey. All of the games in the predictions list already have home advantage taken into account.
22 December: I had inadvertently left some of last year's games in a stray file, which cause the ratings to hold on to old information. That's now fixed and they look much better.
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Here are direct links to the
full ratings list or to
conference standings; scroll down
for game predictions.
Ratings were last updated: 20-Jan-2026 07 am EST Top 16 TeamsRank Team W L T Rating Points BCS 1 Michigan 20 4 0 4.18 52.99 1 2 Western Michigan 17 6 0 3.35 52.33 3 3 Michigan State 19 5 0 3.03 51.89 2 4 North Dakota 20 6 0 2.94 52.03 5 5 Minnesota-Duluth 17 7 0 2.84 51.83 4 6 Wisconsin 16 5 2 2.56 51.70 7 7 Quinnipiac 18 5 2 2.53 51.64 6 8 Providence 15 7 2 2.25 51.44 9 9 Penn State 16 6 0 2.14 51.15 8 10 Dartmouth 15 4 1 2.11 51.44 10 Rank Team W L T Rating Points BCS 11 Denver 14 10 2 1.90 51.60 17 12 Cornell 14 5 0 1.71 51.06 11 13 Connecticut 13 7 3 1.57 51.01 13 14 Boston College 12 8 1 1.50 51.16 20 15 St. Thomas 14 7 3 1.47 50.86 12 16 Maine 12 9 3 1.45 51.04 18 Predictions for Upcoming Games(Sometimes, games from 1-2 days earlier get "stuck" on the list if my upstream source doesn't update them. This is especially true for exhibition games.) PREDICTIONS FOR UPCOMING GAMES Date Away Team Home Team Total Prediction ----------- -------------------- -------------------- ----- -------------- 22-Jan-2026 Northeastern Merrimack 6.2 AWAY by -0.04 23-Jan-2026 Lindenwood Alaska 6.3 AWAY by -0.31 23-Jan-2026 North Dakota Arizona State 6.1 AWAY by -1.14 23-Jan-2026 Bowling Green Bemidji State 6.1 HOME by 0.43 23-Jan-2026 Princeton Bentley 2.4 AWAY by -0.20 23-Jan-2026 New Hampshire Boston College 7.1 HOME by 1.61 23-Jan-2026 St. Lawrence Clarkson 6.3 HOME by 3.49 23-Jan-2026 Harvard Colgate 5.8 AWAY by -0.87 23-Jan-2026 Dartmouth Cornell 7.0 AWAY by -0.24 23-Jan-2026 St. Cloud State Denver 5.7 HOME by 0.71 23-Jan-2026 St. Thomas Lake Superior 7.5 AWAY by -1.37 23-Jan-2026 Maine Mass.-Lowell 3.6 AWAY by -1.08 23-Jan-2026 Canisius Mercyhurst 5.2 AWAY by -1.42 23-Jan-2026 Northeastern Merrimack 6.2 AWAY by -0.04 23-Jan-2026 Minnesota Michigan State 5.6 HOME by 1.74 23-Jan-2026 Western Michigan Minnesota-Duluth 6.9 AWAY by -0.36 23-Jan-2026 RIT Niagara 6.0 AWAY by -1.09 23-Jan-2026 Michigan Tech Northern Michigan 5.9 AWAY by -1.95 23-Jan-2026 Ohio State Notre Dame 7.0 AWAY by -0.98 23-Jan-2026 Colorado College Omaha 6.0 AWAY by -0.47 23-Jan-2026 Boston University Providence 6.0 HOME by 1.06 23-Jan-2026 Quinnipiac Sacred Heart 4.4 Quin by -2.03 23-Jan-2026 Massachusetts Vermont 5.2 AWAY by -1.16 23-Jan-2026 Penn State Wisconsin 5.0 HOME by 0.69 23-Jan-2026 Connecticut Yale 6.1 AWAY by -1.11 23-Jan-2026 Long Island Alaska-Anchorage 8.1 AWAY by -1.23 23-Jan-2026 Holy Cross Robert Morris 6.0 AWAY by -0.98 24-Jan-2026 Lindenwood Alaska 6.3 AWAY by -0.31 24-Jan-2026 North Dakota Arizona State 6.1 AWAY by -1.14 24-Jan-2026 Bowling Green Bemidji State 6.1 HOME by 0.43 24-Jan-2026 Princeton Bentley 2.4 AWAY by -0.20 24-Jan-2026 Providence Boston University 5.9 AWAY by -0.79 24-Jan-2026 Dartmouth Colgate 6.3 AWAY by -1.90 24-Jan-2026 Harvard Cornell 6.4 HOME by 0.80 24-Jan-2026 St. Cloud State Denver 5.7 HOME by 0.71 24-Jan-2026 St. Thomas Lake Superior 7.5 AWAY by -1.37 24-Jan-2026 Maine Mass.-Lowell 3.6 AWAY by -1.08 24-Jan-2026 Canisius Mercyhurst 5.2 AWAY by -1.42 24-Jan-2026 Minnesota Michigan State 5.6 HOME by 1.74 24-Jan-2026 Northern Michigan Michigan Tech 4.2 HOME by 2.22 24-Jan-2026 Augustana Minnesota State 1.9 AWAY by -0.68 24-Jan-2026 Western Michigan Minnesota-Duluth 6.9 AWAY by -0.36 24-Jan-2026 Boston College New Hampshire 4.1 AWAY by -1.34 24-Jan-2026 Ohio State Notre Dame 7.0 AWAY by -0.98 24-Jan-2026 Colorado College Omaha 6.0 AWAY by -0.47 24-Jan-2026 Niagara RIT 5.1 HOME by 1.36 24-Jan-2026 Clarkson St. Lawrence 5.8 AWAY by -3.22 24-Jan-2026 Rensselaer Union 5.4 Unio by 2.25 24-Jan-2026 Massachusetts Vermont 5.2 AWAY by -1.16 24-Jan-2026 Penn State Wisconsin 5.0 HOME by 0.69 24-Jan-2026 Brown Stonehill 5.7 AWAY by -0.30 24-Jan-2026 Long Island Alaska-Anchorage 8.1 AWAY by -1.23 24-Jan-2026 Holy Cross Robert Morris 6.0 AWAY by -0.98 27-Jan-2026 Long Island Alaska-Anchorage 8.1 AWAY by -1.23 29-Jan-2026 Army Holy Cross 5.3 HOME by 0.55 30-Jan-2026 Sacred Heart Air Force 5.1 AWAY by -0.07 30-Jan-2026 Long Island Alaska 5.1 HOME by 0.16 30-Jan-2026 Boston College Boston University 5.6 AWAY by -0.51 30-Jan-2026 Colgate Brown 6.5 AWAY by -0.76 30-Jan-2026 Niagara Canisius 6.0 HOME by 1.03 30-Jan-2026 Princeton Clarkson 3.9 HOME by 0.24 30-Jan-2026 Arizona State Colorado College 5.7 HOME by 0.04 30-Jan-2026 Union Dartmouth 5.3 HOME by 0.93 30-Jan-2026 Minnesota-Duluth Denver 6.3 AWAY by -0.10 30-Jan-2026 Minnesota State Ferris State 4.1 AWAY by -1.15 30-Jan-2026 Rensselaer Harvard 5.4 HOME by 2.15 30-Jan-2026 Army Holy Cross 5.3 HOME by 0.55 30-Jan-2026 Northeastern Massachusetts 5.9 HOME by 0.08 30-Jan-2026 RIT Mercyhurst 4.7 AWAY by -1.76 30-Jan-2026 New Hampshire Merrimack 5.4 HOME by 0.64 30-Jan-2026 Wisconsin Minnesota 7.1 AWAY by -1.28 30-Jan-2026 Bemidji State Northern Michigan 4.5 AWAY by -1.87 30-Jan-2026 Bowling Green Notre Dame 5.5 AWAY by -0.74 30-Jan-2026 Michigan Ohio State 6.0 AWAY by -2.65 30-Jan-2026 Michigan State Penn State 6.2 AWAY by -0.60 30-Jan-2026 Miami St. Cloud State 6.3 HOME by 0.49 30-Jan-2026 Quinnipiac St. Lawrence 5.2 AWAY by -4.63 30-Jan-2026 Michigan Tech St. Thomas 7.7 HOME by 0.66 30-Jan-2026 Stonehill Vermont 5.1 HOME by 1.07 30-Jan-2026 Omaha Western Michigan 5.9 HOME by 2.42 30-Jan-2026 Cornell Yale 4.5 AWAY by -1.16 30-Jan-2026 Bentley Robert Morris 5.8 AWAY by -1.19 30-Jan-2026 Lake Superior Augustana 5.4 HOME by 1.50 31-Jan-2026 Sacred Heart Air Force 5.1 AWAY by -0.07 31-Jan-2026 Long Island Alaska 5.1 HOME by 0.16 31-Jan-2026 Notre Dame Bowling Green 7.2 HOME by 1.01 31-Jan-2026 Cornell Brown 4.7 AWAY by -2.42 31-Jan-2026 Quinnipiac Clarkson 5.1 AWAY by -1.27 31-Jan-2026 Arizona State Colorado College 5.7 HOME by 0.04 31-Jan-2026 Rensselaer Dartmouth 4.7 HOME by 3.18 31-Jan-2026 Minnesota-Duluth Denver 6.3 AWAY by -0.10 31-Jan-2026 Minnesota State Ferris State 4.1 AWAY by -1.15 31-Jan-2026 Providence Maine 5.7 AWAY by -0.26 31-Jan-2026 RIT Mercyhurst 4.7 AWAY by -1.76 31-Jan-2026 Wisconsin Minnesota 7.1 AWAY by -1.28 31-Jan-2026 Merrimack New Hampshire 4.3 AWAY by -0.36 31-Jan-2026 Canisius Niagara 6.5 AWAY by -0.75 31-Jan-2026 Bemidji State Northern Michigan 4.5 AWAY by -1.87 31-Jan-2026 Michigan Ohio State 6.0 AWAY by -2.65 31-Jan-2026 Michigan State Penn State 6.2 AWAY by -0.60 31-Jan-2026 Miami St. Cloud State 6.3 HOME by 0.49 31-Jan-2026 Princeton St. Lawrence 4.1 AWAY by -3.12 31-Jan-2026 Michigan Tech St. Thomas 7.7 HOME by 0.66 31-Jan-2026 Stonehill Vermont 5.1 HOME by 1.07 31-Jan-2026 Omaha Western Michigan 5.9 HOME by 2.42 31-Jan-2026 Colgate Yale 6.4 HOME by 0.50 31-Jan-2026 Bentley Robert Morris 5.8 AWAY by -1.19 31-Jan-2026 Lake Superior Augustana 5.4 HOME by 1.50 01-Feb-2026 Massachusetts Mass.-Lowell 3.8 AWAY by -0.35 02-Feb-2026 Boston College Harvard 5.9 Bost by -0.76 02-Feb-2026 Boston University Northeastern 5.4 Bost by -0.15 03-Feb-2026 Merrimack Stonehill 5.6 AWAY by -1.98 |
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