Wilson Computer Ratings team analysis
UC Merced (10-17)

UC Merced's opponents in order of rating: 
     Team            Rating        Score  Effect  W- L
   ---------------   ------       ------- ------ -----
   St. Mary's, Cal.   689.8 LOSS   42-96         27- 6 Division I
   CSU-East Bay       615.9 LOSS   62-75         33- 1 Division II
   CSU-East Bay       615.9 LOSS   51-58         33- 1 Division II
   CS Dom. Hills      540.9 LOSS   73-92         23- 9 Division II
   CS Dom. Hills      540.9 LOSS   75-78         23- 9 Division II
   NW Nazarene        522.9 LOSS   67-91         18-12 Division II
   Cal Poly-Pomona    511.1 LOSS   65-79         18-12 Division II
   Cal Poly-Pomona    511.1 LOSS   53-72         18-12 Division II
   CSU-Monterey Bay   508.7 LOSS   80-86         17-12 Division II
   CSU-Monterey Bay   508.7 LOSS   83-89         17-12 Division II
   Dominican (CA)     496.8 LOSS   60-74         17-13 Division II
   CalSt-San Marcos   490.7 LOSS   57-62         14-14 Division II
   CSU-SanBernardino  489.6 LOSS   60-61         14-15 Division II
   CSU-SanBernardino  489.6 LOSS   65-81         14-15 Division II
   CSU-Los Angeles    455.8 LOSS   73-76         10-19 Division II
   CS Chico           447.1 LOSS   50-69          8-19 Division II
   San Francisco St.  418.6 LOSS   69-74          4-26 Division II
>> UC Merced          466.4 <<                   10-17 Division II
   Humboldt St.       510.4 WIN    74-64    ++   17-16 Division II
   Humboldt St.       510.4 WIN    83-63    ++   17-16 Division II
   CalSt-San Marcos   490.7 WIN    80-66    ++   14-14 Division II
   Fresno Pacific     487.1 WIN    61-57    ++   14-16 Division II
   Stanislaus St      481.9 WIN    60-59    ++   13-15 Division II
   CSU-Los Angeles    455.8 WIN    86-69    +    10-19 Division II
   CS Chico           447.1 WIN    86-76    +     8-19 Division II
   San Francisco St.  418.6 WIN    92-77    +     4-26 Division II
   Pacific Union      355.9 WIN    89-50    -     0- 8 NAIA/NCCAA/USCAA
Games against teams within about 100 rating points are often the best indicators of a team's actual strength.

"Effect" ranges from "---", a game that caused a large decrease in the team rating, to "+++", a game that produced a large increase in rating.

Note that wins over very weak teams may actually hurt a team's rating (the opposite is true for losses to very good teams).

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