Wilson Computer Ratings team analysis
UC Merced (10-17)


UC Merced's opponents in order of rating:
     Team            Rating        Score  Effect  W- L
   ---------------   ------       ------- ------ -----
   St. Mary's, Cal.   706.2 LOSS   42-96         27- 4 Division I
   CSU-East Bay       634.8 LOSS   62-75         30- 0 Division II
   CSU-East Bay       634.8 LOSS   51-58         30- 0 Division II
   CS Dom. Hills      546.2 LOSS   73-92         22- 8 Division II
   CS Dom. Hills      546.2 LOSS   75-78         22- 8 Division II
   NW Nazarene        534.4 LOSS   67-91         18-11 Division II
   Cal Poly-Pomona    518.0 LOSS   65-79         18-12 Division II
   Cal Poly-Pomona    518.0 LOSS   53-72         18-12 Division II
   CSU-Monterey Bay   516.1 LOSS   80-86         17-12 Division II
   CSU-Monterey Bay   516.1 LOSS   83-89         17-12 Division II
   Dominican (CA)     503.6 LOSS   60-74         17-13 Division II
   CalSt-San Marcos   497.6 LOSS   57-62         14-14 Division II
   CSU-SanBernardino  496.7 LOSS   60-61         14-15 Division II
   CSU-SanBernardino  496.7 LOSS   65-81         14-15 Division II
   CSU-Los Angeles    463.1 LOSS   73-76         10-19 Division II
   CS Chico           454.2 LOSS   50-69          8-19 Division II
   San Francisco St.  426.0 LOSS   69-74          4-26 Division II
>> UC Merced          473.6 <<                   10-17 Division II
   Humboldt St.       517.8 WIN    74-64    ++   17-15 Division II
   Humboldt St.       517.8 WIN    83-63    ++   17-15 Division II
   CalSt-San Marcos   497.6 WIN    80-66    ++   14-14 Division II
   Fresno Pacific     494.1 WIN    61-57    ++   14-16 Division II
   Stanislaus St      489.2 WIN    60-59    ++   13-15 Division II
   CSU-Los Angeles    463.1 WIN    86-69    +    10-19 Division II
   CS Chico           454.2 WIN    86-76    +     8-19 Division II
   San Francisco St.  426.0 WIN    92-77    +     4-26 Division II
   Pacific Union      361.3 WIN    89-50    -     0- 8 NAIA/NCCAA/USCAA

Games against teams within about 100 rating points are often the best indicators of a team's actual strength.

"Effect" ranges from "---", a game that caused a large decrease in the team rating, to "+++", a game that produced a large increase in rating.

Note that wins over very weak teams may actually hurt a team's rating (the opposite is true for losses to very good teams).

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