Wilson Computer Ratings team analysis
UC Merced (9-14)


UC Merced's opponents in order of rating:
     Team            Rating        Score  Effect  W- L
   ---------------   ------       ------- ------ -----
   St. Mary's, Cal.   698.9 LOSS   42-96         23- 4 Division I
   CSU-East Bay       641.0 LOSS   62-75         24- 0 Division II
   CS Dom. Hills      557.3 LOSS   73-92         19- 6 Division II
   NW Nazarene        541.5 LOSS   67-91         15- 9 Division II
   CSU-Monterey Bay   526.4 LOSS   80-86         15- 9 Division II
   CSU-Monterey Bay   526.4 LOSS   83-89         15- 9 Division II
   Dominican (CA)     508.4 LOSS   60-74         15-11 Division II
   Cal Poly-Pomona    507.1 LOSS   65-79         14-11 Division II
   Cal Poly-Pomona    507.1 LOSS   53-72         14-11 Division II
   CalSt-San Marcos   505.1 LOSS   57-62         12-11 Division II
   CSU-SanBernardino  501.6 LOSS   60-61         12-13 Division II
   CSU-SanBernardino  501.6 LOSS   65-81         12-13 Division II
   CS Chico           467.9 LOSS   50-69          8-15 Division II
   CSU-Los Angeles    462.7 LOSS   73-76          7-17 Division II
>> UC Merced          482.3 <<                    9-14 Division II
   Humboldt St.       515.6 WIN    74-64    ++   13-12 Division II
   Humboldt St.       515.6 WIN    83-63    ++   13-12 Division II
   CalSt-San Marcos   505.1 WIN    80-66    ++   12-11 Division II
   Stanislaus St      498.0 WIN    60-59    ++   12-12 Division II
   Fresno Pacific     497.8 WIN    61-57    ++   11-15 Division II
   CS Chico           467.9 WIN    86-76    +     8-15 Division II
   San Francisco St.  425.8 WIN    92-77    +     3-23 Division II
   Pacific Union      372.2 WIN    89-50    -     0- 8 NAIA/NCCAA/USCAA

Games against teams within about 100 rating points are often the best indicators of a team's actual strength.

"Effect" ranges from "---", a game that caused a large decrease in the team rating, to "+++", a game that produced a large increase in rating.

Note that wins over very weak teams may actually hurt a team's rating (the opposite is true for losses to very good teams).

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