Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings

This is my rough attempt at a computer rating that can, among other things, come somewhat close to predicting final game scores. The actual computer rating, which describes team performance based on games played to date, is found under the "Rating" column.

To determine a hypothetical margin of victory, use the "Points" column (just subtract the teams in question) and add in the home field/court advantage, which is listed on the right. It usually is around 0.5 goals for hockey. All of the games in the predictions list already have home advantage taken into account.

22 September: Welcome back, everyone! Looking forward to another fun year.

Here are direct links to the full ratings list or to conference standings; scroll down for game predictions
Ratings were last updated: 28-Sep-2025

Top 16 Teams

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
   1 Western Michigan       0  0     3.91    52.35    1
   2 Boston College         0  0     3.76    52.44    2
   3 Connecticut            0  0     3.17    52.01    3
   4 Maine                  0  0     3.08    51.95    4
   5 Michigan State         0  0     2.85    52.05    6
   6 Boston University      0  0     2.82    51.84    5
   7 Denver                 0  0     2.63    51.99    8
   8 Massachusetts          0  0     2.29    51.62   10
   9 Penn State             0  0     2.21    51.45    9
  10 Quinnipiac             0  0     2.11    51.40   11

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  11 Providence             0  0     1.97    51.03    7
  12 Minnesota              0  0     1.93    51.57   15
  13 Minnesota State        0  0     1.86    51.09   12
  14 Cornell                0  0     1.64    50.98   13
  15 Arizona State          0  0     1.55    51.09   16
  16 Ohio State             0  0     1.46    51.10   17

Predictions for Upcoming Games

                         PREDICTIONS FOR UPCOMING GAMES

   Date      Away Team             Home Team             Total    Prediction
-----------  --------------------  --------------------  -----  --------------
03-Oct-2025  Clarkson              Canisius                5.9  AWAY by  -1.79
03-Oct-2025  Connecticut           Colorado College        5.7  AWAY by  -1.62
03-Oct-2025  Minnesota Duluth      Alaska                  5.7  HOME by   0.36
03-Oct-2025  Merrimack             UMass Lowell            6.0  HOME by   0.43
03-Oct-2025  Ferris State          Miami                   7.0  AWAY by  -0.44
03-Oct-2025  Mercyhurst            Michigan                6.8  HOME by   4.18
03-Oct-2025  Non-Division I        Michigan State          7.3  HOME by   6.39
03-Oct-2025  Michigan Tech         Minnesota               6.2  HOME by   2.26
03-Oct-2025  Penn State            Arizona State           6.1  AWAY by  -0.24
03-Oct-2025  Air Force             Nebraska-Omaha          4.3  HOME by   1.98
03-Oct-2025  Non-Division I        Providence              7.4  HOME by   5.37
03-Oct-2025  LIU                   Army West Point         5.7  AWAY by  -1.62
03-Oct-2025  Augustana             St. Cloud State         4.6  AWAY by  -0.47
03-Oct-2025  Wisconsin             Lindenwood              5.6  AWAY by  -0.94
03-Oct-2025  Bemidji State         Alaska Anchorage        7.0  HOME by   0.62
03-Oct-2025  Notre Dame            Non-Division I          6.1  AWAY by  -4.41
03-Oct-2025  Quinnipiac            Boston College          4.9  HOME by   1.16

04-Oct-2025  Robert Morris         Bowling Green           4.6  HOME by   1.68
04-Oct-2025  Connecticut           Colorado College        5.7  AWAY by  -1.62
04-Oct-2025  Non-Division I        Denver                  8.4  HOME by   6.33
04-Oct-2025  Minnesota Duluth      Alaska                  5.7  HOME by   0.36
04-Oct-2025  Northern Michigan     Massachusetts           5.8  HOME by   3.60
04-Oct-2025  Ferris State          Miami                   7.0  AWAY by  -0.44
04-Oct-2025  Mercyhurst            Michigan                6.8  HOME by   4.18
04-Oct-2025  Michigan Tech         Minnesota               6.2  HOME by   2.26
04-Oct-2025  St. Lawrence          Niagara                 5.4  HOME by   1.10
04-Oct-2025  Non-Division I        North Dakota            7.8  HOME by   5.14
04-Oct-2025  Holy Cross            Northeastern            5.2  HOME by   0.41
04-Oct-2025  Penn State            Arizona State           6.1  AWAY by  -0.24
04-Oct-2025  Merrimack             Sacred Heart            6.6  AWAY by  -0.10
04-Oct-2025  St. Thomas            St. Cloud State         5.7  AWAY by  -0.39
04-Oct-2025  Army West Point       Union                   6.4  HOME by   0.74
04-Oct-2025  Non-Division I        Vermont                 7.9  HOME by   4.68
04-Oct-2025  Wisconsin             Lindenwood              5.6  AWAY by  -0.94
04-Oct-2025  Lake Superior         Stonehill               6.9  HOME by   0.31
04-Oct-2025  Bemidji State         Alaska Anchorage        7.0  HOME by   0.62
04-Oct-2025  Non-Division I        Bentley                 7.6  HOME by   4.59
04-Oct-2025  LIU                   Boston University       6.4  HOME by   1.18

05-Oct-2025  St. Lawrence          Canisius                5.3  HOME by   0.54
05-Oct-2025  Union                 Colgate                 6.0  HOME by   0.42
05-Oct-2025  Northern Michigan     Massachusetts           5.8  HOME by   3.60
05-Oct-2025  Quinnipiac            Providence              5.1  AWAY by  -0.25
05-Oct-2025  Non-Division I        Sacred Heart            7.9  HOME by   4.18
05-Oct-2025  Non-Division I        Western Michigan        7.9  HOME by   6.69
05-Oct-2025  Lake Superior         Stonehill               6.9  HOME by   0.31
05-Oct-2025  Non-Division I        Robert Morris           7.7  HOME by   2.40
05-Oct-2025  Rensselaer            Boston University       6.7  HOME by   3.28

09-Oct-2025  New Hampshire         Michigan State          4.9  HOME by   1.47
09-Oct-2025  Boston College        Minnesota               5.7  AWAY by  -0.74
09-Oct-2025  Clarkson              Penn State              6.8  HOME by   1.06
09-Oct-2025  Ferris State          Western Michigan        6.8  HOME by   3.90

10-Oct-2025  Denver                Air Force               5.3  AWAY by  -3.11
10-Oct-2025  LIU                   Canisius                5.9  AWAY by  -2.05
10-Oct-2025  Bentley               Colorado College        5.2  HOME by   0.14
10-Oct-2025  Western Michigan      Ferris State            5.9  AWAY by  -3.65
10-Oct-2025  Lindenwood            Lake Superior           3.5  AWAY by  -0.38
10-Oct-2025  Holy Cross            Maine                   5.0  HOME by   1.84
10-Oct-2025  Union                 Mercyhurst              5.4  AWAY by  -2.74
10-Oct-2025  UMass Lowell          Merrimack               5.5  AWAY by  -0.18
10-Oct-2025  New Hampshire         Michigan State          4.9  HOME by   1.47
10-Oct-2025  Boston College        Minnesota               5.7  AWAY by  -0.74
10-Oct-2025  Augustana             Minnesota Duluth        4.5  AWAY by  -0.22
10-Oct-2025  Bowling Green         Niagara                 6.7  AWAY by  -0.33
10-Oct-2025  St. Thomas            North Dakota            5.9  HOME by   0.88
10-Oct-2025  Army West Point       Northeastern            5.5  HOME by   1.60
10-Oct-2025  Northern Michigan     Ohio State              5.8  HOME by   3.09
10-Oct-2025  Minnesota State       Nebraska-Omaha          5.1  AWAY by  -0.35
10-Oct-2025  Clarkson              Penn State              6.8  HOME by   1.06
10-Oct-2025  Michigan              Providence              6.3  HOME by   0.31
10-Oct-2025  Sacred Heart          RIT                     6.9  AWAY by  -2.26
10-Oct-2025  Miami                 Rensselaer              8.0  HOME by   0.79
10-Oct-2025  St. Lawrence          Vermont                 4.7  HOME by   2.28
10-Oct-2025  St. Cloud State       Bemidji State           3.2  AWAY by  -0.15
10-Oct-2025  Massachusetts         Stonehill               5.8  AWAY by  -2.20
10-Oct-2025  Colgate               Boston University       7.4  HOME by   2.01

11-Oct-2025  Colorado College      Air Force               5.1  AWAY by  -1.40
11-Oct-2025  LIU                   Canisius                5.9  AWAY by  -2.05
11-Oct-2025  Bentley               Denver                  5.5  HOME by   1.86
11-Oct-2025  Lindenwood            Lake Superior           3.5  AWAY by  -0.38
11-Oct-2025  Holy Cross            Maine                   5.0  HOME by   1.84
11-Oct-2025  Union                 Mercyhurst              5.4  AWAY by  -2.74
11-Oct-2025  Augustana             Minnesota Duluth        4.5  AWAY by  -0.22
11-Oct-2025  Bowling Green         Niagara                 6.7  AWAY by  -0.33
11-Oct-2025  Northern Michigan     Ohio State              5.8  HOME by   3.09
11-Oct-2025  Minnesota State       Nebraska-Omaha          5.1  AWAY by  -0.35
11-Oct-2025  Michigan              Providence              6.3  HOME by   0.31
11-Oct-2025  Sacred Heart          RIT                     6.9  AWAY by  -2.26
11-Oct-2025  Miami                 Rensselaer              8.0  HOME by   0.79
11-Oct-2025  Bemidji State         St. Cloud State         6.6  HOME by   0.40
11-Oct-2025  Colgate               Boston University       7.4  HOME by   2.01

12-Oct-2025  Stonehill             Army West Point         5.9  AWAY by  -0.14
12-Oct-2025  Vermont               St. Lawrence            6.5  AWAY by  -2.03
12-Oct-2025  North Dakota          St. Thomas              6.3  Nort by  -0.76

 

 

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