Talisman Red's College Hockey Computer Ratings

This is my rough attempt at a computer rating that can, among other things, come somewhat close to predicting final game scores. The actual computer rating, which describes team performance based on games played to date, is found under the "Rating" column.

To determine a hypothetical margin of victory, use the "Points" column (just subtract the teams in question) and add in the home field/court advantage, which is listed on the right. It usually is around 0.5 goals for hockey. All of the games in the predictions list already have home advantage taken into account.

22 December: I had inadvertently left some of last year's games in a stray file, which cause the ratings to hold on to old information. That's now fixed and they look much better.

Here are direct links to the full ratings list or to conference standings; scroll down for game predictions.
Ratings were last updated: 09-Mar-2026 08 am EDT

Top 16 Teams

Rank Team                   W  L  T   Rating   Points  BCS
   1 Michigan              27  7  1     3.86    52.44    1
   2 Western Michigan      27  9  1     3.68    52.27    2
   3 North Dakota          29  8  1     3.38    52.13    4
   4 Michigan State        27  7  2     3.29    51.99    3
   5 Providence            25  9  2     3.03    51.72    5
   6 Denver                24 11  3     2.89    51.99    6
   7 Quinnipiac            26  8  3     2.78    51.88    7
   8 Minnesota-Duluth      22 13  1     2.37    51.54    8
   9 Wisconsin             22 11  2     2.07    51.27    9
  10 Cornell               22  8  1     1.83    51.09   11

Rank Team                   W  L  T   Rating   Points  BCS
  11 Penn State            20 12  2     1.75    51.10   12
  12 Massachusetts         22 12  1     1.73    50.90   10
  13 Boston College        20 14  1     1.67    51.10   14
  14 Connecticut           18 11  5     1.67    51.04   13
  15 Maine                 18 13  4     1.64    51.09   15
  16 Dartmouth             20  7  4     1.50    51.01   17

Predictions for Upcoming Games

(Sometimes, games from 1-2 days earlier get "stuck" on the list if my upstream source doesn't update them. This is especially true for exhibition games.)

                         PREDICTIONS FOR UPCOMING GAMES

   Date      Away Team             Home Team             Total    Prediction
-----------  --------------------  --------------------  -----  --------------
11-Mar-2026  Vermont               Boston University       5.8  HOME by   1.40
11-Mar-2026  Mass.-Lowell          Merrimack               6.7  HOME by   0.90
11-Mar-2026  Notre Dame            Michigan                8.5  HOME by   2.93
11-Mar-2026  New Hampshire         Northeastern            4.2  HOME by   0.95
11-Mar-2026  Minnesota             Penn State              7.5  HOME by   0.96
11-Mar-2026  Ohio State            Wisconsin               7.1  HOME by   1.26

13-Mar-2026  Holy Cross            Bentley                 5.8  HOME by   0.70
13-Mar-2026  Maine                 Boston College          7.2  HOME by   0.22
13-Mar-2026  Harvard               Cornell                 5.1  HOME by   1.43
13-Mar-2026  Colgate               Dartmouth               6.4  HOME by   1.81
13-Mar-2026  Union                 Princeton               6.9  AWAY by  -0.86
13-Mar-2026  Clarkson              Quinnipiac              6.5  HOME by   2.15
13-Mar-2026  Robert Morris         Sacred Heart            5.5  HOME by   1.01

14-Mar-2026  Holy Cross            Bentley                 5.8  HOME by   0.70
14-Mar-2026  Harvard               Cornell                 5.1  HOME by   1.43
14-Mar-2026  Colgate               Dartmouth               6.4  HOME by   1.81
14-Mar-2026  Western Michigan      Denver                  5.9  AWAY by  -0.07
14-Mar-2026  Michigan Tech         Minnesota State         4.7  AWAY by  -0.01
14-Mar-2026  Minnesota-Duluth      North Dakota            5.6  HOME by   0.79
14-Mar-2026  Union                 Princeton               6.9  AWAY by  -0.86
14-Mar-2026  Clarkson              Quinnipiac              6.5  HOME by   2.15
14-Mar-2026  Robert Morris         Sacred Heart            5.5  HOME by   1.01
14-Mar-2026  Augustana             St. Thomas              4.9  HOME by   0.07

 

 

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