Talisman Red's Men's College Basketball Computer Ratings

If you found this page directly, a much more robust webpage of college basketball information is available by clicking here.

To calculate a hypothetical margin of victory for any matchup, just use the "Points" column. The home advantage fluctuates based on games played, but is consistently about 3-3.5 points for college basketball.

Teams will bounce around a lot early in the year, especially in November. Many thanks to Ken Pomeroy, my upstream source for D-I scores and schedules.

NEW: You might also enjoy the Division II and Division III results.

28 December: The new score source didn't work out, based on bugs in the last week. Everything should be stable again, and all records should be correct again.

NCAA Division I Basketball Computer Ratings (Last updated 09-Apr-2019 11:01 EST) Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 1 Virginia 35 3 5.40 74.53 1 18 3 3 0 14 0 2 Duke 32 6 5.30 75.63 2 15 6 4 0 13 0 3 Michigan St. 32 7 5.03 73.70 3 20 4 4 2 8 1 4 Gonzaga 33 4 5.03 76.60 9 6 4 8 0 19 0 5 North Carolina 29 7 4.82 73.16 5 13 7 5 0 11 0 6 Texas Tech 31 7 4.61 71.38 6 15 6 7 1 9 0 7 Kentucky 30 7 4.53 70.37 4 12 5 6 2 12 0 8 Tennessee 31 6 4.37 69.90 7 9 6 9 0 13 0 9 Michigan 30 7 4.35 70.65 12 13 6 6 1 11 0 10 Purdue 26 10 4.22 70.45 15 12 9 7 0 7 1 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 11 Houston 33 4 4.12 67.76 8 7 3 10 1 16 0 12 Auburn 30 10 4.12 69.30 14 10 7 10 3 10 0 13 Kansas 26 10 3.96 66.86 10 15 9 7 1 4 0 14 Florida St. 29 8 3.90 66.97 13 12 6 4 0 13 2 15 LSU 28 7 3.78 65.24 11 7 5 10 2 11 0 16 Virginia Tech 26 9 3.69 68.82 20 5 8 6 1 15 0 17 Buffalo 32 4 3.61 65.00 16 2 2 4 0 26 2 18 Wisconsin 23 11 3.45 67.03 22 10 9 4 1 9 1 19 Kansas St. 25 9 3.42 64.31 17 11 6 6 1 8 2 20 Wofford 30 5 3.40 65.99 19 0 5 10 0 20 0 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 21 Iowa St. 23 12 3.34 66.86 25 9 10 5 2 9 0 22 Cincinnati 28 7 3.21 63.49 18 2 6 11 0 15 1 23 Maryland 23 11 3.17 65.06 24 10 8 4 2 9 1 24 Mississippi St. 23 11 3.11 64.90 26 6 7 7 4 10 0 25 Villanova 26 10 3.07 63.32 21 3 4 15 5 8 1 26 Nevada 29 5 3.02 64.50 28 2 2 4 0 23 3 27 Louisville 20 14 2.92 66.11 47 6 11 3 1 11 2 28 Marquette 24 10 2.83 63.67 32 5 3 10 7 9 0 29 Texas 21 16 2.82 64.34 39 9 12 7 2 5 2 30 Oklahoma 20 14 2.82 63.84 33 6 12 7 2 7 0 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 31 UCF 24 9 2.79 62.33 27 3 3 7 5 14 1 32 Washington 27 9 2.79 60.90 23 2 8 8 0 17 1 33 Florida 20 16 2.67 64.04 48 3 13 7 2 10 1 34 VCU 25 8 2.66 61.59 30 1 2 6 3 18 3 35 Oregon 25 13 2.65 63.01 41 6 6 4 5 15 2 36 Iowa 23 12 2.65 62.94 40 6 11 4 1 13 0 37 Belmont 27 6 2.62 61.22 31 3 3 2 0 22 3 38 Murray St. 28 5 2.57 60.61 29 2 3 0 1 26 1 39 Minnesota 22 14 2.51 61.34 37 7 11 5 1 10 2 40 TCU 23 14 2.51 61.83 43 7 12 5 2 11 0 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 41 Utah St. 28 7 2.49 60.77 34 2 4 3 2 23 1 42 Baylor 20 14 2.48 61.98 46 9 9 5 3 6 2 43 North Carolina St. 24 12 2.45 64.02 63 4 10 4 0 16 2 44 Lipscomb 29 8 2.38 60.08 36 2 5 5 2 22 1 45 Syracuse 20 14 2.36 62.35 53 4 11 3 1 13 2 46 Ohio St. 20 15 2.34 62.65 62 5 12 6 1 9 2 47 Clemson 20 14 2.28 62.73 65 3 11 1 3 16 0 48 Saint Mary's 22 12 2.25 61.54 57 1 6 6 4 15 2 49 Nebraska 19 17 2.22 63.31 75 4 14 7 2 8 1 50 Arizona St. 23 11 2.19 59.20 45 5 4 8 1 10 6 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 51 Mississippi 20 13 2.18 61.00 61 4 8 4 5 12 0 52 New Mexico St. 30 5 2.14 57.90 38 0 3 0 0 30 2 53 Indiana 19 16 2.12 62.33 74 5 12 4 3 10 1 54 UNC Greensboro 29 7 2.08 56.98 35 0 6 4 1 25 0 55 Creighton 20 15 2.02 60.80 68 2 8 9 7 9 0 56 Temple 23 10 2.01 57.43 44 2 6 6 2 15 2 57 Seton Hall 20 14 2.00 59.35 60 5 6 10 6 5 2 58 Memphis 22 14 1.96 59.40 64 2 8 6 4 14 2 59 Toledo 25 8 1.90 57.39 50 0 2 1 1 24 5 60 Penn St. 14 18 1.90 61.57 89 4 13 1 3 9 2 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 61 UC Irvine 31 6 1.86 55.60 42 2 2 0 2 29 2 62 Arkansas 18 16 1.85 60.47 81 1 9 5 4 12 3 63 Furman 25 8 1.85 58.97 67 1 3 2 4 22 1 64 Vermont 27 7 1.84 57.58 55 0 4 3 0 24 3 65 Yale 22 8 1.81 56.49 49 0 2 2 4 20 2 66 Alabama 18 16 1.77 58.55 69 3 10 8 3 7 3 67 Wichita St. 22 15 1.76 56.93 56 3 7 4 6 15 2 68 Colorado 23 13 1.75 58.67 71 2 5 5 3 16 5 69 Dayton 21 12 1.74 59.12 77 0 6 4 3 17 3 70 Liberty 29 7 1.70 56.02 51 3 2 2 2 24 3 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 71 Hofstra 27 8 1.69 56.44 58 0 3 1 2 26 3 72 Xavier 19 16 1.68 58.33 76 1 8 9 6 9 2 73 East Tennessee St. 24 10 1.60 57.93 78 0 3 2 5 22 2 74 Northeastern 23 11 1.59 55.01 52 0 3 4 4 19 4 75 St. John's 21 13 1.56 57.16 73 4 4 6 7 11 2 76 Davidson 24 10 1.55 55.91 66 1 3 4 3 19 4 77 South Carolina 16 16 1.48 57.53 87 3 10 3 4 10 2 78 Georgia St. 24 10 1.44 53.71 54 0 2 4 2 20 6 79 San Francisco 21 10 1.42 58.04 100 1 4 3 2 17 4 80 Fresno St. 23 9 1.40 57.05 93 1 5 0 1 22 3 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 81 Providence 18 16 1.33 57.23 102 1 6 8 8 9 2 82 Butler 16 17 1.32 58.11 120 1 6 7 11 8 0 83 Old Dominion 26 9 1.29 52.70 59 2 1 0 1 24 7 84 Northern Kentucky 26 9 1.29 55.74 86 0 3 0 0 26 6 85 Georgia Southern 21 12 1.28 56.05 94 0 1 0 5 21 6 86 Oregon St. 18 13 1.27 56.81 103 2 4 3 6 13 3 87 Missouri 15 17 1.26 57.13 112 1 10 4 6 10 1 88 Georgetown 19 14 1.22 55.80 97 2 3 8 8 9 3 89 BYU 19 13 1.22 55.52 95 2 6 2 3 15 4 90 Miami FL 14 18 1.21 58.55 133 1 12 1 3 12 3 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 91 Rutgers 14 17 1.20 57.97 127 4 10 3 4 7 3 92 South Dakota St. 24 9 1.18 56.22 111 0 2 0 1 24 6 93 Harvard 19 12 1.17 53.18 70 1 2 3 4 15 6 94 Oklahoma St. 12 20 1.17 56.45 116 4 18 4 0 4 2 95 Arizona 17 15 1.16 57.01 125 1 8 4 3 12 4 96 South Florida 24 14 1.16 55.23 98 0 5 2 3 22 6 97 Saint Louis 23 13 1.12 54.39 90 0 4 6 2 17 7 98 UCLA 17 16 1.12 56.01 118 2 8 2 4 13 4 99 West Virginia 15 21 1.11 55.48 108 6 16 0 2 9 3 100 San Diego 21 15 1.10 55.84 115 0 7 4 4 17 4 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 101 Charleston 24 9 1.10 52.79 72 1 1 2 5 21 3 102 Jacksonville St. 24 9 1.08 53.37 82 3 1 0 3 21 5 103 Texas A&M 14 18 1.08 55.83 119 1 11 5 6 8 1 104 Utah 17 14 1.08 55.14 106 1 8 4 4 12 2 105 Austin Peay 22 11 1.07 55.12 107 0 5 1 2 21 4 106 Bowling Green 22 12 1.07 53.99 92 1 3 0 2 21 7 107 Montana 26 9 1.06 53.02 80 0 1 2 4 24 4 108 San Diego St. 21 13 1.01 54.48 104 3 5 2 3 16 5 109 Colgate 24 11 0.96 52.64 85 0 2 0 2 24 7 110 Utah Valley 25 10 0.95 51.91 79 0 2 1 5 24 3 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 111 Illinois 12 21 0.95 57.49 152 5 11 2 7 5 3 112 Western Kentucky 20 14 0.93 52.58 91 2 3 2 3 16 8 113 Texas St. 24 10 0.92 53.68 105 0 0 2 4 22 6 114 USC 16 17 0.92 57.04 149 2 7 3 5 11 5 115 Drake 24 10 0.92 52.04 83 0 1 2 1 22 8 116 Penn 19 12 0.89 53.50 109 1 1 3 6 15 5 117 Tulsa 18 14 0.89 53.50 110 1 6 5 4 12 4 118 Northwestern 13 19 0.88 58.45 172 1 13 2 4 10 2 119 Radford 22 11 0.87 52.97 101 1 2 1 1 20 8 120 Georgia Tech 14 18 0.82 56.01 148 2 11 1 2 11 5 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 121 Bucknell 21 12 0.82 52.25 99 0 3 1 1 20 8 122 Connecticut 16 17 0.81 55.81 146 1 9 3 6 12 2 123 Stanford 15 16 0.80 55.29 140 1 8 3 5 11 3 124 Loyola Marymount 22 12 0.73 53.01 122 0 3 2 6 20 3 125 Abilene Christian 27 7 0.73 50.47 84 0 2 0 0 27 5 126 Notre Dame 14 19 0.73 56.62 165 1 13 0 2 13 4 127 DePaul 19 17 0.72 54.62 142 0 4 9 10 10 3 128 Gardner Webb 23 12 0.66 52.39 124 0 3 0 1 23 8 129 Central Michigan 23 12 0.66 52.14 121 0 3 0 2 23 7 130 Kent St. 22 11 0.65 50.41 96 0 3 2 1 20 7 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 131 St. Bonaventure 18 16 0.65 53.51 134 0 3 1 7 17 6 132 Pittsburgh 14 19 0.63 56.65 179 2 13 1 2 11 4 133 SMU 15 17 0.63 54.70 155 0 9 2 5 13 3 134 Rhode Island 18 15 0.62 52.82 131 2 1 4 5 12 9 135 Stony Brook 24 9 0.58 50.78 113 0 0 1 4 23 5 136 Marshall 23 14 0.58 49.24 88 0 2 2 1 21 11 137 Wright St. 21 14 0.57 52.96 136 0 3 2 3 19 8 138 Loyola Chicago 20 14 0.56 52.95 139 0 2 0 2 20 10 139 Grand Canyon 20 14 0.54 52.74 138 0 2 0 7 20 5 140 Southern Miss 20 13 0.52 51.90 132 0 1 1 2 19 10 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 141 Boston College 14 17 0.50 54.70 170 3 10 1 1 10 6 142 Lehigh 20 11 0.49 50.00 114 0 1 0 3 20 7 143 Brown 20 12 0.48 51.31 129 0 0 1 4 19 8 144 Nebraska Omaha 21 11 0.43 49.59 117 0 4 1 2 20 5 145 Akron 17 16 0.37 53.32 167 0 5 0 1 17 10 146 Louisiana Tech 20 13 0.36 50.14 128 0 1 1 3 19 9 147 Louisiana Monroe 19 16 0.34 52.10 156 0 3 2 4 17 9 148 Southern Illinois 17 15 0.31 51.10 144 0 4 1 0 16 11 149 Georgia 11 21 0.30 54.00 187 2 10 0 10 9 1 150 Ball St. 16 17 0.28 53.52 184 0 3 1 2 15 12 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 151 UC Santa Barbara 22 10 0.26 50.66 145 0 1 1 2 21 7 152 UT Arlington 17 16 0.24 50.12 141 0 2 2 7 15 7 153 George Mason 18 15 0.22 50.82 153 0 5 1 4 17 6 154 Northern Colorado 21 11 0.20 50.61 154 0 1 0 2 21 8 155 Princeton 16 12 0.17 48.51 130 1 1 0 6 15 5 156 Green Bay 21 17 0.15 49.64 147 1 3 1 3 19 11 157 Northern Illinois 17 17 0.12 51.48 175 1 1 1 5 15 11 158 Winthrop 18 12 0.11 50.04 157 0 2 0 2 18 8 159 Campbell 20 13 0.11 50.11 158 0 0 0 3 20 10 160 Louisiana 19 13 0.10 48.47 135 0 2 2 3 17 8 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 161 Duquesne 19 13 0.07 50.03 159 0 1 1 5 18 7 162 North Texas 21 12 0.06 50.05 162 0 1 0 1 21 10 163 Texas Southern 24 14 0.05 46.64 123 2 3 0 0 22 11 164 Sam Houston St. 21 12 0.05 48.04 137 0 2 0 1 21 9 165 Bradley 20 15 0.05 48.90 150 0 1 1 1 19 13 166 UAB 20 15 0.01 48.61 151 0 2 1 3 19 10 167 Miami OH 15 17 0.00 50.96 185 0 2 0 5 15 10 168 Coastal Carolina 17 17 -0.01 51.31 189 0 1 2 3 15 13 169 UNLV 17 14 -0.01 50.26 176 0 4 1 1 16 9 170 Samford 17 16 -0.01 51.63 195 0 5 1 6 16 5 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 171 NJIT 22 13 -0.06 47.48 143 0 4 0 2 22 7 172 Presbyterian 20 16 -0.09 50.55 188 0 1 0 3 20 12 173 Prairie View A&M 22 13 -0.09 45.38 126 0 2 0 1 22 10 174 Pepperdine 16 18 -0.10 51.03 196 1 3 3 5 12 10 175 Wake Forest 11 20 -0.11 50.51 192 1 12 2 2 8 6 176 Lamar 20 13 -0.16 48.75 173 0 1 0 0 20 12 177 Eastern Michigan 15 17 -0.16 48.71 171 0 5 1 4 14 8 178 Hartford 18 15 -0.17 48.99 177 0 3 0 2 18 10 179 North Dakota St. 19 16 -0.19 47.82 163 0 3 0 4 19 9 180 Missouri St. 16 16 -0.22 49.11 186 0 2 0 1 16 13 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 181 Ohio 14 17 -0.25 47.94 174 0 3 0 3 14 11 182 Vanderbilt 9 23 -0.26 52.44 229 1 12 1 7 7 4 183 Charleston Southern 18 16 -0.27 50.10 209 0 3 0 1 18 12 184 UTSA 17 15 -0.29 47.29 169 0 1 1 5 16 9 185 Hampton 18 17 -0.30 49.76 207 0 1 0 0 18 16 186 Fairleigh Dickinson 21 14 -0.32 46.75 164 0 1 0 3 21 10 187 Saint Joseph's 14 19 -0.32 49.22 203 0 3 3 6 11 10 188 Northern Iowa 16 18 -0.33 47.70 181 0 2 1 2 15 14 189 Purdue Fort Wayne 18 15 -0.33 49.90 215 0 1 1 3 17 11 190 FIU 20 14 -0.35 46.21 161 0 0 0 3 20 11 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 191 UT Rio Grande Valley 20 17 -0.35 46.14 160 0 3 0 4 20 10 192 UMBC 21 13 -0.38 47.04 178 0 1 2 3 19 9 193 Santa Clara 16 15 -0.38 47.19 182 0 6 2 4 14 5 194 Boise St. 13 20 -0.39 52.18 246 0 6 0 3 13 11 195 North Florida 16 17 -0.40 46.03 166 0 6 1 4 15 7 196 Oakland 16 17 -0.41 48.57 205 0 1 1 5 15 11 197 Norfolk St. 22 14 -0.41 46.06 168 0 1 1 3 21 10 198 Cal St. Fullerton 16 18 -0.44 48.11 201 0 5 0 5 16 8 199 Iona 17 16 -0.45 47.38 194 0 2 0 2 17 12 200 Illinois St. 17 16 -0.47 46.45 183 0 2 1 1 16 13 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 201 Florida Atlantic 17 16 -0.47 47.78 198 1 0 1 2 15 14 202 Weber St. 18 15 -0.50 48.72 218 0 1 1 2 17 12 203 New Mexico 14 18 -0.53 48.93 222 1 5 0 5 13 8 204 Hawaii 18 13 -0.53 47.54 206 0 0 1 5 17 8 205 Seattle 18 15 -0.57 47.59 214 0 1 0 2 18 12 206 Rider 16 15 -0.58 47.49 213 0 2 0 2 16 11 207 Cornell 15 16 -0.59 45.91 190 0 1 2 3 13 12 208 William & Mary 14 17 -0.59 46.04 193 0 1 0 5 14 11 209 Illinois Chicago 16 16 -0.67 46.60 212 0 0 1 2 15 14 210 American 15 15 -0.67 48.23 226 0 0 0 0 15 15 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 211 Holy Cross 16 17 -0.68 45.88 200 0 1 0 2 16 14 212 IUPUI 16 17 -0.70 48.40 230 0 0 1 2 15 15 213 St. Francis PA 18 15 -0.70 44.91 191 0 3 0 2 18 10 214 Long Beach St. 15 19 -0.72 46.68 219 0 2 1 6 14 11 215 Indiana St. 15 16 -0.72 45.42 199 0 2 1 0 14 14 216 High Point 16 15 -0.73 46.23 216 0 2 0 0 16 13 217 Mercer 11 20 -0.74 49.38 252 0 4 0 10 11 6 218 South Alabama 17 17 -0.76 46.36 220 0 1 0 4 17 12 219 Eastern Washington 16 18 -0.79 45.20 208 0 3 0 2 16 13 220 Cal St. Bakersfield 18 16 -0.81 44.63 202 0 2 0 2 18 12 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 221 Eastern Kentucky 13 18 -0.81 46.80 225 0 6 1 1 12 11 222 Pacific 14 18 -0.83 46.22 223 0 5 1 5 13 8 223 North Carolina A&T 19 13 -0.85 42.79 180 0 3 0 2 19 8 224 Valparaiso 15 18 -0.85 46.83 228 0 0 0 1 15 17 225 Colorado St. 12 20 -0.89 48.65 263 0 4 1 5 11 11 226 Richmond 13 20 -0.90 48.28 258 0 2 1 6 12 12 227 Appalachian St. 11 21 -0.92 48.42 265 0 1 0 7 11 13 228 Delaware 17 16 -0.92 44.06 210 0 1 1 5 16 10 229 Boston University 15 18 -0.95 46.19 235 0 0 1 2 14 16 230 Florida Gulf Coast 14 18 -0.98 43.69 211 1 3 1 4 12 11 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 231 New Orleans 19 14 -0.99 42.74 197 0 1 0 0 19 13 232 Siena 17 16 -0.99 43.97 217 0 0 1 2 16 14 233 Southeastern Louisia 17 16 -1.00 42.96 204 0 3 0 1 17 12 234 The Citadel 12 18 -1.01 47.14 257 0 4 1 6 11 8 235 Robert Morris 18 17 -1.02 44.77 224 0 2 0 0 18 15 236 Quinnipiac 16 15 -1.02 45.70 236 0 1 0 0 16 14 237 Columbia 10 18 -1.03 47.41 266 0 0 1 4 9 14 238 Washington St. 11 21 -1.03 47.37 264 1 5 2 7 8 9 239 Sacred Heart 15 17 -1.05 45.94 244 0 0 0 2 15 15 240 Morehead St. 13 20 -1.05 44.77 227 0 6 0 2 13 12 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 241 Portland St. 16 16 -1.07 45.35 242 0 1 0 1 16 14 242 Drexel 13 19 -1.08 45.54 243 0 0 0 6 13 13 243 Air Force 14 18 -1.09 44.83 232 0 5 1 2 13 11 244 Dartmouth 11 19 -1.09 48.32 290 0 1 1 6 10 12 245 Canisius 15 17 -1.14 43.00 221 0 3 0 1 15 13 246 North Carolina Centr 18 16 -1.14 44.36 231 0 2 0 1 18 13 247 Arkansas St. 13 19 -1.17 44.16 234 0 2 0 2 13 15 248 Southern Utah 17 17 -1.17 44.30 237 0 0 0 0 17 17 249 Troy 12 18 -1.17 45.10 249 0 1 1 4 11 13 250 La Salle 10 21 -1.18 46.23 271 0 3 1 5 9 13 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 251 South Dakota 13 17 -1.18 45.32 254 0 2 0 3 13 12 252 Army 13 19 -1.18 45.46 256 0 1 0 0 13 18 253 Montana St. 15 17 -1.19 44.17 240 0 1 0 2 15 14 254 UMass Lowell 15 17 -1.19 45.54 259 0 0 0 2 15 15 255 Massachusetts 11 21 -1.22 46.94 286 0 2 2 5 9 14 256 LIU Brooklyn 16 16 -1.22 44.48 248 0 0 0 1 16 15 257 Detroit 11 20 -1.24 44.48 250 0 0 0 8 11 12 258 St. Francis NY 17 16 -1.27 43.86 245 0 0 0 1 17 15 259 Chattanooga 12 20 -1.28 44.81 260 0 3 0 9 12 8 260 California 8 23 -1.28 45.54 274 1 5 0 12 7 6 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 261 Grambling St. 17 17 -1.30 43.13 238 0 3 0 0 17 14 262 Middle Tennessee 11 21 -1.36 43.14 247 0 4 0 4 11 13 263 Sacramento St. 15 16 -1.37 44.03 262 0 1 0 0 15 15 264 Navy 12 19 -1.38 42.19 233 0 2 0 2 12 15 265 Evansville 11 21 -1.38 45.01 278 0 1 0 1 11 19 266 Rice 13 19 -1.40 42.19 239 0 1 0 3 13 15 267 East Carolina 10 21 -1.43 44.04 272 1 3 0 8 9 10 268 UMKC 11 21 -1.46 43.36 267 0 1 0 4 11 16 269 James Madison 14 19 -1.47 42.73 255 0 0 1 5 13 14 270 Monmouth 14 21 -1.48 41.46 241 0 1 0 3 14 17 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 271 Little Rock 10 21 -1.51 45.12 297 0 1 0 4 10 16 272 Loyola MD 11 21 -1.53 43.72 279 0 2 0 2 11 17 273 UC Davis 11 20 -1.54 44.11 289 0 0 0 7 11 13 274 North Dakota 12 18 -1.56 44.26 294 0 2 0 2 12 14 275 UNC Wilmington 10 23 -1.56 43.68 284 0 1 1 8 9 14 276 Houston Baptist 12 18 -1.57 43.24 276 0 1 0 2 12 15 277 Longwood 16 18 -1.57 43.23 277 0 0 0 0 16 18 278 Youngstown St. 12 20 -1.58 43.38 283 0 1 0 3 12 16 279 Eastern Illinois 14 18 -1.62 41.06 251 0 5 0 0 14 13 280 Jacksonville 12 20 -1.63 43.79 296 0 2 0 4 12 14 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 281 VMI 11 21 -1.64 42.77 282 0 5 0 6 11 10 282 Cal St. Northridge 13 21 -1.65 43.25 291 0 0 0 5 13 16 283 Fordham 12 20 -1.65 45.38 314 0 1 1 4 11 15 284 Texas A&M Corpus Chr 14 18 -1.66 41.52 268 0 1 0 1 14 16 285 Howard 17 17 -1.68 41.47 270 0 0 0 2 17 15 286 Tennessee Martin 12 19 -1.70 41.64 273 0 4 0 2 12 13 287 Bethune Cookman 14 17 -1.71 42.65 292 0 2 0 1 14 14 288 Western Michigan 8 24 -1.72 44.39 309 0 3 0 4 8 17 289 George Washington 9 24 -1.73 43.28 299 0 4 0 6 9 14 290 Albany 12 20 -1.73 43.22 300 0 0 0 4 12 16 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 291 Marist 12 19 -1.76 43.35 302 0 1 0 0 12 18 292 Central Arkansas 14 19 -1.78 40.21 261 0 1 0 4 14 14 293 Wagner 13 17 -1.81 41.17 280 0 0 0 2 13 15 294 Cal Baptist 16 15 -1.81 39.44 253 0 1 1 2 15 12 295 Oral Roberts 11 21 -1.82 41.68 293 0 1 0 5 11 15 296 Western Carolina 7 25 -1.85 43.34 311 0 4 0 6 7 15 297 Towson 10 22 -1.85 42.73 307 0 1 1 4 9 17 298 Cleveland St. 10 21 -1.89 42.25 304 0 1 1 3 9 17 299 Tennessee St. 9 21 -1.90 41.91 301 0 5 0 1 9 15 300 Lafayette 10 20 -1.91 41.58 298 0 0 0 0 10 20 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 301 Nicholls St. 14 17 -1.96 39.72 281 0 2 0 1 14 14 302 Arkansas Pine Bluff 13 19 -1.98 38.60 269 0 2 0 0 13 17 303 Stephen F. Austin 14 16 -1.99 39.19 275 1 0 0 3 13 13 304 Elon 11 21 -2.02 39.91 295 0 1 0 6 11 14 305 Charlotte 8 21 -2.03 40.82 303 0 1 1 4 7 16 306 Northern Arizona 10 21 -2.04 41.87 316 0 0 0 1 10 20 307 Southeast Missouri S 10 21 -2.06 40.65 305 0 5 0 1 10 15 308 Florida A&M 12 19 -2.06 39.14 288 0 1 0 2 12 16 309 Milwaukee 9 22 -2.12 41.90 321 0 2 0 2 9 18 310 Western Illinois 10 21 -2.14 42.17 324 0 1 1 3 9 17 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 311 Tulane 4 27 -2.15 42.67 331 0 4 1 11 3 12 312 Idaho St. 11 19 -2.15 39.80 306 0 1 0 0 11 18 313 Niagara 13 19 -2.15 40.63 313 0 0 0 0 13 19 314 Alabama St. 12 19 -2.16 38.05 285 0 3 0 2 12 14 315 Central Connecticut 11 20 -2.22 39.55 308 0 1 0 3 11 16 316 Jackson St. 13 19 -2.26 37.21 287 0 1 0 1 13 17 317 Fairfield 9 22 -2.29 42.11 334 0 1 0 1 9 20 318 Mount St. Mary's 9 22 -2.35 38.93 315 0 3 0 2 9 17 319 UC Riverside 10 23 -2.35 40.55 329 0 0 0 4 10 19 320 UTEP 8 21 -2.38 40.18 327 0 1 0 4 8 16 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 321 Saint Peter's 10 22 -2.38 40.16 328 0 3 0 0 10 19 322 Tennessee Tech 8 23 -2.38 38.99 319 0 6 0 1 8 16 323 Manhattan 11 21 -2.40 39.34 322 0 0 0 2 11 19 324 Denver 8 22 -2.40 39.76 325 0 2 0 3 8 17 325 Binghamton 10 23 -2.43 39.21 323 0 1 0 3 10 19 326 Bryant 10 20 -2.51 37.90 320 0 1 0 1 10 18 327 SIU Edwardsville 10 21 -2.63 36.61 318 0 3 0 0 10 18 328 Wyoming 8 24 -2.66 38.78 335 0 3 1 4 7 17 329 Northwestern St. 11 20 -2.76 34.87 312 0 2 0 1 11 17 330 Portland 7 25 -2.80 38.47 338 0 2 0 8 7 15 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 331 McNeese St. 9 22 -2.85 36.67 333 0 3 0 0 9 19 332 South Carolina St. 8 26 -2.94 37.50 339 0 3 0 1 8 22 333 Coppin St. 8 25 -2.95 34.61 326 0 4 0 2 8 19 334 Savannah St. 11 20 -2.96 32.80 310 0 2 0 2 11 16 335 Maine 5 27 -2.97 38.98 344 0 1 0 5 5 21 336 Stetson 7 24 -2.99 35.96 336 0 4 0 3 7 17 337 Southern 7 25 -3.06 35.32 337 0 4 0 2 7 19 338 Kennesaw St. 6 26 -3.11 33.95 332 0 5 0 6 6 15 339 Alcorn St. 10 21 -3.14 33.34 330 0 1 0 2 10 18 340 USC Upstate 6 26 -3.17 38.18 348 0 1 0 2 6 23 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 341 Morgan St. 9 21 -3.18 35.72 340 0 2 0 1 9 18 342 North Alabama 10 22 -3.22 30.87 317 0 3 0 5 10 14 343 Cal Poly 6 23 -3.24 36.57 345 0 0 0 4 6 19 344 New Hampshire 5 24 -3.55 36.02 353 0 0 0 3 5 21 345 Alabama A&M 5 27 -3.75 33.10 350 0 1 0 2 5 24 346 Incarnate Word 6 25 -3.76 32.29 347 0 2 0 0 6 23 347 Mississippi Valley S 6 26 -3.76 30.54 341 0 3 0 0 6 23 348 San Jose St. 4 27 -3.80 32.78 351 0 4 0 2 4 21 349 Idaho 5 27 -3.82 34.26 354 0 0 0 1 5 26 350 UNC Asheville 4 27 -3.83 32.31 349 0 3 0 2 4 22 Rank Team W L Rating Points BCS Top50 51-100 101+ 351 Maryland Eastern Sho 7 25 -3.94 29.18 342 0 2 0 2 7 21 352 Delaware St. 6 25 -4.35 28.12 352 0 0 0 0 6 25 353 Chicago St. 3 29 -4.48 25.19 346 0 0 0 5 3 24 354 Non-Division I 6440 -5.41 16.03 343 0 13 0 31 6396
NCAA Division I Basketball Computer Ratings (Last updated 09-Apr-2019 11:01 EST) --- Big 10 CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Michigan St. 20 4 32 7 5.03 ( 3) 73.70 12 3 1.60 ( 5) 2 Michigan 17 6 30 7 4.35 ( 9) 70.65 13 1 0.69 ( 49) 3 Purdue 16 5 26 10 4.22 ( 10) 70.45 10 5 1.68 ( 3) 4 Wisconsin 15 7 23 11 3.45 ( 18) 67.03 8 4 0.90 ( 37) 5 Maryland 13 8 23 11 3.17 ( 23) 65.06 10 3 0.81 ( 43) 6 Iowa 11 11 23 12 2.65 ( 36) 62.94 12 1 0.30 ( 85) 7 Minnesota 11 13 22 14 2.51 ( 39) 61.34 11 1 0.40 ( 77) 8 Ohio St. 9 13 20 15 2.34 ( 46) 62.65 11 2 0.73 ( 47) 9 Nebraska 8 15 19 17 2.22 ( 49) 63.31 11 2 0.23 ( 95) 10 Indiana 8 13 19 16 2.12 ( 53) 62.33 11 3 0.48 ( 65) 11 Penn St. 7 14 14 18 1.90 ( 60) 61.57 7 4 0.96 ( 30) 12 Rutgers 7 14 14 17 1.20 ( 91) 57.97 7 3 -0.34 (166) 13 Illinois 8 14 12 21 0.95 (111) 57.49 4 7 0.84 ( 40) 14 Northwestern 4 17 13 19 0.88 (118) 58.45 9 2 -0.36 (169) --- Big 12 CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Texas Tech 14 5 31 7 4.61 ( 6) 71.38 17 2 1.28 ( 17) 2 Kansas 14 7 26 10 3.96 ( 13) 66.86 12 3 2.31 ( 1) 3 Kansas St. 15 5 25 9 3.42 ( 19) 64.31 10 4 0.35 ( 81) 4 Iowa St. 12 9 23 12 3.34 ( 21) 66.86 11 3 0.42 ( 73) 5 Texas 9 11 21 16 2.82 ( 29) 64.34 12 5 1.56 ( 6) 6 Oklahoma 7 12 20 14 2.82 ( 30) 63.84 13 2 1.62 ( 4) 7 TCU 8 13 23 14 2.51 ( 40) 61.83 15 1 0.47 ( 68) 8 Baylor 10 9 20 14 2.48 ( 42) 61.98 10 5 0.53 ( 62) 9 Oklahoma St. 5 14 12 20 1.17 ( 94) 56.45 7 6 1.18 ( 22) 10 West Virginia 6 15 15 21 1.11 ( 99) 55.48 9 6 0.67 ( 51) --- Southeastern CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Kentucky 16 5 30 7 4.53 ( 7) 70.37 14 2 1.52 ( 8) 2 Tennessee 17 4 31 6 4.37 ( 8) 69.90 14 2 0.83 ( 41) 3 Auburn 16 7 30 10 4.12 ( 12) 69.30 14 3 1.25 ( 18) 4 LSU 16 3 28 7 3.78 ( 15) 65.24 12 4 1.44 ( 14) 5 Mississippi St. 11 9 23 11 3.11 ( 24) 64.90 12 2 0.91 ( 34) 6 Florida 11 10 20 16 2.67 ( 33) 64.04 9 6 1.51 ( 9) 7 Mississippi 10 9 20 13 2.18 ( 51) 61.00 10 4 0.42 ( 74) 8 Arkansas 8 11 18 16 1.85 ( 62) 60.47 10 5 0.85 ( 38) 9 Alabama 9 11 18 16 1.77 ( 66) 58.55 9 5 0.81 ( 44) 10 South Carolina 11 8 16 16 1.48 ( 77) 57.53 5 8 0.39 ( 79) 11 Missouri 6 14 15 17 1.26 ( 87) 57.13 9 3 0.66 ( 52) 12 Texas A&M 7 13 14 18 1.08 (103) 55.83 7 5 0.85 ( 39) 13 Georgia 2 17 11 21 0.30 (149) 54.00 9 4 0.27 ( 88) 14 Vanderbilt 0 19 9 23 -0.26 (182) 52.44 9 4 0.08 (106) --- Atlantic 10 CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 VCU 16 3 25 8 2.66 ( 34) 61.59 9 5 1.49 ( 11) 2 Dayton 13 6 21 12 1.74 ( 69) 59.12 8 6 1.00 ( 29) 3 Davidson 15 5 24 10 1.55 ( 76) 55.91 9 5 0.46 ( 71) 4 Saint Louis 14 8 23 13 1.12 ( 97) 54.39 9 5 0.50 ( 64) 5 St. Bonaventure 14 7 18 16 0.65 (131) 53.51 4 9 0.06 (110) 6 Rhode Island 11 10 18 15 0.62 (134) 52.82 7 5 -0.04 (121) 7 George Mason 12 8 18 15 0.22 (153) 50.82 6 7 0.12 (104) 8 Duquesne 10 9 19 13 0.07 (161) 50.03 9 4 -0.55 (190) 9 Saint Joseph's 7 13 14 19 -0.32 (187) 49.22 7 6 0.56 ( 59) 10 Richmond 7 13 13 20 -0.90 (226) 48.28 6 7 -0.75 (230) 11 La Salle 8 11 10 21 -1.18 (250) 46.23 2 10 0.29 ( 87) 12 Massachusetts 4 15 11 21 -1.22 (255) 46.94 7 6 -0.18 (144) 13 Fordham 3 16 12 20 -1.65 (283) 45.38 9 4 -1.71 (344) 14 George Washington 5 15 9 24 -1.73 (289) 43.28 4 9 0.50 ( 63) --- Atlantic Coast CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Virginia 17 3 35 3 5.40 ( 1) 74.53 18 0 1.14 ( 24) 2 Duke 18 4 32 6 5.30 ( 2) 75.63 14 2 1.76 ( 2) 3 North Carolina 17 3 29 7 4.82 ( 5) 73.16 12 4 1.54 ( 7) 4 Florida St. 15 6 29 8 3.90 ( 14) 66.97 14 2 1.15 ( 23) 5 Virginia Tech 13 8 26 9 3.69 ( 16) 68.82 13 1 0.14 (101) 6 Louisville 11 9 20 14 2.92 ( 27) 66.11 9 5 1.46 ( 12) 7 North Carolina St. 10 10 24 12 2.45 ( 43) 64.02 14 2 -0.52 (187) 8 Syracuse 11 9 20 14 2.36 ( 45) 62.35 9 5 1.00 ( 28) 9 Clemson 9 10 20 14 2.28 ( 47) 62.73 11 4 0.69 ( 50) 10 Miami FL 6 14 14 18 1.21 ( 90) 58.55 8 4 0.08 (107) 11 Georgia Tech 6 13 14 18 0.82 (120) 56.01 8 5 -0.06 (123) 12 Notre Dame 4 16 14 19 0.73 (126) 56.62 10 3 -0.15 (138) 13 Pittsburgh 4 16 14 19 0.63 (132) 56.65 10 3 -0.81 (240) 14 Boston College 5 14 14 17 0.50 (141) 54.70 9 3 -0.51 (184) 15 Wake Forest 4 15 11 20 -0.11 (175) 50.51 7 5 -0.23 (154) --- America East CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Vermont 17 2 27 7 1.84 ( 64) 57.58 10 5 0.56 ( 58) 2 Stony Brook 12 5 24 9 0.58 (135) 50.78 12 4 -0.63 (203) 3 Hartford 11 7 18 15 -0.17 (178) 48.99 7 8 -0.21 (151) 4 UMBC 13 6 21 13 -0.38 (192) 47.04 8 7 -1.54 (331) 5 UMass Lowell 7 10 15 17 -1.19 (254) 45.54 8 7 -1.45 (318) 6 Albany 7 10 12 20 -1.73 (290) 43.22 5 10 -1.09 (277) 7 Binghamton 6 12 10 23 -2.43 (325) 39.21 4 11 -1.02 (260) 8 Maine 3 14 5 27 -2.97 (335) 38.98 2 13 -0.62 (199) 9 New Hampshire 3 13 5 24 -3.55 (344) 36.02 2 11 -1.67 (341) --- American Athletic CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Houston 18 3 33 4 4.12 ( 11) 67.76 15 1 0.58 ( 56) 2 Cincinnati 17 4 28 7 3.21 ( 22) 63.49 11 3 0.33 ( 83) 3 UCF 13 6 24 9 2.79 ( 31) 62.33 11 3 0.57 ( 57) 4 Temple 13 6 23 10 2.01 ( 56) 57.43 10 4 0.32 ( 84) 5 Memphis 13 8 22 14 1.96 ( 58) 59.40 9 6 0.81 ( 42) 6 Wichita St. 12 9 22 15 1.76 ( 67) 56.93 10 6 1.19 ( 21) 7 South Florida 8 11 24 14 1.16 ( 96) 55.23 16 3 -0.66 (211) 8 Tulsa 8 11 18 14 0.89 (117) 53.50 10 3 -0.09 (131) 9 Connecticut 7 13 16 17 0.81 (122) 55.81 9 4 -0.01 (118) 10 SMU 7 13 15 17 0.63 (133) 54.70 8 4 -0.23 (153) 11 East Carolina 3 16 10 21 -1.43 (267) 44.04 7 5 -1.30 (300) 12 Tulane 0 19 4 27 -2.15 (311) 42.67 4 8 -0.05 (122) --- Atlantic Sun CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Lipscomb 16 3 29 8 2.38 ( 44) 60.08 13 5 0.53 ( 61) 2 Liberty 17 2 29 7 1.70 ( 70) 56.02 12 5 -0.88 (250) 3 NJIT 9 9 22 13 -0.06 (171) 47.48 13 4 -0.81 (241) 4 North Florida 10 8 16 17 -0.40 (195) 46.03 6 9 0.35 ( 80) 5 Florida Gulf Coast 9 8 14 18 -0.98 (230) 43.69 5 10 -0.10 (132) 6 Jacksonville 5 12 12 20 -1.63 (280) 43.79 7 8 -1.49 (324) 7 Stetson 3 13 7 24 -2.99 (336) 35.96 4 11 -1.04 (266) 8 Kennesaw St. 3 14 6 26 -3.11 (338) 33.95 3 12 -0.14 (137) 9 North Alabama 7 10 10 22 -3.22 (342) 30.87 3 12 -0.52 (186) --- Big East CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Villanova 16 5 26 10 3.07 ( 25) 63.32 10 5 1.24 ( 19) 2 Marquette 13 7 24 10 2.83 ( 28) 63.67 11 3 0.90 ( 36) 3 Creighton 9 10 20 15 2.02 ( 55) 60.80 11 5 0.91 ( 35) 4 Seton Hall 11 10 20 14 2.00 ( 57) 59.35 9 4 1.03 ( 27) 5 Xavier 10 10 19 16 1.68 ( 72) 58.33 9 6 0.93 ( 33) 6 St. John's 9 11 21 13 1.56 ( 75) 57.16 12 2 0.01 (113) 7 Providence 8 12 18 16 1.33 ( 81) 57.23 10 4 0.41 ( 75) 8 Butler 7 12 16 17 1.32 ( 82) 58.11 9 5 1.04 ( 25) 9 Georgetown 9 10 19 14 1.22 ( 88) 55.80 10 4 -0.17 (142) 10 DePaul 7 12 19 17 0.72 (127) 54.62 12 5 -0.66 (210) --- Big Sky CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Montana 19 4 26 9 1.06 (107) 53.02 7 5 -0.13 (134) 2 Northern Colorado 15 6 21 11 0.20 (154) 50.61 6 5 -1.37 (309) 3 Weber St. 12 10 18 15 -0.50 (202) 48.72 6 5 -1.09 (276) 4 Eastern Washington 14 9 16 18 -0.79 (219) 45.20 2 9 0.34 ( 82) 5 Portland St. 11 10 16 16 -1.07 (241) 45.35 5 6 -1.50 (326) 6 Southern Utah 11 12 17 17 -1.17 (248) 44.30 6 5 -1.31 (301) 7 Montana St. 12 10 15 17 -1.19 (253) 44.17 3 7 -0.41 (174) 8 Sacramento St. 9 13 15 16 -1.37 (263) 44.03 6 3 -2.18 (352) 9 Northern Arizona 8 13 10 21 -2.04 (306) 41.87 2 8 -0.52 (188) 10 Idaho St. 7 14 11 19 -2.15 (312) 39.80 4 5 -0.70 (222) 11 Idaho 2 19 5 27 -3.82 (349) 34.26 3 8 -1.77 (347) --- Big South CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Radford 14 5 22 11 0.87 (119) 52.97 8 6 -0.49 (180) 2 Gardner Webb 14 6 23 12 0.66 (128) 52.39 9 6 -1.02 (258) 3 Winthrop 10 7 18 12 0.11 (158) 50.04 8 5 -1.05 (269) 4 Campbell 13 5 20 13 0.11 (159) 50.11 7 8 -1.06 (271) 5 Presbyterian 10 8 20 16 -0.09 (172) 50.55 10 8 -1.19 (290) 6 Charleston Southern 11 9 18 16 -0.27 (183) 50.10 7 7 -1.47 (322) 7 Hampton 11 8 18 17 -0.30 (185) 49.76 7 9 -1.38 (310) 8 High Point 9 8 16 15 -0.73 (216) 46.23 7 7 -1.08 (275) 9 Longwood 5 12 16 18 -1.57 (277) 43.23 11 6 -2.21 (353) 10 USC Upstate 1 17 6 26 -3.17 (340) 38.18 5 9 -1.56 (333) 11 UNC Asheville 2 15 4 27 -3.83 (350) 32.31 2 12 -0.88 (249) --- Big West CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 UC Irvine 18 1 31 6 1.86 ( 61) 55.60 13 5 -0.08 (126) 2 UC Santa Barbara 11 7 22 10 0.26 (151) 50.66 11 3 -1.57 (335) 3 Cal St. Fullerton 12 7 16 18 -0.44 (198) 48.11 4 11 -0.09 (128) 4 Hawaii 9 8 18 13 -0.53 (204) 47.54 9 5 -1.08 (274) 5 Long Beach St. 9 9 15 19 -0.72 (214) 46.68 6 10 -0.09 (130) 6 UC Davis 7 10 11 20 -1.54 (273) 44.11 4 10 -0.45 (177) 7 Cal St. Northridge 7 10 13 21 -1.65 (282) 43.25 6 11 -0.74 (227) 8 UC Riverside 4 13 10 23 -2.35 (319) 40.55 6 10 -1.59 (337) 9 Cal Poly 2 14 6 23 -3.24 (343) 36.57 4 9 -1.45 (319) --- Colonial CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Hofstra 17 4 27 8 1.69 ( 71) 56.44 10 4 -0.58 (195) 2 Northeastern 17 4 23 11 1.59 ( 74) 55.01 6 7 1.37 ( 15) 3 Charleston 13 7 24 9 1.10 (101) 52.79 11 2 -0.24 (156) 4 William & Mary 10 9 14 17 -0.59 (208) 46.04 4 8 0.14 (100) 5 Delaware 9 11 17 16 -0.92 (228) 44.06 8 5 -1.46 (320) 6 Drexel 7 12 13 19 -1.08 (242) 45.54 6 7 -0.51 (183) 7 James Madison 7 13 14 19 -1.47 (269) 42.73 7 6 -1.51 (327) 8 UNC Wilmington 6 14 10 23 -1.56 (275) 43.68 4 9 0.23 ( 96) 9 Towson 6 13 10 22 -1.85 (297) 42.73 4 9 -0.74 (228) 10 Elon 7 12 11 21 -2.02 (304) 39.91 4 9 -1.05 (267) --- Conference USA CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Old Dominion 16 5 26 9 1.29 ( 83) 52.70 10 4 -0.24 (158) 2 Western Kentucky 13 8 20 14 0.93 (112) 52.58 7 6 0.79 ( 45) 3 Marshall 12 8 23 14 0.58 (136) 49.24 11 6 0.40 ( 76) 4 Southern Miss 12 8 20 13 0.52 (140) 51.90 8 5 -1.75 (346) 5 Louisiana Tech 10 10 20 13 0.36 (146) 50.14 10 3 -1.00 (257) 6 North Texas 9 11 21 12 0.06 (162) 50.05 12 1 -2.23 (354) 7 UAB 12 9 20 15 0.01 (166) 48.61 8 6 -0.96 (254) 8 UTSA 11 8 17 15 -0.29 (184) 47.29 6 7 -1.24 (294) 9 FIU 10 9 20 14 -0.35 (190) 46.21 10 5 -1.71 (342) 10 Florida Atlantic 8 11 17 16 -0.47 (201) 47.78 9 5 -1.46 (321) 11 Middle Tennessee 8 11 11 21 -1.36 (262) 43.14 3 10 0.65 ( 53) 12 Rice 8 11 13 19 -1.40 (266) 42.19 5 8 -0.63 (204) 13 Charlotte 5 13 8 21 -2.03 (305) 40.82 3 8 0.26 ( 91) 14 UTEP 3 15 8 21 -2.38 (320) 40.18 5 6 -1.03 (261) --- Horizon League CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Northern Kentucky 16 5 26 9 1.29 ( 84) 55.74 10 4 -0.60 (198) 2 Wright St. 15 6 21 14 0.57 (137) 52.96 6 8 -0.13 (136) 3 Green Bay 11 9 21 17 0.15 (156) 49.64 10 8 0.14 (102) 4 Oakland 12 8 16 17 -0.41 (196) 48.57 4 9 -0.17 (143) 5 Illinois Chicago 10 9 16 16 -0.67 (209) 46.60 6 7 -0.86 (246) 6 IUPUI 8 11 16 17 -0.70 (212) 48.40 8 6 -1.17 (286) 7 Detroit 8 11 11 20 -1.24 (257) 44.48 3 9 0.59 ( 55) 8 Youngstown St. 8 11 12 20 -1.58 (278) 43.38 4 9 -1.07 (273) 9 Cleveland St. 5 13 10 21 -1.89 (298) 42.25 5 8 -0.65 (207) 10 Milwaukee 4 14 9 22 -2.12 (309) 41.90 5 8 -0.67 (214) --- Ivy League CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Yale 12 4 22 8 1.81 ( 65) 56.49 10 4 -0.22 (152) 2 Harvard 11 5 19 12 1.17 ( 93) 53.18 8 7 0.25 ( 92) 3 Penn 7 8 19 12 0.89 (116) 53.50 12 4 -0.24 (155) 4 Brown 7 7 20 12 0.48 (143) 51.31 13 5 -1.17 (285) 5 Princeton 8 7 16 12 0.17 (155) 48.51 8 5 -0.81 (238) 6 Cornell 7 7 15 16 -0.59 (207) 45.91 8 9 -1.03 (264) 7 Columbia 5 9 10 18 -1.03 (237) 47.41 5 9 -1.35 (308) 8 Dartmouth 2 12 11 19 -1.09 (244) 48.32 9 7 -1.33 (304) --- Metro Atlantic CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Iona 15 6 17 16 -0.45 (199) 47.38 2 10 0.47 ( 67) 2 Rider 11 8 16 15 -0.58 (206) 47.49 5 7 0.04 (112) 3 Siena 12 8 17 16 -0.99 (232) 43.97 5 8 -0.03 (120) 4 Quinnipiac 11 8 16 15 -1.02 (236) 45.70 5 7 -0.79 (235) 5 Canisius 12 8 15 17 -1.14 (245) 43.00 3 9 0.75 ( 46) 6 Monmouth 13 9 14 21 -1.48 (270) 41.46 1 12 0.70 ( 48) 7 Marist 7 12 12 19 -1.76 (291) 43.35 5 7 -0.64 (206) 8 Niagara 6 13 13 19 -2.15 (313) 40.63 7 6 -1.03 (265) 9 Fairfield 6 13 9 22 -2.29 (317) 42.11 3 9 -0.49 (182) 10 Saint Peter's 7 13 10 22 -2.38 (321) 40.16 3 9 -0.21 (148) 11 Manhattan 9 11 11 21 -2.40 (323) 39.34 2 10 -0.69 (218) --- Mid-American CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Buffalo 19 2 32 4 3.61 ( 17) 65.00 13 2 0.24 ( 94) 2 Toledo 13 6 25 8 1.90 ( 59) 57.39 12 2 -0.67 (215) 3 Bowling Green 14 7 22 12 1.07 (106) 53.99 8 5 -1.22 (293) 4 Central Michigan 12 9 23 12 0.66 (129) 52.14 11 3 -2.07 (351) 5 Kent St. 11 8 22 11 0.65 (130) 50.41 11 3 -1.12 (280) 6 Akron 9 11 17 16 0.37 (145) 53.32 8 5 -1.27 (297) 7 Ball St. 7 13 16 17 0.28 (150) 53.52 9 4 -0.55 (193) 8 Northern Illinois 10 11 17 17 0.12 (157) 51.48 7 6 -1.05 (268) 9 Miami OH 7 12 15 17 0.00 (167) 50.96 8 5 -0.85 (244) 10 Eastern Michigan 9 10 15 17 -0.16 (177) 48.71 6 7 -0.66 (208) 11 Ohio 6 13 14 17 -0.25 (181) 47.94 8 4 0.25 ( 93) 12 Western Michigan 2 17 8 24 -1.72 (288) 44.39 6 7 -0.76 (231) --- Mid-Eastern Athletic CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Norfolk St. 16 3 22 14 -0.41 (197) 46.06 6 11 -0.55 (192) 2 North Carolina A&T 14 4 19 13 -0.85 (223) 42.79 5 9 -0.37 (170) 3 North Carolina Central 13 6 18 16 -1.14 (246) 44.36 5 10 -1.34 (306) 4 Howard 11 7 17 17 -1.68 (285) 41.47 6 10 -1.44 (313) 5 Bethune Cookman 9 8 14 17 -1.71 (287) 42.65 5 9 -1.25 (295) 6 Florida A&M 9 7 12 19 -2.06 (308) 39.14 3 12 -0.63 (202) 7 South Carolina St. 6 12 8 26 -2.94 (332) 37.50 2 14 -0.33 (165) 8 Coppin St. 8 10 8 25 -2.95 (333) 34.61 0 15 0.96 ( 31) 9 Savannah St. 8 9 11 20 -2.96 (334) 32.80 3 11 -0.09 (129) 10 Morgan St. 4 13 9 21 -3.18 (341) 35.72 5 8 -0.81 (237) 11 Maryland Eastern Shore 5 12 7 25 -3.94 (351) 29.18 2 13 -0.42 (176) 12 Delaware St. 3 15 6 25 -4.35 (352) 28.12 3 10 -1.10 (279) --- Missouri Valley CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Drake 13 7 24 10 0.92 (115) 52.04 11 3 -0.72 (224) 2 Loyola Chicago 13 7 20 14 0.56 (138) 52.95 7 7 -0.13 (135) 3 Southern Illinois 10 9 17 15 0.31 (148) 51.10 7 6 0.46 ( 70) 4 Bradley 12 9 20 15 0.05 (165) 48.90 8 6 -0.58 (194) 5 Missouri St. 10 9 16 16 -0.22 (180) 49.11 6 7 -0.60 (197) 6 Northern Iowa 11 10 16 18 -0.33 (188) 47.70 5 8 -0.16 (139) 7 Illinois St. 10 10 17 16 -0.47 (200) 46.45 7 6 -0.26 (160) 8 Indiana St. 7 12 15 16 -0.72 (215) 45.42 8 4 -0.49 (181) 9 Valparaiso 8 12 15 18 -0.85 (224) 46.83 7 6 -1.27 (298) 10 Evansville 5 14 11 21 -1.38 (265) 45.01 6 7 -0.59 (196) --- Mountain West CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Nevada 16 4 29 5 3.02 ( 26) 64.50 13 1 0.45 ( 72) 2 Utah St. 18 3 28 7 2.49 ( 41) 60.77 10 4 0.13 (103) 3 Fresno St. 14 6 23 9 1.40 ( 80) 57.05 9 3 -0.72 (223) 4 San Diego St. 13 8 21 13 1.01 (108) 54.48 8 5 0.01 (115) 5 UNLV 11 8 17 14 -0.01 (169) 50.26 6 6 0.00 (116) 6 Boise St. 8 12 13 20 -0.39 (194) 52.18 5 8 -0.24 (157) 7 New Mexico 8 12 14 18 -0.53 (203) 48.93 6 6 -0.20 (145) 8 Colorado St. 7 12 12 20 -0.89 (225) 48.65 5 8 -0.32 (164) 9 Air Force 9 11 14 18 -1.09 (243) 44.83 5 7 -0.64 (205) 10 Wyoming 4 15 8 24 -2.66 (328) 38.78 4 9 -0.82 (242) 11 San Jose St. 1 18 4 27 -3.80 (348) 32.78 3 9 -0.86 (245) --- Northeast CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Fairleigh Dickinson 15 6 21 14 -0.32 (186) 46.75 6 8 -0.68 (217) 2 St. Francis PA 14 7 18 15 -0.70 (213) 44.91 4 8 -0.16 (140) 3 Robert Morris 12 8 18 17 -1.02 (235) 44.77 6 9 -1.05 (270) 4 Sacred Heart 11 8 15 17 -1.05 (239) 45.94 4 9 -0.82 (243) 5 LIU Brooklyn 10 10 16 16 -1.22 (256) 44.48 6 6 -1.45 (315) 6 St. Francis NY 9 10 17 16 -1.27 (258) 43.86 8 6 -1.49 (323) 7 Wagner 8 11 13 17 -1.81 (293) 41.17 5 6 -1.14 (282) 8 Central Connecticut 5 13 11 20 -2.22 (315) 39.55 6 7 -0.67 (213) 9 Mount St. Mary's 6 12 9 22 -2.35 (318) 38.93 3 10 -0.35 (167) 10 Bryant 7 12 10 20 -2.51 (326) 37.90 3 8 -0.42 (175) --- Ohio Valley CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Belmont 17 3 27 6 2.62 ( 37) 61.22 10 3 0.46 ( 69) 2 Murray St. 18 2 28 5 2.57 ( 38) 60.61 10 3 -0.20 (146) 3 Jacksonville St. 16 4 24 9 1.08 (102) 53.37 8 5 -1.57 (336) 4 Austin Peay 14 6 22 11 1.07 (105) 55.12 8 5 -0.81 (239) 5 Eastern Kentucky 6 12 13 18 -0.81 (221) 46.80 7 6 -0.62 (200) 6 Morehead St. 9 11 13 20 -1.05 (240) 44.77 4 9 -0.28 (162) 7 Eastern Illinois 7 12 14 18 -1.62 (279) 41.06 7 6 -1.10 (278) 8 Tennessee Martin 7 13 12 19 -1.70 (286) 41.64 5 6 -1.45 (317) 9 Tennessee St. 6 12 9 21 -1.90 (299) 41.91 3 9 -0.66 (209) 10 Southeast Missouri St. 5 13 10 21 -2.06 (307) 40.65 5 8 -1.18 (289) 11 Tennessee Tech 4 14 8 23 -2.38 (322) 38.99 4 9 -0.35 (168) 12 SIU Edwardsville 6 13 10 21 -2.63 (327) 36.61 4 8 -1.63 (339) --- Pac-12 CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Washington 17 4 27 9 2.79 ( 32) 60.90 10 5 1.50 ( 10) 2 Oregon 14 8 25 13 2.65 ( 35) 63.01 11 5 1.21 ( 20) 3 Arizona St. 13 7 23 11 2.19 ( 50) 59.20 10 4 1.03 ( 26) 4 Colorado 12 9 23 13 1.75 ( 68) 58.67 11 4 -0.26 (159) 5 Oregon St. 10 9 18 13 1.27 ( 86) 56.81 8 4 -0.16 (141) 6 Arizona 8 11 17 15 1.16 ( 95) 57.01 9 4 0.93 ( 32) 7 UCLA 10 10 17 16 1.12 ( 98) 56.01 7 6 1.45 ( 13) 8 Utah 11 8 17 14 1.08 (104) 55.14 6 6 0.19 ( 97) 9 USC 9 11 16 17 0.92 (114) 57.04 7 6 0.30 ( 86) 10 Stanford 8 11 15 16 0.80 (123) 55.29 7 5 0.54 ( 60) 11 Washington St. 4 15 11 21 -1.03 (238) 47.37 7 6 -1.15 (284) 12 California 3 16 8 23 -1.28 (260) 45.54 5 7 0.26 ( 90) --- Patriot League CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Colgate 16 5 24 11 0.96 (109) 52.64 8 6 -0.31 (163) 2 Bucknell 15 6 21 12 0.82 (121) 52.25 6 6 0.47 ( 66) 3 Lehigh 13 7 20 11 0.49 (142) 50.00 7 4 -0.07 (124) 4 American 9 10 15 15 -0.67 (210) 48.23 6 5 -1.51 (329) 5 Holy Cross 7 13 16 17 -0.68 (211) 45.88 9 4 0.01 (114) 6 Boston University 8 12 15 18 -0.95 (229) 46.19 7 6 -1.18 (288) 7 Army 8 11 13 19 -1.18 (252) 45.46 5 8 -0.92 (252) 8 Navy 9 11 12 19 -1.38 (264) 42.19 3 8 -0.08 (127) 9 Loyola MD 7 12 11 21 -1.53 (272) 43.72 4 9 -0.51 (185) 10 Lafayette 7 12 10 20 -1.91 (300) 41.58 3 8 -1.03 (263) --- Sun Belt CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Georgia St. 15 5 24 10 1.44 ( 78) 53.71 9 5 0.39 ( 78) 2 Georgia Southern 13 7 21 12 1.28 ( 85) 56.05 8 5 -0.20 (147) 3 Texas St. 13 7 24 10 0.92 (113) 53.68 11 3 -1.71 (343) 4 Louisiana Monroe 11 10 19 16 0.34 (147) 52.10 8 6 -0.46 (178) 5 UT Arlington 13 7 17 16 0.24 (152) 50.12 4 9 0.12 (105) 6 Louisiana 10 9 19 13 0.10 (160) 48.47 9 4 -0.87 (247) 7 Coastal Carolina 9 10 17 17 -0.01 (168) 51.31 8 7 -0.87 (248) 8 South Alabama 10 11 17 17 -0.76 (218) 46.36 7 6 -1.53 (330) 9 Appalachian St. 6 13 11 21 -0.92 (227) 48.42 5 8 -0.69 (219) 10 Arkansas St. 7 12 13 19 -1.17 (247) 44.16 6 7 -0.67 (216) 11 Troy 5 13 12 18 -1.17 (249) 45.10 7 5 -0.80 (236) 12 Little Rock 5 13 10 21 -1.51 (271) 45.12 5 8 -0.98 (255) --- Southern CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Wofford 21 0 30 5 3.40 ( 20) 65.99 9 5 -0.07 (125) 2 UNC Greensboro 17 4 29 7 2.08 ( 54) 56.98 12 3 -0.69 (221) 3 Furman 14 6 25 8 1.85 ( 63) 58.97 11 2 -1.33 (305) 4 East Tennessee St. 14 6 24 10 1.60 ( 73) 57.93 10 4 -1.02 (259) 5 Samford 7 13 17 16 -0.01 (170) 51.63 10 3 -0.99 (256) 6 Mercer 6 13 11 20 -0.74 (217) 49.38 5 7 -0.79 (234) 7 The Citadel 4 15 12 18 -1.01 (234) 47.14 8 3 -1.43 (312) 8 Chattanooga 7 12 12 20 -1.28 (259) 44.81 5 8 -1.51 (328) 9 VMI 5 15 11 21 -1.64 (281) 42.77 6 6 -1.59 (338) 10 Western Carolina 4 15 7 25 -1.85 (296) 43.34 3 10 -0.13 (133) --- Southland CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Abilene Christian 16 4 27 7 0.73 (125) 50.47 11 3 -1.67 (340) 2 Sam Houston St. 16 3 21 12 0.05 (164) 48.04 5 9 -1.03 (262) 3 Lamar 13 7 20 13 -0.16 (176) 48.75 7 6 -1.55 (332) 4 New Orleans 14 7 19 14 -0.99 (231) 42.74 5 7 -1.45 (316) 5 Southeastern Louisiana 13 7 17 16 -1.00 (233) 42.96 4 9 -0.76 (232) 6 Houston Baptist 8 11 12 18 -1.57 (276) 43.24 4 7 -0.53 (189) 7 Texas A&M Corpus Chris 9 10 14 18 -1.66 (284) 41.52 5 8 -1.32 (303) 8 Central Arkansas 9 11 14 19 -1.78 (292) 40.21 5 8 -0.90 (251) 9 Nicholls St. 7 11 14 17 -1.96 (301) 39.72 7 6 -1.72 (345) 10 Stephen F. Austin 7 11 14 16 -1.99 (303) 39.19 7 5 -1.50 (325) 11 Northwestern St. 6 12 11 20 -2.76 (329) 34.87 5 8 -1.14 (283) 12 McNeese St. 5 13 9 22 -2.85 (331) 36.67 4 9 -1.35 (307) 13 Incarnate Word 1 17 6 25 -3.76 (346) 32.29 5 8 -1.17 (287) --- Summit League CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 South Dakota St. 14 3 24 9 1.18 ( 92) 56.22 10 6 -0.69 (220) 2 Nebraska Omaha 15 4 21 11 0.43 (144) 49.59 6 7 -0.27 (161) 3 North Dakota St. 12 7 19 16 -0.19 (179) 47.82 7 9 0.07 (108) 4 Purdue Fort Wayne 10 8 18 15 -0.33 (189) 49.90 8 7 -1.22 (292) 5 South Dakota 7 10 13 17 -1.18 (251) 45.32 6 7 -0.73 (226) 6 North Dakota 6 11 12 18 -1.56 (274) 44.26 6 7 -1.79 (348) 7 Oral Roberts 7 10 11 21 -1.82 (295) 41.68 4 11 -0.55 (191) 8 Western Illinois 5 13 10 21 -2.14 (310) 42.17 5 8 -1.87 (349) 9 Denver 3 13 8 22 -2.40 (324) 39.76 5 9 -0.40 (173) --- SWAC CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Texas Southern 16 5 24 14 0.05 (163) 46.64 8 9 0.16 ( 98) 2 Prairie View A&M 20 1 22 13 -0.09 (173) 45.38 2 12 -0.01 (119) 3 Grambling St. 11 9 17 17 -1.30 (261) 43.13 6 8 -1.07 (272) 4 Arkansas Pine Bluff 10 9 13 19 -1.98 (302) 38.60 3 10 -0.21 (150) 5 Alabama St. 10 10 12 19 -2.16 (314) 38.05 2 9 0.06 (109) 6 Jackson St. 10 9 13 19 -2.26 (316) 37.21 3 10 -0.75 (229) 7 Southern 6 13 7 25 -3.06 (337) 35.32 1 12 0.15 ( 99) 8 Alcorn St. 6 13 10 21 -3.14 (339) 33.34 4 8 -1.45 (314) 9 Alabama A&M 4 14 5 27 -3.75 (345) 33.10 1 13 -0.21 (149) 10 Mississippi Valley St. 4 14 6 26 -3.76 (347) 30.54 2 12 0.00 (117) --- WAC CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 New Mexico St. 18 1 30 5 2.14 ( 52) 57.90 12 4 -0.62 (201) 2 Utah Valley 13 5 25 10 0.95 (110) 51.91 12 5 -0.72 (225) 3 Grand Canyon 12 7 20 14 0.54 (139) 52.74 8 7 -0.39 (171) 4 UT Rio Grande Valley 10 8 20 17 -0.35 (191) 46.14 10 9 -0.39 (172) 5 Seattle 6 11 18 15 -0.57 (205) 47.59 12 4 -1.43 (311) 6 Cal St. Bakersfield 7 10 18 16 -0.81 (220) 44.63 11 6 -1.31 (302) 7 UMKC 6 11 11 21 -1.46 (268) 43.36 5 10 -0.47 (179) 8 Cal Baptist 7 9 16 15 -1.81 (294) 39.44 9 6 -2.05 (350) 9 Chicago St. 0 17 3 29 -4.48 (353) 25.19 3 12 -0.67 (212) --- West Coast CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Gonzaga 17 1 33 4 5.03 ( 4) 76.60 16 3 1.30 ( 16) 2 Saint Mary's 13 5 22 12 2.25 ( 48) 61.54 9 7 0.61 ( 54) 3 San Francisco 9 8 21 10 1.42 ( 79) 58.04 12 2 -0.93 (253) 4 BYU 11 6 19 13 1.22 ( 89) 55.52 8 7 0.27 ( 89) 5 San Diego 10 10 21 15 1.10 (100) 55.84 11 5 0.06 (111) 6 Loyola Marymount 8 9 22 12 0.73 (124) 53.01 14 3 -1.21 (291) 7 Pepperdine 9 11 16 18 -0.10 (174) 51.03 7 7 -1.27 (299) 8 Santa Clara 8 9 16 15 -0.38 (193) 47.19 8 6 -1.26 (296) 9 Pacific 4 13 14 18 -0.83 (222) 46.22 10 5 -1.12 (281) 10 Portland 0 17 7 25 -2.80 (330) 38.47 7 8 -1.57 (334) --- Independent CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched --- Non-Division I Teams CW CL W L Rating Rank Points NCWNCL Non-Conf Sched 1 Non-Division I 0 0 6 440 -5.41 (354) 16.03 6 440 -0.78 (233)
Predictions for Today's Games (all times ET) Home field advantage in this set of ratings is 3.3.
Change Log for 2018-19

  • 28 December: The new score source didn't work out, based on bugs in the last week. Everything should be stable again, and all records should be correct again.
  • 7 November: There will be some hiccups as I have decided to (try to) switch input sources for this year. After the first week or two, if things are not running the way I'd like, I'll switch back. Paciencia, por favor.
  • 23 October: Hello there. And welcome. The initial ratings are simply last year's ratings, plus some tweaks to give Cal Baptist and UNA some reasonable starting values.

Change Log for 2017-18

  • 4 December: A non-conference strength of schedule has been added on the conference page. It's simply the average rating of your non-conference opponents. There are lots of ways to calculate "NC SOS," and this is one that's easy to calculate and easy to understand.
  • 27 November: A reformat of the page so it is more mobile-friendly. I hope.
  • 11 November: Added 50 to the Points column for every school. Now, calculations at the lower end of the ratings won't involve negative numbers. This does not affect how the margins of victory are calculated.
  • 11 November: Added the overall team rank on the conference page. Hopefully this will help with comparing teams between conferences.

Ratings Description

This rating system uses a formula developed by the owners of talismanred.com. It is explained in more detail over on the college football page, but the bottom line is that it can be used both for ranking teams as well as predicting future scores.

About the Author

I am a faculty member at Indiana University in Bloomington, with a Ph.D. in Atmospheric Science from the University of Alabama in Huntsville. For my day job, in addition to teaching lots of courses I have research interests in the broad areas of thunderstorms and numerical weather prediction (forecasting the weather using computers). Contact me using this email form if you have questions or non-hateful comments.

2017-18 Results

For the first time, I am archiving daily records of the game predictions for tracking purposes. I'll occasionally update this section with the results.

Performance through games of December 10, 2017:

  • Overall record: 1152 correct, 357 incorrect (76%)
  • Prediction bias: 0.22 pts (home teams are performing better than the predictions)
  • Prediction mean error: 9.7 pts
  • Totals bias: -1.6 pts (predicted totals are too low)
  • Totals mean error: 14.9 pts

And for comparison, similar statistics of Ken Pomeroy's website, which is considered by many to be the gold standard for college basketball. I harvest these from his website daily, so no guarantees that I've written down the information correctly. Also through December 10, 2017:

  • Overall record: 1185 correct, 324 incorrect (78%)
  • Prediction bias: unknown
  • Prediction mean error: 9.1 pts
  • Totals bias: -0.5 pts (predicted totals are too low)
  • Totals mean error: 13.8 pts

These results seem almost the same -- half a point, maybe one point, difference in prediction and totals accuracies. But by about halfway through the season, a difference of this size will be "statistically significant" which means mathematically, Pomeroy's system is superior to mine. No surprise there. I'm okay with it, given all the extra information he collects.

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