Computer Ratings
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2011 College Football
Computer Ratings |
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Welcome to 2011!
The Predictions are also available.
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Ratings last updated Tuesday 01/10/12, 07:07 AM ET
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BCS-Style
Rank Team W L Rating Pts Rank
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1 Oklahoma St 12 1 5.375 72.83 1
2 LSU 13 1 5.348 74.26 2
3 Alabama 12 1 5.312 75.20 3
4 Oklahoma 10 3 4.815 67.78 5
5 Oregon 12 2 4.705 69.13 9
6 Stanford 11 2 4.569 68.35 13
7 Arkansas 11 2 4.544 60.58 6
8 Boise St 12 1 4.511 65.24 10
9 Baylor 10 3 4.484 57.52 4
10 Wisconsin 11 3 4.394 68.12 21
11 South Carolina 11 2 4.336 56.77 8
12 Michigan 11 2 4.330 60.53 11
13 Southern Cal 10 2 4.305 60.23 12
14 Houston 13 1 4.288 60.81 14
15 Kansas St 10 3 4.285 54.17 7
16 TCU 11 2 4.084 56.56 15
17 Georgia 10 4 4.075 56.90 17
18 Texas 8 5 4.075 56.60 16
19 Texas A&M 7 6 4.057 60.65 26
20 Michigan St 11 3 4.056 57.79 19
21 Missouri 8 5 4.046 57.14 18
22 West Virginia 10 3 3.831 53.00 24
23 Virginia Tech 11 3 3.828 51.70 20
24 Southern Miss 12 2 3.807 51.82 23
25 Nebraska 9 4 3.770 53.19 27
26 Notre Dame 8 5 3.699 56.93 39
27 Penn State 9 4 3.629 50.25 30
28 Florida St 9 4 3.610 55.58 43
29 North Dakota St 14 1 3.571 44.93 22
30 Clemson 10 4 3.565 47.83 29
31 Auburn 8 5 3.527 44.76 25
32 Toledo 9 4 3.520 50.65 36
33 Cincinnati 10 3 3.517 50.96 38
34 Tulsa 8 5 3.511 49.70 32
35 Northern Illinois 11 3 3.480 45.26 28
36 Florida 7 6 3.476 51.58 42
37 Mississippi St 7 6 3.457 50.26 40
38 Brigham Young 10 3 3.417 47.65 35
39 Utah 8 5 3.362 49.35 44
40 Iowa St 6 7 3.356 45.35 33
41 Louisiana Tech 8 5 3.284 47.97 46
42 Rutgers 9 4 3.272 47.43 45
43 Arkansas St 10 3 3.256 43.31 37
44 California 7 6 3.255 50.61 57
45 Sam Houston St 14 1 3.210 41.07 31
46 Vanderbilt 6 7 3.195 51.07 68
47 Iowa 7 6 3.188 48.33 55
48 Temple 9 4 3.171 49.69 63
49 Washington 7 6 3.149 45.94 51
50 Tennessee 5 7 3.145 47.14 56
51 Arizona St 6 7 3.111 51.86 79
52 Northern Iowa 10 3 3.107 38.58 34
53 SMU 8 5 3.073 43.27 49
54 Texas Tech 5 7 3.069 43.36 50
55 North Carolina 7 6 3.060 45.80 60
56 Georgia Tech 8 5 3.033 46.28 67
57 Ohio State 6 7 3.026 49.23 78
58 Illinois 7 6 3.020 46.46 70
59 Miami FL 6 6 3.016 48.88 75
60 North Carolina St 8 5 2.981 42.33 54
61 Louisville 7 6 2.952 43.60 65
62 Ohio U. 10 4 2.921 40.53 53
63 San Diego St 8 5 2.921 42.82 66
64 Nevada 7 6 2.915 46.03 77
65 Georgia Southern 11 3 2.896 38.15 48
66 UCLA 6 8 2.876 42.92 71
67 Pittsburg St 13 1 2.856 33.62 41
68 Virginia 8 5 2.853 39.56 58
69 Pittsburgh 6 7 2.835 45.19 85
70 Montana 11 3 2.829 39.51 62
71 Arizona 4 8 2.817 44.83 87
72 Louisiana-Lafayette 9 4 2.798 35.93 52
73 Marshall 7 6 2.764 34.37 47
74 Purdue 7 6 2.764 40.96 74
75 Northwestern 6 7 2.759 44.41 97
76 Air Force 7 6 2.752 43.70 92
77 Utah St 7 6 2.731 42.28 86
78 Wyoming 8 5 2.703 36.42 64
79 NW Missouri St 11 3 2.702 38.77 73
80 South Florida 5 7 2.699 47.51 118
81 Western Michigan 7 6 2.680 41.99 96
82 Kentucky 5 7 2.633 36.56 72
83 Navy 5 7 2.626 41.31 102
84 Western Kentucky 7 5 2.601 33.01 61
85 Lehigh 11 2 2.559 31.43 59
86 Wake Forest 6 7 2.542 40.08 107
87 Harvard 9 1 2.514 34.99 81
88 Florida Int'l 8 5 2.499 36.27 90
89 Connecticut 5 7 2.462 40.81 119
90 Oregon St 3 9 2.398 40.99 131
91 Syracuse 5 7 2.390 38.26 116
92 Central Florida 5 7 2.380 41.45 137
93 Maine 9 4 2.378 31.10 80
94 Ball St 6 6 2.353 32.66 95
95 Illinois St 7 4 2.347 33.76 103
96 Washington St 4 8 2.338 41.30 144
97 Minnesota 3 9 2.334 36.17 113
98 Central Arkansas 9 4 2.330 26.75 69
99 East Carolina 5 7 2.330 33.72 105
100 Towson 9 3 2.327 29.71 82
101 Wofford 8 4 2.321 31.36 91
102 Montana St 10 3 2.316 30.99 89
103 San José St 5 7 2.288 35.88 120
104 Kent St 5 7 2.282 31.00 99
105 Boston College 4 8 2.280 37.76 133
106 Indiana St 6 5 2.280 30.78 98
107 Kansas 2 10 2.279 31.37 101
108 Rice 4 8 2.272 32.69 108
109 New Hampshire 8 4 2.265 27.48 76
110 North Texas 5 7 2.249 31.60 106
111 Stephen F. Austin 6 5 2.248 30.38 100
112 Old Dominion 10 3 2.242 28.13 84
113 Bowling Green 5 7 2.218 34.60 122
114 Youngstown St 6 5 2.216 33.67 117
115 Mississippi 2 10 2.198 34.61 125
116 Washburn 10 3 2.179 27.39 93
117 UTEP 5 7 2.178 34.69 130
118 Miami OH 4 8 2.144 37.45 161
119 Eastern Michigan 6 6 2.143 29.70 110
120 Hawai`i 6 7 2.139 36.41 155
121 Missouri Western 9 3 2.127 26.17 94
122 Appalachian St 8 4 2.115 27.23 104
123 Wayne St MI 12 4 2.112 25.07 88
124 Midwestern St 10 1 2.105 31.82 123
125 James Madison 8 5 2.101 28.08 109
126 Cal Poly SLO 6 5 2.071 29.02 115
127 Grand Valley St 8 3 2.063 30.76 124
128 Colorado 3 10 2.043 32.77 143
129 Fresno St 4 9 2.035 34.80 163
130 Louisiana-Monroe 4 8 2.032 33.32 153
131 Southern Utah 6 5 2.025 32.62 147
132 Chattanooga 5 6 2.017 33.01 156
133 UW-Whitewater 15 0 1.993 20.81 83
134 Furman 6 5 1.948 27.90 129
135 South Dakota St 5 6 1.910 23.71 112
136 Eastern Washington 6 5 1.900 28.95 146
137 Stony Brook 9 4 1.876 28.47 150
138 Maryland 2 10 1.862 33.80 186
139 Michigan Tech 7 4 1.860 25.02 126
140 Hillsdale 8 3 1.838 21.43 111
141 Duke 3 9 1.828 33.09 190
142 South Dakota 6 5 1.790 27.19 159
143 Army 3 9 1.787 34.66 213
144 Delaware 7 4 1.778 24.39 139
145 Central Missouri 8 4 1.738 22.37 134
146 Samford 6 5 1.738 24.51 149
147 Eastern Kentucky 7 5 1.727 26.09 165
148 Minnesota-Duluth 11 3 1.715 18.63 114
149 Colorado St-Pueblo 11 1 1.712 24.98 160
150 Saginaw Valley St 7 4 1.712 20.90 127
151 Portland St 7 4 1.692 25.18 167
152 New Mexico St 4 9 1.675 26.95 177
153 North Dakota 8 3 1.675 21.65 140
154 Holy Cross 6 5 1.672 22.83 152
155 Central Michigan 3 9 1.663 26.13 173
156 Northwestern St 5 6 1.654 19.82 132
157 Buffalo 3 9 1.641 29.62 208
158 Georgetown DC 8 3 1.636 20.25 138
159 Brown 7 3 1.630 22.24 157
160 St Cloud St 9 3 1.609 20.97 151
161 Weber St 5 6 1.601 26.69 192
162 Nebraska-Kearney 10 2 1.600 24.92 178
163 Amherst 8 0 1.592 16.25 121
164 Marian IN 12 1 1.584 21.58 162
165 Southern Illinois 4 7 1.560 25.72 197
166 Norfolk St 9 3 1.560 18.71 142
167 Carroll MT 13 2 1.546 17.40 136
168 West Texas A&M 8 3 1.539 25.58 200
169 Troy 3 9 1.537 24.10 184
170 Liberty 7 4 1.528 24.85 198
171 McNeese St 6 5 1.517 18.66 154
172 Mary Hardin-Baylor 12 1 1.513 17.08 141
173 St Xavier 14 1 1.509 16.35 135
174 Indiana 1 11 1.502 28.75 229
175 Murray St 7 4 1.500 24.35 199
176 Indianapolis 7 4 1.499 19.64 166
177 Jacksonville St 7 4 1.497 21.98 179
178 Minn St-Mankato 9 3 1.491 17.39 148
179 Bethune-Cookman 8 3 1.489 20.39 170
180 Missouri St 2 9 1.478 20.88 174
181 Alabama-Birmingham 3 9 1.465 21.32 181
182 Duquesne 9 2 1.459 19.13 169
183 Delta St 11 3 1.451 13.68 128
184 Tennessee Tech 7 4 1.445 22.03 188
185 The Citadel 4 7 1.436 24.71 214
186 Idaho 2 10 1.435 27.08 232
187 Albany NY 8 4 1.429 22.58 201
188 Drake 9 2 1.415 15.01 145
189 Texas St-San Marcos 6 6 1.401 16.77 164
190 Massachusetts 5 6 1.401 21.00 193
191 Colorado St 3 9 1.397 26.48 235
192 Trinity CT 7 1 1.379 17.71 171
193 San Diego 9 2 1.304 13.31 158
194 Bucknell 6 5 1.293 18.11 196
195 William & Mary 5 6 1.286 17.80 195
196 Abilene Christian 8 3 1.286 17.09 185
197 Winona St 7 4 1.278 15.94 180
198 South Alabama 6 4 1.277 17.39 191
199 UNLV 2 10 1.263 20.62 223
200 UC-Davis 4 7 1.248 19.57 218
201 Elon 5 6 1.241 17.36 202
202 Jackson St 9 2 1.237 18.56 211
203 South Carolina St 7 4 1.213 17.32 205
204 North Alabama 9 3 1.190 13.98 183
205 Ferris St 6 5 1.164 15.54 203
206 Ashland 6 5 1.161 15.91 207
207 Ohio Dominican 7 4 1.160 12.05 175
208 North Greenville 11 3 1.145 17.08 221
209 Mount Union 14 1 1.144 11.77 176
210 Sacramento St 4 7 1.140 22.43 259
211 Jacksonville FL 7 4 1.131 17.07 224
212 Lafayette 4 7 1.129 16.21 219
213 Winston-Salem St 13 1 1.116 16.31 222
214 Northern Arizona 4 7 1.107 23.71 281
215 Wesley 11 2 1.094 11.01 182
216 Rhode Island 3 8 1.091 18.55 240
217 Humboldt St 9 1 1.090 16.49 227
218 Coastal Carolina 7 4 1.083 11.67 187
219 Tennessee-Martin 5 6 1.081 22.23 273
220 McMurry 9 3 1.067 8.95 172
221 Western Illinois 2 9 1.063 14.23 217
222 Middle Tennessee St 2 10 1.061 19.43 251
223 Yale 5 5 1.058 15.42 226
224 Emporia St 5 6 1.048 12.80 209
225 New Mexico 1 11 1.047 14.81 225
226 Georgetown KY 12 1 1.045 6.89 168
227 St Thomas 13 1 1.038 13.11 212
228 UW-Oshkosh 7 3 1.028 11.84 204
229 North Central 10 2 1.026 18.56 254
230 Colgate 5 6 1.011 12.69 216
231 Findlay 6 5 1.008 9.86 194
232 Cornell NY 5 5 1.002 17.25 246
233 Dartmouth 5 5 0.970 15.28 241
234 Salisbury 11 2 0.946 7.91 189
235 Hampton 7 4 0.945 11.16 220
236 Presbyterian 4 7 0.940 15.14 243
237 Florida Atlantic 1 11 0.920 14.90 245
238 Bemidji St 8 3 0.914 9.84 215
239 Tennessee St 5 6 0.904 15.81 260
240 Alabama St 8 3 0.895 11.63 231
241 Wayne St NE 7 4 0.887 8.06 206
242 Tulane 2 11 0.880 18.45 291
243 Richmond 3 8 0.864 17.77 289
244 Augustana SD 6 5 0.863 11.52 237
245 Eastern Oregon 8 3 0.853 7.36 210
246 Memphis 2 10 0.851 14.32 261
247 West Alabama 8 4 0.844 10.06 230
248 Bryant 7 4 0.843 12.86 248
249 Texas-San Antonio 4 6 0.826 16.64 288
250 Florida A&M 7 4 0.823 10.59 239
251 New Haven 11 2 0.769 11.06 249
252 Pennsylvania 5 5 0.769 13.36 275
253 Linfield 10 1 0.755 10.71 252
254 Villanova 2 9 0.717 12.23 277
255 Missouri Southern 3 7 0.686 10.66 270
256 California PA 10 3 0.678 12.61 290
257 St Francis IN 9 3 0.676 6.99 242
258 Northern Michigan 4 7 0.675 10.43 271
259 SE Louisiana St 3 8 0.667 9.29 262
260 Grambling St 8 4 0.660 5.42 234
261 UW-Platteville 7 3 0.652 5.42 236
262 Kutztown 11 2 0.650 9.96 274
263 Tarleton St 6 5 0.649 10.02 276
264 Lenoir-Rhyne 7 3 0.644 9.38 269
265 Azusa Pacific 9 3 0.631 13.78 309
266 Henderson St 6 4 0.606 3.55 233
267 Sioux Falls 5 4 0.605 9.64 282
268 Cal Lutheran 8 2 0.536 10.58 306
269 Mary 5 6 0.534 10.00 301
270 North Carolina A&T 4 6 0.528 7.95 286
271 Bloomsburg 9 2 0.527 8.40 292
272 Akron 1 11 0.526 11.44 317
273 Colorado Mines 8 3 0.511 7.16 283
274 Morningside 9 2 0.497 4.08 258
275 Truman St 4 7 0.482 3.45 256
276 Monmouth NJ 5 6 0.475 8.13 300
277 Valdosta St 6 4 0.467 3.67 265
278 Alabama A&M 8 4 0.465 3.01 257
279 Lindenwood 8 3 0.462 8.51 307
280 Cumberlands KY 7 3 0.457 2.24 253
281 Dayton 6 5 0.441 7.98 308
282 Campbell 6 5 0.440 5.60 287
283 St Francis IL 10 3 0.440 3.52 267
284 East Central OK 8 3 0.435 3.73 272
285 Shepherd 9 2 0.423 12.15 355
286 St John Fisher 10 3 0.421 -2.14 228
287 Wheaton 8 2 0.407 5.83 297
288 Georgia St 3 8 0.403 9.18 330
289 Fort Hays St 4 7 0.403 1.80 263
290 Indiana PA 7 3 0.402 11.13 350
291 Eastern Illinois 2 9 0.398 14.16 387
292 Northeastern St OK 7 5 0.394 6.46 305
293 Howard 5 6 0.394 2.21 268
294 Urbana 8 3 0.393 5.63 299
295 Williams 5 3 0.386 3.15 280
296 Western Oregon 6 5 0.367 7.23 319
297 TAMU-Kingsville 6 5 0.362 7.38 321
298 Northern St SD 5 6 0.339 1.70 279
299 Mars Hill 8 3 0.316 -0.67 264
300 Ouachita Baptist 7 3 0.312 -1.95 250
301 West Georgia 6 4 0.303 -0.78 266
302 Chadron St 6 5 0.301 6.83 333
303 Wagner 4 7 0.301 8.15 348
304 Concordia-St Paul 6 5 0.281 -3.19 247
305 Kean 10 2 0.276 -3.66 244
306 Grand View 8 4 0.267 0.25 284
307 Northwestern IA 9 2 0.263 3.54 313
308 Louisiana College 7 3 0.252 -0.14 285
309 Trinity TX 10 1 0.251 -5.75 238
310 Morgan St 5 6 0.249 0.52 293
311 Central Conn St 4 7 0.247 7.29 357
312 Sacred Heart 5 6 0.233 6.84 356
313 Idaho St 2 9 0.215 8.11 376
314 Marist 4 7 0.213 4.53 334
315 UW-Eau Claire 5 5 0.206 2.27 316
316 Bethel TN 8 3 0.203 -4.92 255
317 Montana St-Northern 5 5 0.199 0.59 302
318 Cortland St 9 2 0.197 -0.56 295
319 Lake Erie 3 8 0.197 1.63 312
320 MidAmerica Nazarene 10 2 0.192 1.66 315
321 Shippensburg 7 4 0.178 7.66 384
322 Lamar 4 7 0.177 -1.08 296
323 Slippery Rock 8 3 0.172 7.14 379
324 Wabash 12 1 0.166 -0.88 298
325 Delaware Valley 11 1 0.157 -1.93 294
326 Gardner-Webb 4 7 0.155 1.54 324
327 Morehouse 8 2 0.153 1.67 326
328 Bethel MN 8 2 0.146 2.95 336
329 Adams St 6 5 0.134 6.43 385
330 Butler 5 6 0.113 2.09 338
331 SE Missouri St 3 8 0.103 4.94 377
332 UNC-Pembroke 8 3 0.090 1.61 341
333 Angelo St 5 6 0.088 6.44 394
334 Centre 9 2 0.088 -5.68 278
335 Hardin-Simmons 6 4 0.086 -0.50 322
336 Doane 8 2 0.086 -0.97 318
337 Western Carolina 1 10 0.083 1.98 349
338 Redlands 8 2 0.073 -2.16 310
339 Northwood 2 9 0.066 3.18 367
340 Prairie View A&M 5 6 0.047 0.26 339
341 Rocky Mountain 5 6 0.046 0.76 346
342 Monmouth IL 10 2 0.046 0.57 344
343 Illinois Wesleyan 9 2 0.038 -0.68 332
344 WV Wesleyan 9 2 0.033 3.22 380
345 Nicholls St 1 10 0.027 2.34 371
346 William Penn 9 2 0.024 -0.57 335
347 Missouri Valley 9 2 0.008 1.79 372
348 St Ambrose 7 3 -0.013 -2.93 328
349 Austin Peay 3 8 -0.027 1.75 383
350 Elizabeth City St 8 4 -0.034 0.59 370
351 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 6 5 -0.036 -1.24 351
352 Middlebury 4 4 -0.058 -2.30 345
353 Bowdoin 4 4 -0.065 -2.30 347
354 Hobart 7 2 -0.065 -4.20 329
355 SW Baptist 6 5 -0.071 -3.18 337
356 Concord 7 4 -0.071 -0.25 374
357 Central Washington 4 6 -0.078 6.66 445
358 UW-La Crosse 3 7 -0.089 -0.11 382
359 West Chester 5 6 -0.089 3.05 410
360 C.W. Post 7 4 -0.090 -2.03 358
361 Morehead St 3 8 -0.120 4.16 427
362 Walsh 5 6 -0.125 -2.97 359
363 Dubuque 9 2 -0.147 -2.52 373
364 Langston 7 3 -0.148 -8.12 314
365 Northern Colorado 0 11 -0.153 7.69 475
366 Baldwin-Wallace 8 2 -0.158 -7.29 325
367 Southern U. 4 7 -0.166 0.76 407
368 Lycoming 8 2 -0.168 -2.45 381
369 Albany St GA 8 4 -0.170 -4.06 360
370 Fordham 1 10 -0.181 2.14 422
371 Montclair St 8 2 -0.183 -9.26 311
372 Western New Mexico 5 6 -0.187 -1.38 395
373 Princeton 1 9 -0.191 3.13 441
374 Cumberland TN 7 3 -0.198 -10.62 303
375 Harding 3 7 -0.202 2.19 433
376 St Olaf 8 2 -0.206 -8.46 327
377 Missouri S&T 6 5 -0.218 -4.85 368
378 Shorter 6 4 -0.224 -5.47 362
379 Edinboro 7 4 -0.226 4.59 466
380 Heidelberg 8 2 -0.226 -9.40 323
381 Southern Conn St 7 3 -0.243 -2.15 401
382 UW-Stevens Point 4 6 -0.244 -5.01 375
383 Benedictine KS 9 3 -0.248 -1.77 405
384 Johns Hopkins 10 1 -0.252 -2.70 400
385 Franklin 10 2 -0.257 -8.28 340
386 Wesleyan 3 5 -0.257 -2.44 402
387 UW-Stout 5 5 -0.257 -9.51 331
388 Davidson 4 7 -0.272 -4.03 391
389 Newberry 4 6 -0.276 -0.88 417
390 SW Minnesota St 3 8 -0.281 -5.08 388
391 St Francis PA 2 9 -0.282 -0.26 429
392 Carson-Newman 5 6 -0.283 0.14 435
393 Alfred 8 3 -0.303 -13.62 304
394 American Int'l 6 4 -0.315 -3.40 409
395 East Texas Baptist 5 5 -0.318 -7.88 365
396 Bentley 6 4 -0.323 0.80 454
397 Widener 9 2 -0.347 -2.82 419
398 Central IA 7 3 -0.362 -6.06 397
399 Robert Morris 2 9 -0.363 2.16 480
400 Southern Oregon 5 5 -0.373 -9.49 363
401 Ottawa 9 3 -0.375 -6.93 392
402 Birmingham-Southern 7 2 -0.382 -9.72 364
403 VMI 2 9 -0.383 -1.82 448
404 Columbia 1 9 -0.384 3.09 494
405 Wartburg 8 2 -0.394 -10.44 361
406 Huntingdon AL 7 3 -0.416 -9.84 378
407 Mesa St 4 7 -0.416 -2.34 450
408 Valley City St 9 2 -0.417 -14.98 320
409 Wingate 5 6 -0.424 -7.71 399
410 Colby 3 5 -0.436 -5.35 420
411 Montana Tech 3 8 -0.448 -6.70 412
412 Charleston Southern 0 11 -0.454 -0.97 473
413 Bates 3 5 -0.458 -3.41 452
414 Washington and Lee 8 2 -0.475 -9.46 396
415 Dakota Wesleyan 6 4 -0.479 -5.15 440
416 Arkansas-Monticello 5 6 -0.481 -8.23 406
417 Merrimack 6 4 -0.490 -1.98 474
418 Southern Nazarene 9 3 -0.494 -7.33 415
419 New Jersey 7 3 -0.497 -10.60 389
420 Baker 7 3 -0.498 -5.99 436
421 North Carolina Central 2 9 -0.498 -3.39 463
422 Tusculum 3 8 -0.521 -4.65 456
423 Miles 7 5 -0.528 -9.14 411
424 Thomas More 9 2 -0.529 -5.96 449
425 Campbellsville 7 5 -0.545 -14.10 369
426 Midland Lutheran 6 4 -0.549 -8.09 425
427 Buffalo St 5 5 -0.566 -7.86 439
428 Montana-Western 2 9 -0.568 -7.39 444
429 Endicott 10 1 -0.593 -15.65 366
430 Albion 6 5 -0.593 -11.37 408
431 Fairmont St 7 4 -0.597 -3.99 486
432 Randolph-Macon 8 2 -0.606 -10.88 413
433 Wittenberg 8 2 -0.613 -10.47 418
434 Lindsey Wilson 7 3 -0.622 -18.64 342
435 Hampden-Sydney 8 3 -0.624 -10.53 421
436 Case Western Reserve 9 1 -0.624 -15.04 386
437 Coe 6 4 -0.630 -9.85 434
438 Hastings 6 4 -0.644 -10.82 426
439 Delaware St 3 8 -0.653 -11.14 424
440 Upper Iowa 3 8 -0.654 -10.77 432
441 New Mexico Highlands 4 7 -0.655 -4.30 498
442 Hamilton 3 5 -0.663 -8.25 460
443 Concordia-Moorhead 6 4 -0.664 -9.32 451
444 Adrian 8 2 -0.668 -10.26 443
445 Mercyhurst 4 7 -0.679 -1.04 530
446 St Norbert 7 3 -0.693 -9.21 457
447 Texas Southern 4 7 -0.694 -5.77 493
448 St John's MN 6 4 -0.702 -11.76 438
449 Illinois College 9 2 -0.705 -14.85 404
450 Lebanon Valley 8 3 -0.708 -11.95 437
451 Tuskegee 4 6 -0.711 -8.18 476
452 SW Oklahoma St 5 6 -0.727 -12.97 428
453 Springfield 6 4 -0.743 -16.23 403
454 Glenville St 5 6 -0.756 -7.41 495
455 Elmhurst 6 4 -0.757 -8.84 482
456 Stillman 7 4 -0.760 -12.72 447
457 Kentucky St 6 4 -0.761 -10.50 467
458 Rowan 5 5 -0.764 -10.15 471
459 Willamette 4 6 -0.767 -4.48 524
460 Taylor 5 5 -0.778 -14.33 430
461 Central Oklahoma 2 9 -0.781 -9.19 487
462 Arkansas Tech 2 8 -0.784 -9.52 484
463 Southern Arkansas 3 7 -0.786 -11.43 465
464 Texas Lutheran 5 5 -0.797 -18.95 393
465 Western New England 10 2 -0.798 -23.64 343
466 Olivet Nazarene 5 6 -0.802 -18.52 398
467 Belhaven 5 6 -0.806 -16.21 416
468 Incarnate Word 2 8 -0.811 -9.85 488
469 Nebraska Wesleyan 5 5 -0.825 -11.35 478
470 Alcorn St 2 8 -0.836 -5.90 527
471 Salve Regina 8 3 -0.841 -20.32 390
472 Eastern New Mexico 2 9 -0.847 -8.34 511
473 Pacific Lutheran 6 3 -0.852 -13.62 461
474 NW Oklahoma St 4 6 -0.867 -11.78 485
475 Johnson C. Smith 6 5 -0.867 -10.43 497
476 St Augustine's 4 6 -0.874 -5.54 540
477 Minot St 2 8 -0.885 -10.64 501
478 Charleston WV 5 6 -0.887 -12.50 483
479 Catawba 3 8 -0.894 -10.79 506
480 Ithaca 4 6 -0.910 -15.31 459
481 Gannon 4 7 -0.911 -8.09 526
482 William Jewell 4 6 -0.916 -15.50 458
483 Lincoln MO 1 10 -0.925 -19.93 414
484 Hope 7 3 -0.939 -18.21 442
485 Virginia St 5 5 -0.940 -12.85 492
486 TAMU-Commerce 1 9 -0.947 -8.14 535
487 Trine 7 3 -0.973 -16.17 470
488 Albright 6 5 -0.983 -11.96 514
489 Fort Valley St 2 8 -0.984 -7.42 551
490 Ohio Northern 6 4 -0.985 -18.30 453
491 Savannah St 1 10 -1.004 -16.05 481
492 Union NY 6 4 -1.033 -22.07 423
493 Lewis & Clark 7 2 -1.041 -18.79 464
494 Brevard 3 8 -1.047 -9.83 547
495 Menlo 4 5 -1.048 -13.74 515
496 Muhlenberg 7 3 -1.052 -15.34 504
497 Augsburg 6 4 -1.054 -17.61 479
498 UW-River Falls 1 9 -1.054 -13.71 516
499 Mississippi Valley St 1 10 -1.059 -10.66 542
500 John Carroll 5 5 -1.062 -18.84 469
501 Fayetteville St 4 6 -1.072 -12.38 529
502 SE Oklahoma St 2 8 -1.084 -9.24 558
503 Frostburg St 4 6 -1.084 -22.02 446
504 East Stroudsburg 3 8 -1.085 -8.58 565
505 Virginia Union 5 5 -1.098 -12.70 533
506 Virginia-Wise 5 6 -1.106 -21.46 455
507 Simon Fraser 3 7 -1.117 -12.37 541
508 Christopher Newport 8 3 -1.119 -19.75 477
509 Fort Lewis 3 8 -1.121 -16.03 512
510 Dickinson St 4 6 -1.124 -17.43 502
511 Carthage 5 5 -1.147 -13.11 543
512 McKendree 2 8 -1.149 -14.70 528
513 Mississippi College 3 7 -1.164 -18.93 496
514 Millikin 4 6 -1.166 -14.07 539
515 Black Hills St 3 7 -1.172 -16.34 522
516 Clarion 3 8 -1.187 -10.99 570
517 Valparaiso 1 10 -1.189 -19.06 507
518 Concordia AL 3 4 -1.192 -22.66 468
519 Utica 5 5 -1.200 -26.37 431
520 Malone 4 7 -1.201 -20.66 491
521 Bethany KS 8 3 -1.207 -19.75 505
522 Simpson 5 5 -1.208 -20.93 490
523 Central Methodist 5 5 -1.209 -15.56 536
524 Notre Dame OH 4 6 -1.210 -16.02 531
525 Minn St-Moorhead 2 9 -1.211 -20.08 499
526 La Verne 4 5 -1.226 -19.46 509
527 Capital 5 5 -1.230 -24.35 462
528 Shaw 3 7 -1.244 -8.82 604
529 Washington U. 6 4 -1.245 -18.47 521
530 Carroll WI 7 3 -1.249 -19.08 518
531 Bacone 5 6 -1.254 -19.03 519
532 Bridgewater VA 6 4 -1.256 -19.46 517
533 Stonehill 4 7 -1.274 -13.57 568
534 Tiffin 0 11 -1.286 -21.83 508
535 Assumption 4 6 -1.295 -12.93 581
536 Millsaps 4 6 -1.312 -22.78 503
537 Wash & Jeff 6 4 -1.318 -15.05 566
538 Quincy 4 6 -1.321 -22.14 510
539 Rochester 4 5 -1.329 -23.38 500
540 Minnesota-Crookston 1 10 -1.333 -20.68 523
541 Sewanee 5 5 -1.344 -19.84 532
542 Ferrum 7 3 -1.346 -20.65 525
543 Bowie St 4 6 -1.350 -11.05 610
544 Kentucky Christian 4 7 -1.362 -22.87 513
545 Friends 6 4 -1.366 -19.99 537
546 Whitworth 4 6 -1.372 -13.45 598
547 Framingham St 7 4 -1.379 -26.00 489
548 Bridgewater St MA 7 3 -1.390 -27.81 472
549 Brockport St 3 7 -1.403 -17.87 561
550 Dixie St 1 10 -1.403 -11.38 616
551 Concordia IL 8 2 -1.407 -20.15 544
552 Augustana IL 2 8 -1.417 -14.27 601
553 Tufts 0 8 -1.420 -13.06 609
554 Western St CO 1 10 -1.425 -16.09 587
555 St Vincent 6 5 -1.442 -16.46 589
556 Concordia NE 4 7 -1.450 -20.33 553
557 Occidental 5 4 -1.463 -22.53 538
558 Union KY 2 9 -1.466 -20.36 556
559 Webber Int'l 4 6 -1.470 -18.60 574
560 Waynesburg 5 5 -1.471 -15.51 603
561 Chapman 4 5 -1.484 -20.17 562
562 Ripon 6 4 -1.485 -20.61 559
563 Ursinus 6 4 -1.487 -19.10 573
564 Chowan 3 7 -1.493 -15.51 607
565 Emory & Henry 5 5 -1.497 -17.85 590
566 Pikeville 4 6 -1.516 -23.07 548
567 Muskingum 4 6 -1.517 -21.82 557
568 Faulkner 3 7 -1.557 -24.39 546
569 Shenandoah 6 4 -1.580 -20.80 583
570 Clark Atlanta 2 8 -1.584 -16.17 622
571 Lane 3 6 -1.606 -21.72 582
572 Worcester St 8 3 -1.613 -29.14 520
573 Sul Ross St 2 8 -1.616 -27.27 534
574 Jamestown 3 7 -1.616 -26.08 545
575 Iowa Wesleyan 3 7 -1.621 -24.43 560
576 Hanover 5 5 -1.629 -20.94 596
577 Wilkes 4 5 -1.651 -26.03 554
578 William Paterson 4 6 -1.653 -26.67 549
579 St Joseph's IN 2 8 -1.653 -23.78 575
580 DePauw 4 5 -1.657 -26.76 550
581 Gustavus Adolphus 2 8 -1.660 -18.68 617
582 OK Panhandle St 3 7 -1.668 -23.72 578
583 Claremont-Mudd-Scripps 4 5 -1.682 -24.60 576
584 Gettysburg 6 4 -1.690 -25.47 567
585 St Mary KS 5 6 -1.699 -24.01 585
586 Luther 3 7 -1.717 -23.93 592
587 Bethany WV 5 5 -1.731 -18.61 636
588 Chicago 5 5 -1.760 -24.89 595
589 RPI 4 5 -1.765 -29.07 555
590 Central St OH 1 10 -1.772 -23.31 608
591 Otterbein 3 7 -1.794 -25.60 597
592 Lincoln PA 2 7 -1.802 -17.23 652
593 SUNY-Maritime 8 2 -1.813 -30.98 552
594 Mt St Joseph 6 4 -1.828 -27.00 593
595 North Park 3 7 -1.834 -23.16 624
596 Kansas Wesleyan 5 6 -1.841 -28.77 577
597 Kalamazoo 4 6 -1.874 -24.00 626
598 Susquehanna 6 4 -1.875 -29.15 584
599 St Lawrence 3 6 -1.879 -29.07 586
600 Mayville St 5 6 -1.892 -30.84 571
601 Allegheny 5 5 -1.896 -25.59 615
602 Carnegie Mellon 5 5 -1.897 -24.13 629
603 LaGrange 4 6 -1.907 -28.08 602
604 Howard Payne 1 9 -1.910 -30.56 579
605 Wooster 4 6 -1.912 -24.90 628
606 Buena Vista 2 8 -1.912 -23.87 634
607 Millersville 3 8 -1.928 -29.18 599
608 Avila 4 7 -1.930 -30.38 588
609 McPherson 4 7 -1.934 -26.24 621
610 Trinity Int'l 2 8 -1.953 -30.75 591
611 Hartwick 2 8 -1.972 -28.12 614
612 St Scholastica 10 1 -1.976 -29.57 605
613 Grinnell 5 5 -1.985 -28.85 611
614 Westfield St 5 5 -1.992 -34.59 564
615 Kentucky Wesleyan 1 9 -1.992 -26.49 631
616 Rhodes 3 6 -2.000 -33.09 580
617 West Liberty St 1 10 -2.004 -20.22 665
618 Edward Waters 3 6 -2.005 -27.98 625
619 St Anselm 1 9 -2.006 -25.56 640
620 Mass Maritime 5 4 -2.008 -35.11 563
621 Westminster PA 5 5 -2.020 -26.50 638
622 Catholic 5 5 -2.023 -30.82 606
623 Sterling 4 7 -2.037 -26.50 639
624 Cheyney 1 10 -2.045 -25.07 646
625 Denison 5 5 -2.046 -26.02 642
626 Benedict 2 8 -2.048 -24.08 655
627 Norwich 7 4 -2.058 -35.84 569
628 West Virginia Tech 1 8 -2.062 -32.83 600
629 SW Assem of God 4 6 -2.066 -30.17 618
630 Alma 2 8 -2.084 -25.21 654
631 Geneva 4 6 -2.086 -28.76 635
632 Marietta 3 7 -2.103 -32.11 612
633 Carleton 2 8 -2.113 -27.80 643
634 Robert Morris IL 4 4 -2.121 -31.61 620
635 Benedictine IL 7 4 -2.149 -32.42 619
636 UMass-Dartmouth 5 5 -2.153 -38.25 572
637 Seton Hill 1 10 -2.159 -23.59 668
638 Southwestern KS 4 7 -2.181 -28.23 651
639 Maryville 4 6 -2.182 -31.84 632
640 Bluffton 5 5 -2.204 -34.76 613
641 Mount Ida 6 5 -2.234 -32.72 637
642 Curry 5 5 -2.238 -38.52 594
643 Merchant Marine 3 7 -2.243 -34.90 623
644 Evangel 3 7 -2.244 -33.58 633
645 Grove City 3 7 -2.244 -26.50 666
646 Dickinson 4 6 -2.249 -31.35 645
647 West Virginia St 1 9 -2.249 -24.79 679
648 Morrisville St 1 9 -2.252 -28.35 661
649 Whittier 2 7 -2.259 -29.19 659
650 Ohio Wesleyan 4 6 -2.270 -30.53 653
651 Rose-Hulman 5 5 -2.276 -35.45 627
652 Wisconsin Lutheran 6 4 -2.286 -33.23 641
653 Lake Forest 3 7 -2.343 -30.69 662
654 Oberlin 3 7 -2.354 -28.29 674
655 Dordt 2 9 -2.380 -34.46 647
656 Manchester 4 6 -2.390 -32.93 660
657 Franklin & Marshall 3 7 -2.411 -29.88 676
658 Concordia WI 4 6 -2.432 -30.75 673
659 Lock Haven 0 10 -2.456 -31.75 671
660 South Dakota Tech 1 10 -2.459 -35.40 657
661 Briar Cliff 2 9 -2.469 -36.76 649
662 WPI 2 7 -2.472 -32.85 667
663 Defiance 4 6 -2.594 -40.34 648
664 Tabor 3 7 -2.595 -34.43 682
665 Beloit 2 8 -2.611 -33.09 693
666 Macalester 4 5 -2.612 -35.45 677
667 Stevenson 2 8 -2.616 -39.63 658
668 Pacific OR 1 8 -2.617 -33.57 691
669 Lakeland 4 6 -2.635 -34.89 685
670 Cornell IA 3 7 -2.657 -42.03 650
671 Austin 0 10 -2.661 -36.51 680
672 Peru St 2 8 -2.665 -36.27 683
673 Gallaudet 5 5 -2.675 -37.89 672
674 Coast Guard 2 7 -2.690 -36.40 688
675 Plymouth St 4 6 -2.696 -46.84 630
676 Olivet 1 9 -2.721 -41.18 663
677 Methodist 3 7 -2.747 -35.57 698
678 McDaniel 2 8 -2.751 -31.21 711
679 Dakota St 1 10 -2.762 -40.69 670
680 Maine Maritime 4 5 -2.766 -46.11 644
681 Loras 1 9 -2.804 -35.07 704
682 Graceland 1 9 -2.831 -40.70 684
683 Averett 3 7 -2.856 -39.63 694
684 North Carolina Wesleyan 2 8 -2.874 -36.58 706
685 Pace 1 9 -2.884 -42.84 681
686 Puget Sound 0 9 -2.885 -33.56 715
687 Greenville 7 4 -2.901 -42.48 686
688 Concordia MI 0 11 -2.909 -48.60 656
689 Livingstone 0 9 -2.917 -37.64 707
690 Culver-Stockton 1 10 -2.930 -43.30 687
691 Moravian 2 8 -2.956 -39.77 703
692 Hamline 0 10 -2.975 -42.63 696
693 FDU-Florham 1 9 -2.990 -46.41 675
694 MIT 2 7 -3.021 -45.52 689
695 Apprentice 2 8 -3.034 -48.45 669
696 Waldorf 2 9 -3.034 -49.90 664
697 Texas College 0 11 -3.035 -47.29 678
698 Westminster MO 8 2 -3.051 -45.09 695
699 King's PA 1 9 -3.065 -44.65 697
700 Southern Virginia 2 7 -3.067 -43.82 700
701 Pomona-Pitzer 0 9 -3.082 -40.77 710
702 Wilmington 0 10 -3.084 -46.79 692
703 Lawrence 1 9 -3.120 -40.73 713
704 Western Conn St 0 10 -3.121 -48.25 690
705 Northwestern MN 6 4 -3.147 -43.61 708
706 Anderson 1 9 -3.147 -41.47 714
707 Aurora 3 7 -3.159 -38.93 717
708 Knox 0 10 -3.233 -39.90 718
709 Guilford 2 8 -3.290 -47.65 709
710 Trinity Bible 4 4 -3.311 -51.37 699
711 Juniata 1 9 -3.409 -46.20 716
712 Castleton St 4 6 -3.433 -53.49 702
713 Thiel 0 10 -3.477 -44.08 722
714 Bethel KS 1 10 -3.485 -54.23 705
715 Nichols 0 10 -3.530 -52.96 712
716 Fitchburg St 2 8 -3.637 -60.09 701
717 Ave Maria 0 9 -3.649 -50.57 719
718 Hiram 1 9 -3.722 -49.25 724
719 Kenyon 0 10 -3.786 -49.74 727
720 Earlham 0 10 -3.950 -55.05 725
721 Anna Maria 2 8 -4.004 -59.93 720
722 Greensboro 0 10 -4.027 -52.03 730
723 Minnesota-Morris 5 5 -4.079 -61.73 721
724 Haskell 0 11 -4.204 -64.02 723
725 Maranatha Baptist 3 7 -4.314 -62.36 729
726 Husson 0 10 -4.316 -65.07 726
727 Becker 1 9 -4.390 -62.04 731
728 Eureka 4 6 -4.432 -65.90 728
729 Rockford 0 10 -4.538 -59.71 733
730 Presentation 3 7 -4.829 -70.74 732
731 Martin Luther 2 8 -5.050 -70.70 735
732 MacMurray 2 8 -5.200 -76.94 734
733 Crown 0 10 -5.593 -74.84 736
734 St Paul's 0 0 -999.000 0.00 354
735 Lambuth 0 0 -999.000 0.00 352
736 Nebraska-Omaha 0 0 -999.000 0.00 353
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Introduction Here is my rough attempt at a CF computer rating. It is a combination of a score-based rating and a more politically correct one like the six that are part of the BCS. To estimate the point spread between two teams, subtract their numbers in the Points ("Pts") column. Don't forget home field advantage, which is usually around 2.5 to 3 points. It fluctuates a little, but I don't bother publishing the actual number: in 2011, at the end of week 6 it was 2.7. Predictions are now available on their own separate page. Last season's games have a strong but diminishing influence for the first few weeks. More recent games are always weighted heavier. This is a work in progress, and I reserve the right to change the algorithm at any time, without telling you (errors, tweaks, whatever). The ratings are one of many included on Dr. Kenneth Massey's comparison page for college football. Enjoy! Email me if you have a question. The components The rating is a blend of two different and unique formulas. Rating 1: An "almost" "pure points" system. Only margins of victory are included (this result is actually shown in the "Pts" column), but a diminishing returns rule is applied when scores are above 40 points. Over 40, the excess is halved, i.e., 42 becomes 41, 50 is 45, 70 is 55, etc. This is done without regard to margin of victory. I know I could have (and should have) been a bit more elegant, but it works. Rating 2: A system that considers only winning and losing, with games weighted based on how recently they were played. The weight is simple: it is the number of days since the game was played, divided by 365. So a game played four months ago is weighted only 0.67 compared to "today's" games (weight 1.00), for games eight months ago the weight is 0.33, and obviously for games one year ago the weight becomes 0. For college football, I phase out games from the previous season by about mid-October. This rating should correlate highly with all the other BCS-style ratings, since there is no margin of victory. For each, I then normalize the entire list (so that the mean is zero and the standard deviation is one), and simply add the two normalized ratings together to get the value in the "Rating" column. In other words, Rating = normalized_rating1 + normalized_rating2. It's that simple. That's why the ratings are bounded in roughly a range of +5 to -5...it will be rare to have a team with either rating more than about 2.5 SD's beyond the mean, let alone both of them. Some math details Each set of ratings can be cast as an overdetermined matrix problem (thousands of games, for only hundreds of teams), which is popularly solved either via SVD or with an iterative technique. SVD for college basketball requires a few gigabytes of RAM, which I don't have at home, so I go with the iterative methods. They are slower, but produce the same result. Right now I use a Matlab routine called LSMR, written by David Fong and Michael Saunders of Stanford University. Prior to using their algorithm, I used ugly, clunky, slow programs that I wrote myself; they resembled the predictor-corrector methods from your numerical analysis courses. I normalize both results because there is essentially no other way to compare or combine the two ratings. Neither rating is given more preference than the other. There's probably a better way to get the end result than just adding the two normalized ratings together, but again, it seems to work. I'm always learning, always willing to hear new ideas, and always trying to improve the results. About the author I have a Ph.D. in Atmospheric Science from the University of Alabama in Huntsville. That's the same place where Dr. Wes Colley works (he produces one of the six BCS rankings), but I've only met him once. I now work in Boulder, Colorado, in the broad area of numerical weather prediction (that is, forecasting the weather using computer models). Contact me using this email form if you have questions or non-hateful comments. |