2013 College Football
Computer Ratings

Welcome to 2013!
 



Ratings last updated Tuesday 01/13/15, 08:10 AM ET

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
   1 Ohio State            14  1     5.07    71.57    1
   2 Oregon                13  2     4.95    72.33    2
   3 TCU                   12  1     4.83    73.80    6
   4 Alabama               11  2     4.72    70.51    5
   5 Michigan St           11  2     4.61    67.78    8
   6 Georgia               10  3     4.50    69.67   11
   7 Florida St            13  1     4.42    57.91    3
   8 Missouri              11  2     4.37    60.04    4
   9 Baylor                11  2     4.37    67.85   19
  10 UCLA                  10  3     4.37    60.45    7

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  11 Mississippi            9  4     4.31    65.88   16
  12 Wisconsin             11  3     4.26    61.34   10
  13 Georgia Tech          11  3     4.21    61.64   12
  14 Mississippi St        10  3     4.17    64.27   21
  15 Southern Cal           9  4     4.16    61.53   18
  16 Auburn                 8  5     4.14    65.56   22
  17 Clemson               10  3     4.10    59.56   17
  18 Arizona St            10  3     4.03    57.14   14
  19 Kansas St              9  4     4.03    63.05   23
  20 Arizona               10  4     4.02    56.60   13

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  21 Boise St              12  2     4.01    53.28    9
  22 Utah                   9  4     4.00    56.61   15
  23 Stanford               8  5     3.90    59.69   24
  24 LSU                    8  5     3.88    61.55   29
  25 Arkansas               7  6     3.88    63.69   38
  26 Marshall              13  1     3.81    57.54   25
  27 Oklahoma               8  5     3.77    61.21   41
  28 Nebraska               9  4     3.75    57.56   28
  29 North Dakota St       15  1     3.74    50.56   20
  30 Texas A&M              8  5     3.73    57.25   30

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  31 Tennessee              7  6     3.72    57.75   33
  32 Florida                7  5     3.71    57.08   32
  33 Louisville             9  4     3.66    55.66   31
  34 Notre Dame             8  5     3.62    53.46   27
  35 Minnesota              8  5     3.55    53.37   37
  36 West Virginia          7  6     3.46    55.90   51
  37 Louisiana Tech         9  5     3.39    52.74   47
  38 South Carolina         7  6     3.38    52.23   45
  39 Illinois St           13  2     3.37    46.09   26
  40 Washington             8  6     3.37    52.07   46

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  41 Colorado St           10  3     3.32    46.41   36
  42 North Carolina St      8  5     3.29    46.50   40
  43 Maryland               7  6     3.26    47.72   44
  44 Utah St               10  4     3.25    45.27   39
  45 Virginia Tech          7  6     3.25    51.39   59
  46 Duke                   9  4     3.22    51.39   66
  47 Rutgers                8  5     3.21    43.18   35
  48 Memphis                9  4     3.20    50.23   60
  49 Cincinnati             9  4     3.19    47.14   48
  50 Boston College         7  6     3.19    50.31   64

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  51 Oklahoma St            7  6     3.17    46.88   50
  52 Texas                  6  7     3.13    49.70   72
  53 Miami FL               6  7     3.12    52.57   83
  54 Penn State             7  6     3.10    47.63   62
  55 Iowa                   7  6     3.09    49.19   73
  56 Central Florida        9  4     3.06    44.97   57
  57 Air Force             10  3     3.06    40.33   42
  58 Northern Illinois     11  3     3.04    40.72   43
  59 Minn St-Mankato       14  1     3.03    37.37   34
  60 Michigan               5  7     3.02    47.33   75

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  61 Toledo                 9  4     3.02    42.89   53
  62 Navy                   8  5     3.01    43.30   55
  63 Virginia               5  7     3.01    49.95   85
  64 Northern Iowa          9  5     3.01    45.91   70
  65 California             5  7     3.00    48.24   79
  66 Brigham Young          8  5     2.98    46.42   76
  67 South Dakota St        9  5     2.97    41.47   54
  68 Western Kentucky       8  5     2.95    43.03   63
  69 Kentucky               5  7     2.88    47.24   87
  70 North Carolina         6  7     2.88    42.99   74

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  71 Northwestern           5  7     2.88    45.20   82
  72 East Carolina          8  5     2.86    46.48   88
  73 Illinois               6  7     2.84    40.99   69
  74 Georgia Southern       9  3     2.80    43.85   86
  75 Rice                   8  5     2.78    39.44   71
  76 Louisiana-Lafayette    9  4     2.77    38.31   67
  77 Pittsburgh             6  7     2.76    48.47  108
  78 Eastern Washington    11  3     2.76    37.40   61
  79 New Hampshire         12  2     2.76    37.69   65
  80 Nevada                 7  6     2.72    40.45   81

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  81 Houston                8  5     2.70    42.41   89
  82 Sioux Falls           11  1     2.68    32.63   52
  83 Oregon St              5  7     2.67    42.10   93
  84 Coastal Carolina      12  2     2.65    38.23   80
  85 Colorado St-Pueblo    14  1     2.65    31.32   49
  86 Washington St          3  9     2.64    43.56  103
  87 Chattanooga           10  4     2.62    40.14   90
  88 Jacksonville St       10  2     2.61    36.19   78
  89 Western Michigan       8  5     2.60    41.48  100
  90 Indiana St             8  6     2.57    36.64   84

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  91 Indiana                4  8     2.56    39.84   96
  92 San Diego St           7  6     2.54    39.85   98
  93 Texas Tech             4  8     2.51    41.29  109
  94 Villanova             11  3     2.49    36.21   91
  95 Sam Houston St        11  5     2.48    32.43   77
  96 Alabama-Birmingham     6  6     2.46    41.60  116
  97 UTEP                   7  6     2.44    36.41   95
  98 Carroll MT            10  2     2.44    28.86   68
  99 Arkansas St            7  6     2.43    41.31  121
 100 Fresno St              6  8     2.40    34.54   94

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 101 Temple                 6  6     2.38    40.41  125
 102 Syracuse               3  9     2.36    40.65  127
 103 Southern Oregon       13  2     2.36    24.15   58
 104 Central Michigan       7  6     2.34    37.17  113
 105 Minnesota-Duluth      13  1     2.34    23.41   56
 106 Colorado               2 10     2.33    40.57  137
 107 Purdue                 3  9     2.32    40.13  133
 108 Idaho St               8  4     2.28    31.63   97
 109 Ferris St             11  1     2.28    30.37   92
 110 Middle Tennessee St    6  6     2.27    35.89  115

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 111 Youngstown St          7  5     2.26    33.40  107
 112 Montana                9  5     2.22    31.38  104
 113 Bowling Green          8  6     2.22    31.60  105
 114 Appalachian St         7  5     2.21    35.87  126
 115 Iowa St                2 10     2.17    37.85  154
 116 Old Dominion           6  6     2.15    30.61  110
 117 Wyoming                4  8     2.14    31.52  114
 118 Harvard               10  0     2.13    27.55   99
 119 Vanderbilt             3  9     2.12    33.65  130
 120 Ohio Dominican        10  2     2.11    27.22  101

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 121 Western Illinois       5  7     2.11    31.59  120
 122 Liberty                9  5     2.09    29.42  111
 123 SE Louisiana St        8  4     2.09    36.07  158
 124 Texas St-San Marcos    7  5     2.09    33.77  140
 125 South Florida          5  7     2.09    30.52  117
 126 Kansas                 3  9     2.08    35.06  150
 127 Southern Illinois      6  6     2.08    33.59  141
 128 Fordham               11  3     2.03    31.61  136
 129 Samford                7  4     2.02    33.37  151
 130 New Mexico             4  8     1.99    29.79  128

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 131 South Alabama          6  7     1.99    32.37  152
 132 Ball St                5  7     1.98    33.49  163
 133 James Madison          9  4     1.97    27.76  124
 134 Ohio U.                6  6     1.97    30.88  144
 135 Wake Forest            3  9     1.96    32.31  159
 136 Montana St             8  5     1.94    28.19  129
 137 TAMU-Commerce          9  3     1.93    29.42  142
 138 Pittsburg St          11  2     1.91    29.48  148
 139 Missouri St            4  8     1.91    32.45  174
 140 Richmond               9  5     1.89    27.05  131

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 141 Texas-San Antonio      4  8     1.88    30.08  160
 142 Cal Poly SLO           7  5     1.87    27.35  139
 143 Angelo St              9  3     1.86    20.39  102
 144 Florida Int'l          4  8     1.84    33.63  190
 145 Valdosta St           10  3     1.83    25.65  134
 146 Stephen F. Austin      8  5     1.82    27.28  153
 147 Northwestern St        6  6     1.81    28.79  167
 148 Augustana SD           6  5     1.80    24.75  132
 149 Hawai`i                3 10     1.79    32.65  194
 150 NW Missouri St        10  2     1.78    27.73  164

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 151 Army                   4  7     1.77    28.23  172
 152 Tulane                 3  9     1.76    30.26  186
 153 North Alabama          9  2     1.75    25.70  157
 154 West Georgia          12  3     1.73    23.44  143
 155 Delta St               9  2     1.73    27.71  177
 156 San Jose St            3  9     1.72    29.31  187
 157 Ashland                8  2     1.72    24.46  156
 158 Louisiana-Monroe       4  8     1.72    32.07  207
 159 Concord               13  1     1.71    19.77  123
 160 Florida Atlantic       3  9     1.70    30.71  201

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 161 Charleston Southern    8  4     1.70    24.88  161
 162 Akron                  5  7     1.69    31.32  205
 163 Michigan Tech          9  2     1.69    19.11  122
 164 Buffalo                5  6     1.68    29.94  200
 165 Mount Union           14  1     1.67    30.37  203
 166 Eastern Kentucky       9  4     1.67    24.14  162
 167 Southern Miss          3  9     1.67    27.04  183
 168 Lenoir-Rhyne          11  1     1.67    24.97  171
 169 Eastern Oregon         8  3     1.65    15.13  106
 170 Eastern Illinois       5  7     1.65    30.18  206

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 171 Colorado Mines        10  1     1.63    16.96  118
 172 William & Mary         7  5     1.62    24.47  176
 173 Dartmouth              8  2     1.60    20.75  149
 174 Central Arkansas       6  6     1.58    27.34  202
 175 Western Carolina       7  5     1.58    23.82  179
 176 UW-Whitewater         15  0     1.55    18.81  147
 177 McNeese St             6  5     1.54    27.34  216
 178 North Texas            4  8     1.53    28.33  222
 179 Bryant                 8  3     1.53    22.39  181
 180 Sacred Heart           9  3     1.52    20.44  170

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 181 Presbyterian           6  5     1.51    16.62  138
 182 Amherst                8  0     1.51    13.37  119
 183 Sacramento St          7  5     1.47    20.56  180
 184 South Carolina St      8  4     1.46    20.09  178
 185 Marian IN             11  3     1.46    14.71  135
 186 Tennessee-Martin       6  6     1.45    23.22  199
 187 Bethune-Cookman        9  3     1.45    18.45  169
 188 Northern Arizona       7  5     1.45    20.50  184
 189 Wofford                6  5     1.45    24.11  208
 190 UNLV                   3 10     1.43    21.86  192

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 191 North Carolina A&T     9  3     1.43    23.57  209
 192 Yale                   7  2     1.41    19.58  185
 193 The Citadel            5  7     1.40    23.25  215
 194 Massachusetts          3  9     1.39    28.49  254
 195 Alcorn St             10  3     1.39    21.29  198
 196 Kent St                2  9     1.38    26.14  237
 197 Midwestern St          6  4     1.36    19.71  193
 198 Tarleton St            5  5     1.33    21.49  217
 199 Northern St SD         8  3     1.31     6.31  112
 200 Miami OH               2 10     1.31    27.36  266

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 201 Grand Valley St        6  5     1.30    17.39  188
 202 Tulsa                  2 10     1.29    25.08  249
 203 Grand View            10  2     1.28    13.04  168
 204 Albany NY              7  5     1.27    20.13  219
 205 South Dakota           2 10     1.27    20.85  227
 206 Chadron St             8  3     1.26    10.77  155
 207 Montana-Western        6  5     1.26    10.02  146
 208 Bucknell               8  3     1.25    16.76  195
 209 Upper Iowa             6  5     1.25    12.04  166
 210 Eastern New Mexico     7  4     1.23    16.57  197

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 211 Lamar                  8  4     1.22    17.36  210
 212 Azusa Pacific         10  1     1.22    11.81  173
 213 Connecticut            2 10     1.21    23.10  255
 214 Bloomsburg            11  2     1.21    19.00  226
 215 Wartburg              12  1     1.19    16.25  204
 216 Abilene Christian      6  6     1.19    20.91  239
 217 Shepherd               8  2     1.19    18.09  221
 218 Wesleyan               7  1     1.18    13.82  189
 219 Southern Utah          3  8     1.17    17.67  220
 220 St Xavier             10  3     1.17    10.92  175

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 221 Wagner                 7  4     1.17    16.06  212
 222 Troy                   3  9     1.17    22.08  257
 223 Humboldt St            8  2     1.16    15.86  213
 224 Linfield              11  2     1.14    20.19  244
 225 Maine                  5  6     1.13    17.19  229
 226 West Texas A&M         6  5     1.11    15.20  218
 227 St Cloud St            6  5     1.11     5.32  145
 228 Mary Hardin-Baylor    11  1     1.08    17.93  241
 229 Concordia-St Paul      5  6     1.08     6.80  165
 230 Jacksonville FL        9  2     1.06    13.11  214

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 231 Wayne St MI            7  4     1.06    15.69  234
 232 Delaware               6  6     1.06    15.24  230
 233 West Chester          11  2     1.05    17.52  243
 234 Wesley                11  2     1.05    17.88  248
 235 Middlebury             6  2     1.05    14.54  228
 236 North Carolina Centr   7  5     1.04    15.37  235
 237 Stony Brook            5  7     1.03    20.12  274
 238 SMU                    1 11     1.00    16.14  245
 239 Indianapolis           9  2     0.98    12.16  223
 240 Monmouth NJ            6  5     0.97    15.72  252

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 241 Central Oklahoma       8  4     0.96    13.42  236
 242 Duquesne               6  6     0.95    17.08  270
 243 Lafayette              5  6     0.95    16.47  262
 244 John Carroll          11  2     0.95    18.13  275
 245 Central Missouri       8  4     0.94    16.05  260
 246 Morgan St              7  6     0.93    14.10  247
 247 Eastern Michigan       2 10     0.92    14.48  253
 248 Winona St              4  7     0.91    10.20  225
 249 Southern U.            9  4     0.91     6.71  196
 250 Florida Tech           6  5     0.91    15.51  267

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 251 Weber St               2 10     0.90    17.99  282
 252 Tennessee Tech         5  7     0.89    12.22  242
 253 Harding                9  2     0.88    20.46  314
 254 Wayne St NE            5  6     0.86     5.00  191
 255 UNC-Charlotte          5  6     0.86    17.97  296
 256 Winston-Salem St       9  2     0.85    14.58  272
 257 New Mexico St          2 10     0.85    19.80  317
 258 North Dakota           5  7     0.84    11.24  246
 259 Missouri Western       7  4     0.83    13.54  269
 260 SE Missouri St         5  7     0.83    16.67  292

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 261 Portland St            3  9     0.83    15.64  280
 262 Rocky Mountain         5  6     0.82     5.77  211
 263 San Diego              9  3     0.82     1.78  182
 264 Charleston WV          8  3     0.82    10.18  240
 265 Grambling St           7  5     0.80     7.95  232
 266 Tennessee St           6  6     0.79    15.12  288
 267 Carson-Newman          7  3     0.78    11.89  268
 268 UC-Davis               2  9     0.78    14.96  289
 269 Ouachita Baptist      10  1     0.77    10.73  259
 270 Idaho                  1 10     0.77    21.83  357

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 271 Fort Hays St           7  4     0.77    11.00  263
 272 Mercer                 6  6     0.75    15.99  305
 273 Georgia St             1 11     0.74    16.27  312
 274 California PA          8  2     0.74    10.33  264
 275 Tuskegee               9  3     0.73     9.91  261
 276 Furman                 3  9     0.71    14.38  303
 277 Slippery Rock          9  3     0.69    11.46  279
 278 Alabama St             7  5     0.68     8.54  265
 279 Colgate                5  7     0.67    13.63  306
 280 Virginia St           10  3     0.67     7.10  256

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 281 St Francis PA          5  6     0.63    12.00  300
 282 UW-Oshkosh             6  4     0.63     5.63  250
 283 Northern Colorado      3  8     0.62    10.51  293
 284 Lindsey Wilson        10  3     0.60     9.50  286
 285 West Alabama           5  6     0.60    15.30  343
 286 Central Washington     7  4     0.59     8.38  281
 287 Drake                  7  4     0.57     2.26  238
 288 Gannon                 8  2     0.57    13.59  336
 289 Holy Cross             4  8     0.55    12.96  337
 290 Dayton                 8  3     0.54     3.56  258

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 291 St Joseph's IN         8  3     0.52     6.12  278
 292 Brown                  5  5     0.52     9.82  315
 293 Trinity CT             5  3     0.51     9.50  313
 294 Mercyhurst             7  4     0.51     8.46  302
 295 Henderson St           9  2     0.50    12.76  348
 296 Minn St-Moorhead       4  7     0.50    -2.20  224
 297 Morningside           11  2     0.47     8.55  319
 298 Prairie View A&M       5  5     0.45     5.39  290
 299 Western Oregon         6  5     0.45     4.69  283
 300 St John's MN          10  2     0.45     3.73  277

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 301 Findlay                5  6     0.44     8.10  323
 302 Faulkner               9  3     0.44     5.14  294
 303 SW Minnesota St        3  8     0.43    -0.30  251
 304 Mary                   5  6     0.43    -3.07  233
 305 Gardner-Webb           4  8     0.42     7.76  327
 306 North Greenville       7  5     0.41     9.48  342
 307 Georgetown KY          8  3     0.40     7.15  326
 308 Lehigh                 3  8     0.39    10.11  353
 309 Howard                 5  7     0.39     6.34  318
 310 UW-Platteville         7  3     0.39     4.78  299

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 311 Towson                 4  8     0.38     7.41  331
 312 American Int'l         8  3     0.38     5.88  316
 313 St Thomas              8  3     0.38     7.39  334
 314 Northwood              5  6     0.37     4.55  304
 315 Johns Hopkins         11  1     0.36     3.23  297
 316 Princeton              5  5     0.35     5.57  324
 317 Colorado Mesa          6  5     0.35    -0.38  271
 318 Campbellsville         7  4     0.35     5.43  325
 319 College of Idaho       4  7     0.34    -5.84  231
 320 Hillsdale              4  7     0.34     6.34  335

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 321 Bemidji St             3  8     0.33    -0.99  273
 322 Norfolk St             4  8     0.32     7.72  350
 323 Albany St GA           7  3     0.30     2.98  309
 324 Catawba                6  5     0.30     7.53  354
 325 Assumption             7  4     0.29     6.99  352
 326 C.W. Post              8  4     0.29     5.69  340
 327 William Penn           7  4     0.29     0.43  291
 328 Murray St              3  9     0.28    10.29  378
 329 Concordia-Moorhead     8  2     0.28     2.31  307
 330 Notre Dame OH          7  4     0.28    -0.49  284

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 331 St John Fisher         9  2     0.25     1.31  308
 332 Newberry               5  6     0.24    10.55  403
 333 Elon                   1 11     0.22     9.26  384
 334 Widener               12  1     0.21    -2.02  287
 335 Robert Morris IL       8  3     0.21    -3.64  276
 336 Hampton                3  9     0.20     6.29  366
 337 Adams St               4  7     0.17     1.11  332
 338 Bethel MN              7  3     0.16     0.62  330
 339 Western New Mexico     5  6     0.16    -2.94  295
 340 Lake Erie              4  7     0.16    -2.10  301

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 341 Georgetown DC          3  8     0.14     5.24  370
 342 Walsh                  4  7     0.12     1.01  344
 343 Florida A&M            3  9     0.09     5.46  387
 344 West Liberty           6  5     0.09    -2.09  328
 345 Incarnate Word         2  9     0.08     0.10  346
 346 Truman St              6  4     0.08    -0.45  341
 347 St Francis IN          6  5     0.08    -2.25  329
 348 Siena Heights          6  4     0.08    -6.17  285
 349 New Haven              6  5     0.07     6.35  411
 350 Heidelberg             8  2     0.07     0.34  351

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 351 VMI                    2 10     0.07     4.47  382
 352 New Mexico Highlands   3  8     0.06     1.01  358
 353 Central Conn St        3  9     0.05     6.73  424
 354 Kutztown               6  5     0.04     8.21  437
 355 Missouri Southern      4  7     0.04     6.03  419
 356 Northern Michigan      3  8     0.02     5.04  416
 357 Wingate                6  5     0.02     4.01  399
 358 Montana Tech           1  9     0.02    -2.31  338
 359 Pennsylvania           2  8     0.02     4.22  405
 360 MidAmerica Nazarene    9  2     0.02    -5.24  310

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 361 Alabama A&M            4  8     0.02     1.23  367
 362 Muhlenberg             9  2     0.01     0.70  364
 363 Mars Hill              4  6     0.00     3.31  395
 364 Western St CO          4  7     0.00    -2.30  345
 365 UW-Stevens Point       7  3     0.00    -5.19  321
 366 Rhode Island           1 11    -0.02     2.95  401
 367 Tusculum               5  5    -0.02     0.22  368
 368 Virginia Union         7  3    -0.03    -2.67  349
 369 Alderson-Broaddus      7  4    -0.03     0.31  371
 370 Montana St-Northern    3  8    -0.04    -8.60  298

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 371 Emporia St             4  7    -0.04     3.66  421
 372 Indiana PA             6  5    -0.05     4.38  427
 373 Chapman                8  2    -0.05    -0.29  369
 374 Hobart                12  1    -0.06    -6.86  322
 375 Texas Lutheran         9  2    -0.06    -5.60  333
 376 Tiffin                 5  6    -0.07    -7.27  320
 377 North Central          8  2    -0.08    -0.75  374
 378 Reinhardt              6  4    -0.08    -0.84  375
 379 Wabash                10  2    -0.09    -1.25  372
 380 Buffalo St             8  3    -0.09    -5.61  339

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 381 Wash & Jeff           10  2    -0.11    -1.00  381
 382 Saginaw Valley St      2  9    -0.11    -0.32  392
 383 Central IA             8  2    -0.11    -3.82  360
 384 Valley City St         9  2    -0.11    -9.13  311
 385 Miles                  6  4    -0.11    -1.46  380
 386 Glenville St           5  6    -0.13    -3.43  365
 387 Missouri Valley        9  3    -0.14    -5.16  356
 388 Bates                  4  4    -0.14    -4.50  361
 389 Marist                 4  7    -0.15    -2.57  379
 390 Wheaton               11  1    -0.16    -5.92  355

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 391 McKendree              5  6    -0.16    -5.04  362
 392 Thomas More            8  2    -0.16     1.72  433
 393 Washburn               4  7    -0.16    -0.47  417
 394 Shippensburg           6  5    -0.19     1.83  439
 395 Pacific Lutheran       7  2    -0.20    -2.59  398
 396 Bowie St               5  5    -0.20    -2.16  407
 397 Bentley                5  6    -0.21     4.77  477
 398 Jackson St             5  7    -0.22    -3.23  397
 399 Austin Peay            1 11    -0.23    -4.24  383
 400 Black Hills St         3  8    -0.25    -5.86  376

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 401 Butler                 4  7    -0.26    -4.89  393
 402 East Stroudsburg       6  5    -0.27    -0.94  436
 403 Ithaca                 7  4    -0.29    -6.72  377
 404 Wittenberg             9  2    -0.30    -4.50  415
 405 Salisbury              7  4    -0.31   -11.27  347
 406 Tufts                  4  4    -0.31    -6.43  390
 407 Stonehill              5  6    -0.33     0.10  467
 408 Fort Lewis             3  8    -0.34    -7.44  388
 409 Redlands               6  3    -0.38    -1.80  458
 410 Campbell               5  7    -0.39    -6.48  423

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 411 St Anselm              6  5    -0.40    -3.53  446
 412 Louisiana College      6  4    -0.41   -11.91  363
 413 Shorter                3  8    -0.41    -3.39  449
 414 Nebraska-Kearney       3  8    -0.41    -3.14  451
 415 Langston               7  4    -0.42    -7.45  420
 416 Ohio Northern          7  3    -0.42   -10.91  373
 417 Centre                10  1    -0.42    -8.49  408
 418 Texas Southern         5  6    -0.42    -6.29  430
 419 Rowan                  7  4    -0.43    -9.56  394
 420 Webber Int'l           7  3    -0.44    -9.31  406

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 421 Pacific OR             6  3    -0.45    -9.88  400
 422 Minot St               1 10    -0.45   -13.95  359
 423 Southeastern U.        7  3    -0.45    -5.32  444
 424 Delaware Valley        9  2    -0.46   -11.12  385
 425 Arkansas-Pine Bluff    4  7    -0.48   -11.43  386
 426 Hardin-Simmons         6  3    -0.49   -10.97  404
 427 Fort Valley St         6  4    -0.50    -8.96  428
 428 SE Oklahoma St         7  5    -0.51    -4.64  470
 429 East Central OK        6  5    -0.52    -4.82  473
 430 OK Panhandle St        7  3    -0.52    -3.28  492

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 431 Baker                  8  3    -0.53   -11.82  409
 432 St Ambrose             5  5    -0.54   -11.69  414
 433 TAMU-Kingsville        2  9    -0.54   -12.59  402
 434 Williams               2  6    -0.56    -3.61  497
 435 Missouri S&T           4  7    -0.56    -7.52  454
 436 Morehouse              6  4    -0.57   -10.93  429
 437 Utica                  7  4    -0.57   -12.67  412
 438 Monmouth IL            8  2    -0.57   -10.65  431
 439 Quincy                 6  5    -0.58    -8.00  455
 440 Morrisville St         9  2    -0.58   -14.55  389

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 441 WV Wesleyan            4  6    -0.59   -13.09  418
 442 Taylor                 5  6    -0.60   -14.92  391
 443 Delaware St            2 10    -0.61    -6.84  480
 444 Framingham St         10  1    -0.61   -13.08  422
 445 Nicholls St            0 12    -0.62    -8.42  466
 446 Guilford               8  2    -0.62    -9.97  448
 447 Morehead St            4  8    -0.63   -12.40  432
 448 Gustavus Adolphus      6  4    -0.64    -7.28  483
 449 Southern Arkansas      5  5    -0.64    -3.03  518
 450 Robert Morris PA       1 10    -0.66    -8.80  476

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 451 Kentucky Christian     5  6    -0.67   -10.06  464
 452 Stillman               5  6    -0.67    -8.99  475
 453 Stetson                5  7    -0.67   -13.20  434
 454 Valparaiso             4  8    -0.67   -10.26  462
 455 Coe                    5  5    -0.67   -11.05  450
 456 Fayetteville St        5  5    -0.67    -8.01  486
 457 St Francis IL          4  7    -0.68    -7.14  500
 458 Colby                  2  6    -0.69    -8.49  485
 459 Lindenwood             2  9    -0.69    -5.84  507
 460 William Jewell         5  6    -0.69   -14.79  426

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 461 St Lawrence            8  2    -0.69   -12.47  442
 462 Elizabeth City St      4  6    -0.69    -8.57  488
 463 Merrimack              4  7    -0.70    -4.94  517
 464 UW-La Crosse           3  7    -0.70    -8.67  490
 465 Cumberland TN          6  5    -0.71   -12.99  443
 466 Cornell NY             1  9    -0.72    -6.24  509
 467 Chicago                8  1    -0.72   -17.18  410
 468 Carroll WI             8  2    -0.74   -12.87  452
 469 Montclair St           8  2    -0.74   -18.75  396
 470 Ursinus                7  3    -0.75   -11.70  469

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 471 Simon Fraser           2  9    -0.75   -10.39  487
 472 Northwestern IA        8  3    -0.76   -14.18  445
 473 Hampden-Sydney         7  4    -0.76   -11.61  474
 474 Lycoming               8  2    -0.80   -16.59  438
 475 Dickinson St           7  4    -0.82   -20.00  413
 476 Emory & Henry          8  2    -0.84   -15.63  457
 477 Fairmont St            3  7    -0.86   -15.09  471
 478 Benedictine KS         7  4    -0.86   -16.10  459
 479 Franklin               8  3    -0.87   -13.58  489
 480 UNC-Pembroke           2  8    -0.87    -6.31  545

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 481 Ottawa                 9  3    -0.87   -15.85  468
 482 Bridgewater VA         8  2    -0.88   -16.98  453
 483 Buena Vista            5  5    -0.89   -16.78  461
 484 Urbana                 3  8    -0.89   -13.37  499
 485 Rhodes                 8  2    -0.90   -18.06  447
 486 Waynesburg             8  3    -0.91   -15.57  481
 487 McMurry                2  8    -0.91   -21.42  425
 488 Christopher Newport    8  4    -0.92   -19.29  441
 489 Mississippi Valley S   1  9    -0.92   -14.86  494
 490 Dubuque                4  6    -0.92   -13.73  501

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 491 Huntingdon AL          7  3    -0.93   -15.00  496
 492 Houston Baptist        2  9    -0.94   -16.61  479
 493 UW-River Falls         3  7    -0.94   -12.03  515
 494 Bethel TN              5  6    -0.94   -18.13  463
 495 Bowdoin                2  6    -0.94   -11.84  521
 496 Otterbein              5  5    -0.94   -16.91  478
 497 Alfred                 5  5    -0.95   -17.57  472
 498 Brevard                0 10    -0.95    -6.62  560
 499 Adrian                 8  3    -0.96   -13.73  508
 500 Brockport St           5  5    -0.96   -17.04  482

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 501 Baldwin Wallace        5  5    -0.97   -15.04  502
 502 Edinboro               3  8    -0.97   -10.21  540
 503 Central St OH          4  6    -0.97   -12.67  522
 504 Malone                 1 10    -0.98   -14.66  506
 505 Friends                9  2    -0.99   -17.12  491
 506 Savannah St            0 12    -1.00   -13.91  514
 507 Whitworth              6  4    -1.01   -13.98  519
 508 Doane                  7  3    -1.02   -21.03  456
 509 MIT                   10  1    -1.02   -22.52  440
 510 Ave Maria              5  6    -1.02   -17.74  493

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 511 Graceland              6  5    -1.02   -20.58  465
 512 Pikeville              5  6    -1.04   -14.76  520
 513 Stevenson              7  3    -1.05   -19.30  484
 514 Willamette             5  4    -1.05   -14.32  524
 515 Mt St Joseph           8  2    -1.06   -15.56  516
 516 Benedict               4  6    -1.07   -14.47  526
 517 DePauw                 7  3    -1.07   -14.78  525
 518 Columbia               0 10    -1.07   -13.38  537
 519 Macalester             9  2    -1.08   -25.12  435
 520 Virginia-Wise          2  9    -1.09   -17.88  505

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 521 Augsburg               4  6    -1.09   -16.75  513
 522 Kentucky St            3  7    -1.10   -11.77  554
 523 Menlo                  3  8    -1.11   -19.91  498
 524 Cortland St            5  5    -1.11   -18.63  504
 525 Warner U.              5  5    -1.12   -20.49  495
 526 Johnson C. Smith       3  7    -1.14   -17.00  523
 527 Dixie St               1 10    -1.14   -15.84  532
 528 Maryville              7  3    -1.14   -18.77  510
 529 SW Baptist             4  7    -1.15   -15.35  541
 530 Seton Hill             3  8    -1.15   -11.93  561

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 531 South Dakota Tech      2  9    -1.15   -16.08  529
 532 Livingstone            5  5    -1.20   -16.92  542
 533 Western New England    8  2    -1.22   -20.94  511
 534 Illinois College       7  3    -1.23   -17.90  536
 535 Lincoln MO             2  9    -1.23   -11.42  595
 536 Oklahoma Baptist       8  3    -1.23   -13.72  572
 537 East Texas Baptist     4  6    -1.25   -18.46  538
 538 Mississippi College    0  9    -1.26   -17.79  546
 539 Minnesota-Crookston    0 11    -1.26   -27.90  460
 540 Gettysburg             5  5    -1.27   -19.82  527

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 541 West Virginia St       2  9    -1.28   -17.58  549
 542 UW-Stout               2  8    -1.29   -18.22  547
 543 St Augustine's         3  7    -1.31   -18.64  550
 544 Kentucky Wesleyan      5  4    -1.34   -21.66  531
 545 Tabor                  7  4    -1.34   -17.97  559
 546 Jamestown              5  5    -1.34   -25.55  503
 547 Arkansas Tech          3  8    -1.34   -12.88  611
 548 Methodist              6  4    -1.35   -19.78  551
 549 Trinity Int'l          3  7    -1.36   -19.03  557
 550 Cumberlands KY         3  7    -1.37   -18.15  565

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 551 Bethany WV             6  4    -1.37   -21.78  543
 552 Franklin & Marshall    5  5    -1.38   -20.51  553
 553 RPI                    6  5    -1.38   -19.97  556
 554 Luther                 5  5    -1.39   -23.11  534
 555 Shaw                   3  7    -1.41   -18.36  579
 556 Southern Conn St       2  9    -1.43   -12.90  629
 557 St Scholastica        10  1    -1.44   -24.19  535
 558 Clarion                2  9    -1.44   -13.62  627
 559 Albion                 6  4    -1.44   -17.94  592
 560 Dakota Wesleyan        7  4    -1.45   -27.62  512

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 561 Moravian               5  5    -1.45   -22.59  552
 562 Lock Haven             2  9    -1.45   -14.21  625
 563 Northeastern St OK     0 11    -1.46   -18.34  593
 564 Randolph-Macon         5  5    -1.47   -19.96  580
 565 Western Conn St        7  4    -1.48   -20.78  575
 566 Salve Regina           7  4    -1.48   -23.75  548
 567 Frostburg St           4  6    -1.49   -26.14  530
 568 Hastings               6  4    -1.49   -25.77  539
 569 Claremont-Mudd-Scrip   5  4    -1.49   -18.72  598
 570 Olivet Nazarene        2  9    -1.50   -22.25  562

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 571 Clark Atlanta          2  7    -1.50   -16.99  614
 572 Chowan                 2  8    -1.50   -21.82  570
 573 Central Methodist      5  6    -1.51   -26.94  528
 574 Juniata                5  5    -1.52   -22.97  564
 575 Augustana IL           5  5    -1.53   -22.53  571
 576 UW-Eau Claire          1  9    -1.53   -22.77  566
 577 Ohio Wesleyan          6  4    -1.54   -24.77  555
 578 St Norbert             6  4    -1.56   -27.12  544
 579 Puget Sound            4  5    -1.56   -23.64  568
 580 Denison                6  4    -1.58   -23.61  576

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 581 Evangel                5  6    -1.59   -22.85  587
 582 SW Oklahoma St         3  7    -1.60   -19.89  613
 583 Hamilton               0  8    -1.61   -16.37  640
 584 Cal Lutheran           4  5    -1.61   -21.00  609
 585 Albright               6  5    -1.61   -29.65  533
 586 Rose-Hulman            7  3    -1.62   -25.28  567
 587 Hope                   6  4    -1.62   -22.64  597
 588 Trinity TX             4  6    -1.64   -24.43  586
 589 Hamline                4  6    -1.64   -27.32  558
 590 Concordia NE           5  6    -1.66   -24.48  590

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 591 Sterling               6  5    -1.67   -24.33  594
 592 Elmhurst               5  5    -1.68   -25.90  583
 593 Simpson                3  7    -1.71   -21.95  623
 594 Cornell IA             5  4    -1.71   -26.76  582
 595 Occidental             5  4    -1.71   -26.80  585
 596 Muskingum              3  7    -1.72   -28.17  569
 597 Edward Waters          4  6    -1.74   -28.21  577
 598 Illinois Wesleyan      4  6    -1.74   -21.20  635
 599 Springfield            5  5    -1.74   -23.58  617
 600 Dakota St              6  5    -1.74   -28.67  573

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 601 Hendrix                6  4    -1.75   -28.92  574
 602 Arkansas-Monticello    2  8    -1.75   -19.25  651
 603 Davidson               0 11    -1.76   -22.96  628
 604 Hartwick               2  8    -1.76   -26.61  599
 605 North Carolina Wesle   5  5    -1.76   -25.86  604
 606 Endicott               5  5    -1.77   -26.43  601
 607 Loras                  3  7    -1.77   -28.02  588
 608 Bethany KS             6  5    -1.78   -25.92  610
 609 Worcester St           7  3    -1.78   -27.52  596
 610 Dickinson              3  7    -1.78   -24.40  622

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 611 Culver-Stockton        5  6    -1.79   -29.59  578
 612 NW Oklahoma St         3  7    -1.81   -27.34  603
 613 Bluffton               6  4    -1.83   -30.17  584
 614 Benedictine IL         6  5    -1.83   -27.89  607
 615 Concordia AL           1  9    -1.84   -28.59  602
 616 Westminster PA         4  6    -1.85   -24.80  631
 617 Howard Payne           4  6    -1.87   -33.34  563
 618 Austin                 5  5    -1.87   -31.90  581
 619 Husson                 8  2    -1.88   -30.97  589
 620 SW Assem of God        4  6    -1.88   -27.52  619

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 621 Wisconsin Lutheran     7  3    -1.88   -31.12  591
 622 Lebanon Valley         3  7    -1.89   -23.10  655
 623 Union KY               1  9    -1.90   -24.97  641
 624 Washington U.          4  6    -1.90   -26.35  632
 625 Presentation           6  4    -1.93   -31.44  600
 626 Rochester              5  4    -1.94   -29.41  618
 627 Paine                  2  8    -1.94   -22.65  666
 628 Olivet                 6  4    -1.95   -25.95  643
 629 Bluefield              3  8    -1.95   -31.13  608
 630 Millsaps               3  6    -1.97   -29.33  626

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 631 Limestone              1  9    -1.97   -26.15  648
 632 King's PA              4  6    -1.98   -30.88  615
 633 Concordia MI           3  8    -1.98   -32.15  605
 634 Capital                3  7    -1.98   -30.20  620
 635 St Vincent             4  6    -1.99   -29.00  633
 636 Lindenwood-Bellevill   2  8    -1.99   -29.24  630
 637 Trine                  6  4    -1.99   -28.27  638
 638 Case Western Reserve   3  7    -2.00   -25.21  661
 639 Belhaven               2  9    -2.01   -26.84  653
 640 Nebraska Wesleyan      4  6    -2.02   -33.53  606

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 641 Susquehanna            2  8    -2.03   -25.92  662
 642 Hiram                  5  5    -2.03   -33.10  612
 643 WPI                    4  6    -2.04   -28.73  644
 644 Lakeland               6  4    -2.06   -29.33  642
 645 William Paterson       4  6    -2.06   -30.44  637
 646 Wooster                4  6    -2.07   -30.80  636
 647 Sul Ross St            2  8    -2.09   -29.58  649
 648 Shenandoah             4  6    -2.10   -27.38  665
 649 Marietta               2  8    -2.10   -29.11  656
 650 Fitchburg St           6  4    -2.10   -31.12  639

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 651 Union NY               2  8    -2.12   -26.66  677
 652 Northwestern MN        8  2    -2.12   -34.13  624
 653 Millersville           1 10    -2.13   -27.10  673
 654 Pace                   1 10    -2.14   -29.50  660
 655 Thiel                  4  6    -2.17   -31.44  652
 656 Birmingham-Southern    3  7    -2.18   -32.72  645
 657 Point U.               0  9    -2.19   -31.82  654
 658 Westfield St           5  5    -2.20   -31.38  659
 659 Bacone                 3  8    -2.20   -29.26  675
 660 Kean                   2  8    -2.21   -30.79  664

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 661 Carleton               2  8    -2.21   -35.48  634
 662 Manchester             4  6    -2.23   -29.60  680
 663 LaGrange               5  5    -2.23   -37.86  621
 664 Carthage               3  7    -2.26   -31.54  668
 665 St Olaf                1  9    -2.26   -32.50  663
 666 Geneva                 3  7    -2.27   -31.31  672
 667 Carnegie Mellon        4  6    -2.27   -34.22  657
 668 McPherson              4  7    -2.29   -31.79  674
 669 Waldorf                3  7    -2.35   -37.50  646
 670 Virginia U-Lynchburg   0  8    -2.35   -41.89  616

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 671 Lane                   1  8    -2.38   -34.85  670
 672 Southern Virginia      1  9    -2.39   -32.69  686
 673 Wayland Baptist        3  8    -2.39   -35.09  671
 674 Bridgewater St MA      4  6    -2.40   -34.11  681
 675 Lake Forest            4  6    -2.41   -38.92  650
 676 Washington and Lee     2  8    -2.41   -30.76  701
 677 Peru St                2  9    -2.42   -35.40  678
 678 New Jersey             2  8    -2.45   -37.16  669
 679 St Mary KS             4  7    -2.46   -34.91  685
 680 Norwich                7  4    -2.46   -40.82  647

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 681 Lincoln PA             1  9    -2.47   -34.75  688
 682 Wilkes                 2  8    -2.47   -34.82  690
 683 Concordia WI           5  5    -2.48   -35.21  687
 684 Arizona Christian      2  7    -2.49   -37.20  679
 685 Castleton St           7  3    -2.50   -38.10  676
 686 Berry                  2  8    -2.51   -33.81  699
 687 Southern Nazarene      0 11    -2.52   -29.87  720
 688 UMass-Dartmouth        4  6    -2.52   -35.84  692
 689 Midland Lutheran       2  8    -2.53   -33.72  703
 690 Defiance               3  7    -2.56   -35.31  698

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 691 Greensboro             3  7    -2.58   -43.15  658
 692 Ripon                  3  7    -2.59   -36.35  697
 693 Briar Cliff            2  9    -2.59   -38.25  691
 694 La Verne               2  7    -2.60   -33.34  713
 695 Avila                  3  8    -2.61   -40.28  682
 696 Millikin               3  7    -2.63   -36.71  704
 697 Sewanee                2  8    -2.64   -37.25  702
 698 Greenville             7  3    -2.65   -43.61  667
 699 Coast Guard            3  7    -2.65   -37.82  700
 700 North Park             2  8    -2.66   -34.19  719

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 701 Cheyney                0 11    -2.68   -35.87  710
 702 Hanover                2  8    -2.71   -35.81  717
 703 Mass Maritime          4  6    -2.73   -40.55  696
 704 Curry                  3  7    -2.74   -43.81  683
 705 Whittier               2  7    -2.75   -36.01  722
 706 Beloit                 3  7    -2.81   -43.87  693
 707 Kalamazoo              2  8    -2.81   -40.04  709
 708 Pomona-Pitzer          1  8    -2.82   -38.30  721
 709 George Fox             1  8    -2.82   -39.95  711
 710 Westminster MO         6  4    -2.85   -46.08  689

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 711 Southwestern TX        1  8    -2.85   -40.16  716
 712 McDaniel               1  9    -2.86   -40.58  714
 713 Averett                2  8    -2.86   -40.37  718
 714 Catholic               3  7    -2.87   -40.91  715
 715 Wilmington             0 10    -2.87   -42.80  705
 716 Grinnell               3  7    -2.92   -43.52  708
 717 Ferrum                 1  9    -2.95   -39.31  729
 718 Missouri Baptist       1 10    -2.97   -50.34  684
 719 Misericordia           1  9    -2.98   -44.43  712
 720 Maine Maritime         3  6    -2.98   -42.14  723

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 721 Bethel KS              3  8    -3.00   -40.29  731
 722 Iowa Wesleyan          6  4    -3.06   -51.42  694
 723 Dordt                  2  9    -3.06   -48.53  706
 724 Merchant Marine        2  8    -3.08   -42.25  732
 725 Lewis & Clark          0  9    -3.09   -43.44  730
 726 Alma                   2  8    -3.09   -41.46  734
 727 Oberlin                2  8    -3.11   -49.53  707
 728 Mayville St            2  9    -3.12   -52.71  695
 729 Kansas Wesleyan        2  9    -3.19   -46.89  727
 730 Mount Ida              5  5    -3.20   -48.64  724

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 731 Kenyon                 1  9    -3.21   -45.58  733
 732 Southwestern KS        1 10    -3.22   -41.75  742
 733 Alfred State           1  7    -3.31   -47.47  736
 734 Anderson               2  8    -3.33   -51.38  726
 735 SUNY-Maritime          4  6    -3.35   -47.39  737
 736 Apprentice             1  8    -3.38   -46.59  743
 737 Crown                  4  6    -3.41   -53.93  725
 738 Allegheny              1  9    -3.43   -51.39  735
 739 Grove City             0 10    -3.46   -49.14  741
 740 Knox                   2  8    -3.53   -52.39  739

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 741 Texas College          0 11    -3.60   -58.66  728
 742 FDU-Florham            0 10    -3.61   -54.66  738
 743 Plymouth St            1  9    -3.73   -53.61  747
 744 Nichols                1  9    -3.74   -54.26  745
 745 MacMurray              3  7    -3.77   -56.87  744
 746 Rockford               2  8    -3.83   -55.47  748
 747 Aurora                 1  9    -3.85   -53.73  750
 748 Gallaudet              2  7    -3.87   -52.57  752
 749 Earlham                0 10    -3.95   -56.41  751
 750 Trinity Bible          2  7    -3.98   -65.00  740

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 751 Concordia IL           1  8    -4.00   -58.39  749
 752 Lawrence               2  8    -4.12   -65.27  746
 753 Becker                 1  9    -4.22   -58.54  756
 754 Martin Luther          2  8    -4.25   -61.40  755
 755 Eureka                 2  8    -4.28   -63.26  754
 756 Haskell                0  9    -4.52   -70.16  753
 757 Minnesota-Morris       0 10    -4.60   -64.08  758
 758 Anna Maria             0 10    -4.76   -66.03  759
 759 Maranatha Baptist      0  6    -5.17   -86.10  757

 

Note: the predictions are available on their own separate page.

Introduction

Here is my rough attempt at a CF computer rating. It is a combination of a score-based rating and a more politically correct one like the six that are part of the BCS.

To estimate the point spread between two teams, subtract their numbers in the Points ("Pts") column. Don't forget home field advantage, which is usually around 2.5 to 3 points. It fluctuates a little, but I don't bother publishing the actual number: in 2011, at the end of week 6 it was 2.7.

Last season's games have a strong but diminishing influence for the first few weeks. More recent games are always weighted heavier. This is a work in progress, and I reserve the right to change the algorithm at any time, without telling you (errors, tweaks, whatever).

The ratings are one of many included on Dr. Kenneth Massey's comparison page for college football.

Enjoy! Email me if you have a question.

The components

The rating is a blend of two different and unique formulas.

Rating 1: An "almost" "pure points" system. Only margins of victory are included, but a diminishing returns rule is applied when scores are above 40 points. Over 40, the excess is halved, i.e., 42 becomes 41, 50 is 45, 70 is 55, etc. This is done without regard to margin of victory. I know I could have (and should have) been a bit more elegant, but it works.

The rating based only on points is available from the "Points" column at left. You can use it plus the known home field advantage to predict the outcome of any game if it were to be played today.

Rating 2: A system that considers only winning and losing, with games further weighted based on how recently they were played. The weight is simple: it is the number of days since the game was played, divided by 400. So a game played four months ago is weighted only 0.7 compared to "today's" games (weight 1.00), for games eight months ago the weight is about 0.4, and obviously for games one year ago the weight becomes even smaller, less than 0.1. For 2013, I've changed this weight to use a max of 400 days (not 365, which is more intuitive) to make sure that all of last year's games are retained in the "preseason" ratings. This rating should correlate highly with all the other BCS-style ratings, since there is no margin of victory.

For each rating, I then normalize the entire list (so that the mean is zero and the standard deviation is one), and simply add the two normalized ratings together to get the final value, shown in the "Rating" column. In other words, Rating = normalized_rating1 + normalized_rating2. That's it. That's why the ratings are bounded in roughly a range of +5 to -5...it will be rare to have a team with either rating more than about 2.5 SD's beyond the mean, let alone both of them.

Some math details

Finding each set of ratings requires solving an overdetermined matrix problem (thousands of games, for only hundreds of teams), which is popularly done either via SVD or with an iterative technique. SVD for college basketball requires a few gigabytes of RAM, which I didn't have at home when I started this project, so I went with the iterative methods. They are often slower, but will produce the same result. Right now I use a Matlab routine called LSMR, written by David Fong and Michael Saunders of Stanford University. Prior to using their algorithm, I used ugly, clunky, slow programs that I wrote myself; they resembled the predictor-corrector methods from your numerical analysis courses.

I normalize both results because there is essentially no other way to compare or combine the two ratings. Neither rating is given more preference than the other. There's probably a better way to get the end result than just adding the two normalized ratings together, but again, it seems to work. I'm always learning, always willing to hear new ideas, and always trying to improve the results.

About the author

I have a Ph.D. in Atmospheric Science from the University of Alabama in Huntsville. That's the same place where Dr. Wes Colley now works (he produces one of the six BCS rankings), but I only met him once. I am a faculty member at Indiana University, with research in the areas of thunderstorms and numerical weather prediction (forecasting using computers). Contact me using this email form if you have questions or non-hateful comments.