2013 College Football
Computer Ratings

Welcome to 2013!
 



Ratings last updated Tuesday 01/07/14, 08:33 AM ET

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
   1 Florida St            14  0     5.32    78.30    1
   2 Missouri              12  2     4.76    64.73    4
   3 Auburn                12  2     4.76    64.28    3
   4 Oregon                11  2     4.72    70.91    9
   5 South Carolina        11  2     4.71    62.76    2
   6 Alabama               11  2     4.69    69.51    8
   7 Stanford              11  3     4.69    66.50    5
   8 Baylor                11  2     4.60    69.64   14
   9 Arizona St            10  4     4.50    65.88   13
  10 UCLA                  10  3     4.47    64.07   11
  11 Michigan St           13  1     4.46    59.83    6
  12 Clemson               11  2     4.42    62.92   12
  13 Oklahoma              11  2     4.35    59.16    7
  14 Oklahoma St           10  3     4.31    64.54   19
  15 Ohio State            12  2     4.30    63.72   18
  16 LSU                   10  3     4.26    61.03   16
  17 North Dakota St       15  0     4.21    56.57   10
  18 Washington             9  4     4.17    63.81   24
  19 Southern Cal          10  4     4.16    59.12   17
  20 Texas A&M              9  4     4.09    58.90   20
  21 Central Florida       12  1     4.01    52.80   15
  22 Georgia                8  5     3.99    58.16   22
  23 Wisconsin              9  4     3.94    62.25   32
  24 Louisville            12  1     3.92    56.51   25
  25 Arizona                8  5     3.87    58.22   28
  26 Notre Dame             9  4     3.79    52.50   23
  27 Eastern Illinois      12  2     3.76    52.54   26
  28 Kansas St              8  5     3.74    57.11   36
  29 Mississippi            8  5     3.74    53.52   27
  30 Texas                  8  5     3.60    53.18   35
  31 Mississippi St         7  6     3.58    52.44   34
  32 NW Missouri St        15  0     3.57    43.98   21
  33 Duke                  10  4     3.51    49.21   30
  34 Iowa                   8  5     3.51    52.89   39
  35 Oregon St              7  6     3.49    53.95   43
  36 Vanderbilt             9  4     3.48    47.41   29
  37 Nebraska               9  4     3.48    49.59   37
  38 Fresno St             11  2     3.47    49.01   33
  39 Brigham Young          8  5     3.46    54.68   44
  40 Northern Illinois     12  2     3.46    47.97   31
  41 Virginia Tech          8  5     3.41    49.77   38
  42 Miami FL               9  4     3.35    48.75   41
  43 North Carolina         7  6     3.35    51.75   48
  44 Texas Tech             8  5     3.33    50.85   45
  45 Utah St                9  5     3.30    52.99   58
  46 Utah                   5  7     3.28    53.19   62
  47 Michigan               7  6     3.27    51.17   54
  48 Bowling Green         10  4     3.26    50.98   55
  49 Washington St          6  7     3.25    49.74   51
  50 Navy                   9  4     3.24    46.47   42
  51 Georgia Tech           7  6     3.22    52.54   69
  52 East Carolina         10  3     3.21    47.64   47
  53 Pittsburgh             7  6     3.15    45.75   46
  54 Minnesota              8  5     3.14    46.42   50
  55 Boise St               8  5     3.12    50.69   75
  56 Marshall              10  4     3.08    48.03   68
  57 Houston                8  5     3.07    49.26   76
  58 Towson                13  3     3.06    40.29   40
  59 Penn State             7  5     3.06    45.52   56
  60 Boston College         7  6     3.00    44.47   60
  61 North Texas            9  4     3.00    45.56   67
  62 Tennessee              5  7     2.99    44.14   59
  63 Toledo                 7  5     2.96    43.10   57
  64 Rice                  10  4     2.95    40.59   49
  65 Ball St               10  3     2.94    43.54   64
  66 Florida                4  8     2.93    48.49   86
  67 Syracuse               7  6     2.88    41.50   63
  68 TCU                    4  8     2.85    49.61  108
  69 Eastern Washington    12  3     2.83    38.37   53
  70 Indiana                5  7     2.83    46.50   92
  71 SE Louisiana St       11  3     2.81    40.06   66
  72 Cincinnati             9  4     2.80    44.71   84
  73 San Diego St           8  5     2.75    37.50   61
  74 Maryland               7  6     2.73    43.27   89
  75 Louisiana-Lafayette    9  4     2.71    37.02   65
  76 Coastal Carolina      12  3     2.70    34.40   52
  77 Northwestern           5  7     2.69    44.31  102
  78 Western Kentucky       8  4     2.65    36.96   74
  79 Colorado St            8  6     2.64    43.25  106
  80 Jacksonville St       11  4     2.60    34.82   71
  81 Buffalo                8  5     2.59    40.35   94
  82 Arkansas St            8  5     2.59    35.40   77
  83 Texas-San Antonio      7  5     2.58    36.87   82
  84 New Hampshire         10  5     2.57    34.45   72
  85 San Josť St            6  6     2.55    38.41   91
  86 South Dakota St        9  5     2.55    36.02   81
  87 Colorado               4  8     2.47    37.95  104
  88 Harvard                9  1     2.43    29.88   70
  89 Florida Atlantic       6  6     2.42    37.93  113
  90 Middle Tennessee St    8  5     2.41    35.71   98
  91 UNLV                   7  6     2.36    35.73  109
  92 Villanova              6  5     2.36    35.99  110
  93 South Alabama          6  6     2.35    36.46  115
  94 Minn St-Mankato       11  1     2.34    28.64   78
  95 Arkansas               3  9     2.33    38.97  130
  96 West Virginia          4  8     2.33    40.02  135
  97 Tulane                 7  6     2.33    36.00  117
  98 Maine                 10  3     2.32    30.69   85
  99 Tennessee St          10  4     2.31    29.00   80
 100 McNeese St            10  3     2.30    33.28  103
 101 Northern Iowa          7  5     2.30    37.12  124
 102 Montana               10  3     2.29    34.32  112
 103 Minnesota-Duluth      11  2     2.29    28.71   83
 104 Princeton              8  2     2.28    32.21   99
 105 Southern Illinois      7  5     2.27    33.75  111
 106 Illinois               4  8     2.27    39.50  145
 107 Iowa St                3  9     2.26    39.19  144
 108 North Alabama         10  3     2.26    31.25   97
 109 Pittsburg St          10  2     2.24    33.12  114
 110 Youngstown St          8  4     2.24    31.93  107
 111 Wake Forest            4  8     2.21    37.72  140
 112 Fordham               12  2     2.18    26.87   87
 113 Nevada                 4  8     2.12    36.64  159
 114 William & Mary         7  5     2.12    32.23  125
 115 Bethune-Cookman       10  3     2.11    26.90   95
 116 SMU                    5  7     2.10    34.48  143
 117 Rutgers                6  7     2.10    33.76  138
 118 St Cloud St           12  2     2.09    22.46   79
 119 Troy                   6  6     2.08    30.01  121
 120 Missouri Western       8  3     2.06    26.33  105
 121 Ohio U.                7  6     2.06    31.84  134
 122 Tennessee-Martin       7  5     2.06    25.80  100
 123 Grand Valley St       12  3     2.06    24.22   93
 124 Northern Arizona       9  3     2.05    25.79  101
 125 Chattanooga            8  4     2.05    29.46  122
 126 Sam Houston St         9  5     2.04    32.46  139
 127 Louisiana-Monroe       6  6     2.02    27.33  118
 128 Old Dominion           8  4     2.01    29.49  128
 129 Ohio Dominican        10  1     2.01    27.20  119
 130 Missouri St            5  7     2.01    35.38  167
 131 Kentucky               2 10     2.00    35.91  175
 132 Grand View            14  0     1.98    17.41   73
 133 Lenoir-Rhyne          13  2     1.98    21.85   90
 134 Akron                  5  7     1.98    28.56  127
 135 UW-Whitewater         15  0     1.95    20.28   88
 136 Emporia St             9  2     1.94    22.04   96
 137 West Texas A&M        11  3     1.94    27.61  131
 138 North Carolina St      3  9     1.94    36.06  187
 139 Furman                 8  6     1.93    25.02  120
 140 South Carolina St      9  4     1.90    26.95  132
 141 Central Michigan       6  6     1.90    27.13  133
 142 Murray St              6  6     1.89    25.18  123
 143 Illinois St            5  6     1.85    28.91  160
 144 Kent St                4  8     1.83    31.29  177
 145 Kansas                 3  9     1.81    30.59  174
 146 Central Arkansas       7  5     1.81    27.48  155
 147 Cal Poly SLO           6  6     1.81    31.80  182
 148 Samford                8  5     1.80    26.08  147
 149 Virginia               2 10     1.80    33.86  195
 150 UNC-Pembroke           9  2     1.79    20.61  116
 151 Georgia Southern       7  4     1.79    28.17  161
 152 Colorado St-Pueblo    11  1     1.79    26.21  151
 153 Central Missouri       6  4     1.79    26.90  156
 154 California             1 11     1.78    31.77  189
 155 Eastern Kentucky       6  6     1.78    25.24  141
 156 Memphis                3  9     1.77    34.16  204
 157 Liberty                8  4     1.74    28.67  176
 158 Connecticut            3  9     1.71    31.16  194
 159 Henderson St          11  1     1.70    28.19  179
 160 Ferris St              8  3     1.68    22.47  142
 161 Saginaw Valley St      9  3     1.65    18.79  126
 162 Washburn               8  3     1.62    23.86  164
 163 Texas St-San Marcos    6  6     1.62    24.50  168
 164 Winston-Salem St      10  2     1.62    20.77  146
 165 Wyoming                5  7     1.60    28.68  199
 166 Tulsa                  3  9     1.56    27.55  200
 167 Richmond               6  6     1.56    25.71  191
 168 Delaware               7  5     1.55    21.85  165
 169 James Madison          6  6     1.52    25.92  197
 170 Montana St             7  5     1.51    26.56  203
 171 Carson-Newman         10  3     1.51    16.46  136
 172 Temple                 2 10     1.51    33.12  260
 173 Dartmouth              6  4     1.50    22.59  180
 174 West Chester          13  2     1.48    15.71  137
 175 Linfield              11  1     1.48    16.82  150
 176 Tarleton St            7  3     1.47    17.87  158
 177 Stony Brook            5  6     1.47    24.10  193
 178 South Florida          2 10     1.46    27.80  226
 179 West Alabama           8  3     1.46    25.51  208
 180 Southern Utah          8  5     1.46    19.97  170
 181 Midwestern St          7  3     1.42    21.33  188
 182 Sacred Heart          10  3     1.42    18.25  166
 183 Brown                  6  4     1.40    23.14  202
 184 Lehigh                 8  3     1.37    13.64  149
 185 Cumberlands KY        13  1     1.37    10.92  129
 186 Hawai`i                1 11     1.36    30.97  278
 187 Charleston Southern   10  3     1.36    13.22  148
 188 North Central         13  1     1.35    16.91  169
 189 Missouri Southern      7  3     1.35    16.88  171
 190 Purdue                 1 11     1.34    25.34  235
 191 Mary Hardin-Baylor    13  1     1.33    13.68  154
 192 Tennessee Tech         5  7     1.32    19.37  192
 193 San Diego              8  3     1.32    17.97  185
 194 New Mexico             3  9     1.31    25.62  246
 195 Harding                9  2     1.30    23.49  228
 196 The Citadel            5  7     1.29    21.70  218
 197 Slippery Rock          9  3     1.29    19.53  198
 198 Newberry               9  3     1.27    11.54  152
 199 Shepherd              11  1     1.27    15.92  181
 200 South Dakota           4  8     1.24    22.60  237
 201 Bethel MN             12  1     1.23    11.97  162
 202 Wofford                5  6     1.22    20.58  224
 203 Mount Union           14  1     1.22    10.57  157
 204 Wesleyan               7  1     1.19    14.08  184
 205 Northwestern St        6  6     1.19    17.76  210
 206 Lafayette              5  7     1.18    18.22  216
 207 Army                   3  9     1.17    25.95  287
 208 Bloomsburg            10  2     1.16    13.14  183
 209 Yale                   5  5     1.15    17.45  217
 210 Colorado Mines         8  3     1.14    18.93  232
 211 Indianapolis          10  2     1.12    12.86  190
 212 Amherst                7  1     1.12     8.89  163
 213 Appalachian St         4  8     1.11    20.19  249
 214 Portland St            6  6     1.10    23.98  286
 215 Middlebury             7  1     1.09    10.32  178
 216 St Francis IN          9  3     1.07     5.88  153
 217 Findlay                8  3     1.06    14.27  211
 218 Western Illinois       4  8     1.04    22.26  288
 219 Trinity CT             6  2     1.03    14.76  221
 220 Sacramento St          5  7     1.02    18.75  255
 221 North Carolina A&T     7  4     1.02    16.13  236
 222 Louisiana Tech         4  8     1.01    21.12  283
 223 Chadron St             8  3     1.01    14.96  229
 224 SE Missouri St         3  9     1.00    14.08  223
 225 Alabama-Birmingham     2 10     0.98    18.75  271
 226 Virginia St            9  1     0.97     6.30  172
 227 Tuskegee               8  3     0.96    13.55  227
 228 Gardner-Webb           7  5     0.95    10.80  209
 229 Bucknell               6  5     0.95    12.46  222
 230 Eastern New Mexico     7  3     0.95     9.49  196
 231 Air Force              2 10     0.94    21.26  307
 232 UC-Davis               5  7     0.93    18.28  277
 233 Indiana PA             9  2     0.93    13.78  238
 234 Delta St               7  3     0.93    10.44  212
 235 Pennsylvania           4  6     0.92    15.42  253
 236 Valdosta St            6  4     0.91    13.77  242
 237 Morningside           11  2     0.91     9.42  205
 238 Butler                 9  4     0.89     9.53  214
 239 Carroll MT            12  2     0.88     8.90  207
 240 Marist                 8  3     0.86    12.13  240
 241 Lamar                  5  7     0.84    19.15  317
 242 Sioux Falls            6  5     0.83     9.99  231
 243 Fort Hays St           6  5     0.83     8.52  219
 244 New Mexico St          2 10     0.82    13.58  263
 245 SW Minnesota St        7  5     0.81     6.75  206
 246 Alabama St             8  4     0.80    12.59  257
 247 St John Fisher        10  3     0.80     1.39  173
 248 Western Michigan       1 11     0.80    18.41  324
 249 UW-Oshkosh             8  2     0.80     8.29  225
 250 UW-Platteville        10  2     0.80     5.48  201
 251 Idaho                  1 11     0.79    14.24  276
 252 Delaware St            5  6     0.79     6.59  215
 253 Abilene Christian      6  5     0.78    20.27  348
 254 Monmouth NJ            6  6     0.75    12.47  275
 255 Massachusetts          1 11     0.75    16.86  323
 256 Faulkner               9  3     0.75    11.11  259
 257 Jackson St             7  4     0.75     9.31  244
 258 Hillsdale              5  6     0.71    13.36  292
 259 Duquesne               7  4     0.71     6.88  233
 260 Michigan Tech          6  4     0.71     8.29  243
 261 John Carroll           9  2     0.71    10.96  273
 262 UTEP                   2 10     0.71    16.16  326
 263 Wesley                10  3     0.71     0.50  186
 264 West Georgia           6  5     0.68     9.46  264
 265 California PA          7  4     0.66    11.04  281
 266 Alcorn St              9  3     0.66     9.25  268
 267 Winona St              6  5     0.65     6.84  248
 268 Shaw                   6  4     0.63     7.01  252
 269 Ouachita Baptist       7  3     0.62    14.59  336
 270 Drake                  6  5     0.61     8.53  274
 271 Nicholls St            4  8     0.61    10.46  295
 272 Georgia St             0 12     0.61    17.38  374
 273 Dayton                 7  4     0.61     7.47  262
 274 St Thomas              8  2     0.60     6.38  254
 275 Hampton                4  8     0.59     9.09  285
 276 St Ambrose             7  4     0.57     5.04  250
 277 Eastern Michigan       2 10     0.56     9.20  301
 278 North Carolina Centr   5  7     0.56     6.43  272
 279 Mary                   6  5     0.55     3.61  245
 280 Morgan St              5  7     0.54     6.02  269
 281 Ashland                5  5     0.53    12.20  340
 282 UNC-Charlotte          5  6     0.53     8.50  302
 283 Johns Hopkins         10  1     0.52     4.53  258
 284 Howard                 6  6     0.50     7.34  294
 285 Upper Iowa             6  5     0.50     1.41  239
 286 Azusa Pacific         10  2     0.48     6.32  289
 287 Angelo St              5  6     0.48     7.73  306
 288 Southern Miss          1 11     0.47    12.31  358
 289 American Int'l         9  3     0.47     3.81  267
 290 St Francis PA          5  6     0.47     8.31  313
 291 Shippensburg           7  4     0.47     6.52  297
 292 Southern U.            8  5     0.45     5.00  280
 293 Fayetteville St        6  4     0.44     1.92  256
 294 TAMU-Commerce          7  5     0.42     6.36  308
 295 Western Carolina       2 10     0.42     9.66  345
 296 New Haven              8  3     0.40     5.93  311
 297 Bryant                 5  7     0.39     9.43  354
 298 Miles                  6  4     0.39     1.16  265
 299 Holy Cross             3  9     0.39    12.32  384
 300 St Xavier              7  4     0.38    -4.33  220
 301 Concord                8  3     0.38     6.03  319
 302 Robert Morris PA       5  6     0.37     6.37  327
 303 Rhode Island           3  9     0.36     5.14  315
 304 Florida Int'l          1 11     0.35     9.18  363
 305 Salisbury              7  4     0.34    -0.07  266
 306 Stephen F. Austin      3  9     0.34    11.62  392
 307 Mercyhurst             7  4     0.34     6.09  332
 308 Elon                   2 10     0.32    12.77  412
 309 Rocky Mountain         9  3     0.31     3.82  314
 310 Pacific Lutheran       8  2     0.31    -7.41  213
 311 Catawba                6  5     0.29     0.13  279
 312 Cornell                3  7     0.29     6.88  359
 313 Concordia-Moorhead     8  2     0.28    -2.29  261
 314 Southern Arkansas      6  4     0.28     9.82  393
 315 East Stroudsburg       7  4     0.28     6.12  353
 316 Hampden-Sydney         9  3     0.27     0.59  290
 317 Baker                 11  2     0.26     0.34  293
 318 Colgate                4  8     0.26     5.58  350
 319 Georgetown KY          7  4     0.26     0.55  299
 320 Wittenberg            10  2     0.26     1.16  304
 321 Indiana St             1 11     0.24    13.06  443
 322 Urbana                 7  4     0.23     5.05  355
 323 Florida A&M            3  9     0.23     7.78  387
 324 Weber St               2 10     0.22     6.83  380
 325 Miami OH               0 12     0.22    11.18  422
 326 Idaho St               3  9     0.22    12.16  435
 327 Mercer                10  2     0.22    -0.77  298
 328 Norfolk St             3  9     0.21     6.42  378
 329 Incarnate Word         6  5     0.20     1.99  329
 330 Prairie View A&M       6  6     0.20     8.34  403
 331 SW Oklahoma St         6  5     0.19     8.28  404
 332 Truman St              7  4     0.19     0.57  322
 333 Gannon                 6  5     0.18     1.17  328
 334 Hobart                10  1     0.17    -6.81  247
 335 North Dakota           3  8     0.17     8.74  413
 336 Stonehill              8  3     0.17    -1.83  303
 337 Missouri Valley        9  3     0.17     1.37  333
 338 North Greenville       5  6     0.16    -0.06  321
 339 Albany St GA           6  4     0.16     1.51  341
 340 Ithaca                 9  3     0.16    -8.94  234
 341 Alfred                 8  3     0.16    -9.52  230
 342 Wingate                4  6     0.14     0.73  335
 343 Heidelberg             8  2     0.13     1.05  343
 344 Augustana SD           4  7     0.11     3.47  377
 345 Northern Michigan      3  7     0.10     3.31  381
 346 St Francis IL          7  4     0.10    -4.25  296
 347 Wheaton                8  2     0.10     2.35  372
 348 Thomas More            9  1     0.09     1.54  361
 349 Western Oregon         7  4     0.08     5.01  406
 350 Lindsey Wilson         8  3     0.08    -2.63  320
 351 Marian IN              6  5     0.07    -5.88  282
 352 Southern Oregon        6  5     0.07     7.37  425
 353 Austin Peay            0 12     0.06     1.12  371
 354 Concordia-St Paul      5  6     0.03    -4.91  310
 355 Christopher Newport    8  2     0.03    -6.11  300
 356 Brockport St           8  3     0.02    -9.03  270
 357 Presbyterian           3  8     0.02     3.93  411
 358 Wartburg               9  3     0.01    -1.96  347
 359 Benedictine KS        10  2     0.01    -4.16  325
 360 Colby                  4  4    -0.01     1.19  390
 361 Colorado Mesa          5  6    -0.01     5.29  430
 362 Tabor                 10  3    -0.01    -5.35  318
 363 Willamette             7  2    -0.01    -7.65  291
 364 Pacific OR             7  3    -0.01    -3.23  342
 365 Jacksonville FL        5  6    -0.02     3.96  417
 366 Central Oklahoma       2  8    -0.03    -1.75  366
 367 Millsaps               9  1    -0.05   -12.67  251
 368 Ottawa                 8  4    -0.05    -0.20  388
 369 Nebraska-Kearney       3  8    -0.06    -2.67  362
 370 Robert Morris IL       7  4    -0.06    -7.09  312
 371 Wabash                 9  1    -0.06    -0.87  383
 372 Rowan                  9  3    -0.07   -14.50  241
 373 Albany NY              1 11    -0.08     6.02  461
 374 Maryville              8  3    -0.09    -4.10  357
 375 Central Washington     7  4    -0.11     4.74  458
 376 Northern St SD         4  7    -0.12    -4.26  367
 377 Wash & Jeff            8  3    -0.12    -3.24  379
 378 Randolph-Macon         7  3    -0.13    -5.30  356
 379 Northeastern St OK     2  9    -0.13    -3.02  382
 380 Alabama A&M            5  7    -0.14    -1.15  407
 381 Lake Erie              4  7    -0.14     2.05  441
 382 Charleston WV          6  5    -0.15     0.18  418
 383 East Central OK        5  5    -0.15     3.68  459
 384 Buffalo St             5  5    -0.17   -10.62  309
 385 Gustavus Adolphus      6  4    -0.18    -3.96  386
 386 Rhodes                 8  2    -0.18   -11.31  305
 387 Coe                    7  3    -0.18    -3.04  399
 388 Siena Heights          5  5    -0.19    -5.58  375
 389 St John's MN           7  3    -0.19    -8.90  338
 390 Lane                   6  4    -0.20    -4.29  389
 391 Central IA             6  4    -0.20    -1.29  416
 392 Western New Mexico     4  6    -0.20    -0.03  432
 393 William Penn           5  6    -0.20    -4.21  391
 394 Wayne St MI            3  8    -0.21     1.75  455
 395 Reinhardt              6  4    -0.21    -7.97  351
 396 Central Conn St        4  8    -0.21     0.06  439
 397 Lindenwood             3  6    -0.21    -4.95  385
 398 Chapman                8  1    -0.21    -7.38  360
 399 Northwestern IA        8  3    -0.21   -11.27  316
 400 Redlands               7  3    -0.22   -10.17  331
 401 St Joseph's IN         8  3    -0.23    -7.21  370
 402 Merrimack              7  4    -0.23    -2.47  414
 403 Adams St               7  4    -0.24    -4.73  397
 404 Minn St-Moorhead       4  7    -0.24    -7.45  373
 405 Bates                  4  4    -0.25    -4.99  400
 406 Washington U.          8  3    -0.25   -10.57  339
 407 Illinois Wesleyan      9  2    -0.26    -8.04  369
 408 Tusculum               3  7    -0.27    -5.09  405
 409 St Augustine's         4  6    -0.27    -2.77  424
 410 Missouri S&T           6  5    -0.28    -8.74  368
 411 VMI                    2 10    -0.28     0.79  465
 412 Northern Colorado      1 11    -0.28     8.07  532
 413 Mars Hill              3  8    -0.29    -1.30  449
 414 Arkansas Tech          5  6    -0.29     1.58  475
 415 Muhlenberg             8  3    -0.31    -3.27  431
 416 Bowie St               5  5    -0.31    -4.75  415
 417 Friends                8  3    -0.32    -6.14  409
 418 Texas Lutheran         8  1    -0.32   -13.14  330
 419 Johnson C. Smith       5  5    -0.33    -3.62  436
 420 Centre                 7  3    -0.33   -10.57  365
 421 UW-Stevens Point       5  5    -0.34    -4.20  433
 422 Dakota Wesleyan        8  3    -0.35   -13.53  334
 423 Methodist              8  2    -0.35   -18.11  284
 424 Assumption             6  5    -0.35    -4.05  442
 425 Albright               8  3    -0.36   -12.33  349
 426 Franklin               8  4    -0.36    -2.96  450
 427 Cortland St            6  5    -0.36   -12.41  352
 428 Taylor                 5  5    -0.36    -5.81  421
 429 Huntingdon AL          7  3    -0.37   -10.79  376
 430 Edinboro               5  6    -0.38    -5.55  427
 431 Louisiana College      7  3    -0.39   -12.20  364
 432 Sterling               9  3    -0.41    -8.84  408
 433 Wagner                 3  8    -0.41    -5.32  447
 434 Elizabeth City St      4  6    -0.42    -6.79  428
 435 Dubuque                5  5    -0.42    -1.40  486
 436 Bowdoin                3  5    -0.45    -7.09  434
 437 Georgetown DC          2  9    -0.45    -1.69  490
 438 Eastern Oregon         6  5    -0.45    -8.38  420
 439 TAMU-Kingsville        2  8    -0.46    -3.02  478
 440 Cumberland TN          7  4    -0.47   -15.67  346
 441 Brevard                2  8    -0.47    -5.06  462
 442 Florida Tech           5  7    -0.48    -8.43  426
 443 Lincoln MO             3  8    -0.48    -6.15  454
 444 Bemidji St             3  8    -0.49    -7.36  448
 445 Lycoming               7  3    -0.49   -16.60  344
 446 Lebanon Valley         8  3    -0.49   -17.54  337
 447 Nebraska Wesleyan      6  4    -0.49   -12.27  396
 448 Chowan                 4  6    -0.51    -8.43  444
 449 Kutztown               4  7    -0.53    -5.41  474
 450 Stillman               5  5    -0.54    -6.46  469
 451 Williams               2  6    -0.54    -1.21  513
 452 Glenville St           6  5    -0.57    -5.08  491
 453 Ave Maria              7  2    -0.57   -14.36  398
 454 Augsburg               5  5    -0.58    -6.48  477
 455 Clarion                4  7    -0.58    -6.37  483
 456 Doane                  5  5    -0.59    -7.89  468
 457 Kentucky St            5  5    -0.59    -7.51  471
 458 Framingham St          9  2    -0.60   -15.50  394
 459 Hartwick               6  4    -0.61   -15.69  395
 460 Concordia NE           7  4    -0.62   -11.83  437
 461 Widener                6  4    -0.62   -14.73  410
 462 Simpson                7  3    -0.62   -11.54  446
 463 Wayne St NE            2  9    -0.63    -8.18  476
 464 Franklin & Marshall    7  4    -0.67   -11.37  456
 465 Trinity Int'l          5  5    -0.67   -11.29  460
 466 South Dakota Tech      5  4    -0.68   -14.46  423
 467 Northwood              2  9    -0.69    -2.41  539
 468 Arkansas-Monticello    5  6    -0.69    -5.93  511
 469 Illinois College       8  2    -0.69    -7.76  499
 470 Walsh                  3  8    -0.69    -4.96  519
 471 Savannah St            1 11    -0.69    -7.87  500
 472 UW-Stout               4  6    -0.71   -13.10  452
 473 Hope                   7  3    -0.72   -10.31  482
 474 Delaware Valley        7  4    -0.73   -18.70  401
 475 Buena Vista            4  6    -0.73   -10.95  479
 476 Campbellsville         4  6    -0.74   -14.94  445
 477 Washington and Lee     5  5    -0.74   -12.46  464
 478 Western St CO          2  9    -0.74    -0.92  559
 479 Emory & Henry          5  5    -0.74   -11.61  473
 480 Arkansas-Pine Bluff    2  9    -0.75    -3.95  541
 481 McKendree              4  6    -0.75    -9.51  498
 482 Ursinus                7  3    -0.75   -14.05  453
 483 St Norbert             8  3    -0.75   -14.39  451
 484 Shorter                2  9    -0.77    -8.40  510
 485 UW-La Crosse           3  7    -0.78   -10.99  492
 486 MidAmerica Nazarene    5  5    -0.78    -7.68  515
 487 Catholic               6  4    -0.78    -9.94  502
 488 WV Wesleyan            5  5    -0.79    -9.70  504
 489 Guilford               6  4    -0.79   -17.37  429
 490 Fort Valley St         4  6    -0.79    -8.44  514
 491 Benedict               4  6    -0.81   -11.74  493
 492 Bentley                6  5    -0.82   -12.36  488
 493 Notre Dame OH          5  6    -0.83    -8.40  527
 494 Albion                 8  3    -0.84   -21.66  402
 495 Ohio Northern          6  4    -0.84   -15.33  466
 496 Pikeville              7  4    -0.84   -19.70  419
 497 Baldwin Wallace        6  4    -0.85   -15.09  470
 498 Cornell IA             7  3    -0.86   -11.28  507
 499 Tiffin                 2  9    -0.86    -4.92  557
 500 Birmingham-Southern    5  4    -0.87   -18.99  440
 501 New Mexico Highlands   2  9    -0.89    -4.00  566
 502 Columbia               0 10    -0.89   -11.40  512
 503 Fort Lewis             4  7    -0.90   -12.81  505
 504 Peru St                7  4    -0.90   -12.92  506
 505 Menlo                  5  5    -0.92   -15.31  489
 506 Virginia Union         3  7    -0.94   -17.42  472
 507 Langston               6  4    -0.94   -14.22  503
 508 Western Conn St        8  2    -0.95   -13.57  508
 509 LaGrange               5  5    -0.95   -16.55  487
 510 Juniata                7  4    -0.95   -17.03  484
 511 Montana St-Northern    4  6    -0.96   -11.76  528
 512 Dixie St               4  7    -0.96    -4.70  575
 513 Minot St               2  9    -0.97   -15.53  501
 514 Malone                 2  9    -0.98    -7.03  562
 515 Black Hills St         3  8    -0.98   -13.21  524
 516 LIU Post               5  6    -1.02   -10.31  549
 517 SW Baptist             1 10    -1.04   -12.91  535
 518 Texas Southern         2  9    -1.04    -8.64  564
 519 Mississippi Valley S   2  9    -1.05    -6.99  578
 520 Minnesota-Crookston    2  9    -1.07   -20.18  485
 521 UW-Eau Claire          2  8    -1.08   -16.19  518
 522 Carleton               5  5    -1.09   -19.57  495
 523 St Lawrence            7  3    -1.09   -23.66  457
 524 Campbell               3  9    -1.12   -11.51  560
 525 SE Oklahoma St         2  9    -1.12    -4.39  614
 526 Waynesburg             7  4    -1.12   -17.31  522
 527 McMurry                3  8    -1.13   -11.36  565
 528 Lake Forest            8  2    -1.14   -22.64  480
 529 Montana-Western        4  6    -1.15   -15.91  538
 530 Cal Lutheran           4  5    -1.15   -17.05  533
 531 Springfield            7  3    -1.16   -24.73  463
 532 King's PA              6  4    -1.16   -27.48  438
 533 Southern Conn St       3  8    -1.18    -9.39  587
 534 Livingstone            3  7    -1.20   -14.98  553
 535 Morehead St            3  9    -1.20   -19.37  525
 536 Montana Tech           3  7    -1.21   -12.66  569
 537 Montclair St           4  6    -1.22   -23.10  497
 538 Hardin-Simmons         4  6    -1.23   -20.07  526
 539 Wooster                7  3    -1.25   -26.98  467
 540 Sewanee                4  6    -1.25   -21.09  520
 541 Otterbein              5  5    -1.26   -26.10  481
 542 New Jersey             5  5    -1.27   -24.77  496
 543 Olivet Nazarene        3  8    -1.27   -19.28  540
 544 Augustana IL           5  5    -1.29   -17.64  550
 545 Utica                  3  7    -1.29   -20.26  537
 546 Simon Fraser           3  7    -1.30    -8.90  618
 547 Adrian                 6  4    -1.30   -17.98  551
 548 Webber Int'l           5  5    -1.32   -18.39  555
 549 Southern Virginia      8  2    -1.32   -24.29  509
 550 Central St OH          2  9    -1.33   -20.22  542
 551 Monmouth IL            5  5    -1.33   -11.98  603
 552 Whitworth              4  6    -1.37   -20.80  546
 553 Kalamazoo              6  4    -1.37   -24.51  523
 554 Chicago                6  4    -1.38   -23.06  534
 555 Endicott               8  3    -1.41   -21.20  552
 556 Rose-Hulman            7  3    -1.43   -24.17  536
 557 NW Oklahoma St         2  9    -1.43   -17.45  582
 558 Gallaudet              9  2    -1.44   -29.86  494
 559 Shenandoah             4  6    -1.47   -26.13  531
 560 Trinity TX             5  5    -1.47   -22.70  556
 561 Grambling St           1 10    -1.47   -13.79  619
 562 Mississippi College    4  6    -1.47   -27.68  517
 563 Bridgewater VA         4  6    -1.47   -16.81  598
 564 Denison                7  3    -1.48   -28.04  516
 565 Kentucky Christian     3  8    -1.49   -22.70  558
 566 West Liberty           3  8    -1.51   -15.81  613
 567 Houston Baptist        3  4    -1.51   -20.47  577
 568 Carroll WI             6  4    -1.53   -22.01  570
 569 Case Western Reserve   5  4    -1.53   -29.19  521
 570 Concordia WI           8  3    -1.54   -26.00  544
 571 Occidental             5  4    -1.54   -28.25  530
 572 Lock Haven             3  8    -1.55   -20.66  583
 573 Ripon                  7  3    -1.56   -26.65  543
 574 Hamilton               0  8    -1.56   -17.13  611
 575 Rochester              5  4    -1.57   -29.40  529
 576 William Jewell         3  8    -1.58   -22.75  573
 577 Kean                   2  8    -1.58   -20.78  590
 578 Stetson                2  9    -1.58   -19.40  602
 579 Fairmont St            3  7    -1.61   -17.93  620
 580 Tufts                  0  8    -1.62   -18.82  612
 581 Wilkes                 4  6    -1.62   -27.09  554
 582 Alderson-Broaddus      4  7    -1.63   -24.17  574
 583 Quincy                 2  9    -1.65   -16.91  639
 584 Salve Regina           7  4    -1.65   -23.22  586
 585 RPI                    5  5    -1.65   -29.03  545
 586 Union KY               3  8    -1.65   -25.82  567
 587 OK Panhandle St        4  7    -1.65   -19.69  615
 588 Midland U.             4  6    -1.65   -28.76  547
 589 Elmhurst               4  6    -1.66   -22.29  596
 590 Bethany WV             4  6    -1.66   -22.02  600
 591 Geneva                 5  5    -1.66   -20.45  609
 592 Stevenson              4  6    -1.66   -25.99  568
 593 Valparaiso             1 10    -1.67   -21.57  605
 594 McPherson              5  6    -1.69   -23.19  595
 595 Benedictine IL         7  3    -1.70   -26.26  572
 596 Briar Cliff            4  7    -1.70   -29.99  548
 597 St Scholastica         9  2    -1.70   -27.94  563
 598 Valley City St         5  5    -1.70   -20.12  621
 599 Bacone                 7  4    -1.70   -24.50  588
 600 Morrisville St         3  7    -1.71   -26.93  571
 601 Bridgewater St MA      6  4    -1.75   -27.12  580
 602 Gettysburg             4  6    -1.76   -22.64  616
 603 Evangel                4  6    -1.77   -25.49  597
 604 UW-River Falls         0 10    -1.77   -20.25  640
 605 Virginia U-Lynchburg   2  8    -1.77   -26.30  591
 606 Ohio Wesleyan          5  5    -1.79   -25.09  604
 607 Norwich                7  4    -1.80   -31.04  561
 608 Austin                 5  5    -1.85   -30.34  576
 609 Olivet                 6  4    -1.86   -29.49  585
 610 Mt St Joseph           6  4    -1.88   -29.53  589
 611 Morehouse              2  8    -1.88   -23.09  642
 612 Capital                3  7    -1.89   -30.67  581
 613 Union NY               3  7    -1.89   -26.20  617
 614 Trine                  4  6    -1.90   -26.97  610
 615 Southwestern KS        5  6    -1.91   -29.87  592
 616 Belhaven               3  8    -1.91   -31.88  579
 617 Point U.               3  7    -1.91   -29.41  601
 618 Lindenwood-Bellevill   4  7    -1.92   -23.18  652
 619 William Paterson       3  7    -1.96   -31.25  593
 620 Clark Atlanta          2  7    -1.97   -27.32  630
 621 Seton Hill             1 10    -1.98   -27.38  634
 622 Humboldt St            0 11    -1.98   -13.87  708
 623 St Mary KS             4  7    -2.00   -28.47  622
 624 East Texas Baptist     3  7    -2.02   -31.38  606
 625 Greenville             9  2    -2.02   -32.95  594
 626 Avila                  4  7    -2.04   -25.96  655
 627 Luther                 2  8    -2.05   -21.74  679
 628 Hastings               2  8    -2.05   -28.72  637
 629 DePauw                 4  6    -2.05   -29.73  627
 630 Kansas Wesleyan        4  7    -2.06   -29.82  631
 631 Howard Payne           4  6    -2.06   -35.42  584
 632 Grove City             5  5    -2.07   -30.32  628
 633 Lakeland               7  3    -2.11   -33.92  607
 634 St Anselm              1 10    -2.12   -23.92  678
 635 Thiel                  3  7    -2.12   -27.26  662
 636 North Carolina Wesle   2  8    -2.12   -28.33  656
 637 Millersville           1 10    -2.12   -31.96  625
 638 Davidson               0 11    -2.13   -26.31  669
 639 Jamestown              3  7    -2.14   -29.83  649
 640 Fitchburg St           6  4    -2.14   -35.98  599
 641 Bethel TN              2  9    -2.14   -30.28  644
 642 Merchant Marine        4  4    -2.14   -34.75  608
 643 Dickinson              3  7    -2.15   -32.42  633
 644 Moravian               2  8    -2.15   -27.43  666
 645 North Park             3  7    -2.17   -33.05  632
 646 Muskingum              2  8    -2.19   -31.34  647
 647 MIT                    6  3    -2.21   -32.50  641
 648 St Olaf                1  9    -2.21   -26.94  676
 649 Virginia-Wise          2  9    -2.21   -28.01  672
 650 Central Methodist      4  7    -2.24   -33.05  645
 651 Carnegie Mellon        3  7    -2.24   -26.62  686
 652 Frostburg St           1  9    -2.24   -35.47  624
 653 Sul Ross St            1  9    -2.25   -33.46  646
 654 Westfield St           5  5    -2.25   -29.64  670
 655 Westminster PA         4  6    -2.26   -31.57  658
 656 SW Assem of God        6  4    -2.27   -35.99  629
 657 Hanover                5  5    -2.28   -36.58  623
 658 Lewis & Clark          1  8    -2.28   -35.61  636
 659 Culver-Stockton        2  9    -2.28   -27.97  683
 660 Lincoln PA             1  9    -2.31   -35.17  643
 661 Greensboro             2  8    -2.31   -31.19  671
 662 Hamline                2  8    -2.33   -34.63  653
 663 Waldorf                1 10    -2.33   -37.37  635
 664 Hendrix                3  7    -2.35   -33.85  660
 665 Dickinson St           1 10    -2.35   -33.73  664
 666 Mayville St            6  4    -2.35   -34.78  657
 667 Averett                1  9    -2.38   -34.75  659
 668 Claremont-Mudd-Scrip   3  6    -2.38   -38.38  638
 669 Carthage               1  9    -2.39   -27.03  699
 670 Southern Nazarene      0 11    -2.39   -28.36  695
 671 Eureka                 8  2    -2.42   -38.14  648
 672 Cheyney                0 11    -2.46   -31.61  692
 673 Husson                 5  5    -2.46   -38.97  650
 674 La Verne               3  6    -2.47   -38.55  654
 675 Millikin               2  8    -2.48   -33.68  684
 676 Oberlin                3  7    -2.48   -35.20  675
 677 Ferrum                 2  8    -2.48   -35.44  674
 678 Susquehanna            1  9    -2.49   -27.32  712
 679 WPI                    3  7    -2.50   -37.46  667
 680 Alma                   1  9    -2.52   -35.45  681
 681 Kenyon                 4  6    -2.54   -38.91  665
 682 Macalester             4  6    -2.56   -35.92  687
 683 McDaniel               2  8    -2.56   -35.80  688
 684 Puget Sound            2  8    -2.57   -42.08  651
 685 Warner U.              1 10    -2.58   -40.39  663
 686 Concordia MI           1  9    -2.61   -45.74  626
 687 SUNY-Maritime          5  5    -2.61   -41.36  661
 688 Kentucky Wesleyan      0 11    -2.62   -35.99  694
 689 Wisconsin Lutheran     4  6    -2.63   -34.28  697
 690 Mass Maritime          5  5    -2.63   -40.90  668
 691 Defiance               3  7    -2.63   -32.22  709
 692 Western New England    4  6    -2.69   -34.95  705
 693 West Virginia St       0 11    -2.70   -31.54  720
 694 Presentation           4  5    -2.71   -34.91  707
 695 Bluffton               4  6    -2.71   -41.04  680
 696 Mount Ida              5  5    -2.79   -44.27  673
 697 Graceland              1 10    -2.79   -34.09  721
 698 Misericordia           1  9    -2.79   -42.20  690
 699 Bethany KS             2  9    -2.80   -38.47  703
 700 Edward Waters          1  9    -2.80   -35.31  716
 701 Concordia AL           0  8    -2.81   -42.02  691
 702 Marietta               1  9    -2.81   -42.83  689
 703 Dakota St              2  8    -2.82   -40.11  696
 704 Berry                  0  9    -2.82   -44.54  677
 705 UMass-Dartmouth        3  6    -2.82   -39.36  701
 706 Aurora                 3  7    -2.83   -34.78  723
 707 Manchester             3  7    -2.84   -36.79  714
 708 Pomona-Pitzer          2  7    -2.85   -42.67  693
 709 Grinnell               2  8    -2.89   -40.48  706
 710 Coast Guard            3  7    -2.90   -38.20  717
 711 Curry                  4  5    -2.93   -42.43  702
 712 Northwestern MN        6  4    -2.93   -42.68  700
 713 Dordt                  2  9    -2.93   -46.77  682
 714 Oklahoma Baptist       3  8    -2.95   -38.33  722
 715 Pace                   0 11    -2.97   -40.87  713
 716 Bethel KS              2  9    -3.06   -43.80  711
 717 Bluefield              0 11    -3.08   -46.54  704
 718 FDU-Florham            1  9    -3.10   -51.40  685
 719 Hiram                  2  8    -3.11   -44.28  715
 720 Knox                   1  9    -3.12   -37.99  726
 721 Loras                  1  9    -3.18   -45.74  719
 722 Alfred St              1  6    -3.19   -50.15  698
 723 Becker                 3  7    -3.19   -47.48  710
 724 Lawrence               1  9    -3.22   -39.93  728
 725 Worcester St           3  7    -3.23   -45.52  724
 726 Wilmington             0 10    -3.27   -48.68  718
 727 Whittier               1  9    -3.27   -45.94  725
 728 Beloit                 1  9    -3.47   -46.10  732
 729 St Vincent             0 10    -3.47   -42.76  738
 730 Crown                  4  6    -3.50   -47.04  733
 731 Plymouth St            2  8    -3.58   -50.26  729
 732 Texas College          1  9    -3.62   -51.29  730
 733 Apprentice             0  9    -3.69   -51.34  734
 734 Concordia IL           2  8    -3.70   -52.89  731
 735 Wayland Baptist        0 10    -3.78   -47.75  742
 736 Allegheny              0 10    -3.80   -52.55  736
 737 Minnesota-Morris       3  7    -3.80   -49.56  740
 738 Earlham                2  8    -3.80   -56.97  727
 739 Southwestern TX        0 10    -3.92   -56.06  735
 740 Anna Maria             2  8    -3.94   -56.43  737
 741 Rockford               1  9    -4.06   -54.01  745
 742 Haskell                1  7    -4.14   -57.90  743
 743 Martin Luther          4  6    -4.16   -61.55  739
 744 Iowa Wesleyan          2  8    -4.17   -56.09  747
 745 Westminster MO         2  8    -4.17   -52.31  750
 746 Nichols                1  8    -4.20   -58.21  744
 747 Castleton St           1  9    -4.22   -60.69  741
 748 Anderson               0 10    -4.30   -60.49  746
 749 Trinity Bible          1  8    -4.42   -62.56  748
 750 Maine Maritime         1  8    -4.50   -62.67  749
 751 MacMurray              0 10    -4.80   -62.27  752
 752 Maranatha Baptist      1  9    -5.00   -72.52  751

 

Note: the predictions are available on their own separate page.

Introduction

Here is my rough attempt at a CF computer rating. It is a combination of a score-based rating and a more politically correct one like the six that are part of the BCS.

To estimate the point spread between two teams, subtract their numbers in the Points ("Pts") column. Don't forget home field advantage, which is usually around 2.5 to 3 points. It fluctuates a little, but I don't bother publishing the actual number: in 2011, at the end of week 6 it was 2.7.

Last season's games have a strong but diminishing influence for the first few weeks. More recent games are always weighted heavier. This is a work in progress, and I reserve the right to change the algorithm at any time, without telling you (errors, tweaks, whatever).

The ratings are one of many included on Dr. Kenneth Massey's comparison page for college football.

Enjoy! Email me if you have a question.

The components

The rating is a blend of two different and unique formulas.

Rating 1: An "almost" "pure points" system. Only margins of victory are included, but a diminishing returns rule is applied when scores are above 40 points. Over 40, the excess is halved, i.e., 42 becomes 41, 50 is 45, 70 is 55, etc. This is done without regard to margin of victory. I know I could have (and should have) been a bit more elegant, but it works.

The rating based only on points is available from the "Points" column at left. You can use it plus the known home field advantage to predict the outcome of any game if it were to be played today.

Rating 2: A system that considers only winning and losing, with games further weighted based on how recently they were played. The weight is simple: it is the number of days since the game was played, divided by 400. So a game played four months ago is weighted only 0.7 compared to "today's" games (weight 1.00), for games eight months ago the weight is about 0.4, and obviously for games one year ago the weight becomes even smaller, less than 0.1. For 2013, I've changed this weight to use a max of 400 days (not 365, which is more intuitive) to make sure that all of last year's games are retained in the "preseason" ratings. This rating should correlate highly with all the other BCS-style ratings, since there is no margin of victory.

For each rating, I then normalize the entire list (so that the mean is zero and the standard deviation is one), and simply add the two normalized ratings together to get the final value, shown in the "Rating" column. In other words, Rating = normalized_rating1 + normalized_rating2. That's it. That's why the ratings are bounded in roughly a range of +5 to -5...it will be rare to have a team with either rating more than about 2.5 SD's beyond the mean, let alone both of them.

Some math details

Finding each set of ratings requires solving an overdetermined matrix problem (thousands of games, for only hundreds of teams), which is popularly done either via SVD or with an iterative technique. SVD for college basketball requires a few gigabytes of RAM, which I didn't have at home when I started this project, so I went with the iterative methods. They are often slower, but will produce the same result. Right now I use a Matlab routine called LSMR, written by David Fong and Michael Saunders of Stanford University. Prior to using their algorithm, I used ugly, clunky, slow programs that I wrote myself; they resembled the predictor-corrector methods from your numerical analysis courses.

I normalize both results because there is essentially no other way to compare or combine the two ratings. Neither rating is given more preference than the other. There's probably a better way to get the end result than just adding the two normalized ratings together, but again, it seems to work. I'm always learning, always willing to hear new ideas, and always trying to improve the results.

About the author

I have a Ph.D. in Atmospheric Science from the University of Alabama in Huntsville. That's the same place where Dr. Wes Colley now works (he produces one of the six BCS rankings), but I only met him once. I am a faculty member at Indiana University, with research in the areas of thunderstorms and numerical weather prediction (forecasting using computers). Contact me using this email form if you have questions or non-hateful comments.