2013 College Football
Computer Ratings

Welcome to 2013!
 



Ratings last updated Sunday 12/07/14, 08:26 AM ET

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
   1 Alabama               12  1     4.91    73.10    2
   2 Oregon                12  1     4.81    71.91    4
   3 TCU                   11  1     4.70    72.03    6
   4 Ohio State            12  1     4.68    68.93    5
   5 Florida St            13  0     4.49    59.40    1
   6 Baylor                11  1     4.48    68.50    8
   7 Mississippi            9  3     4.45    69.14   11
   8 Michigan St           10  2     4.37    67.10   12
   9 Mississippi St        10  2     4.31    66.65   16
  10 Georgia                9  3     4.26    68.48   21

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  11 Auburn                 8  4     4.23    67.02   20
  12 UCLA                   9  3     4.17    59.64    9
  13 Kansas St              9  3     4.16    64.39   19
  14 Wisconsin             10  3     4.07    60.60   17
  15 Arizona               10  3     4.03    57.32   13
  16 Missouri              10  3     4.03    57.81   15
  17 Georgia Tech          10  3     4.03    60.08   18
  18 LSU                    8  4     4.00    63.37   26
  19 Southern Cal           8  4     3.96    61.25   25
  20 Oklahoma               8  4     3.96    64.55   29

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  21 Boise St              11  2     3.88    53.24   14
  22 Clemson                9  3     3.86    56.46   22
  23 Arizona St             9  3     3.85    56.81   23
  24 Minn St-Mankato       13  0     3.82    40.97    3
  25 Nebraska               9  3     3.78    57.48   27
  26 Arkansas               6  6     3.77    63.67   44
  27 Utah                   8  4     3.73    54.32   24
  28 Louisville             9  3     3.72    56.18   28
  29 Stanford               7  5     3.64    58.15   37
  30 West Virginia          7  5     3.64    57.24   34

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  31 Texas A&M              7  5     3.59    57.30   38
  32 Marshall              12  1     3.59    56.41   36
  33 Florida                6  5     3.57    57.51   42
  34 Tennessee              6  6     3.57    57.72   45
  35 Minnesota              8  4     3.56    53.79   32
  36 North Dakota St       12  1     3.45    50.30   31
  37 Colorado St           10  2     3.42    48.78   30
  38 Washington             8  5     3.42    52.93   41
  39 Sioux Falls           11  1     3.41    35.93    7
  40 Notre Dame             7  5     3.39    52.39   46

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  41 Texas                  6  6     3.27    51.03   55
  42 Boston College         7  5     3.27    50.52   51
  43 Duke                   9  3     3.27    51.26   56
  44 Maryland               7  5     3.27    48.16   39
  45 Cincinnati             9  3     3.25    47.70   40
  46 Miami FL               6  6     3.23    53.09   67
  47 Louisiana Tech         8  5     3.21    52.50   68
  48 South Carolina         6  6     3.18    51.64   69
  49 Iowa                   7  5     3.17    49.89   60
  50 Illinois St           11  1     3.16    45.59   43

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  51 North Carolina St      7  5     3.15    45.90   49
  52 Utah St                9  4     3.14    45.24   47
  53 Virginia Tech          6  6     3.10    50.27   72
  54 Northern Illinois     11  2     3.09    41.48   35
  55 Central Florida        9  3     3.09    45.15   52
  56 Oklahoma St            6  6     3.08    46.55   57
  57 Brigham Young          8  4     3.06    46.94   63
  58 Memphis                8  4     3.05    50.19   75
  59 Minnesota-Duluth      13  1     3.03    26.56   10
  60 Virginia               5  7     3.02    49.98   79

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  61 North Carolina         6  6     2.97    44.04   61
  62 Rutgers                7  5     2.94    41.06   54
  63 California             5  7     2.93    48.10   85
  64 Air Force              9  3     2.92    39.48   50
  65 Northern Iowa          9  5     2.89    45.86   77
  66 Pittsburgh             6  6     2.89    48.97   97
  67 East Carolina          8  4     2.89    46.26   81
  68 Penn State             6  6     2.87    46.73   88
  69 Illinois               6  6     2.87    41.24   64
  70 Michigan               5  7     2.87    46.52   87

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  71 Nevada                 7  5     2.86    42.26   70
  72 Toledo                 8  4     2.85    41.20   66
  73 Kentucky               5  7     2.82    47.40   99
  74 Northwestern           5  7     2.81    45.04   89
  75 South Dakota St        9  5     2.81    41.12   71
  76 Western Kentucky       7  5     2.78    43.25   83
  77 Navy                   6  5     2.78    43.69   86
  78 Eastern Washington    11  2     2.76    37.74   59
  79 Georgia Southern       9  3     2.73    43.92   96
  80 New Hampshire         11  1     2.71    36.65   65

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  81 Chattanooga           10  3     2.66    40.66   90
  82 Coastal Carolina      12  1     2.66    37.68   73
  83 Western Michigan       8  4     2.65    42.47  102
  84 San Diego St           7  5     2.62    40.32   95
  85 Louisiana-Lafayette    8  4     2.60    37.62   80
  86 Villanova             11  2     2.60    36.80   76
  87 Oregon St              5  7     2.58    41.81  108
  88 Texas Tech             4  8     2.57    41.93  110
  89 Augustana SD           6  5     2.56    28.09   48
  90 Houston                7  5     2.55    41.97  112

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  91 Jacksonville St       10  2     2.55    36.32   84
  92 Rice                   7  5     2.54    37.59   92
  93 Washington St          3  9     2.54    43.23  119
  94 Arkansas St            7  5     2.51    42.96  121
  95 Fresno St              6  7     2.49    36.20   93
  96 Indiana St             8  6     2.47    36.51   98
  97 UTEP                   7  5     2.46    36.99  105
  98 Pittsburg St          11  2     2.45    31.93   74
  99 Indiana                4  8     2.41    39.08  115
 100 Alabama-Birmingham     6  6     2.40    41.72  134

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 101 Central Michigan       7  5     2.39    36.76  111
 102 Syracuse               3  9     2.38    40.50  130
 103 Sam Houston St        10  4     2.37    32.84   94
 104 NW Missouri St        10  2     2.35    30.25   82
 105 Temple                 6  6     2.32    40.38  139
 106 Colorado St-Pueblo    12  1     2.30    29.97   91
 107 Purdue                 3  9     2.28    39.99  146
 108 Colorado               2 10     2.26    40.53  155
 109 Iowa St                2 10     2.22    38.34  147
 110 Middle Tennessee St    6  6     2.22    35.94  132

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 111 Ferris St             11  1     2.21    30.61  107
 112 Idaho St               8  4     2.18    31.43  113
 113 Appalachian St         7  5     2.17    36.05  140
 114 Youngstown St          7  5     2.17    33.28  124
 115 Kansas                 3  9     2.16    35.62  137
 116 Montana                9  5     2.15    31.46  118
 117 Harvard               10  0     2.11    27.43  106
 118 Wyoming                4  8     2.10    31.86  125
 119 Liberty                9  5     2.09    29.52  116
 120 Bowling Green          7  6     2.06    30.93  129

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 121 Northern St SD         8  3     2.06     9.63   33
 122 Texas St-San Marcos    7  5     2.05    34.12  153
 123 South Florida          5  7     2.05    30.51  128
 124 Old Dominion           6  6     2.05    30.34  126
 125 Carroll MT            10  2     2.05    24.72  104
 126 Vanderbilt             3  9     2.05    33.77  151
 127 South Alabama          6  6     2.04    33.16  148
 128 SE Louisiana St        8  4     2.03    36.19  173
 129 Ohio Dominican        10  2     2.03    27.37  114
 130 Samford                7  4     2.02    33.53  158

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 131 Fordham               11  3     2.02    31.41  138
 132 Upper Iowa             6  5     2.02    15.40   58
 133 Western Illinois       5  7     1.99    31.37  145
 134 James Madison          9  4     1.99    27.81  123
 135 Southern Illinois      6  6     1.98    33.47  166
 136 New Mexico             4  8     1.97    30.21  141
 137 Ball St                5  7     1.95    33.25  170
 138 Wake Forest            3  9     1.94    31.99  162
 139 Ohio U.                6  6     1.93    30.79  156
 140 Richmond               9  5     1.90    26.93  135

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 141 Montana St             8  5     1.88    28.29  149
 142 St Cloud St            6  5     1.86     8.66   53
 143 TAMU-Commerce          9  3     1.86    29.29  161
 144 Southern Oregon       11  2     1.85    18.49  100
 145 Concordia-St Paul      5  6     1.83    10.14   62
 146 Concord               13  0     1.83    22.38  120
 147 Missouri St            4  8     1.81    32.32  191
 148 Texas-San Antonio      4  8     1.81    30.02  179
 149 Valdosta St           10  3     1.80    25.52  144
 150 Cal Poly SLO           7  5     1.80    27.39  159

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 151 Hawai`i                3 10     1.79    33.16  201
 152 Florida Int'l          4  8     1.79    33.45  202
 153 Stephen F. Austin      8  5     1.77    27.49  168
 154 Northwestern St        6  6     1.76    28.94  181
 155 San Jose St            3  9     1.75    30.14  188
 156 Angelo St              9  3     1.73    20.05  122
 157 West Georgia          12  2     1.72    22.88  143
 158 Tulane                 3  9     1.72    29.98  193
 159 North Alabama          9  2     1.72    25.55  163
 160 Delta St               9  2     1.71    27.57  183

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 161 Army                   4  6     1.70    26.86  178
 162 Louisiana-Monroe       4  8     1.70    32.42  217
 163 Winona St              4  7     1.68    13.54  101
 164 Charleston Southern    8  4     1.68    24.84  167
 165 Florida Atlantic       3  9     1.67    30.88  207
 166 Ashland                8  2     1.66    24.75  169
 167 Buffalo                5  6     1.66    29.68  203
 168 Lenoir-Rhyne          11  1     1.65    25.08  176
 169 Southern Miss          3  9     1.64    27.26  190
 170 Akron                  5  7     1.63    30.96  220

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 171 Wayne St NE            5  6     1.63     8.36   78
 172 Eastern Kentucky       9  4     1.63    24.27  174
 173 William & Mary         7  5     1.63    24.28  175
 174 Michigan Tech          9  2     1.63    19.34  136
 175 Eastern Illinois       5  7     1.61    30.28  222
 176 Western Carolina       7  5     1.60    24.20  182
 177 Dartmouth              8  2     1.59    20.55  157
 178 Central Arkansas       6  6     1.54    27.54  216
 179 Central Oklahoma       8  4     1.54    15.94  133
 180 Mount Union           13  0     1.53    28.38  226

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 181 Bryant                 8  3     1.53    22.43  184
 182 Presbyterian           6  5     1.52    16.95  142
 183 McNeese St             6  5     1.52    27.55  221
 184 Sacred Heart           9  3     1.51    20.46  171
 185 North Texas            4  8     1.48    28.27  233
 186 Amherst                8  0     1.48    13.37  127
 187 Central Missouri       8  4     1.48    18.40  164
 188 Colorado Mines        10  1     1.46    16.38  154
 189 UNLV                   3 10     1.45    22.36  197
 190 Wofford                6  5     1.45    24.28  210

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 191 Bethune-Cookman        9  3     1.44    18.34  172
 192 Tennessee-Martin       6  6     1.44    23.56  206
 193 South Carolina St      8  4     1.43    19.72  185
 194 North Carolina A&T     9  3     1.42    23.43  208
 195 Marian IN             10  2     1.41    14.74  150
 196 The Citadel            5  7     1.41    23.48  213
 197 Yale                   7  2     1.40    19.45  186
 198 Northern Arizona       7  5     1.40    20.58  194
 199 Sacramento St          7  5     1.40    20.54  195
 200 Missouri Western       7  4     1.40    16.00  165

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 201 Alcorn St             10  3     1.35    21.40  211
 202 Massachusetts          3  9     1.33    28.10  265
 203 Fort Hays St           7  4     1.33    13.46  160
 204 Kent St                2  9     1.32    25.62  247
 205 Tulsa                  2 10     1.30    25.53  254
 206 Albany NY              7  5     1.30    20.01  214
 207 Miami OH               2 10     1.29    27.23  268
 208 Eastern Oregon         8  3     1.29    11.15  152
 209 Shepherd               8  2     1.27    19.88  219
 210 Midwestern St          6  4     1.26    19.45  218

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 211 Minn St-Moorhead       4  7     1.26     1.15  103
 212 Bucknell               8  3     1.25    16.69  199
 213 Tarleton St            5  5     1.25    21.23  234
 214 Grand Valley St        6  5     1.24    17.59  205
 215 Bloomsburg            11  2     1.24    19.81  229
 216 Grand View            10  2     1.24    13.24  180
 217 St Xavier             10  2     1.22    12.25  177
 218 Linfield              11  1     1.21    20.65  238
 219 Wesley                11  1     1.20    20.68  239
 220 Connecticut            2 10     1.20    23.03  255

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 221 SW Minnesota St        3  8     1.20     3.04  117
 222 Mary                   5  6     1.19     0.25  109
 223 UW-Whitewater         13  0     1.17    15.46  204
 224 South Dakota           2 10     1.17    20.70  245
 225 Lamar                  8  4     1.16    17.47  228
 226 Maine                  5  6     1.16    17.10  224
 227 Wesleyan               7  1     1.16    13.82  198
 228 Wagner                 7  4     1.16    16.06  215
 229 Abilene Christian      6  6     1.15    21.06  253
 230 Southern Utah          3  8     1.15    17.99  230

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 231 Troy                   3  9     1.13    22.12  264
 232 Harding                9  2     1.13    21.60  260
 233 Eastern New Mexico     7  4     1.12    16.23  227
 234 Azusa Pacific         10  1     1.11    11.46  189
 235 Bemidji St             3  8     1.10     2.35  131
 236 Chadron St             8  3     1.09    10.21  187
 237 Delaware               6  6     1.09    15.19  225
 238 West Chester          11  2     1.09    18.36  244
 239 Humboldt St            8  2     1.06    15.51  231
 240 Stony Brook            5  7     1.05    20.02  269

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 241 Mary Hardin-Baylor    11  1     1.04    17.86  251
 242 North Carolina Centr   7  5     1.04    15.29  236
 243 Ouachita Baptist      10  1     1.03    11.93  212
 244 Jacksonville FL        9  2     1.03    13.11  223
 245 Middlebury             6  2     1.03    14.54  232
 246 Wayne St MI            7  4     1.02    15.97  243
 247 Wartburg              12  1     1.01    14.73  237
 248 West Texas A&M         6  5     1.01    14.83  240
 249 SMU                    1 11     0.99    16.08  249
 250 Monmouth NJ            6  5     0.98    15.69  250

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 251 Lafayette              5  6     0.95    16.37  261
 252 Duquesne               6  6     0.95    17.21  271
 253 Indianapolis           9  2     0.94    12.35  235
 254 Morgan St              7  6     0.93    14.05  246
 255 Montana-Western        6  5     0.92     6.29  196
 256 Charleston WV          8  3     0.90    11.85  241
 257 Florida Tech           6  5     0.89    15.37  267
 258 Eastern Michigan       2 10     0.89    14.30  259
 259 UNC-Charlotte          5  6     0.88    18.20  286
 260 Tennessee Tech         5  7     0.86    12.39  252

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 261 Southern U.            9  4     0.86     6.71  209
 262 Winston-Salem St       9  2     0.86    14.75  272
 263 New Mexico St          2 10     0.85    20.22  321
 264 John Carroll          11  2     0.84    16.81  284
 265 Weber St               2 10     0.83    18.00  304
 266 SE Missouri St         5  7     0.81    16.83  292
 267 North Dakota           5  7     0.81    11.37  256
 268 Idaho                  1 10     0.80    22.31  352
 269 Portland St            3  9     0.78    15.60  288
 270 Carson-Newman          7  3     0.78    12.06  270

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 271 San Diego              9  3     0.78     1.72  192
 272 California PA          8  2     0.77    10.99  262
 273 Tennessee St           6  6     0.77    15.25  289
 274 Mercer                 6  6     0.76    16.18  307
 275 Grambling St           7  5     0.75     7.95  242
 276 UC-Davis               2  9     0.73    15.04  305
 277 Slippery Rock          9  3     0.73    12.15  280
 278 Georgia St             1 11     0.72    16.26  319
 279 Tuskegee               9  3     0.72     9.86  266
 280 Furman                 3  9     0.71    14.44  298

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 281 Henderson St           9  2     0.70    13.71  293
 282 Colgate                5  7     0.68    13.50  303
 283 Virginia St           10  3     0.67     7.44  257
 284 Alabama St             7  5     0.64     8.62  273
 285 St Francis PA          5  6     0.64    12.09  297
 286 Missouri Southern      4  7     0.62     8.49  277
 287 Gannon                 8  2     0.60    14.24  332
 288 West Alabama           5  6     0.60    15.23  339
 289 Lindsey Wilson        10  3     0.60     9.81  287
 290 Northern Colorado      3  8     0.58    10.61  300

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 291 Holy Cross             4  8     0.56    12.84  331
 292 Mercyhurst             7  4     0.54     9.14  299
 293 Emporia St             4  7     0.54     6.12  278
 294 Drake                  7  4     0.53     2.25  248
 295 Brown                  5  5     0.52     9.70  309
 296 Dayton                 8  3     0.52     3.56  263
 297 Trinity CT             5  3     0.51     9.50  311
 298 Morningside           11  1     0.51    10.10  324
 299 Central Washington     7  4     0.50     8.08  302
 300 St Joseph's IN         8  3     0.48     6.18  285

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 301 Rocky Mountain         5  6     0.48     1.88  258
 302 UW-Oshkosh             6  4     0.46     4.29  281
 303 Gardner-Webb           4  8     0.44     7.82  318
 304 Towson                 4  8     0.44     7.48  317
 305 Faulkner               9  3     0.43     5.35  290
 306 Prairie View A&M       5  5     0.42     5.46  296
 307 Washburn               4  7     0.41     1.99  275
 308 Findlay                5  6     0.41     8.37  329
 309 North Greenville       7  5     0.41     9.56  341
 310 Lehigh                 3  8     0.40     9.93  346

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 311 American Int'l         8  3     0.40     6.26  314
 312 Georgetown KY          8  3     0.40     7.37  327
 313 Western Oregon         6  5     0.37     4.38  306
 314 Howard                 5  7     0.37     6.06  325
 315 Johns Hopkins         11  1     0.36     3.52  294
 316 Princeton              5  5     0.36     5.47  322
 317 Notre Dame OH          7  4     0.36     1.18  279
 318 Campbellsville         7  4     0.35     5.74  326
 319 Northwood              5  6     0.34     4.81  320
 320 Norfolk St             4  8     0.34     7.60  344

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 321 Minot St               1 10     0.33   -10.60  200
 322 Assumption             7  4     0.31     7.39  348
 323 C.W. Post              8  4     0.31     6.13  336
 324 Catawba                6  5     0.31     7.64  350
 325 Hillsdale              4  7     0.31     6.59  342
 326 Albany St GA           7  3     0.29     2.93  310
 327 Murray St              3  9     0.29    10.55  379
 328 St John's MN          10  2     0.29     2.34  308
 329 William Penn           7  4     0.26     0.65  295
 330 Elon                   1 11     0.26     9.09  371

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 331 Newberry               5  6     0.24    10.63  401
 332 St John Fisher         9  2     0.23     1.40  315
 333 Widener               12  1     0.22    -1.73  283
 334 St Thomas              8  3     0.22     5.99  356
 335 UW-Platteville         7  3     0.20     3.10  338
 336 Hampton                3  9     0.20     6.13  363
 337 Colorado Mesa          6  5     0.20    -0.97  301
 338 Robert Morris IL       8  3     0.18    -3.55  282
 339 West Liberty           6  5     0.18    -0.44  312
 340 Nebraska-Kearney       3  8     0.17    -0.68  313

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 341 Georgetown DC          3  8     0.14     5.14  369
 342 Concordia-Moorhead     8  2     0.13     0.98  337
 343 Lake Erie              4  7     0.13    -1.70  316
 344 Florida A&M            3  9     0.11     5.37  380
 345 New Haven              6  5     0.10     6.81  406
 346 Walsh                  4  7     0.10     1.42  351
 347 Kutztown               6  5     0.09     8.93  433
 348 Central Conn St        3  9     0.07     6.68  415
 349 VMI                    2 10     0.07     4.59  385
 350 St Francis IN          6  5     0.06    -2.02  330

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 351 Siena Heights          6  4     0.05    -6.03  291
 352 Pennsylvania           2  8     0.05     4.17  387
 353 Truman St              6  4     0.04    -0.41  349
 354 Wingate                6  5     0.03     4.11  393
 355 Incarnate Word         2  9     0.03     0.22  357
 356 Muhlenberg             9  2     0.02     0.95  364
 357 Bethel MN              7  3     0.02    -0.69  354
 358 Adams St               4  7     0.02     0.54  362
 359 Mars Hill              4  6     0.01     3.33  389
 360 Western New Mexico     5  6     0.01    -3.51  333

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 361 College of Idaho       4  7     0.01    -9.78  276
 362 Rhode Island           1 11     0.01     2.75  384
 363 Indiana PA             6  5    -0.00     5.03  419
 364 Virginia Union         7  3    -0.00    -2.26  345
 365 Northern Michigan      3  8    -0.00     5.31  423
 366 Alabama A&M            4  8    -0.01     1.27  374
 367 Tusculum               5  5    -0.01     0.33  368
 368 Chapman                8  2    -0.02    -0.15  366
 369 Alderson-Broaddus      7  4    -0.03     0.48  373
 370 Heidelberg             8  2    -0.03    -1.06  361

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 371 Hobart                12  1    -0.04    -6.27  323
 372 Glenville St           5  6    -0.04    -1.76  358
 373 MidAmerica Nazarene    9  2    -0.07    -5.87  334
 374 Reinhardt              6  4    -0.08    -0.61  377
 375 New Mexico Highlands   3  8    -0.08     0.45  388
 376 Texas Lutheran         9  2    -0.08    -5.63  335
 377 Tiffin                 5  6    -0.10    -7.02  328
 378 Lindenwood             2  9    -0.10    -3.38  359
 379 Buffalo St             8  3    -0.10    -5.55  343
 380 Miles                  6  4    -0.11    -1.53  376

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 381 Saginaw Valley St      2  9    -0.14    -0.07  409
 382 Shippensburg           6  5    -0.14     2.54  436
 383 Western St CO          4  7    -0.14    -2.88  372
 384 Bates                  4  4    -0.14    -4.50  360
 385 Marist                 4  7    -0.16    -2.58  381
 386 Wash & Jeff           10  2    -0.17    -1.71  396
 387 Bowie St               5  5    -0.17    -1.66  403
 388 Bentley                5  6    -0.18     5.22  474
 389 Missouri Valley        9  3    -0.18    -5.14  365
 390 UW-Stevens Point       7  3    -0.18    -6.86  353

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 391 Wabash                10  2    -0.19    -2.15  400
 392 Pacific Lutheran       7  2    -0.19    -2.61  391
 393 Thomas More            8  2    -0.20     1.45  442
 394 McKendree              5  6    -0.20    -4.94  370
 395 North Central          8  2    -0.22    -2.07  414
 396 East Stroudsburg       6  5    -0.22    -0.24  431
 397 Jackson St             5  7    -0.24    -3.15  407
 398 Austin Peay            1 11    -0.25    -4.11  397
 399 Valley City St         9  2    -0.26   -10.31  340
 400 Central IA             8  2    -0.26    -5.11  382

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 401 SE Oklahoma St         7  5    -0.27    -3.58  412
 402 Ithaca                 7  4    -0.28    -6.46  378
 403 Butler                 4  7    -0.29    -4.97  404
 404 Wheaton               11  1    -0.29    -7.20  375
 405 Salisbury              7  4    -0.30   -10.84  347
 406 Stonehill              5  6    -0.30     0.56  458
 407 East Central OK        6  5    -0.30    -3.90  420
 408 Tufts                  4  4    -0.31    -6.42  386
 409 Montana Tech           1  9    -0.33    -6.43  399
 410 Redlands               6  3    -0.36    -1.70  452

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 411 St Anselm              6  5    -0.36    -3.09  443
 412 Wittenberg             9  2    -0.37    -5.20  430
 413 Montana St-Northern    3  8    -0.38   -12.49  355
 414 Black Hills St         3  8    -0.39    -6.43  422
 415 Southern Arkansas      5  5    -0.40    -2.00  461
 416 Campbell               5  7    -0.40    -6.45  424
 417 Shorter                3  8    -0.40    -3.53  448
 418 Rowan                  7  4    -0.41    -9.02  394
 419 Louisiana College      6  4    -0.41   -11.61  367
 420 Texas Southern         5  6    -0.43    -6.24  435

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 421 Langston               7  4    -0.44    -7.46  429
 422 Delaware Valley        9  2    -0.45   -10.84  383
 423 Webber Int'l           7  3    -0.46    -9.29  413
 424 Southeastern U.        7  3    -0.46    -5.25  449
 425 Centre                10  1    -0.46    -8.93  417
 426 Minnesota-Crookston    0 11    -0.48   -24.58  274
 427 Fort Lewis             3  8    -0.48    -7.98  432
 428 Pacific OR             6  3    -0.48   -10.43  408
 429 WV Wesleyan            4  6    -0.49   -11.30  395
 430 Fort Valley St         6  4    -0.49    -9.00  425

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 431 Arkansas-Pine Bluff    4  7    -0.50   -11.33  402
 432 Hardin-Simmons         6  3    -0.51   -10.98  411
 433 Ohio Northern          7  3    -0.51   -12.25  392
 434 Williams               2  6    -0.54    -3.61  492
 435 St Ambrose             5  5    -0.55   -11.44  416
 436 Utica                  7  4    -0.56   -12.43  410
 437 Morehouse              6  4    -0.56   -10.98  428
 438 OK Panhandle St        7  3    -0.57    -3.40  499
 439 Baker                  8  3    -0.58   -11.96  421
 440 Morrisville St         9  2    -0.58   -14.24  390

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 441 Delaware St            2 10    -0.59    -6.92  473
 442 Framingham St         10  1    -0.59   -12.65  418
 443 Missouri S&T           4  7    -0.60    -7.54  468
 444 Quincy                 6  5    -0.61    -7.96  465
 445 Guilford               8  2    -0.61    -9.72  450
 446 TAMU-Kingsville        2  9    -0.62   -12.91  426
 447 Taylor                 5  6    -0.62   -14.90  405
 448 Nicholls St            0 12    -0.63    -8.32  467
 449 Morehead St            4  8    -0.63   -12.37  434
 450 Robert Morris PA       1 10    -0.65    -8.77  471

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 451 Fayetteville St        5  5    -0.65    -7.77  483
 452 Stillman               5  6    -0.66    -8.98  472
 453 Kentucky Christian     5  6    -0.66    -9.83  459
 454 Merrimack              4  7    -0.66    -4.54  512
 455 St Lawrence            8  2    -0.66   -12.03  445
 456 Elizabeth City St      4  6    -0.67    -8.34  481
 457 Stetson                5  7    -0.68   -13.20  437
 458 Colby                  2  6    -0.68    -8.49  484
 459 St Francis IL          4  7    -0.68    -6.92  497
 460 Cornell NY             1  9    -0.69    -6.36  502

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 461 Valparaiso             4  8    -0.69   -10.28  469
 462 Cumberland TN          6  5    -0.70   -12.75  446
 463 Monmouth IL            8  2    -0.70   -11.91  451
 464 Ursinus                7  3    -0.73   -11.49  466
 465 Montclair St           8  2    -0.73   -18.41  398
 466 William Jewell         5  6    -0.73   -14.84  439
 467 Hampden-Sydney         7  4    -0.73   -11.25  475
 468 Fairmont St            3  7    -0.75   -13.30  454
 469 Gustavus Adolphus      6  4    -0.76    -8.60  501
 470 Northwestern IA        8  3    -0.76   -13.71  453

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 471 Lycoming               8  2    -0.78   -16.32  438
 472 Urbana                 3  8    -0.79   -11.70  486
 473 Chicago                8  1    -0.79   -17.97  427
 474 Coe                    5  5    -0.81   -12.43  485
 475 Simon Fraser           2  9    -0.83   -10.75  500
 476 Emory & Henry          8  2    -0.83   -15.45  457
 477 UNC-Pembroke           2  8    -0.85    -6.23  539
 478 Northeastern St OK     0 11    -0.86   -15.88  460
 479 Carroll WI             8  2    -0.86   -14.13  482
 480 UW-La Crosse           3  7    -0.87   -10.24  513

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 481 Bridgewater VA         8  2    -0.87   -16.76  455
 482 Ottawa                 9  3    -0.90   -15.72  478
 483 Benedictine KS         7  4    -0.90   -16.21  476
 484 Christopher Newport    8  4    -0.91   -19.06  447
 485 Rhodes                 8  2    -0.92   -18.35  456
 486 Edinboro               3  8    -0.92    -9.58  529
 487 Bowdoin                2  6    -0.92   -11.84  514
 488 Brevard                0 10    -0.92    -6.49  557
 489 Huntingdon AL          7  3    -0.93   -14.84  494
 490 Alfred                 5  5    -0.93   -17.33  470

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 491 Bethel TN              5  6    -0.94   -17.91  463
 492 Waynesburg             8  3    -0.95   -16.15  487
 493 Mississippi Valley S   1  9    -0.95   -14.86  498
 494 Brockport St           5  5    -0.95   -16.92  480
 495 Central St OH          4  6    -0.96   -12.67  515
 496 Houston Baptist        2  9    -0.96   -16.49  488
 497 Savannah St            0 12    -0.97   -13.97  506
 498 McMurry                2  8    -0.97   -21.68  441
 499 Whitworth              6  4    -0.98   -13.97  510
 500 MIT                   10  1    -0.98   -21.88  440

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 501 Franklin               8  3    -0.98   -14.70  503
 502 Dickinson St           7  4    -0.98   -21.58  444
 503 Virginia-Wise          2  9    -0.99   -16.22  495
 504 Malone                 1 10    -0.99   -14.25  511
 505 Ave Maria              5  6    -1.02   -17.63  493
 506 Friends                9  2    -1.02   -17.05  496
 507 Otterbein              5  5    -1.02   -18.19  489
 508 Stevenson              7  3    -1.02   -19.03  479
 509 Willamette             5  4    -1.02   -14.35  517
 510 Doane                  7  3    -1.03   -20.53  464

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 511 Buena Vista            5  5    -1.03   -18.16  490
 512 Pikeville              5  6    -1.03   -14.56  516
 513 Columbia               0 10    -1.04   -13.50  524
 514 Benedict               4  6    -1.05   -14.51  521
 515 Baldwin Wallace        5  5    -1.06   -16.42  507
 516 Dubuque                4  6    -1.06   -15.07  520
 517 Graceland              6  5    -1.06   -20.72  477
 518 Adrian                 8  3    -1.07   -14.97  522
 519 Kentucky St            3  7    -1.08   -11.73  551
 520 Seton Hill             3  8    -1.09   -11.23  559

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 521 Cortland St            5  5    -1.10   -18.35  504
 522 UW-River Falls         3  7    -1.10   -13.63  541
 523 Arkansas Tech          3  8    -1.11   -11.93  556
 524 Warner U.              5  5    -1.11   -20.38  491
 525 Johnson C. Smith       3  7    -1.11   -16.83  518
 526 DePauw                 7  3    -1.13   -15.49  531
 527 Maryville              7  3    -1.13   -18.62  509
 528 Mt St Joseph           8  2    -1.14   -16.42  526
 529 SW Baptist             4  7    -1.15   -15.27  537
 530 Livingstone            5  5    -1.16   -16.63  530

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 531 West Virginia St       2  9    -1.16   -15.88  534
 532 Western New England    8  2    -1.18   -20.46  505
 533 Menlo                  3  8    -1.20   -20.66  508
 534 Dixie St               1 10    -1.22   -16.25  545
 535 Augsburg               4  6    -1.22   -18.09  532
 536 South Dakota Tech      2  9    -1.23   -16.51  546
 537 Macalester             9  2    -1.23   -26.58  462
 538 Mississippi College    0  9    -1.24   -17.91  538
 539 Gettysburg             5  5    -1.25   -19.59  525
 540 Lincoln MO             2  9    -1.25   -11.40  596

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 541 East Texas Baptist     4  6    -1.25   -18.50  535
 542 Oklahoma Baptist       8  3    -1.25   -13.77  577
 543 St Augustine's         3  7    -1.28   -18.40  543
 544 Methodist              6  4    -1.33   -19.56  550
 545 Kentucky Wesleyan      5  4    -1.34   -21.60  533
 546 SW Oklahoma St         3  7    -1.34   -18.87  558
 547 Illinois College       7  3    -1.34   -19.15  555
 548 RPI                    6  5    -1.35   -19.55  552
 549 Cumberlands KY         3  7    -1.35   -17.91  567
 550 Franklin & Marshall    5  5    -1.36   -20.28  549

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 551 Tabor                  7  4    -1.36   -17.90  569
 552 Trinity Int'l          3  7    -1.36   -18.94  561
 553 Shaw                   3  7    -1.38   -18.18  571
 554 Clarion                2  9    -1.38   -13.00  620
 555 Southern Conn St       2  9    -1.38   -12.46  623
 556 Lock Haven             2  9    -1.38   -13.41  617
 557 Bethany WV             6  4    -1.42   -22.52  542
 558 Moravian               5  5    -1.42   -22.35  544
 559 Randolph-Macon         5  5    -1.45   -19.77  574
 560 Western Conn St        7  4    -1.45   -20.40  570

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 561 UW-Stout               2  8    -1.45   -19.77  575
 562 Salve Regina           7  4    -1.45   -23.29  547
 563 Claremont-Mudd-Scrip   5  4    -1.46   -18.66  587
 564 Dakota Wesleyan        7  4    -1.46   -27.34  519
 565 Chowan                 2  8    -1.47   -21.57  564
 566 Jamestown              5  5    -1.47   -26.72  523
 567 Frostburg St           4  6    -1.47   -26.00  527
 568 Clark Atlanta          2  7    -1.48   -17.07  606
 569 Hastings               6  4    -1.49   -25.27  540
 570 Olivet Nazarene        2  9    -1.50   -22.08  568

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 571 Arkansas-Monticello    2  8    -1.50   -18.23  604
 572 Juniata                5  5    -1.50   -22.80  563
 573 Luther                 5  5    -1.51   -24.43  554
 574 Puget Sound            4  5    -1.53   -23.65  562
 575 St Scholastica        10  1    -1.54   -25.31  553
 576 Central Methodist      5  6    -1.54   -27.09  536
 577 Albion                 6  4    -1.55   -19.19  609
 578 NW Oklahoma St         3  7    -1.56   -26.32  548
 579 Cal Lutheran           4  5    -1.57   -20.94  597
 580 Hamilton               0  8    -1.58   -16.37  632

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 581 Albright               6  5    -1.58   -29.36  528
 582 Ohio Wesleyan          6  4    -1.60   -25.55  565
 583 Evangel                5  6    -1.62   -23.03  590
 584 Augustana IL           5  5    -1.64   -23.74  589
 585 Denison                6  4    -1.64   -24.39  584
 586 Trinity TX             4  6    -1.64   -24.55  583
 587 Concordia NE           5  6    -1.66   -24.07  592
 588 St Norbert             6  4    -1.68   -28.40  560
 589 Occidental             5  4    -1.68   -26.75  572
 590 Sterling               6  5    -1.69   -24.27  601

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 591 Springfield            5  5    -1.69   -23.13  612
 592 UW-Eau Claire          1  9    -1.69   -24.45  599
 593 Rose-Hulman            7  3    -1.70   -26.23  582
 594 Endicott               5  5    -1.72   -25.95  593
 595 Hope                   6  4    -1.72   -23.85  615
 596 Edward Waters          4  6    -1.72   -28.12  573
 597 Hartwick               2  8    -1.73   -26.38  591
 598 North Carolina Wesle   5  5    -1.74   -25.65  600
 599 Worcester St           7  3    -1.74   -27.11  586
 600 Davidson               0 11    -1.74   -22.95  626

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 601 Dickinson              3  7    -1.74   -24.13  618
 602 Hamline                4  6    -1.76   -28.65  579
 603 Hendrix                6  4    -1.77   -29.23  576
 604 Elmhurst               5  5    -1.78   -27.10  598
 605 Muskingum              3  7    -1.79   -29.51  580
 606 Bethany KS             6  5    -1.80   -25.91  616
 607 Concordia AL           1  9    -1.80   -28.27  594
 608 Dakota St              6  5    -1.82   -29.24  588
 609 Cornell IA             5  4    -1.82   -28.04  602
 610 Simpson                3  7    -1.82   -23.31  638

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 611 Culver-Stockton        5  6    -1.83   -29.82  585
 612 Illinois Wesleyan      4  6    -1.84   -22.44  644
 613 Husson                 8  2    -1.84   -30.58  581
 614 Lebanon Valley         3  7    -1.86   -22.83  645
 615 Union KY               1  9    -1.87   -24.73  637
 616 Howard Payne           4  6    -1.87   -33.36  566
 617 Austin                 5  5    -1.87   -31.99  578
 618 Westminster PA         4  6    -1.88   -25.39  635
 619 SW Assem of God        4  6    -1.89   -27.55  625
 620 Rochester              5  4    -1.90   -29.00  614

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 621 Loras                  3  7    -1.90   -29.37  610
 622 Bluffton               6  4    -1.90   -31.10  595
 623 Paine                  2  8    -1.91   -22.65  662
 624 Bluefield              3  8    -1.92   -30.89  603
 625 Washington U.          4  6    -1.93   -26.90  633
 626 King's PA              4  6    -1.94   -30.61  611
 627 Benedictine IL         6  5    -1.94   -29.09  624
 628 Limestone              1  9    -1.94   -26.08  642
 629 Millsaps               3  6    -1.98   -29.62  627
 630 Concordia MI           3  8    -1.98   -32.18  605

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 631 Wisconsin Lutheran     7  3    -1.98   -32.19  607
 632 Belhaven               2  9    -1.98   -26.64  646
 633 Lindenwood-Bellevill   2  8    -1.99   -29.11  629
 634 Susquehanna            2  8    -1.99   -25.68  656
 635 WPI                    4  6    -2.00   -28.29  639
 636 Nebraska Wesleyan      4  6    -2.02   -33.03  608
 637 Case Western Reserve   3  7    -2.02   -25.82  663
 638 Presentation           6  4    -2.02   -32.44  619
 639 William Paterson       4  6    -2.02   -30.08  630
 640 St Vincent             4  6    -2.03   -29.64  634

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 641 Olivet                 6  4    -2.04   -27.17  655
 642 Capital                3  7    -2.05   -31.58  628
 643 Fitchburg St           6  4    -2.05   -30.70  631
 644 Millersville           1 10    -2.06   -26.41  666
 645 Shenandoah             4  6    -2.06   -27.16  660
 646 Union NY               2  8    -2.07   -26.25  668
 647 Hiram                  5  5    -2.08   -33.85  622
 648 Trine                  6  4    -2.09   -29.45  650
 649 Sul Ross St            2  8    -2.09   -29.61  648
 650 Pace                   1 10    -2.09   -29.09  651

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 651 Wooster                4  6    -2.11   -31.56  640
 652 Westfield St           5  5    -2.15   -30.96  652
 653 Lakeland               6  4    -2.16   -30.52  657
 654 Point U.               0  9    -2.16   -31.72  649
 655 Marietta               2  8    -2.16   -30.48  659
 656 Kean                   2  8    -2.17   -30.49  661
 657 Bacone                 3  8    -2.17   -29.15  670
 658 Birmingham-Southern    3  7    -2.18   -32.86  643
 659 Thiel                  4  6    -2.20   -32.04  654
 660 LaGrange               5  5    -2.21   -37.74  621

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 661 Northwestern MN        8  2    -2.22   -35.23  636
 662 Southern Nazarene      0 11    -2.27   -28.93  690
 663 Geneva                 3  7    -2.29   -31.83  672
 664 Manchester             4  6    -2.29   -30.43  685
 665 McPherson              4  7    -2.30   -31.80  675
 666 Carnegie Mellon        4  6    -2.30   -34.85  658
 667 Virginia U-Lynchburg   0  8    -2.31   -41.44  613
 668 Carleton               2  8    -2.33   -36.83  647
 669 Southern Virginia      1  9    -2.34   -32.15  683
 670 Lane                   1  8    -2.35   -34.88  667

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 671 Bridgewater St MA      4  6    -2.35   -33.69  673
 672 Carthage               3  7    -2.36   -32.77  681
 673 St Olaf                1  9    -2.37   -33.82  677
 674 Washington and Lee     2  8    -2.39   -30.63  696
 675 Wayland Baptist        3  8    -2.40   -35.17  674
 676 Lincoln PA             1  9    -2.41   -34.41  682
 677 Norwich                7  4    -2.42   -40.40  641
 678 Wilkes                 2  8    -2.43   -34.55  684
 679 Peru St                2  9    -2.43   -35.50  678
 680 New Jersey             2  8    -2.45   -37.18  671

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 681 Castleton St           7  3    -2.46   -37.72  669
 682 Waldorf                3  7    -2.46   -38.72  664
 683 St Mary KS             4  7    -2.47   -34.90  689
 684 UMass-Dartmouth        4  6    -2.47   -35.42  688
 685 Midland Lutheran       2  8    -2.51   -33.24  701
 686 Berry                  2  8    -2.51   -33.99  697
 687 Arizona Christian      2  7    -2.51   -37.45  680
 688 Lake Forest            4  6    -2.52   -40.17  665
 689 La Verne               2  7    -2.55   -33.28  706
 690 Greensboro             3  7    -2.55   -42.96  653

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 691 Concordia WI           5  5    -2.57   -36.40  694
 692 Briar Cliff            2  9    -2.58   -37.85  691
 693 Coast Guard            3  7    -2.59   -37.35  693
 694 Cheyney                0 11    -2.60   -35.18  704
 695 Defiance               3  7    -2.62   -36.20  703
 696 Avila                  3  8    -2.63   -40.47  686
 697 Sewanee                2  8    -2.64   -37.43  698
 698 Mass Maritime          4  6    -2.68   -40.13  692
 699 Ripon                  3  7    -2.69   -37.61  705
 700 Whittier               2  7    -2.69   -35.95  716

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 701 Curry                  3  7    -2.69   -43.31  679
 702 Millikin               3  7    -2.72   -37.92  710
 703 Greenville             7  3    -2.74   -44.70  676
 704 North Park             2  8    -2.75   -35.36  724
 705 Hanover                2  8    -2.76   -36.60  723
 706 Pomona-Pitzer          1  8    -2.77   -38.21  717
 707 George Fox             1  8    -2.78   -39.99  707
 708 McDaniel               1  9    -2.81   -40.34  712
 709 Averett                2  8    -2.82   -40.20  715
 710 Catholic               3  7    -2.83   -40.67  714

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 711 Southwestern TX        1  8    -2.84   -40.24  718
 712 Kalamazoo              2  8    -2.90   -41.22  720
 713 Beloit                 3  7    -2.90   -45.11  699
 714 Ferrum                 1  9    -2.90   -39.12  726
 715 Maine Maritime         3  6    -2.91   -41.66  721
 716 Misericordia           1  9    -2.92   -44.16  709
 717 Westminster MO         6  4    -2.93   -47.09  695
 718 Wilmington             0 10    -2.93   -44.20  711
 719 Missouri Baptist       1 10    -2.97   -50.31  687
 720 Bethel KS              3  8    -3.00   -40.31  731

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 721 Merchant Marine        2  8    -3.01   -41.83  727
 722 Grinnell               3  7    -3.02   -44.81  719
 723 Lewis & Clark          0  9    -3.03   -43.45  725
 724 Dordt                  2  9    -3.05   -48.17  708
 725 Oberlin                2  8    -3.14   -50.21  713
 726 Mount Ida              5  5    -3.14   -48.24  722
 727 Iowa Wesleyan          6  4    -3.15   -52.52  700
 728 Alma                   2  8    -3.17   -42.68  738
 729 Kansas Wesleyan        2  9    -3.19   -46.83  728
 730 Mayville St            2  9    -3.21   -53.77  702

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 731 Southwestern KS        1 10    -3.21   -41.74  741
 732 Kenyon                 1  9    -3.24   -46.40  733
 733 Alfred State           1  7    -3.27   -47.29  734
 734 SUNY-Maritime          4  6    -3.30   -46.99  736
 735 Apprentice             1  8    -3.34   -46.40  739
 736 Anderson               2  8    -3.37   -52.11  730
 737 Allegheny              1  9    -3.46   -52.14  735
 738 Grove City             0 10    -3.46   -49.65  740
 739 Crown                  4  6    -3.49   -55.03  732
 740 FDU-Florham            0 10    -3.55   -54.41  737

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 741 Texas College          0 11    -3.58   -58.64  729
 742 Knox                   2  8    -3.61   -53.66  742
 743 Plymouth St            1  9    -3.66   -53.20  745
 744 Nichols                1  9    -3.67   -53.79  744
 745 Gallaudet              2  7    -3.80   -52.18  749
 746 MacMurray              3  7    -3.84   -57.87  746
 747 Rockford               2  8    -3.91   -56.66  748
 748 Aurora                 1  9    -3.92   -54.92  752
 749 Earlham                0 10    -3.99   -57.34  751
 750 Trinity Bible          2  7    -4.01   -65.51  743

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 751 Concordia IL           1  8    -4.06   -59.53  750
 752 Becker                 1  9    -4.15   -58.11  755
 753 Lawrence               2  8    -4.19   -66.51  747
 754 Martin Luther          2  8    -4.32   -62.46  756
 755 Eureka                 2  8    -4.35   -64.36  754
 756 Haskell                0  9    -4.54   -70.60  753
 757 Minnesota-Morris       0 10    -4.66   -65.19  758
 758 Anna Maria             0 10    -4.68   -65.63  759
 759 Maranatha Baptist      0  6    -5.22   -86.95  757

 

Note: the predictions are available on their own separate page.

Introduction

Here is my rough attempt at a CF computer rating. It is a combination of a score-based rating and a more politically correct one like the six that are part of the BCS.

To estimate the point spread between two teams, subtract their numbers in the Points ("Pts") column. Don't forget home field advantage, which is usually around 2.5 to 3 points. It fluctuates a little, but I don't bother publishing the actual number: in 2011, at the end of week 6 it was 2.7.

Last season's games have a strong but diminishing influence for the first few weeks. More recent games are always weighted heavier. This is a work in progress, and I reserve the right to change the algorithm at any time, without telling you (errors, tweaks, whatever).

The ratings are one of many included on Dr. Kenneth Massey's comparison page for college football.

Enjoy! Email me if you have a question.

The components

The rating is a blend of two different and unique formulas.

Rating 1: An "almost" "pure points" system. Only margins of victory are included, but a diminishing returns rule is applied when scores are above 40 points. Over 40, the excess is halved, i.e., 42 becomes 41, 50 is 45, 70 is 55, etc. This is done without regard to margin of victory. I know I could have (and should have) been a bit more elegant, but it works.

The rating based only on points is available from the "Points" column at left. You can use it plus the known home field advantage to predict the outcome of any game if it were to be played today.

Rating 2: A system that considers only winning and losing, with games further weighted based on how recently they were played. The weight is simple: it is the number of days since the game was played, divided by 400. So a game played four months ago is weighted only 0.7 compared to "today's" games (weight 1.00), for games eight months ago the weight is about 0.4, and obviously for games one year ago the weight becomes even smaller, less than 0.1. For 2013, I've changed this weight to use a max of 400 days (not 365, which is more intuitive) to make sure that all of last year's games are retained in the "preseason" ratings. This rating should correlate highly with all the other BCS-style ratings, since there is no margin of victory.

For each rating, I then normalize the entire list (so that the mean is zero and the standard deviation is one), and simply add the two normalized ratings together to get the final value, shown in the "Rating" column. In other words, Rating = normalized_rating1 + normalized_rating2. That's it. That's why the ratings are bounded in roughly a range of +5 to -5...it will be rare to have a team with either rating more than about 2.5 SD's beyond the mean, let alone both of them.

Some math details

Finding each set of ratings requires solving an overdetermined matrix problem (thousands of games, for only hundreds of teams), which is popularly done either via SVD or with an iterative technique. SVD for college basketball requires a few gigabytes of RAM, which I didn't have at home when I started this project, so I went with the iterative methods. They are often slower, but will produce the same result. Right now I use a Matlab routine called LSMR, written by David Fong and Michael Saunders of Stanford University. Prior to using their algorithm, I used ugly, clunky, slow programs that I wrote myself; they resembled the predictor-corrector methods from your numerical analysis courses.

I normalize both results because there is essentially no other way to compare or combine the two ratings. Neither rating is given more preference than the other. There's probably a better way to get the end result than just adding the two normalized ratings together, but again, it seems to work. I'm always learning, always willing to hear new ideas, and always trying to improve the results.

About the author

I have a Ph.D. in Atmospheric Science from the University of Alabama in Huntsville. That's the same place where Dr. Wes Colley now works (he produces one of the six BCS rankings), but I only met him once. I am a faculty member at Indiana University, with research in the areas of thunderstorms and numerical weather prediction (forecasting using computers). Contact me using this email form if you have questions or non-hateful comments.