2013 College Football
Computer Ratings

Welcome to 2013!
 



Ratings last updated Wednesday 11/26/14, 08:24 AM ET

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
   1 Alabama               10  1     4.92    72.40    3
   2 Oregon                10  1     4.82    70.19    4
   3 TCU                    9  1     4.69    69.29    5
   4 Georgia                9  2     4.63    70.75    9
   5 Mississippi St        10  1     4.63    67.92    7
   6 Ohio State            10  1     4.58    66.35    6
   7 UCLA                   9  2     4.58    62.19    2
   8 Baylor                 9  1     4.54    70.57   16
   9 Auburn                 8  3     4.50    67.94   11
  10 Florida St            11  0     4.50    59.30    1

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  11 Mississippi            8  3     4.48    68.48   14
  12 Michigan St            9  2     4.46    67.04   13
  13 Kansas St              8  2     4.38    64.35   12
  14 Wisconsin              9  2     4.37    65.36   15
  15 Oklahoma               8  3     4.29    66.87   20
  16 Missouri               9  2     4.25    58.74    8
  17 Arizona                9  2     4.20    58.99   10
  18 Arizona St             9  2     4.07    57.37   17
  19 LSU                    7  4     4.06    63.79   28
  20 Georgia Tech           9  2     4.05    59.24   19

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  21 Arkansas               6  5     3.98    64.63   34
  22 Southern Cal           7  4     3.95    59.29   24
  23 Marshall              11  0     3.90    59.06   27
  24 Clemson                8  3     3.88    55.80   23
  25 Texas A&M              7  4     3.87    58.07   26
  26 Nebraska               8  3     3.87    58.72   29
  27 Utah                   7  4     3.85    54.92   22
  28 Boise St               9  2     3.82    51.55   18
  29 Louisville             8  3     3.81    57.28   30
  30 Florida                6  4     3.80    58.67   32

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  31 Minnesota              8  3     3.78    54.28   25
  32 Tennessee              5  6     3.75    59.91   38
  33 West Virginia          6  5     3.72    57.88   36
  34 Colorado St           10  1     3.71    50.02   21
  35 Notre Dame             7  4     3.69    55.75   33
  36 Maryland               7  4     3.55    49.87   31
  37 North Dakota St       11  1     3.53    51.41   35
  38 Stanford               6  5     3.53    56.04   49
  39 Miami FL               6  5     3.52    55.36   47
  40 Texas                  6  5     3.51    53.33   40

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  41 South Carolina         6  5     3.49    53.55   41
  42 Washington             7  5     3.48    52.15   39
  43 Memphis                8  3     3.39    51.59   46
  44 Iowa                   7  4     3.39    50.62   42
  45 Duke                   8  3     3.38    52.15   50
  46 Utah St                9  3     3.37    47.46   37
  47 Cincinnati             7  3     3.26    47.91   48
  48 North Carolina         6  5     3.26    47.04   43
  49 Boston College         6  5     3.25    49.61   52
  50 Virginia               5  6     3.22    50.87   61

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  51 Louisiana Tech         7  4     3.22    50.13   56
  52 California             5  6     3.18    49.08   58
  53 Illinois St           10  1     3.16    44.41   45
  54 Northwestern           5  6     3.14    47.96   59
  55 Virginia Tech          5  6     3.11    50.56   77
  56 East Carolina          7  3     3.10    47.79   67
  57 Northern Iowa          8  4     3.06    46.69   68
  58 Kentucky               5  6     3.05    47.81   73
  59 Brigham Young          7  4     3.03    46.60   71
  60 Penn State             6  5     3.03    47.70   75

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  61 Central Florida        7  3     3.01    44.83   64
  62 North Carolina St      6  5     3.00    43.31   55
  63 Michigan               5  6     2.99    46.53   76
  64 Northern Illinois      9  2     2.96    38.63   44
  65 Oklahoma St            5  6     2.95    44.69   72
  66 Toledo                 7  4     2.91    40.80   53
  67 Western Michigan       8  3     2.90    44.58   78
  68 South Dakota St        8  4     2.90    41.03   60
  69 Jacksonville St       10  1     2.89    38.73   51
  70 Nevada                 6  5     2.89    42.05   69

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  71 Rutgers                6  5     2.88    40.62   62
  72 Rice                   7  4     2.87    40.90   66
  73 Pittsburgh             5  6     2.83    48.08  100
  74 Illinois               5  6     2.81    39.92   70
  75 Air Force              8  3     2.80    38.56   63
  76 Georgia Southern       8  3     2.78    44.55   88
  77 Navy                   5  5     2.75    44.60   93
  78 Eastern Washington    10  2     2.73    36.67   65
  79 New Hampshire         10  1     2.72    35.56   57
  80 Oregon St              5  6     2.69    41.52   85

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  81 Washington St          3  8     2.69    43.87   98
  82 Coastal Carolina      11  1     2.68    37.32   74
  83 Villanova             10  2     2.67    37.88   79
  84 Chattanooga            9  3     2.67    40.15   84
  85 Western Kentucky       6  5     2.65    42.04   94
  86 Ferris St             11  0     2.63    32.36   54
  87 Louisiana-Lafayette    7  4     2.62    36.59   80
  88 Houston                6  4     2.62    42.04  102
  89 Texas Tech             4  7     2.62    40.04   90
  90 Arkansas St            6  5     2.60    42.60  108

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
  91 Indiana St             7  5     2.58    37.20   83
  92 San Diego St           6  5     2.56    38.56   91
  93 Purdue                 3  8     2.54    41.91  109
  94 Syracuse               3  8     2.51    41.70  113
  95 Fresno St              5  6     2.48    35.44   86
  96 Central Michigan       7  5     2.47    37.08   97
  97 Bowling Green          7  4     2.47    35.45   89
  98 UTEP                   6  5     2.45    36.96   99
  99 Indiana                3  8     2.44    39.19  111
 100 Colorado               2  9     2.43    40.34  118

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 101 Alabama-Birmingham     5  6     2.42    41.47  129
 102 Middle Tennessee St    6  5     2.42    36.50  104
 103 Temple                 5  5     2.41    41.51  134
 104 Iowa St                2  8     2.37    39.52  127
 105 Wyoming                4  7     2.33    32.67   95
 106 Kansas                 3  8     2.28    36.69  125
 107 Appalachian St         6  5     2.26    36.09  123
 108 Ohio Dominican        10  1     2.25    25.92   81
 109 Idaho St               8  4     2.25    31.47  105
 110 Youngstown St          7  5     2.25    33.57  112

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 111 Harvard               10  0     2.24    28.36   87
 112 Montana                8  4     2.23    31.69  107
 113 Vanderbilt             3  8     2.23    33.39  114
 114 James Madison          9  3     2.23    29.03   92
 115 Carroll MT            10  1     2.22    25.26   82
 116 SE Louisiana St        8  3     2.21    37.15  144
 117 South Alabama          6  5     2.21    32.84  116
 118 Hawai`i                4  8     2.18    34.45  132
 119 Sam Houston St         8  4     2.17    30.93  110
 120 Liberty                8  4     2.16    29.49  106

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 121 Fordham               10  2     2.13    33.02  133
 122 Western Illinois       5  7     2.11    32.36  130
 123 Samford                7  4     2.11    33.62  139
 124 Southern Illinois      6  6     2.09    34.04  150
 125 Ohio U.                6  6     2.07    31.60  136
 126 Texas St-San Marcos    6  5     2.05    33.46  152
 127 Old Dominion           5  6     2.05    30.10  128
 128 Richmond               8  4     2.03    27.57  117
 129 Colorado St-Pueblo    10  1     2.00    26.85  115
 130 Wake Forest            3  8     2.00    31.91  151

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 131 Angelo St              9  2     2.00    22.94   96
 132 South Florida          4  7     1.99    30.39  141
 133 San Jose St            3  8     1.98    32.50  157
 134 Valdosta St            9  2     1.98    27.68  122
 135 Delta St               9  1     1.98    29.94  142
 136 Montana St             8  4     1.98    27.79  124
 137 TAMU-Commerce          8  3     1.96    29.35  143
 138 Lenoir-Rhyne          11  0     1.95    26.26  119
 139 Eastern Kentucky       9  3     1.92    26.24  126
 140 Stephen F. Austin      8  4     1.91    28.68  147

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 141 Florida Int'l          4  8     1.90    34.24  180
 142 Tulane                 3  8     1.90    30.36  160
 143 Akron                  5  6     1.89    32.61  172
 144 Ashland                8  2     1.89    24.78  121
 145 Ball St                4  7     1.88    32.37  173
 146 Cal Poly SLO           7  5     1.88    27.49  145
 147 Michigan Tech          9  2     1.88    19.90  101
 148 New Mexico             3  8     1.87    29.62  161
 149 Southern Miss          3  8     1.86    28.56  153
 150 Missouri St            4  8     1.86    32.38  179

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 151 Florida Atlantic       3  8     1.85    31.81  176
 152 North Alabama          9  2     1.84    26.45  148
 153 Louisiana-Monroe       4  7     1.81    31.89  182
 154 Charleston Southern    8  4     1.80    25.27  146
 155 Northwestern St        6  6     1.80    28.96  168
 156 Eastern Illinois       5  7     1.78    31.27  184
 157 Southern Oregon       10  2     1.78    17.47  103
 158 Texas-San Antonio      3  8     1.77    29.89  178
 159 Sacred Heart           9  2     1.77    22.25  131
 160 William & Mary         7  5     1.73    24.84  156

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 161 Army                   4  6     1.72    26.92  170
 162 Concord               11  0     1.71    20.76  135
 163 Dartmouth              8  2     1.70    21.27  138
 164 Bryant                 8  3     1.67    23.31  158
 165 North Texas            4  7     1.66    29.07  195
 166 Western Carolina       7  5     1.66    24.32  165
 167 Tennessee-Martin       6  6     1.63    24.71  171
 168 Buffalo                4  6     1.63    28.91  203
 169 Central Arkansas       6  6     1.60    27.54  200
 170 Massachusetts          3  8     1.59    30.50  225

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 171 West Georgia          10  2     1.56    20.92  163
 172 Presbyterian           6  5     1.55    16.59  137
 173 McNeese St             6  5     1.54    27.75  216
 174 Bethune-Cookman        9  3     1.53    18.98  155
 175 North Carolina A&T     9  3     1.52    24.07  187
 176 South Carolina St      8  4     1.52    20.21  164
 177 Yale                   7  2     1.51    20.32  167
 178 Amherst                8  0     1.51    13.38  120
 179 Wofford                6  5     1.50    24.35  196
 180 Grand View            10  1     1.50    15.77  140

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 181 Sacramento St          7  5     1.47    20.61  177
 182 The Citadel            5  7     1.47    23.65  199
 183 Grand Valley St        6  5     1.46    17.78  162
 184 Mount Union           11  0     1.44    28.12  236
 185 Northern Arizona       7  5     1.42    20.29  181
 186 Connecticut            2  8     1.42    24.95  218
 187 Tulsa                  2  9     1.42    25.84  228
 188 Albany NY              7  5     1.40    20.67  190
 189 Bloomsburg            10  1     1.40    20.81  193
 190 Miami OH               2 10     1.39    27.91  247

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 191 Midwestern St          6  4     1.39    20.48  191
 192 Bucknell               8  3     1.38    17.74  175
 193 Tarleton St            5  5     1.36    22.09  212
 194 Alcorn St              9  3     1.35    21.94  213
 195 West Chester          11  1     1.35    20.50  201
 196 UNLV                   2 10     1.33    22.22  220
 197 Colorado Mines        10  2     1.32    15.26  169
 198 Marian IN              9  2     1.31    12.22  154
 199 Eastern Oregon         8  3     1.30    10.79  149
 200 Wagner                 7  4     1.30    17.02  185

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 201 Wesley                 9  1     1.28    22.14  229
 202 Troy                   3  8     1.27    23.01  235
 203 Kent St                1  9     1.26    25.29  252
 204 Shepherd               8  2     1.25    19.02  214
 205 Maine                  5  6     1.24    17.51  204
 206 Lamar                  8  4     1.23    17.75  208
 207 Wayne St MI            7  4     1.23    16.23  197
 208 St Xavier              9  2     1.22    11.51  166
 209 South Dakota           2 10     1.22    20.77  232
 210 Eastern New Mexico     7  4     1.20    16.80  206

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 211 Abilene Christian      6  6     1.20    21.25  239
 212 Delaware               6  6     1.18    15.76  202
 213 Southern Utah          3  8     1.18    17.85  219
 214 Jacksonville FL        9  2     1.18    14.12  188
 215 Wesleyan               7  1     1.18    13.83  186
 216 Azusa Pacific         10  1     1.18    11.48  174
 217 Stony Brook            5  7     1.16    20.69  244
 218 North Carolina Centr   7  5     1.15    16.09  215
 219 Wartburg              11  0     1.13    14.58  207
 220 UW-Whitewater         11  0     1.11    14.74  211

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 221 Humboldt St            8  2     1.11    15.57  217
 222 Morgan St              7  5     1.10    15.47  221
 223 West Texas A&M         6  5     1.08    15.37  224
 224 Lafayette              5  6     1.07    17.42  238
 225 Monmouth NJ            6  5     1.06    16.14  231
 226 Duquesne               6  6     1.06    17.85  245
 227 Indianapolis           9  2     1.05    12.51  209
 228 Mary Hardin-Baylor    10  1     1.04    17.13  242
 229 Middlebury             6  2     1.04    14.54  226
 230 Tennessee Tech         5  7     1.02    13.48  222

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 231 Johns Hopkins         11  0     1.02     9.82  194
 232 Eastern Michigan       2  9     1.02    15.68  237
 233 Chadron St             8  3     1.02     9.30  189
 234 Winston-Salem St       9  2     1.01    15.86  241
 235 Florida Tech           6  5     1.00    16.23  248
 236 SE Missouri St         5  7     0.98    18.00  260
 237 San Diego              9  2     0.98     3.05  159
 238 UNC-Charlotte          5  6     0.98    18.82  268
 239 California PA          8  2     0.97    12.38  227
 240 Carson-Newman          7  3     0.96    12.87  230

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 241 SMU                    0 10     0.95    15.09  250
 242 Virginia St           10  2     0.94     9.13  205
 243 John Carroll          10  1     0.94    19.38  281
 244 Tennessee St           6  6     0.93    16.38  259
 245 Grambling St           7  4     0.93     9.03  210
 246 Montana-Western        6  5     0.93     5.89  183
 247 New Mexico St          2  9     0.93    20.99  305
 248 Slippery Rock          9  3     0.92    13.60  243
 249 Widener               11  0     0.92     7.28  198
 250 Southern U.            8  3     0.90     6.09  192

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 251 Weber St               2 10     0.89    18.19  285
 252 Idaho                  1  9     0.89    22.61  327
 253 Charleston WV          8  3     0.89    11.14  233
 254 North Dakota           5  7     0.87    11.57  240
 255 Mercer                 6  6     0.85    16.65  279
 256 Portland St            3  9     0.83    15.52  277
 257 Georgia St             1 10     0.82    16.75  294
 258 Lindsey Wilson        10  2     0.82    11.50  251
 259 Tuskegee               9  3     0.80    10.34  249
 260 Gannon                 8  2     0.79    15.66  288

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 261 Furman                 3  9     0.77    14.69  282
 262 St Francis PA          5  6     0.77    13.13  274
 263 Colgate                5  7     0.77    14.30  280
 264 Harding                9  2     0.76    19.96  337
 265 UC-Davis               2  9     0.75    14.74  295
 266 Ouachita Baptist      10  0     0.73    10.39  256
 267 Mercyhurst             7  4     0.73    10.57  262
 268 West Alabama           5  6     0.72    16.22  316
 269 Pittsburg St          11  1     0.71    19.41  345
 270 Alabama St             7  5     0.69     8.84  255

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 271 Drake                  7  4     0.68     3.35  223
 272 Holy Cross             4  8     0.66    13.83  310
 273 Dayton                 8  3     0.65     4.53  234
 274 Linfield               9  1     0.63    16.52  340
 275 Findlay                5  6     0.63     8.69  270
 276 Brown                  5  5     0.62    10.60  287
 277 Northern Colorado      3  8     0.61    10.61  298
 278 Muhlenberg             9  2     0.59     7.07  264
 279 Faulkner               9  3     0.59     6.42  261
 280 St Joseph's IN         8  3     0.58     6.53  263

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 281 American Int'l         8  3     0.57     7.51  275
 282 North Greenville       7  5     0.55    10.33  308
 283 Northwood              5  6     0.55     5.03  258
 284 Central Washington     7  4     0.54     8.13  286
 285 Towson                 4  8     0.53     8.22  299
 286 Trinity CT             5  3     0.52     9.50  309
 287 Georgetown KY          8  3     0.52     8.04  300
 288 Rocky Mountain         5  6     0.51     1.63  246
 289 Hillsdale              4  7     0.50     6.65  283
 290 Lehigh                 3  8     0.50    10.73  322

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 291 Gardner-Webb           4  8     0.49     8.05  304
 292 St John Fisher         9  2     0.49     4.07  265
 293 C.W. Post              8  4     0.49     7.45  302
 294 Assumption             7  4     0.49     8.72  311
 295 Minn St-Mankato       11  0     0.49    15.39  376
 296 Henderson St           9  2     0.48    13.13  352
 297 Campbellsville         7  4     0.48     6.60  292
 298 Prairie View A&M       5  5     0.47     5.76  284
 299 Princeton              5  5     0.47     6.40  296
 300 UW-Oshkosh             6  4     0.46     3.47  267

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 301 Murray St              3  9     0.46    11.87  343
 302 Howard                 5  7     0.46     6.82  303
 303 Catawba                6  5     0.46     8.43  315
 304 St John's MN          10  1     0.44     1.50  254
 305 Western Oregon         6  5     0.41     4.45  289
 306 NW Missouri St        10  2     0.41    16.63  416
 307 Morningside           10  1     0.41     8.72  330
 308 Norfolk St             4  8     0.41     8.13  326
 309 Newberry               5  6     0.39    11.44  361
 310 Albany St GA           7  3     0.38     3.69  290

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 311 Notre Dame OH          7  4     0.34     0.40  273
 312 Elon                   1 11     0.33     9.54  358
 313 Lake Erie              4  7     0.33    -1.62  257
 314 William Penn           7  4     0.32     0.71  278
 315 St Thomas              8  3     0.31     5.42  325
 316 Walsh                  4  7     0.29     1.51  301
 317 Texas Lutheran        10  1     0.29    -3.38  253
 318 New Haven              6  5     0.28     8.18  366
 319 Hampton                3  9     0.27     6.75  350
 320 Kutztown               6  5     0.26    10.37  397

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 321 Georgetown DC          3  8     0.25     6.15  351
 322 Concordia-Moorhead     8  2     0.23     0.45  306
 323 UW-Platteville         7  3     0.22     2.35  320
 324 Robert Morris IL       8  3     0.21    -3.95  266
 325 Florida A&M            3  9     0.20     6.15  370
 326 Northern Michigan      3  8     0.20     5.65  360
 327 Wingate                6  5     0.19     4.97  356
 328 Central Conn St        3  9     0.18     7.60  390
 329 Indiana PA             6  5     0.18     6.47  379
 330 Hobart                11  0     0.18    -4.60  271

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 331 Buffalo St             8  3     0.15    -2.86  297
 332 West Liberty           6  5     0.15    -1.17  312
 333 Tusculum               5  5     0.14     1.19  332
 334 Mars Hill              4  6     0.13     3.89  364
 335 VMI                    2 10     0.13     5.28  380
 336 Truman St              6  4     0.13    -0.03  321
 337 Pennsylvania           2  8     0.13     5.15  377
 338 Virginia Union         7  3     0.13    -1.43  314
 339 Bethel MN              7  3     0.13    -1.10  318
 340 Wash & Jeff           10  1     0.12     2.75  354

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 341 Siena Heights          6  4     0.11    -6.01  276
 342 Sioux Falls           10  1     0.11     9.60  429
 343 Alderson-Broaddus      7  4     0.11     1.40  342
 344 St Francis IN          6  5     0.11    -2.13  313
 345 Delaware Valley        9  2     0.11    -4.37  293
 346 Tiffin                 5  6     0.11    -6.81  269
 347 Colorado Mesa          6  5     0.11    -1.86  317
 348 Rhode Island           1 11     0.09     3.56  375
 349 Wabash                10  1     0.07     0.71  347
 350 Saginaw Valley St      2  9     0.07     0.12  341

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 351 Reinhardt              6  4     0.06     0.40  349
 352 Incarnate Word         2  9     0.05     0.46  353
 353 Alabama A&M            4  8     0.05     1.57  371
 354 Missouri Valley        9  2     0.04    -3.66  319
 355 Shippensburg           6  5     0.04     3.98  401
 356 MidAmerica Nazarene    9  2     0.03    -5.36  307
 357 Heidelberg             8  2    -0.00     0.00  368
 358 Salisbury              7  4    -0.01    -7.80  291
 359 Ithaca                 7  4    -0.01    -3.71  329
 360 Bentley                5  6    -0.02     6.52  434

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 361 College of Idaho       4  7    -0.02   -10.32  272
 362 Thomas More            8  2    -0.03     3.97  417
 363 Marist                 4  7    -0.03    -1.51  355
 364 East Stroudsburg       6  5    -0.04     1.19  392
 365 Miles                  6  4    -0.05    -1.10  372
 366 Bowie St               5  5    -0.05    -0.76  373
 367 Rowan                  7  4    -0.07    -5.20  331
 368 Glenville St           5  6    -0.07    -2.54  357
 369 McKendree              5  6    -0.08    -4.54  338
 370 Adams St               4  7    -0.08    -0.33  385

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 371 Western New Mexico     5  6    -0.08    -4.33  339
 372 Minnesota-Duluth      12  0    -0.10     2.77  425
 373 Austin Peay            1 11    -0.10    -3.15  363
 374 Stonehill              5  6    -0.14     1.82  426
 375 Bates                  4  4    -0.15    -4.50  362
 376 North Central          8  2    -0.15    -3.02  381
 377 Wittenberg             9  2    -0.15    -2.57  386
 378 UW-Stevens Point       7  3    -0.16    -7.61  333
 379 Butler                 4  7    -0.17    -3.98  374
 380 Jackson St             5  7    -0.17    -2.71  396

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 381 New Mexico Highlands   3  8    -0.18    -0.46  418
 382 Central IA             8  2    -0.20    -5.64  369
 383 Lycoming               8  2    -0.20    -9.29  328
 384 Wheaton               11  0    -0.20    -9.82  323
 385 St Anselm              6  5    -0.20    -1.84  412
 386 Ursinus                7  3    -0.20    -5.95  365
 387 Western St CO          4  7    -0.22    -3.54  403
 388 Valley City St         9  2    -0.23   -10.62  324
 389 Utica                  7  4    -0.27    -9.26  348
 390 Louisiana College      6  4    -0.27   -10.49  335

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 391 Guilford               8  2    -0.27    -6.56  383
 392 Central Oklahoma       8  3    -0.28     4.17  483
 393 Morrisville St         9  2    -0.29   -11.15  336
 394 Campbell               5  7    -0.29    -5.68  404
 395 Centre                10  1    -0.30    -7.29  382
 396 Tufts                  4  4    -0.31    -6.43  398
 397 Shorter                3  8    -0.32    -2.74  432
 398 Southeastern U.        7  3    -0.32    -4.11  421
 399 Montana Tech           1  9    -0.32    -6.68  400
 400 Framingham St         10  1    -0.33    -9.88  359

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 401 Webber Int'l           7  3    -0.35    -8.39  384
 402 Chapman                8  2    -0.35    -2.41  443
 403 Langston               7  4    -0.35    -6.78  409
 404 Montana St-Northern    3  8    -0.38   -12.80  346
 405 Texas Southern         5  6    -0.38    -5.89  422
 406 Stevenson              8  3    -0.38   -11.25  367
 407 Hardin-Simmons         6  3    -0.39   -10.32  378
 408 Fort Valley St         6  4    -0.39    -8.15  407
 409 Central Missouri       7  4    -0.41     5.21  524
 410 Huntingdon AL          7  3    -0.41   -10.29  388

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 411 St Lawrence            8  2    -0.42    -9.59  399
 412 Montclair St           8  2    -0.42   -15.03  334
 413 Hampden-Sydney         7  4    -0.44    -8.36  415
 414 Arkansas-Pine Bluff    4  7    -0.45   -11.05  391
 415 Missouri Western       7  4    -0.46     3.22  520
 416 Baker                  8  3    -0.47   -11.35  395
 417 SE Oklahoma St         7  4    -0.47    -3.73  469
 418 Morehouse              6  4    -0.48   -10.25  411
 419 Ohio Northern          7  3    -0.48   -11.03  405
 420 Pacific Lutheran       7  2    -0.49    -4.72  460

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 421 Christopher Newport    8  3    -0.49   -16.19  344
 422 St Ambrose             5  5    -0.49   -11.28  406
 423 Black Hills St         3  8    -0.50    -7.42  436
 424 Emory & Henry          8  2    -0.50   -12.40  393
 425 Morehead St            4  8    -0.51   -11.36  408
 426 Merrimack              4  7    -0.51    -3.29  475
 427 Fayetteville St        5  5    -0.51    -6.66  448
 428 Delaware St            2 10    -0.52    -6.18  454
 429 East Central OK        6  4    -0.52    -3.43  476
 430 Kentucky Christian     5  6    -0.52    -8.80  431

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 431 Quincy                 6  5    -0.53    -7.71  440
 432 OK Panhandle St        7  3    -0.53    -3.14  484
 433 Bridgewater VA         8  2    -0.53   -13.52  389
 434 Fort Hays St           7  4    -0.53     0.68  516
 435 Robert Morris PA       1 10    -0.53    -7.78  441
 436 Elizabeth City St      4  6    -0.53    -7.28  447
 437 WV Wesleyan            4  6    -0.54   -12.16  410
 438 Missouri S&T           4  7    -0.54    -7.31  451
 439 Stetson                5  7    -0.55   -12.17  413
 440 Williams               2  6    -0.56    -3.61  488

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 441 TAMU-Kingsville        2  9    -0.56   -12.24  414
 442 Cumberland TN          6  5    -0.57   -11.76  419
 443 Stillman               5  6    -0.58    -8.38  452
 444 Fort Lewis             3  8    -0.59    -8.92  446
 445 Valparaiso             4  8    -0.59    -9.45  442
 446 Taylor                 5  6    -0.59   -15.00  394
 447 Nicholls St            0 12    -0.61    -8.03  465
 448 Cornell NY             1  9    -0.61    -5.47  486
 449 Redlands               6  3    -0.63    -3.62  503
 450 Monmouth IL            8  2    -0.63   -12.35  427

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 451 St Francis IL          4  7    -0.67    -7.23  485
 452 Southern Arkansas      5  5    -0.67    -2.66  522
 453 Gustavus Adolphus      6  4    -0.67    -9.12  472
 454 Alfred                 5  5    -0.67   -14.53  420
 455 William Jewell         5  6    -0.68   -14.68  423
 456 Chicago                8  1    -0.69   -17.35  402
 457 Colby                  2  6    -0.69    -8.49  477
 458 Brockport St           5  5    -0.70   -14.05  430
 459 Augustana SD           6  5    -0.71     2.92  579
 460 MIT                   10  0    -0.71   -19.08  387

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 461 Gettysburg             5  5    -0.73   -14.07  438
 462 UNC-Pembroke           2  8    -0.73    -5.19  518
 463 Maryville              7  3    -0.76   -15.35  435
 464 Northwestern IA        8  3    -0.76   -14.01  450
 465 Coe                    5  5    -0.76   -13.18  456
 466 Edinboro               3  8    -0.76    -8.21  497
 467 Pacific OR             6  3    -0.77   -12.51  468
 468 Waynesburg             8  3    -0.78   -13.60  458
 469 Rhodes                 8  2    -0.80   -17.20  428
 470 Carroll WI             8  2    -0.80   -14.59  453

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 471 Fairmont St            3  7    -0.81   -14.16  461
 472 Benedictine KS         7  4    -0.81   -15.66  445
 473 Brevard                0 10    -0.81    -5.81  531
 474 Simon Fraser           2  9    -0.81   -10.74  491
 475 Franklin & Marshall    5  5    -0.82   -14.41  462
 476 Malone                 1 10    -0.82   -14.26  466
 477 Cortland St            5  5    -0.83   -15.21  455
 478 Bethel TN              5  6    -0.83   -17.09  437
 479 Urbana                 3  8    -0.83   -12.49  478
 480 Ottawa                 9  3    -0.85   -15.50  457

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 481 UW-La Crosse           3  7    -0.87   -10.97  499
 482 Moravian               5  5    -0.88   -16.48  459
 483 Central St OH          4  6    -0.88   -11.90  494
 484 Franklin               8  3    -0.89   -13.97  482
 485 McMurry                2  8    -0.90   -20.87  424
 486 Pikeville              5  6    -0.90   -13.53  490
 487 Ave Maria              5  6    -0.91   -16.71  470
 488 Savannah St            0 12    -0.92   -13.38  492
 489 DePauw                 7  3    -0.92   -12.93  495
 490 Mississippi Valley S   1  9    -0.92   -14.68  487

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 491 Seton Hill             3  8    -0.93    -9.76  525
 492 Western New England    8  2    -0.93   -17.82  463
 493 Bowdoin                2  6    -0.94   -11.84  512
 494 Houston Baptist        2  9    -0.95   -16.26  474
 495 Graceland              6  5    -0.95   -19.91  444
 496 Methodist              6  4    -0.96   -16.15  479
 497 Friends                9  2    -0.96   -16.79  473
 498 Columbia               0 10    -0.97   -12.60  513
 499 Dickinson St           7  4    -0.97   -21.88  433
 500 Benedict               4  6    -0.98   -13.84  504

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 501 Buena Vista            5  5    -0.99   -18.70  471
 502 Otterbein              5  5    -0.99   -16.86  481
 503 Kentucky St            3  7    -1.00   -10.98  534
 504 Juniata                5  5    -1.00   -17.31  480
 505 Warner U.              5  5    -1.00   -19.47  467
 506 Adrian                 8  3    -1.03   -15.31  501
 507 Johnson C. Smith       3  7    -1.03   -16.19  496
 508 Baldwin Wallace        5  5    -1.04   -15.24  508
 509 Virginia-Wise          2  9    -1.04   -17.01  493
 510 Mt St Joseph           8  2    -1.05   -15.72  505

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 511 Doane                  7  3    -1.05   -21.00  464
 512 Livingstone            5  5    -1.05   -15.64  507
 513 Dubuque                4  6    -1.05   -15.79  506
 514 Albright               6  5    -1.06   -22.89  449
 515 UW-River Falls         3  7    -1.10   -14.33  533
 516 Randolph-Macon         5  5    -1.11   -16.45  517
 517 RPI                    6  5    -1.11   -17.11  509
 518 SW Baptist             4  7    -1.12   -15.11  530
 519 Augsburg               4  6    -1.14   -18.61  502
 520 East Texas Baptist     4  6    -1.14   -17.79  510

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 521 St Augustine's         3  7    -1.16   -17.34  521
 522 Macalester             9  2    -1.18   -27.05  439
 523 Mississippi College    0  9    -1.18   -17.08  528
 524 Menlo                  3  8    -1.19   -20.55  498
 525 Oklahoma Baptist       8  3    -1.19   -13.34  562
 526 Lincoln MO             2  9    -1.20   -11.11  581
 527 Salve Regina           7  4    -1.20   -20.51  500
 528 Northern St SD         8  3    -1.20   -15.40  549
 529 Western Conn St        7  4    -1.20   -17.69  529
 530 West Virginia St       2  9    -1.21   -16.56  541

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 531 Dixie St               1 10    -1.22   -16.31  545
 532 Frostburg St           4  6    -1.22   -23.14  489
 533 Clarion                2  9    -1.23   -11.61  586
 534 Cumberlands KY         3  7    -1.23   -16.87  544
 535 Southern Conn St       2  9    -1.24   -11.16  596
 536 South Dakota Tech      2  9    -1.24   -16.73  548
 537 Lock Haven             2  9    -1.24   -12.14  585
 538 Dickinson              3  7    -1.25   -18.76  532
 539 Missouri Southern      4  7    -1.25    -4.29  658
 540 Kentucky Wesleyan      5  4    -1.25   -20.87  514

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 541 Upper Iowa             6  5    -1.27    -9.93  612
 542 Shaw                   3  7    -1.27   -17.19  550
 543 Illinois College       7  3    -1.29   -19.50  536
 544 Tabor                  7  4    -1.30   -17.56  556
 545 Lebanon Valley         3  7    -1.30   -15.80  566
 546 Whitworth              6  4    -1.32   -16.29  569
 547 Trinity Int'l          3  7    -1.33   -18.87  551
 548 Emporia St             4  7    -1.34    -6.65  660
 549 Willamette             5  4    -1.34   -16.45  572
 550 Chowan                 2  8    -1.34   -20.48  540

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 551 North Carolina Wesle   5  5    -1.34   -21.97  527
 552 Bethany WV             6  5    -1.35   -21.08  538
 553 Arkansas Tech          3  8    -1.36   -12.51  614
 554 King's PA              4  6    -1.38   -23.57  523
 555 Ohio Wesleyan          6  4    -1.41   -23.08  537
 556 St Cloud St            6  5    -1.42   -16.52  594
 557 Clark Atlanta          2  7    -1.44   -16.65  601
 558 Concordia-St Paul      5  6    -1.45   -15.04  613
 559 Central Methodist      5  6    -1.45   -26.56  519
 560 Jamestown              5  5    -1.45   -27.04  511

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 561 Denison                6  4    -1.45   -21.92  559
 562 UW-Stout               2  8    -1.46   -20.43  568
 563 Washburn               4  7    -1.46   -10.79  653
 564 Olivet Nazarene        2  9    -1.46   -21.94  560
 565 St Scholastica        10  1    -1.47   -25.66  526
 566 Springfield            5  5    -1.47   -20.73  567
 567 Susquehanna            2  8    -1.47   -19.82  576
 568 Luther                 5  5    -1.47   -24.94  535
 569 Endicott               5  5    -1.48   -23.31  554
 570 Hartwick               2  8    -1.49   -23.51  552

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 571 Dakota Wesleyan        7  4    -1.49   -27.88  515
 572 Worcester St           7  3    -1.50   -24.43  547
 573 Albion                 6  4    -1.51   -19.67  591
 574 Hastings               6  4    -1.52   -25.74  542
 575 Evangel                5  6    -1.53   -22.43  570
 576 Augustana IL           5  5    -1.58   -24.53  564
 577 Winona St              4  7    -1.60   -11.64  681
 578 Husson                 8  2    -1.61   -27.93  543
 579 Trinity TX             4  6    -1.61   -24.28  574
 580 Hamilton               0  8    -1.61   -16.38  644

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 581 Edward Waters          4  6    -1.62   -27.09  557
 582 Rose-Hulman            7  3    -1.62   -25.64  565
 583 St Norbert             6  4    -1.63   -28.93  539
 584 SW Oklahoma St         3  7    -1.63   -19.52  624
 585 Hendrix                6  4    -1.64   -28.02  553
 586 Sterling               6  5    -1.65   -24.01  587
 587 Davidson               0 11    -1.65   -22.02  607
 588 Wayne St NE            5  6    -1.66   -16.97  651
 589 Rochester              5  4    -1.68   -26.66  571
 590 Hope                   6  4    -1.68   -24.29  595

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 591 Hamline                4  6    -1.69   -29.17  558
 592 UW-Eau Claire          1  9    -1.69   -25.37  584
 593 Concordia NE           5  6    -1.69   -24.53  597
 594 Nebraska-Kearney       3  8    -1.71   -13.46  688
 595 Concordia AL           1  9    -1.72   -27.27  575
 596 Elmhurst               5  5    -1.73   -27.89  573
 597 Westminster PA         4  6    -1.73   -22.73  623
 598 Culver-Stockton        5  6    -1.73   -29.25  563
 599 Bethany KS             6  5    -1.74   -25.53  599
 600 Union KY               1  9    -1.75   -23.64  619

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 601 Claremont-Mudd-Scrip   5  4    -1.76   -20.55  645
 602 William Paterson       4  6    -1.76   -26.95  590
 603 Shenandoah             4  6    -1.76   -24.09  617
 604 Howard Payne           4  6    -1.77   -32.69  546
 605 Cornell IA             5  4    -1.78   -28.52  580
 606 WPI                    4  6    -1.78   -25.90  606
 607 Muskingum              3  7    -1.78   -28.19  583
 608 Arkansas-Monticello    2  8    -1.79   -18.89  666
 609 Austin                 5  5    -1.79   -31.32  561
 610 Illinois Wesleyan      4  6    -1.79   -23.23  633

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 611 Simpson                3  7    -1.79   -23.87  628
 612 SW Assem of God        4  6    -1.81   -26.88  605
 613 Bluefield              3  8    -1.82   -29.90  578
 614 Washington U.          4  6    -1.82   -25.51  621
 615 Fitchburg St           6  4    -1.82   -28.01  598
 616 Bluffton               6  4    -1.82   -30.10  577
 617 Dakota St              6  5    -1.82   -29.59  582
 618 NW Oklahoma St         3  7    -1.84   -26.98  611
 619 Limestone              1  9    -1.85   -25.19  630
 620 Paine                  2  8    -1.85   -21.88  659

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 621 Union NY               2  8    -1.85   -23.79  642
 622 Millsaps               3  6    -1.86   -28.45  604
 623 LaGrange               5  5    -1.86   -34.57  555
 624 Loras                  3  7    -1.87   -29.97  593
 625 Cal Lutheran           4  5    -1.87   -22.80  655
 626 Wilkes                 2  8    -1.87   -27.49  615
 627 Puget Sound            4  5    -1.88   -25.95  631
 628 Belhaven               2  9    -1.89   -25.66  635
 629 Case Western Reserve   3  7    -1.89   -23.51  652
 630 St Vincent             4  6    -1.89   -27.17  627

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 631 Hiram                  5  5    -1.90   -31.23  588
 632 Benedictine IL         6  5    -1.90   -29.74  603
 633 Kean                   2  8    -1.91   -27.34  629
 634 Westfield St           5  5    -1.91   -28.26  622
 635 Millersville           1 10    -1.92   -25.02  647
 636 Wooster                4  6    -1.92   -28.78  616
 637 Occidental             5  4    -1.93   -28.34  626
 638 Wisconsin Lutheran     7  3    -1.94   -32.60  589
 639 Lindenwood-Bellevill   2  8    -1.95   -28.84  625
 640 Pace                   1 10    -1.96   -27.83  634

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 641 Concordia MI           3  8    -1.98   -32.43  600
 642 Lindenwood             2  9    -1.98   -16.15  712
 643 Birmingham-Southern    3  7    -1.99   -30.96  618
 644 Sul Ross St            2  8    -2.00   -28.98  638
 645 Olivet                 6  4    -2.01   -27.47  650
 646 Presentation           6  4    -2.01   -32.70  608
 647 Minn St-Moorhead       4  7    -2.03   -24.04  683
 648 Trine                  6  4    -2.04   -29.78  640
 649 Capital                3  7    -2.05   -30.39  636
 650 Thiel                  4  6    -2.05   -29.41  643

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 651 Nebraska Wesleyan      4  6    -2.06   -33.50  610
 652 Point U.               0  9    -2.06   -30.77  637
 653 Mary                   5  6    -2.08   -24.77  686
 654 Southern Virginia      1  9    -2.09   -29.04  656
 655 SW Minnesota St        3  8    -2.09   -22.14  699
 656 Washington and Lee     2  8    -2.11   -27.73  672
 657 Bridgewater St MA      4  6    -2.12   -30.94  648
 658 Lakeland               6  4    -2.12   -31.01  649
 659 Geneva                 3  7    -2.14   -29.17  667
 660 Bacone                 3  8    -2.15   -28.68  673

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 661 Marietta               2  8    -2.15   -29.16  671
 662 Northwestern MN        8  2    -2.16   -35.55  620
 663 Carnegie Mellon        4  6    -2.17   -32.49  646
 664 New Jersey             2  8    -2.17   -33.74  639
 665 Greensboro             3  7    -2.19   -39.55  592
 666 Norwich                7  4    -2.19   -37.80  609
 667 Bemidji St             3  8    -2.19   -22.83  709
 668 Manchester             4  6    -2.21   -29.55  682
 669 Castleton St           7  3    -2.23   -35.12  641
 670 UMass-Dartmouth        4  6    -2.24   -32.75  661

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 671 Lincoln PA             1  9    -2.25   -32.79  664
 672 Virginia U-Lynchburg   0  8    -2.26   -40.63  602
 673 McPherson              4  7    -2.26   -31.46  679
 674 Carleton               2  8    -2.27   -37.36  632
 675 Lane                   1  8    -2.30   -34.25  665
 676 St Olaf                1  9    -2.31   -34.35  668
 677 McDaniel               1  9    -2.32   -34.82  662
 678 Carthage               3  7    -2.32   -33.66  674
 679 Berry                  2  8    -2.34   -32.18  687
 680 Peru St                2  9    -2.36   -34.96  675

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 681 Coast Guard            3  7    -2.36   -34.70  677
 682 Wayland Baptist        3  8    -2.37   -34.78  678
 683 Misericordia           1  9    -2.40   -37.37  663
 684 St Mary KS             4  7    -2.43   -34.57  690
 685 Sewanee                2  8    -2.45   -35.36  689
 686 Mass Maritime          4  6    -2.45   -37.43  676
 687 Cheyney                0 11    -2.46   -33.73  696
 688 Averett                2  8    -2.47   -36.80  684
 689 Waldorf                3  7    -2.48   -39.03  669
 690 Curry                  3  7    -2.48   -40.75  654

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 691 Lake Forest            4  6    -2.48   -40.60  657
 692 Catholic               3  7    -2.53   -37.50  691
 693 Concordia WI           5  5    -2.54   -36.88  694
 694 Arizona Christian      2  7    -2.54   -37.42  692
 695 Southern Nazarene      0 11    -2.54   -29.52  720
 696 Ferrum                 1  9    -2.55   -35.73  700
 697 Midland Lutheran       2  8    -2.55   -33.68  708
 698 Avila                  3  8    -2.55   -39.87  680
 699 Defiance               3  7    -2.56   -35.41  702
 700 Briar Cliff            2  9    -2.63   -38.29  698

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 701 Ripon                  3  7    -2.66   -38.03  703
 702 Greenville             7  3    -2.68   -45.05  670
 703 Millikin               3  7    -2.68   -38.79  704
 704 Hanover                2  8    -2.69   -35.55  717
 705 Maine Maritime         3  6    -2.69   -38.98  705
 706 North Park             2  8    -2.71   -36.06  718
 707 Northeastern St OK     0 11    -2.76   -28.65  741
 708 Southwestern TX        1  8    -2.76   -39.55  710
 709 Merchant Marine        2  8    -2.82   -39.49  716
 710 La Verne               2  7    -2.86   -35.15  731

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 711 Beloit                 3  7    -2.87   -45.45  697
 712 Kalamazoo              2  8    -2.87   -41.75  713
 713 Westminster MO         6  4    -2.88   -47.25  693
 714 Missouri Baptist       1 10    -2.93   -49.94  685
 715 Mount Ida              5  5    -2.93   -45.61  706
 716 Wilmington             0 10    -2.95   -43.13  719
 717 Oberlin                2  8    -2.96   -47.58  701
 718 Bethel KS              3  8    -2.97   -39.99  728
 719 Minot St               1 10    -2.97   -35.79  739
 720 Pomona-Pitzer          1  8    -2.98   -39.24  730

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 721 Grinnell               3  7    -2.99   -45.24  715
 722 Whittier               2  7    -3.01   -37.85  736
 723 FDU-Florham            0 10    -3.04   -47.60  711
 724 SUNY-Maritime          4  6    -3.08   -44.32  723
 725 Kenyon                 1  9    -3.09   -43.91  727
 726 Alfred State           1  7    -3.09   -44.97  721
 727 Iowa Wesleyan          6  4    -3.11   -52.84  695
 728 Dordt                  2  9    -3.11   -48.66  714
 729 George Fox             1  8    -3.12   -42.12  734
 730 Alma                   2  8    -3.15   -42.97  733

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 731 Kansas Wesleyan        2  9    -3.17   -46.57  725
 732 Apprentice             1  8    -3.19   -44.49  732
 733 Southwestern KS        1 10    -3.19   -41.40  742
 734 Mayville St            2  9    -3.23   -54.02  707
 735 Allegheny              1  9    -3.30   -49.52  729
 736 Grove City             0 10    -3.31   -46.72  735
 737 Anderson               2  8    -3.33   -51.47  724
 738 Lewis & Clark          0  9    -3.41   -45.77  745
 739 Plymouth St            1  9    -3.45   -50.51  738
 740 Crown                  4  6    -3.46   -55.35  722

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 741 Nichols                1  9    -3.46   -51.11  737
 742 Texas College          0 11    -3.56   -58.18  726
 743 Gallaudet              2  7    -3.59   -49.53  746
 744 Knox                   2  8    -3.60   -54.08  740
 745 Minnesota-Crookston    0 11    -3.78   -49.61  753
 746 MacMurray              3  7    -3.81   -58.09  744
 747 Rockford               2  8    -3.90   -57.10  748
 748 Aurora                 1  9    -3.91   -55.39  750
 749 Earlham                0 10    -3.95   -56.34  751
 750 Becker                 1  9    -3.95   -55.45  752

Rank Team                   W  L   Rating   Points  BCS
 751 Trinity Bible          2  7    -4.03   -65.63  743
 752 Concordia IL           1  8    -4.05   -59.85  749
 753 Lawrence               2  8    -4.19   -66.93  747
 754 Martin Luther          2  8    -4.30   -62.76  756
 755 Eureka                 2  8    -4.33   -64.66  754
 756 Anna Maria             0 10    -4.49   -62.93  758
 757 Haskell                0  9    -4.54   -70.49  755
 758 Minnesota-Morris       0 10    -4.64   -65.51  759
 759 Maranatha Baptist      0  6    -5.24   -87.26  757

 

Note: the predictions are available on their own separate page.

Introduction

Here is my rough attempt at a CF computer rating. It is a combination of a score-based rating and a more politically correct one like the six that are part of the BCS.

To estimate the point spread between two teams, subtract their numbers in the Points ("Pts") column. Don't forget home field advantage, which is usually around 2.5 to 3 points. It fluctuates a little, but I don't bother publishing the actual number: in 2011, at the end of week 6 it was 2.7.

Last season's games have a strong but diminishing influence for the first few weeks. More recent games are always weighted heavier. This is a work in progress, and I reserve the right to change the algorithm at any time, without telling you (errors, tweaks, whatever).

The ratings are one of many included on Dr. Kenneth Massey's comparison page for college football.

Enjoy! Email me if you have a question.

The components

The rating is a blend of two different and unique formulas.

Rating 1: An "almost" "pure points" system. Only margins of victory are included, but a diminishing returns rule is applied when scores are above 40 points. Over 40, the excess is halved, i.e., 42 becomes 41, 50 is 45, 70 is 55, etc. This is done without regard to margin of victory. I know I could have (and should have) been a bit more elegant, but it works.

The rating based only on points is available from the "Points" column at left. You can use it plus the known home field advantage to predict the outcome of any game if it were to be played today.

Rating 2: A system that considers only winning and losing, with games further weighted based on how recently they were played. The weight is simple: it is the number of days since the game was played, divided by 400. So a game played four months ago is weighted only 0.7 compared to "today's" games (weight 1.00), for games eight months ago the weight is about 0.4, and obviously for games one year ago the weight becomes even smaller, less than 0.1. For 2013, I've changed this weight to use a max of 400 days (not 365, which is more intuitive) to make sure that all of last year's games are retained in the "preseason" ratings. This rating should correlate highly with all the other BCS-style ratings, since there is no margin of victory.

For each rating, I then normalize the entire list (so that the mean is zero and the standard deviation is one), and simply add the two normalized ratings together to get the final value, shown in the "Rating" column. In other words, Rating = normalized_rating1 + normalized_rating2. That's it. That's why the ratings are bounded in roughly a range of +5 to -5...it will be rare to have a team with either rating more than about 2.5 SD's beyond the mean, let alone both of them.

Some math details

Finding each set of ratings requires solving an overdetermined matrix problem (thousands of games, for only hundreds of teams), which is popularly done either via SVD or with an iterative technique. SVD for college basketball requires a few gigabytes of RAM, which I didn't have at home when I started this project, so I went with the iterative methods. They are often slower, but will produce the same result. Right now I use a Matlab routine called LSMR, written by David Fong and Michael Saunders of Stanford University. Prior to using their algorithm, I used ugly, clunky, slow programs that I wrote myself; they resembled the predictor-corrector methods from your numerical analysis courses.

I normalize both results because there is essentially no other way to compare or combine the two ratings. Neither rating is given more preference than the other. There's probably a better way to get the end result than just adding the two normalized ratings together, but again, it seems to work. I'm always learning, always willing to hear new ideas, and always trying to improve the results.

About the author

I have a Ph.D. in Atmospheric Science from the University of Alabama in Huntsville. That's the same place where Dr. Wes Colley now works (he produces one of the six BCS rankings), but I only met him once. I am a faculty member at Indiana University, with research in the areas of thunderstorms and numerical weather prediction (forecasting using computers). Contact me using this email form if you have questions or non-hateful comments.